Decision Theory with a Human Face

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107003210
Total Pages : 351 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Theory with a Human Face by : Richard Bradley

Download or read book Decision Theory with a Human Face written by Richard Bradley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2017-10-26 with total page 351 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.

Essays on Risk, Information and the Asset Market

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Risk, Information and the Asset Market by : Hengjie Ai

Download or read book Essays on Risk, Information and the Asset Market written by Hengjie Ai and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Coherent Odds and Subjective Probability

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Publisher : London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Coherent Odds and Subjective Probability by : Kim C. Border

Download or read book Coherent Odds and Subjective Probability written by Kim C. Border and published by London : Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario. This book was released on 1997 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Economics of Risk and Time

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262572248
Total Pages : 492 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (722 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Risk and Time by : Christian Gollier

Download or read book The Economics of Risk and Time written by Christian Gollier and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2001 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Updates and advances the theory of expected utility as applied to risk analysis and financial decision making.

Intrinsic Preference for Information

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Intrinsic Preference for Information by : Simon Grant

Download or read book Intrinsic Preference for Information written by Simon Grant and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Prospect Theory

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139489100
Total Pages : 519 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Prospect Theory by : Peter P. Wakker

Download or read book Prospect Theory written by Peter P. Wakker and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2010-07-22 with total page 519 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prospect Theory: For Risk and Ambiguity, provides a comprehensive and accessible textbook treatment of the way decisions are made both when we have the statistical probabilities associated with uncertain future events (risk) and when we lack them (ambiguity). The book presents models, primarily prospect theory, that are both tractable and psychologically realistic. A method of presentation is chosen that makes the empirical meaning of each theoretical model completely transparent. Prospect theory has many applications in a wide variety of disciplines. The material in the book has been carefully organized to allow readers to select pathways through the book relevant to their own interests. With numerous exercises and worked examples, the book is ideally suited to the needs of students taking courses in decision theory in economics, mathematics, finance, psychology, management science, health, computer science, Bayesian statistics, and engineering.

The Economics of Risk and Uncertainty

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781786432742
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (327 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of Risk and Uncertainty by : Christian Gollier

Download or read book The Economics of Risk and Uncertainty written by Christian Gollier and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The compilation of ground-breaking papers contained in this collection offers a complete description of the evolution of knowledge in the economics of risk and time, from its early twentieth-century explorations to its current diversity of approaches. The papers focus first on the basic decisions under uncertainty, and then on asset pricing. They cover both classical expected utility approach and its non-expected utility generalizations, with applications to dynamic portfolio choices, insurance, risk sharing, and risk prevention. Prefaced by an original introduction from the editor, this collection will be valuable for scholars in finance and macroeconomics, particularly those with an interest in the modeling foundations of consumer and investor decisions under uncertainty.

Rational Behavior and Bargaining Equilibrium in Games and Social Situations

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Author :
Publisher : CUP Archive
ISBN 13 : 9780521311830
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (118 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Behavior and Bargaining Equilibrium in Games and Social Situations by : John C. Harsanyi

Download or read book Rational Behavior and Bargaining Equilibrium in Games and Social Situations written by John C. Harsanyi and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1986 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a paperback edition of a major contribution to the field, first published in hard covers in 1977. The book outlines a general theory of rational behaviour consisting of individual decision theory, ethics, and game theory as its main branches. Decision theory deals with a rational pursuit of individual utility; ethics with a rational pursuit of the common interests of society; and game theory with an interaction of two or more rational individuals, each pursuing his own interests in a rational manner.

Generalized Expected Utility Theory

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9780792393023
Total Pages : 234 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis Generalized Expected Utility Theory by : John Quiggin

Download or read book Generalized Expected Utility Theory written by John Quiggin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1993 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic analysis of choice under uncertainty has been dominated by the expected utility (EU) model, yet the EU model has never been without critics. Psychologists accumulated evidence that individual choices under uncertainty were inconsistent with the predictions of the EU model. Applied work in areas such as finance was dominated by the simpler mean-variance analysis. In the 1980s this skepticism was dispelled as a number of generalizations of EU were proposed, most of which were capable of explaining evidence inconsistent with EU, while preserving transitivity and dominance. Generalized expected utility is now a flourishing subfield of economics, with dozens of competing models and considerable literature exploring their theoretical properties and comparing their empirical performance. But the EU model remains the principal tool for the analysis of choice under uncertainty. There is a view that generalized models are too difficult to handle or incapable of generating sharp results. This creates a need to show that the new models can be used in the kinds of economic analysis for which EU has been used, and that they can yield new and interesting results. This book meets this need by describing one of the most popular generalized models -- the rank-dependent expected utility model (RDEU), also known as anticipated utility, EU with rank-dependent preferences, the dual theory of choice under uncertainty, and simply as rank-dependent utility. As the many names indicate, the model has been approached in many ways by many scientists and for this reason, consideration of a single model sheds light on many of the concerns that have motivated the development of generalized utility models. The popularity of the RDEU model rests on its simplicity and tractability. The standard tools of analysis developed for EU theory may be applied to the RDEU model, but since RDEU admits behavior inconsistent with EU, the field of potential applications is widened. As such, the RDEU model is not as much a competitor to EU as an extension based on less restrictive assumptions.

The Limits of Inference without Theory

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262019086
Total Pages : 197 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis The Limits of Inference without Theory by : Kenneth I. Wolpin

Download or read book The Limits of Inference without Theory written by Kenneth I. Wolpin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2013-04-26 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of theory in ex ante policy evaluations and the limits that eschewing theory places on inference In this rigorous and well-crafted work, Kenneth Wolpin examines the role of theory in inferential empirical work in economics and the social sciences in general—that is, any research that uses raw data to go beyond the mere statement of fact or the tabulation of statistics. He considers in particular the limits that eschewing the use of theory places on inference. Wolpin finds that the absence of theory in inferential work that addresses microeconomic issues is pervasive. That theory is unnecessary for inference is exemplified by the expression “let the data speak for themselves.” This approach is often called “reduced form.” A more nuanced view is based on the use of experiments or quasi-experiments to draw inferences. Atheoretical approaches stand in contrast to what is known as the structuralist approach, which requires that a researcher specify an explicit model of economic behavior—that is, a theory. Wolpin offers a rigorous examination of both structuralist and nonstructuralist approaches. He first considers ex ante policy evaluation, highlighting the role of theory in the implementation of parametric and nonparametric estimation strategies. He illustrates these strategies with two examples, a wage tax and a school attendance subsidy, and summarizes the results from applications. He then presents a number of examples that illustrate the limits of inference without theory: the effect of unemployment benefits on unemployment duration; the effect of public welfare on women's labor market and demographic outcomes; the effect of school attainment on earnings; and a famous field experiment in education dealing with class size. Placing each example within the context of the broader literature, he contrasts them to recent work that relies on theory for inference.

Interpersonal Comparisons of Well-Being

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521457224
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (572 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpersonal Comparisons of Well-Being by : Jon Elster

Download or read book Interpersonal Comparisons of Well-Being written by Jon Elster and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1993-07-30 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Constituting the most advanced and comprehensive treatment of one of the cardinal issues in social theory, a diverse group of social scientists address the problems, principles and practices involved in comparing the well-being of different individuals.

Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195380614
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory by : Kerry Back

Download or read book Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory written by Kerry Back and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2010 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers the classical results on single-period, discrete-time, and continuous-time models of portfolio choice and asset pricing. It also treats asymmetric information, production models, various proposed explanations for the equity premium puzzle, and topics important for behavioral finance.

Lecture Notes in Microeconomic Theory

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691154139
Total Pages : 167 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Lecture Notes in Microeconomic Theory by : Ariel Rubinstein

Download or read book Lecture Notes in Microeconomic Theory written by Ariel Rubinstein and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-03-04 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ariel Rubinstein's well-known lecture notes on microeconomics—now fully revised and expanded This book presents Ariel Rubinstein's lecture notes for the first part of his well-known graduate course in microeconomics. Developed during the fifteen years that Rubinstein taught the course at Tel Aviv University, Princeton University, and New York University, these notes provide a critical assessment of models of rational economic agents, and are an invaluable supplement to any primary textbook in microeconomic theory. In this fully revised and expanded second edition, Rubinstein retains the striking originality and deep simplicity that characterize his famously engaging style of teaching. He presents these lecture notes with a precision that gets to the core of the material, and he places special emphasis on the interpretation of key concepts. Rubinstein brings this concise book thoroughly up to date, covering topics like modern choice theory and including dozens of original new problems. Written by one of the world's most respected and provocative economic theorists, this second edition of Lecture Notes in Microeconomic Theory is essential reading for students, teachers, and research economists. Fully revised, expanded, and updated Retains the engaging style and method of Rubinstein's well-known lectures Covers topics like modern choice theory Features numerous original new problems—including 21 new review problems Solutions manual (available only to teachers) can be found at: http://gametheory.tau.ac.il/microTheory/.

Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory by : Peter C. Fishburn

Download or read book Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory written by Peter C. Fishburn and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economic and Financial Decisions under Risk

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829216
Total Pages : 245 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic and Financial Decisions under Risk by : Louis Eeckhoudt

Download or read book Economic and Financial Decisions under Risk written by Louis Eeckhoudt and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-30 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An understanding of risk and how to deal with it is an essential part of modern economics. Whether liability litigation for pharmaceutical firms or an individual's having insufficient wealth to retire, risk is something that can be recognized, quantified, analyzed, treated--and incorporated into our decision-making processes. This book represents a concise summary of basic multiperiod decision-making under risk. Its detailed coverage of a broad range of topics is ideally suited for use in advanced undergraduate and introductory graduate courses either as a self-contained text, or the introductory chapters combined with a selection of later chapters can represent core reading in courses on macroeconomics, insurance, portfolio choice, or asset pricing. The authors start with the fundamentals of risk measurement and risk aversion. They then apply these concepts to insurance decisions and portfolio choice in a one-period model. After examining these decisions in their one-period setting, they devote most of the book to a multiperiod context, which adds the long-term perspective most risk management analyses require. Each chapter concludes with a discussion of the relevant literature and a set of problems. The book presents a thoroughly accessible introduction to risk, bridging the gap between the traditionally separate economics and finance literatures.

Risky Curves

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317821238
Total Pages : 171 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (178 download)

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Book Synopsis Risky Curves by : Daniel Friedman

Download or read book Risky Curves written by Daniel Friedman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-02-05 with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For several decades, the orthodox economics approach to understanding choice under risk has been to assume that each individual person maximizes some sort of personal utility function defined over purchasing power. This new volume contests that even the best wisdom from the orthodox theory has not yet been able to do better than supposedly naïve models that use rules of thumb, or that focus on the consumption possibilities and economic constraints facing the individual. The authors assert this by first revisiting the origins of orthodox theory. They then recount decades of failed attempts to obtain meaningful empirical validation or calibration of the theory. Estimated shapes and parameters of the "curves" have varied erratically from domain to domain (e.g., individual choice versus aggregate behavior), from context to context, from one elicitation mechanism to another, and even from the same individual at different time periods, sometimes just minutes apart. This book proposes the return to a simpler sort of scientific theory of risky choice, one that focuses not upon unobservable curves but rather upon the potentially observable opportunities and constraints facing decision makers. It argues that such an opportunities-based model offers superior possibilities for scientific advancement. At the very least, linear utility – in the presence of constraints - is a useful bar for the "curved" alternatives to clear.

Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 9780444894274
Total Pages : 824 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (942 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications by : R.J. Aumann

Download or read book Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications written by R.J. Aumann and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1992 with total page 824 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second of three volumes surveying the state of the art in Game Theory and its applications to many and varied fields, in particular to economics. The chapters in the present volume are contributed by outstanding authorities, and provide comprehensive coverage and precise statements of the main results in each area. The applications include empirical evidence. The following topics are covered: communication and correlated equilibria, coalitional games and coalition structures, utility and subjective probability, common knowledge, bargaining, zero-sum games, differential games, and applications of game theory to signalling, moral hazard, search, evolutionary biology, international relations, voting procedures, social choice, public economics, politics, and cost allocation. This handbook will be of interest to scholars in economics, political science, psychology, mathematics and biology. For more information on the Handbooks in Economics series, please see our home page on http://www.elsevier.nl/locate/hes