Short Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Market Timing and Stock Selection Abilities

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Short Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Market Timing and Stock Selection Abilities by : Evangelos Benos

Download or read book Short Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Market Timing and Stock Selection Abilities written by Evangelos Benos and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using daily return data from 448 actively managed mutual funds over a recent 9-year period, we look for persistence, over two consecutive quarters, in the ability of funds to select individual stocks and time the market. That is, we decompose overall fund performance into excess returns resulting from stock selection and timing abilities and we separately test for persistence in each ability. We find persistence in the ability to time the market only among well performing funds and in the ability to select stocks only among the very best and worst performers. The existing literature patterns appear only when funds are ranked by their overall performance, which includes stock selection, market timing and fees. With respect to overall performance, there is persistence among most poorly performing and only the top well performing funds. Furthermore, the profitability of a winner-picking strategy depends on the rebalancing frequency and potentially the size of the investment. Small investors cannot profit, whereas large investors can take advantage of the class A share fee structure and realize positive abnormal returns by annually rebalancing their portfolios.

Short-Term Persistence in Greek Mutual Fund Performance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Short-Term Persistence in Greek Mutual Fund Performance by : Daniel Giamouridis

Download or read book Short-Term Persistence in Greek Mutual Fund Performance written by Daniel Giamouridis and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the short-term performance of Greek mutual funds. We hypothesise that the returns earned by mutual fund managers are either due to their capacity in selecting successful investments ex-ante, i.e. 'selectivity', or due to their ability to increase (decrease) their exposure to market risk prior to a bullish (bearish) market, i.e. 'market timing'. Contrary to prior studies in the Greek mutual fund industry we set up our screening processes so that both stock picking and market timing ability could be identified. We carry out a battery of tests - non-parametric and parametric - to test our hypotheses. Our analysis shows that mutual fund performance does not persist over short term horizons of any kind, i.e. monthly, bi-monthly, and quarterly. These findings are robust when we use alternative settings in our empirical experiments.

Short-Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Short-Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance by : s P. B. Bollen

Download or read book Short-Term Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance written by s P. B. Bollen and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate parameters of standard stock selection and market timing models using daily mutual fund returns and quarterly measurement periods. We then rank funds quarterly by abnormal return and measure the performance of each decile the following quarter. The average abnormal return of the top decile in the post-ranking quarter is 39 basis points. The post-ranking abnormal return disappears when funds are evaluated over longer periods. These results suggest that superior performance is a short-lived phenomenon that is observable only when funds are evaluated several times a year.

On Market Timing, Stock Picking, and Managerial Skills of Mutual Fund Managers with Manipulation-Proof Performance Measure

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis On Market Timing, Stock Picking, and Managerial Skills of Mutual Fund Managers with Manipulation-Proof Performance Measure by : Meifen Qian

Download or read book On Market Timing, Stock Picking, and Managerial Skills of Mutual Fund Managers with Manipulation-Proof Performance Measure written by Meifen Qian and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The on-going debate over whether fund managers have skills and whether those skills are short-lived is still inconclusive. Using the performance measure that can't be manipulated with respect to the underlying distribution, time variation, nor estimation error, (the manipulation-proof performance measure (MPPM, Goetzmann et al. (2007)), we rank all U.S. domestic equity mutual funds from 1980 to 2012 on a quarterly basis and analyze their portfolio holding to contribute to the literature in two folds. First, managers ranked highest on MPPM in the current quarter earn largest fee-adjusted fund returns in the following quarter. Those managers hold younger, smaller, lower book-to-market, and momentum stocks. Second, taking long positions of the addition and short positions of the removal from their quarterly holdings from the highest ranked managers would outperform the lowest ranked managers by 12 basis points at the following quarter. Even though higher ranked managers have better stock picking skills, their fund returns are not large enough to offset their frequent transactions and higher expenses to insure positive alphas.

Investment Criteria for Mutual Fund Selection

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Publisher : diplom.de
ISBN 13 : 3960675763
Total Pages : 87 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (66 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Criteria for Mutual Fund Selection by : Jan Harkopf

Download or read book Investment Criteria for Mutual Fund Selection written by Jan Harkopf and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2016-10-07 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The importance of mutual funds for individual investors has increased in recent decades. This becomes apparent when looking at the increased share of households owning mutual funds. These mutual fund investors usually want to receive a return which is above or at least close to the mutual fund’s benchmark. Consequently, investors want to invest in those funds which will show these patterns in the future. Some of these mutual funds receive much attention, since they generate extraordinary high performance. But the question that remains is whether it is possible to predict such performance before funds exhibit such outstanding performance. In the past, mutual fund investors focused extensively on performance or performance linked patterns, like the Morningstar star rating, and thus chased past performance. This seems surprising since performance persists only over a short time and is more persistent to weak mutual funds (1 and 2 star rated) than well performing mutual funds. Thus, chasing past performances seems to be a rather inferior strategy. Therefore, investors should try to identify alternative tools showing a high correlation to future mutual fund performance. In this book, mutual funds are analysed, especially open-end mutual funds and actively managed mutual funds. The main focus is on what purpose and usefulness active investments have and whether performance is persistent and what the determinants of mutual fund flows are. Moreover, some alternative measures will be introduced by explaining which attributes or methods should be used and avoided when selecting mutual funds.

Market Volatility and Perverse Timing Performance of Mutual Fund Managers

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Perverse Timing Performance of Mutual Fund Managers by : David A. Volkman

Download or read book Market Volatility and Perverse Timing Performance of Mutual Fund Managers written by David A. Volkman and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Initiated by recent volatility in the equity markets, I investigate performance evaluation methods and the mutual fund managers' ability to select undervalued investments and time major market movements during the high-market-volatility period of the 1980s. Specifically, I examine mutual fund managers' stock selection and market timing abilities by employing a five-factor risk-adjusted model based on Carhart's four-factor loading model and Bhattacharya and Pfleiderer's quadratic timing model adjusted for perverse timing behavior. Individually, some managers persistently affect fund performance through the selection of undervalued investments, however, at the expense of timing performance. In addition, funds that demonstrate an ability to time major market movements showed persistence in timing performance before and after the October market crash of 1987.

Layman's Guide to Stock Market & Investment

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Publisher : Vij Books India Pvt Ltd
ISBN 13 : 9382573267
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (825 download)

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Book Synopsis Layman's Guide to Stock Market & Investment by : Swati Dubey

Download or read book Layman's Guide to Stock Market & Investment written by Swati Dubey and published by Vij Books India Pvt Ltd. This book was released on 2012-10-10 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Content Introduction to Stock Market The Benefits of Long Term Trading Vs Short Term Trading Economics of Trading in Stock Substitutes Management of the World Trading Systems Reverse Mortgage Guide to Mutual Funds Stock Picking Strategies Mutual Funds Transperancy in India

Outsmarting Wall Street

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Publisher : Irwin Professional Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781557385833
Total Pages : 270 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (858 download)

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Book Synopsis Outsmarting Wall Street by : Daniel Alan Seiver

Download or read book Outsmarting Wall Street written by Daniel Alan Seiver and published by Irwin Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1994 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills

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ISBN 13 : 9781021216878
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (168 download)

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Book Synopsis On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills by : Roy Henriksson

Download or read book On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills written by Roy Henriksson and published by . This book was released on 2023-07-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

All About Market Timing

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071436081
Total Pages : 274 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (714 download)

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Book Synopsis All About Market Timing by : Leslie N. Masonson

Download or read book All About Market Timing written by Leslie N. Masonson and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2003-10-22 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shell-shocked investors have lost patience with the traditional buy-and-hold approach to investing. All About Market Timing arms investors with simple, easy-to-use timing techniques that they can use to enter rising markets, exit (or go short) falling markets, and make consistent profits in both market environments while protecting against catastrophic losses. Compelling arguments demonstrate the superiority of basic timing over buy-and-hold, while step-by-step instructions show how uncomplicated timing can be. Specific investment vehicles are recommended that fit well into most timing strategies. Investors who want to time the market using their own strategies are provided with information on available software and Web sites. And those investors who are looking for advisors to help them are provided with unbiased rating services to help them select the advisor that is best for them.

Can Mutual Fund Managers Predict Security Prices to Beat the Market? The Case of Greece During the Debt Crisis

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 20 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Can Mutual Fund Managers Predict Security Prices to Beat the Market? The Case of Greece During the Debt Crisis by : Drosos Koutsokostas

Download or read book Can Mutual Fund Managers Predict Security Prices to Beat the Market? The Case of Greece During the Debt Crisis written by Drosos Koutsokostas and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of Greek equity mutual funds, elaborating on stock selection in parallel with market timing measures, in comparison with the performance of ETFs and index funds for the period 01/24/2008-05/12/2017, and the short-term performance persistence of actively managed funds for the period 05/12/2015-05/12/2017. Using all domestic equity mutual funds at our disposal and daily data, the authors apply multi-factor models to estimate risk-adjusted returns and to evaluate the selectivity and market timing ability of fund managers. In order to investigate short-term performance persistence, the coexistence of stock selection and market timing strategy is allowed and a battery of parametric and nonparametric tests is implemented. Results show that actively managed mutual funds underperformed the market index, as well as passively managed ETFs and index funds, primarily due to the managers' inability to time the market. Furthermore, a winner-picking strategy to outperform a-buy-the-market-and hold policy is questioned.

Derivatives

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119595592
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Derivatives by : Keith Cuthbertson

Download or read book Derivatives written by Keith Cuthbertson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-12-16 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Three experts provide an authoritative guide to the theory and practice of derivatives Derivatives: Theory and Practice and its companion website explore the practical uses of derivatives and offer a guide to the key results on pricing, hedging and speculation using derivative securities. The book links the theoretical and practical aspects of derivatives in one volume whilst keeping mathematics and statistics to a minimum. Throughout the book, the authors put the focus on explanations and applications. Designed as an engaging resource, the book contains commentaries that make serious points in a lighthearted manner. The authors examine the real world of derivatives finance and include discussions on a wide range of topics such as the use of derivatives by hedge funds and the application of strip and stack hedges by corporates, while providing an analysis of how risky the stock market can be for long-term investors, and more. To enhance learning, each chapter contains learning objectives, worked examples, details of relevant finance blogs technical appendices and exercises.

All About Market Timing, Second Edition

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071753788
Total Pages : 289 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis All About Market Timing, Second Edition by : Leslie N. Masonson

Download or read book All About Market Timing, Second Edition written by Leslie N. Masonson and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2011-04-15 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Use market timing to generate positive returns—with lower volatility! Events of the past decade have proven beyond doubt that buy-and-hold strategies don’t work in bear markets. Market timing, however, is extraordinarily effective in declining markets—and it provides positive returns in bull markets, as well. All About Market Timing, Second Edition, offers easy-to-use market-timing strategies you can weave into your investment approach. And it’s not as complex as you may think. In no time, you’ll master the skills you need to maximize profits while minimizing risk—no matter what direction the market takes. Devoid of the incomprehensible jargon and complex theories of other books, All About Market Timing covers: The five most profitable strategies for timing the market The best market-timing resources available today, from newsletters to Web sites to advisors Four indicators for determining the market’s health Techniques for timing even the most bearish of markets

Mutual Funds in Greece

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Mutual Funds in Greece by : Drosos Koutsokostas

Download or read book Mutual Funds in Greece written by Drosos Koutsokostas and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of Greek equity mutual funds for the period 2012-2016, analyzing further selectivity and market timing ability, and short-term performance persistence for the period 2015-2016. Design/methodology/approach: Utilizing a survivorship bias controlled sample of 25 funds and daily data, the authors employ both single-index [Jensen (1968)] and multi-factor [Carhart (1997)] models to evaluate risk-adjusted returns using the General Index of Athens Stock Exchange as a benchmark. The Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981) models are used to assess the stock selection and market timing abilities of fund managers. In order to investigate short-term performance persistence, the authors implement a variety of parametric [Bollen & Busse (2005)] and non-parametric tests [Malkiel (1995), Brown & Goetzmann (1995), Kahn & Rudd (1995)].Finding: Results show that the funds under-performed the General Index, mainly due to the managers' market timing inability. Furthermore, weak evidence for short-term performance persistence has been documented.Research limitations/implications: Checking for performance persistence, it was impossible to rank funds and form deciles according to their estimated abnormal returns, as in Bollen & Busse (2005), due to the small number of mutual funds operating in Greece. Originality/value: Empirical studies regarding the performance of Greek equity mutual funds are still limited. Therefore, this paper intends to fill this gap by providing further evidence of performance evaluation.

Quantitative Momentum

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111923719X
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Momentum by : Wesley R. Gray

Download or read book Quantitative Momentum written by Wesley R. Gray and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-10-03 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The individual investor's comprehensive guide to momentum investing Quantitative Momentum brings momentum investing out of Wall Street and into the hands of individual investors. In his last book, Quantitative Value, author Wes Gray brought systematic value strategy from the hedge funds to the masses; in this book, he does the same for momentum investing, the system that has been shown to beat the market and regularly enriches the coffers of Wall Street's most sophisticated investors. First, you'll learn what momentum investing is not: it's not 'growth' investing, nor is it an esoteric academic concept. You may have seen it used for asset allocation, but this book details the ways in which momentum stands on its own as a stock selection strategy, and gives you the expert insight you need to make it work for you. You'll dig into its behavioral psychology roots, and discover the key tactics that are bringing both institutional and individual investors flocking into the momentum fold. Systematic investment strategies always seem to look good on paper, but many fall down in practice. Momentum investing is one of the few systematic strategies with legs, withstanding the test of time and the rigor of academic investigation. This book provides invaluable guidance on constructing your own momentum strategy from the ground up. Learn what momentum is and is not Discover how momentum can beat the market Take momentum beyond asset allocation into stock selection Access the tools that ease DIY implementation The large Wall Street hedge funds tend to portray themselves as the sophisticated elite, but momentum investing allows you to 'borrow' one of their top strategies to enrich your own portfolio. Quantitative Momentum is the individual investor's guide to boosting market success with a robust momentum strategy.

A Power Comparison of Mutual Fund Timing and Selectivity Models Under Varying Portfolio and Market Conditions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (298 download)

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Book Synopsis A Power Comparison of Mutual Fund Timing and Selectivity Models Under Varying Portfolio and Market Conditions by : Aydeen Azimi-Zonooz

Download or read book A Power Comparison of Mutual Fund Timing and Selectivity Models Under Varying Portfolio and Market Conditions written by Aydeen Azimi-Zonooz and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of this study is to test the accuracy of various mutual fund timing and selectivity models under a range of portfolio managerial skills and varying market conditions. Portfolio returns in a variety of skill environments are generated using a simulation procedure. The generated portfolio returns are based on the historical patterns and time series behavior of a market portfolio proxy and on a sample of mutual funds. The proposed timing and selectivity portfolio returns mimic the activities of actual mutual fund managers who possess varying degrees of skill. Using the constructed portfolio returns, various performance models are compared in terms of their power to detect timing and selectivity abilities, by means of an iterative simulation procedure. The frequency of errors in rejecting the null hypotheses of no market timing and no selectivity abilities shape the analyses between the models for power comparison. The results indicate that time varying beta models of Lockwood- Kadiyala and Bhattacharya-Pfleiderer rank highest in tests of both market timing and selectivity. The Jensen performance model achieves the best results in selectivity environments in which managers do not possess timing skill. The Henriksson-Merton model performs most highly in tests of market timing in which managers lack timing skill. The study also investigates the effects of heteroskedasticity on the performance models. The results of analysis before and after model correction for nonconstant error term variance (heteroskedasticity) for specific performance methodologies do not follow a consistent pattern.

Informed Trading, Liquidity Provision and Stock Selection by Mutual Funds

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Informed Trading, Liquidity Provision and Stock Selection by Mutual Funds by : Zhi Da

Download or read book Informed Trading, Liquidity Provision and Stock Selection by Mutual Funds written by Zhi Da and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that a mutual fund's "stock selection skill" computed using the Daniel, Grinblatt, Titman and Wermers (1997) procedure can be decomposed into additional components that include impatient "informed trading" and "liquidity provision," thereby helping us understand how a fund creates value. We validate our method by verifying that liquidity provision is the dominant component of selection skill for Dimensional Fund Advisors U.S. Micro Cap fund, as observed by Keim (1999). Index funds lose on liquidity absorbing trades, since they pay the price impact on trades triggered by index rebalancing, inflows and redemptions. Consistent with the view that a mutual fund manager with superior stock selection ability is more likely to benefit from trading in stocks affected by information events, we find that funds trading such stocks exhibit superior performance that is more likely to persist. Further, such superior performance comes mostly from impatient informed trading. We also find that informed trading is more important for growth-oriented funds while liquidity provision is more important for younger funds with income orientation.