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Author : Jack Davis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 16 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (232 download)
Download or read book Sherman Kent and the Profession of Intelligence Analysis written by Jack Davis and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Sherman Kent
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400879159
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)
Download or read book Strategic Intelligence for American World Policy written by Sherman Kent and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2015-12-08 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intelligence work is in some ways like a newspaper or newsmagazine, in some like a business, in some like the research activity of a university; very little of it involves cloaks and daggers. All of it is important to national survival, and should be understood by the citizens of a democracy. In this remarkable book, an able scholar, experienced in foreign intelligence, analyzes all of these varied aspects of what is known as "high-level foreign positive intelligence." Illustrations are drawn from that branch, but the lessons apply to all intelligence, and in fact to all those phases of business, of journalism, and (most importantly) of scholarship, where the problem is to learn what has happened or will happen. Originally published in 1966. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.
Author : Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781521229118
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (291 download)
Download or read book CIA Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis Papers - Practice of Analytic Tradecraft in the Directorate of Intelligence, Transnational Threats, Profession of Intelligence Analysis written by Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and published by . This book was released on 2017-05-05 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This publication of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) is intended to help the Kent Center fulfill its mission of promoting the practice of analytic tradecraft in the Directorate of Intelligence, and of furthering a greater understanding of intelligence analysis in the wider communities in which it is practiced, studied, or taught. These unclassified Occasional Papers are disseminated externally, as appropriate, in addition to being used in courses at the Sherman Kent School, CIA University, and elsewhere in the Intelligence Community.The Kent Center is confident that intelligence analysts now and in the future will benefit from the lessons and insights that contributors to Occasional Papers provide. It is hoped that they will prove to be a valuable addition to the practical literature on intelligence analysis.Contents: Volume 1, Number 1: Improving CIA Analytic Performance: Strategic Warning * Volume 1, Number 2: Improving CIA Analytic Performance: Analysts and the Policymaking Process * Volume 1, Number 3: Improving CIA Analytic Performance: DI Analytic Priorities * Volume 1, Number 4: When Everything Is Intelligence - Nothing Is Intelligence * Volume 1, Number 5: Sherman Kent and the Profession of Intelligence Analysis * Volume 2, Number 1: Strategic Warning: If Surprise is Inevitable, What Role for Analysis? * Volume 2, Number 2: Tensions in Analyst-Policymaker Relations: Opinions, Facts, and Evidence * Volume 2, Number 3: Sherman Kent's Final Thoughts on Analyst-Policymaker Relations * Volume 3, Number 1: Making Sense of Transnational Threats * Volume 3, Number 2: Rethinking "Alternative Analysis" to Address Transnational Threats.Sample: Analytic Tradecraft for Managing Substantive Uncertainty - The failure to provide strategic warning during the months prior to Iraq's 1990 invasion of Kuwait generated recommendations for revamping warning analysis by DDI Doug MacEachin (1993-1995) that spurred changes in the DI's analytic approach to substantive uncertainty generally. The DDI observed that the bottom-line judgment that Iraq was unlikely to initiate warfare in the near term, issued repeatedly in the year before the assault on Kuwait, was based on the assumption that Iraq needed several years to recover from the military and economic devastation of its long war with Iran. That assumption was so widely held by analysts that it was rarely examined critically. Nor was the heavy dependence of the no-war conclusion on the recovery-first assumption explicitly recognized.
Author : Donald P. Steury, Editor
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 1257781898
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (577 download)
Download or read book Sherman Kent and the Board of National Estimates written by Donald P. Steury, Editor and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2011-05-31 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These collected essays by Sherman Kent were edited by Donald P. Steury and published in 1994 by the History Staff of the Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency, Washington D.C. Kent was chairman of the Board of National Estimates from 1952 - 1967 and these declassified essays represent the essence of his thinking on estimate preparation as well as important historical background on the methodology used before and during his tenure. The foreword is by J. Kenneth McDonald, then (1994) chief of the CIA History Staff and the text includes some security-related redactions. This book, long out of print, is a foundational text in the study of intelligence analysis. For the general non-fiction reading public, Kent's illustrative anecdotes about De Gaulle, Bedell Smith, Dean Acheson, etc., offer color and interest, as does his "lessons learned" essay on analysis failure in predicting Soviet missile deliveries to Cuba.
Author : Roger Z. George
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
ISBN 13 : 1589012399
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)
Download or read book Analyzing Intelligence written by Roger Z. George and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2008-04-09 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing on the individual and collective experience of recognized intelligence experts and scholars in the field, Analyzing Intelligence provides the first comprehensive assessment of the state of intelligence analysis since 9/11. Its in-depth and balanced evaluation of more than fifty years of U.S. analysis includes a critique of why it has under-performed at times. It provides insights regarding the enduring obstacles as well as new challenges of analysis in the post-9/11 world, and suggests innovative ideas for improved analytical methods, training, and structured approaches. The book's six sections present a coherent plan for improving analysis. Early chapters examine how intelligence analysis has evolved since its origins in the mid-20th century, focusing on traditions, culture, successes, and failures. The middle sections examine how analysis supports the most senior national security and military policymakers and strategists, and how analysts must deal with the perennial challenges of collection, politicization, analytical bias, knowledge building and denial and deception. The final sections of the book propose new ways to address enduring issues in warning analysis, methodology (or "analytical tradecraft") and emerging analytic issues like homeland defense. The book suggests new forms of analytic collaboration in a global intelligence environment, and imperatives for the development of a new profession of intelligence analysis. Analyzing Intelligence is written for the national security expert who needs to understand the role of intelligence and its strengths and weaknesses. Practicing and future analysts will also find that its attention to the enduring challenges provides useful lessons-learned to guide their own efforts. The innovations section will provoke senior intelligence managers to consider major changes in the way analysis is currently organized and conducted, and the way that analysts are trained and perform.
Author : Sherman Kent
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (327 download)
Download or read book Sherman Kent and the Board of National Estimates written by Sherman Kent and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selection of Kent's recently declassified writings on the occasion of the Conference on Estimating Soviet Military Power, 1950-1984, which Harvard University's Charles Warren Center for Studies in American History and the CIA's Center for the Study of Intelligence are co-sponsoring in Cambridge in December, 1994.
Author : Roger Z. George
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
ISBN 13 : 1626160252
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (261 download)
Download or read book Analyzing Intelligence, Second Edition written by Roger Z. George and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2014-02-26 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analyzing Intelligence, now in a revised and extensively updated second edition, assesses the state of the profession of intelligence analysis from the practitioners point of view. The contributors—most of whom have held senior positions in the US intelligence community—review the evolution of the field, the rise of new challenges, pitfalls in analysis, and the lessons from new training and techniques designed to deal with 21st century national security problems. This second edition updates this indispensable book with new chapters that highlight advances in applying more analytic rigor to analysis, along with expertise-building, training, and professional development. New chapters by practitioners broaden the original volume’s discussion of the analyst-policymaker relationship by addressing analytic support to the military customer as well as by demonstrating how structured analysis can benefit military commanders on the battlefield. Analyzing Intelligence is written for national security practitioners such as producers and users of intelligence, as well as for scholars and students seeking to understand the nature and role of intelligence analysis, its strengths and weaknesses, and steps that can improve it and lead it to a more recognizable profession. The most comprehensive and up-to-date volume on professional intelligence analysis as practiced in the US Government, Analyzing Intelligence is essential reading for practitioners and users of intelligence analysis, as well as for students and scholars in security studies and related fields.
Author : Richards J Heuer
Publisher : Pickle Partners Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1839743050
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (397 download)
Download or read book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J Heuer and published by Pickle Partners Publishing. This book was released on 2020-03-05 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this seminal work, published by the C.I.A. itself, produced by Intelligence veteran Richards Heuer discusses three pivotal points. First, human minds are ill-equipped ("poorly wired") to cope effectively with both inherent and induced uncertainty. Second, increased knowledge of our inherent biases tends to be of little assistance to the analyst. And lastly, tools and techniques that apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex problems.
Author : Sherman Kent
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 164 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book Writing History written by Sherman Kent and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 164 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Stephen Marrin
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1136680470
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (366 download)
Download or read book Improving Intelligence Analysis written by Stephen Marrin and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book on intelligence analysis written by intelligence expert Dr. Stephen Marrin argues that scholarship can play a valuable role in improving intelligence analysis. Improving intelligence analysis requires bridging the gap between scholarship and practice. Compared to the more established academic disciplines of political science and international relations, intelligence studies scholarship is generally quite relevant to practice. Yet a substantial gap exists nonetheless. Even though there are many intelligence analysts, very few of them are aware of the various writings on intelligence analysis which could help them improve their own processes and products. If the gap between scholarship and practice were to be bridged, practitioners would be able to access and exploit the literature in order to acquire new ways to think about, frame, conceptualize, and improve the analytic process and the resulting product. This volume contributes to the broader discussion regarding mechanisms and methods for improving intelligence analysis processes and products. It synthesizes these articles into a coherent whole, linking them together through common themes, and emphasizes the broader vision of intelligence analysis in the introduction and conclusion chapters. The book will be of great interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, US national security, US foreign policy, security studies and political science in general,as well as professional intelligence analysts and managers.
Author : Roger Z George
Publisher : Georgetown University Press
ISBN 13 : 1647124700
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (471 download)
Download or read book The CIA Intelligence Analyst written by Roger Z George and published by Georgetown University Press. This book was released on 2024-09-02 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique insiders' account of what CIA intelligence analysts do and why it matters The common perception of a CIA officer is someone who collects secret intelligence abroad--a spy. However, the critical link between secrets and policy is the intelligence analyst. The CIA Intelligence Analyst brings to light the vital, but often-unseen, work of these officers. Roger Z. George, Robert Levine, and the contributors to this book demystify the profession of intelligence analyst at the CIA and describe how the wide array of analytic specialties--or "disciplines" in the language of the CIA--function. The disciplines range from political, economic, leadership, and military matters to science and technology, cyber, counterterrorism, and counterintelligence. Each of the chapters--written by former or current CIA analysts--discusses how analysts interact with those who collect raw intelligence. Just as important, the chapters describe the relationships analysts develop with the diverse set of policymakers who use CIA analyses. The contributors reveal the key intelligence questions that analysts address, their methods, their products, and their challenges. This book will be an invaluable resource for scholars of national security and intelligence who want to develop a fuller picture of the internal workings of the CIA and for those who are considering a career as an analyst.
Author : Richards J. Heuer Jr.
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 148331202X
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)
Download or read book Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer Jr. and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2014-05-28 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.
Author : Richards J. Heuer
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 0160590353
Total Pages : 213 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (65 download)
Download or read book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 1999 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309163420
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-04-08 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The intelligence community (IC) plays an essential role in the national security of the United States. Decision makers rely on IC analyses and predictions to reduce uncertainty and to provide warnings about everything from international diplomatic relations to overseas conflicts. In today's complex and rapidly changing world, it is more important than ever that analytic products be accurate and timely. Recognizing that need, the IC has been actively seeking ways to improve its performance and expand its capabilities. In 2008, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) asked the National Research Council (NRC) to establish a committee to synthesize and assess evidence from the behavioral and social sciences relevant to analytic methods and their potential application for the U.S. intelligence community. In Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences, the NRC offers the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) recommendations to address many of the IC's challenges. Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow asserts that one of the most important things that the IC can learn from the behavioral and social sciences is how to characterize and evaluate its analytic assumptions, methods, technologies, and management practices. Behavioral and social scientific knowledge can help the IC to understand and improve all phases of the analytic cycle: how to recruit, select, train, and motivate analysts; how to master and deploy the most suitable analytic methods; how to organize the day-to-day work of analysts, as individuals and teams; and how to communicate with its customers. The report makes five broad recommendations which offer practical ways to apply the behavioral and social sciences, which will bring the IC substantial immediate and longer-term benefits with modest costs and minimal disruption.
Author : Jack Davis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 11 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (232 download)
Download or read book Sherman Kent's Final Thoughts on Analyst-policymaker Relations written by Jack Davis and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 11 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Richards J. Heuer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Joint Military Intelligence College
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 1105810461
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (58 download)
Download or read book Learning With Professionals: Selected Works from the Joint Military Intelligence College written by Joint Military Intelligence College and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2010-04-19 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learning With Professionals: Selected Works from the Joint Military Intelligence College is a collection of writings by present or former faculty and students at the Joint Military Intelligence College. The purpose of the book is to provide an academic resource for students, teachers, and practitioners of intelligence. The growth of the field as an academic discipline has been accompanied by a growth in its body of literature, and some of the most significant writings have come from a center of excellence in the field, the Joint Military Intelligence College. Those presented here represent a cross section of subdisciplines, some with a very timely element, some timeless.This product has been reviewed by senior experts from academia and government, and has been approved for unrestricted distribution by the Directorate for Freedom of Information and Security Review, Washington Headquarters Services, Department of Defense.
