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Seasonality And Stock Returns
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Book Synopsis A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns by : Robert A. Ariel
Download or read book A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns written by Robert A. Ariel and published by Palala Press. This book was released on 2018-03-03 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.
Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens
Download or read book The Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1995 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Seasonality written by Jake Bernstein and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-03-30 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: a groundbreaking look at trading the markets with one of the most important forecasting tools available . . . "If you've ever wondered about the validity of seasonals or how to trade them, buy this book now!" --Glen Larson, Genesis Data Services "Jake does it again. This time his extensive research really leaps out as he makes seasonal trading easy to understand and a very useful tool for any commodity trader." --Jeffrey H. Fox, Fox Investments. Is there a "holy grail" of price prediction? Traders have long been in pursuit of one, and while a handful of strategies, techniques, and methodologies have proven noteworthy, the search continues for the ultimate forecasting instrument --if one does indeed exist. The theory and methods of seasonality may well prove to be a step in the right direction to this goal. In this unique new book, a leading seasonal trading analyst examines seasonality in-depth, elucidating the concise principles, numerous advantages, and enormous potential that make it one of the most important --and effective --methods currently available for targeting futures price trends. Over the years, considerable attention has been paid to the effects of interest rates, money supply, earnings, inflation, and other key factors on stock and commodity prices. Yet, the immense impact of seasonal price tendencies has been either grossly underestimated or completely ignored. Often overlooked, but equally significant, seasonality is based on the assumption that seasonal influences cause biases in the movement of market prices. Among its many advantages, seasonality allows the trader to formulate objective decisions founded on a logical, verifiable, and operational methodology, creating a backdrop of probable market trends in most time frames and in most markets, and providing historically valid input for use as an adjunct to other analytical methods and timing indicators. The essence of seasonality is found in its lengthy history and statistically testable methodologies. However, seasonal correlations are not 100 percent foolproof. Using seasonal data to time the market involves an unavoidable degree of subjectivity --unless you have a firm grasp of seasonal timing concepts and techniques. Now, in the first resource devoted exclusively to the subject, Jake Bernstein gives you the foundation necessary to implement this powerful tool effectively and with confidence. Balancing theory and practice, Bernstein provides a thorough, real-world understanding of seasonal timing concepts and techniques. Along with results of his own extensive research, he integrates the work of numerous market analysts, such as W. D. Gann, Art Merrill, Burton Pugh, Samuel Benner, and Yale Hirsch, among others, to create a pragmatic and highly functional analytical framework. With his accessible, comprehensive coverage of significant concepts such as seasonal spread relationships, key dates, and cash tendencies, you'll be able to discern seasonal patterns in monthly and daily cash and futures data. Once the basics are firmly in place, Bernstein leads you step by step through the essential process of formulating a seasonal trading program that incorporates important timing strategies and risk management tools. An ideal overview for any trader, investor, or analyst, this lucidly written and clearly organized resource emphasizes the validity and significance of seasonality. Jake Bernstein has compiled a comprehensive guide to the effective use of seasonal concepts and methods in the futures markets. This is a major work that belongs on the shelves of all serious traders.
Book Synopsis Great Investment Ideas by : William T Ziemba
Download or read book Great Investment Ideas written by William T Ziemba and published by World Scientific Publishing Company. This book was released on 2016-09-08 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Great Investment Ideas is a collection of articles published in the Journal of Portfolio Management from 1993 to 2015. The book contains useful ideas for investment management and trading and discusses the methods, results and evaluation of great investors. It also covers important topics such as the effect of errors in means, variances and co-variances in portfolio selection problems, stock market crashes and stock market anomalies, portfolio theory and practice, evaluation theory, etc. This book is a must-have publication for investors and financial experts, researchers and graduate students in finance.
Book Synopsis Stock Market Anomalies by : Elroy Dimson
Download or read book Stock Market Anomalies written by Elroy Dimson and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1988-03-17 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stock Trader's Almanac 2022 by : Jeffrey A. Hirsch
Download or read book Stock Trader's Almanac 2022 written by Jeffrey A. Hirsch and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-10-26 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Most Trusted Almanac Used by Savvy Investors to Profit Year after Year! Created by Yale Hirsch in 1967, the Stock Trader's Almanac has delivered money-making insights and strategies to investors for more than six decades. The Almanac originated such important market phenomena as the "January Barometer" and the "Santa Claus Rally" and was instrumental in popularizing other tradable strategies, such as "The Best Six Months Strategy" (commonly known as "Sell in May and Go Away") and the four-year Presidential Election Cycle. Mr. Hirsch imparted his knowledge of the stock market to his son, Jeffrey Hirsch. who joined the organization as a market analyst and historian under the mentorship of his father in 1990 and became editor-in-chief some years later. Even since, Jeff has carried on his father's tradition of constantly improving the Stock Trader's Almanac and has been tireless in his efforts to explain how investors can use the Stock Trader's Almanac to beat the market. Jeff regularly appears on major news networks such as CNBC, CNN and Bloomberg; he is quoted extensively in major newspapers and financial publications; and he is in high demand as conference speaker. In short, he is the media's "go-to guy" on all things related to applying the lessons of history to today's stock market. The 2022 Stock Trader’s Almanac, the 55th Annual Edition, continues its rich tradition of showing you the cycles, trends, and patterns you need to know in order to trade and/or invest with reduced risk and for maximum profit. Trusted by Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and many other respected market authorities, this indispensable guide has helped generations of investors. Order your copy to make smarter, more profitable investment decisions in 2022.
Book Synopsis The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles by : Jeffrey A. Hirsch
Download or read book The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles written by Jeffrey A. Hirsch and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-11 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles. Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market. The methods found here follow everything from presidential election cycles to the "Santa Claus" effect Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns The strategies explored are easy-to-implement, and based on research that has proven profitable over the course of time For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.
Book Synopsis Stock Markets, Investments And Corporate Behavior: A Conceptual Framework Of Understanding by : Michael Joseph Dempsey
Download or read book Stock Markets, Investments And Corporate Behavior: A Conceptual Framework Of Understanding written by Michael Joseph Dempsey and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-10-29 with total page 332 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock Markets, Investments and Corporate Behavior examines the nature of stock market growth and decline, the function of financial markets, and their implications for commercial companies. Traditionally, finance academics have attempted to understand financial markets and commercial companies as physicists approach their subject matter: with a set of laws in mind that govern the field. But finance is not physics. The academic's approach falsely assumes that financial markets can be understood as systems within which self-interested maximizers behave in logical ways that are coordinated by the invisible hand of the price mechanism. This book demonstrates that finance is more appropriately understood as a field in which investors and finance managers may or may not use rational calculations as the basis of their decision making.This book opens with an effective dismantling of the traditional mathematical approach used to understand and describe markets and corporate financial behavior. In its place, the mathematics of growth and decline is developed anew, while holding to the realization that the decisions of organizations rely on the choices of real people with limited information available to them. The book will appeal to all students who wish to reappraise their knowledge of finance in a thoughtful manner. Specifically, this book is designed to appeal to anyone who wishes to refine their understanding of the nature of stock markets and financial growth, optimal portfolio allocation, option pricing, asset valuation, corporate financial behavior, and what it means to be ethical in our financial institutions.
Book Synopsis The Random Character of Stock Market Prices by : Paul H. Cootner
Download or read book The Random Character of Stock Market Prices written by Paul H. Cootner and published by MIT Press (MA). This book was released on 1967 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The effect of weather on stock returns: A comparison between emerging and developed markets by : Irina Prodan
Download or read book The effect of weather on stock returns: A comparison between emerging and developed markets written by Irina Prodan and published by Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag). This book was released on 2013-06-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One renowned and frequently researched anomaly over the last two decades is the weather effect, more precisely, the impact of weather on stock market returns. The extensive literature on the weather effect fails to converge towards a unique, systematic and robust relationship between the weather, and the stock market. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to explain the contradictory results in the literature by testing whether stock prices are affected by the weather in a significantly different manner depending on the level of market development, and explaining how this difference behaves over time. In order to test for this, city-by-city, pooled and binary regressions are employed using data of 10 developed, and 10 emerging countries over the period 1996-2011 by using two different means of seasonal adjustment.
Book Synopsis Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition by : Jeremy J. Siegel
Download or read book Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition written by Jeremy J. Siegel and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2007-12-18 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stocks for the Long Run set a precedent as the most complete and irrefutable case for stock market investment ever written. Now, this bible for long-term investing continues its tradition with a fourth edition featuring updated, revised, and new material that will keep you competitive in the global market and up-to-date on the latest index instruments. Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel provides a potent mix of new evidence, research, and analysis supporting his key strategies for amassing a solid portfolio with enhanced returns and reduced risk. In a seamless narrative that incorporates the historical record of the markets with the realities of today's investing environment, the fourth edition features: A new chapter on globalization that documents how the emerging world will soon overtake the developed world and how it impacts the global economy An extended chapter on indexing that includes fundamentally weighted indexes, which have historically offered better returns and lower volatility than their capitalization-weighted counterparts Insightful analysis on what moves the market and how little we know about the sources of big market changes A sobering look at behavioral finance and the psychological factors that can lead investors to make irrational investment decisions A major highlight of this new edition of Stocks for the Long Run is the chapter on global investing. With the U.S. stock market currently holding less than half of the world's equity capitalization, it's important for investors to diversify abroad. This updated edition shows you how to create an “efficient portfolio” that best balances asset allocation in domestic and foreign markets and provides thorough coverage on sector allocation across the globe. Stocks for the Long Run is essential reading for every investor and advisor who wants to fully understand the market-including its behavior, past trends, and future influences-in order to develop a prosperous long-term portfolio that is both safe and secure.
Book Synopsis Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation by : Estela Bee Dagum
Download or read book Seasonal Adjustment Methods and Real Time Trend-Cycle Estimation written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-20 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores widely used seasonal adjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation. It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATS and STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate each method and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. The trend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based on moving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, taking recent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment of results that to date have been scattered throughout the literature. Seasonal adjustment and real time trend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity in modern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclical recessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers for better modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders, transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action. This book appeals to practitioners in government institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionals who use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis, seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also useful for graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and time series with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, as well as ARIMA modelling.
Book Synopsis Calendar Anomalies And Arbitrage by : William T Ziemba
Download or read book Calendar Anomalies And Arbitrage written by William T Ziemba and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012-07-25 with total page 607 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses calendar or seasonal anomalies in worldwide equity markets as well as arbitrage and risk arbitrage. A complete update of US anomalies such as the January turn-of-the year, turn-of-the-month, January barometer, sell in May and go away, holidays, days of the week, options expiry and other effects is given concentrating on the futures markets where these anomalies can be easily applied. Other effects that lend themselves to modified buy and hold cash strategies include the presidential election and factor models based on fundamental anomalies. The ideas have been used successfully by the author in personal and managed accounts and hedge funds.
Book Synopsis The Incredible January Effect by : Robert A. Haugen
Download or read book The Incredible January Effect written by Robert A. Haugen and published by McGraw-Hill Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1987 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Incredible January Effect digs into one of the mysteries of the stock market--that for decades, certain kinds of securities have been producing unaccountably high returns during the first month of the year. Enlightening and highly useful.
Book Synopsis Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation by : Roger G. Ibbotson
Download or read book Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation written by Roger G. Ibbotson and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Ultra-Reliable Seasonal Trades by : John Momsen
Download or read book Ultra-Reliable Seasonal Trades written by John Momsen and published by Windsor Books/Probus. This book was released on 1999 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this remarkable new book, career trader John Momsen has assembled the 41 most profitable, accurate, and dependable seasonal trades the future markets have to offer.
Book Synopsis Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets by : Wing-Keung Wong
Download or read book Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by Mdpi AG. This book was released on 2022-02-17 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Efficient Market Hypothesis believes that it is impossible for an investor to outperform the market because all available information is already built into stock prices. However, some anomalies could persist in stock markets while some other anomalies could appear, disappear and re-appear again without any warning. A Special Issue on "Efficiency and Anomalies in Stock Markets" will be devoted to advancements in the theoretical development of market efficiency and anomaly in the Stock Market, as well as applications in Stock Market efficiency and anomalies.
