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Robust Bayes In Hierarchical Modeling And Empirical Bayes Analysis In Multivariate Estimation
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Book Synopsis Robust Bayes in Hierarchical Modeling and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Multivariate Estimation by : Xiaomu Wang
Download or read book Robust Bayes in Hierarchical Modeling and Empirical Bayes Analysis in Multivariate Estimation written by Xiaomu Wang and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the modern development of statistical data analysis, the data volume increases and the data dimension increases correspondingly. This thesis investigates two classic Bayes problems: robust Bayes analysis in hierarchical modeling and empirical Bayes analysis in multivariate estimation. Our goals are to provide approaches in high-dimensional settings. In Bayesian analysis, it is difficult to develop a single prior to completely and fully quantify our prior information. Thereby, o-contamination classes have become popular models of the uncertainty in prior distributions. For the first part of the thesis, I focus on investigating the posterior ranges for different o-contamination classes for hyper-parameters in the context of hierarchical Bayesian modeling. We derive posterior ranges under various interesting settings and examples. When a class of priors is assumed in Bayesian analysis, it is vital to consider a decision rule corresponding to this class. In a multivariate estimation setting, for the second part of this thesis, I focus on research to find a compromise between single James-Stein (JS) estimator and separated JS estimators. Then we investigate the risk of such estimators with different numerical simulations and compare the results with JS rules.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Hierarchical Models by : Peter D. Congdon
Download or read book Bayesian Hierarchical Models written by Peter D. Congdon and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-09-16 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An intermediate-level treatment of Bayesian hierarchical models and their applications, this book demonstrates the advantages of a Bayesian approach to data sets involving inferences for collections of related units or variables, and in methods where parameters can be treated as random collections. Through illustrative data analysis and attention to statistical computing, this book facilitates practical implementation of Bayesian hierarchical methods. The new edition is a revision of the book Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods. It maintains a focus on applied modelling and data analysis, but now using entirely R-based Bayesian computing options. It has been updated with a new chapter on regression for causal effects, and one on computing options and strategies. This latter chapter is particularly important, due to recent advances in Bayesian computing and estimation, including the development of rjags and rstan. It also features updates throughout with new examples. The examples exploit and illustrate the broader advantages of the R computing environment, while allowing readers to explore alternative likelihood assumptions, regression structures, and assumptions on prior densities. Features: Provides a comprehensive and accessible overview of applied Bayesian hierarchical modelling Includes many real data examples to illustrate different modelling topics R code (based on rjags, jagsUI, R2OpenBUGS, and rstan) is integrated into the book, emphasizing implementation Software options and coding principles are introduced in new chapter on computing Programs and data sets available on the book’s website
Book Synopsis Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics by : Prem K. Goel
Download or read book Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics written by Prem K. Goel and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 409 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is based on the invited and the contributed presentations given at the Indo-U.S. Workshop on Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics (BASE), Dec. 19-23, 1988, held at the Hotel Taj Residency, Bangalore, India. The workshop was jointly sponsored by The Ohio State University, The Indian Statistical Institute, The Indian Econometrics So ciety, U.S. National Science Foundation and the NSF-NBER Seminar on Bayesian Inference in Econometrics. Profs. Morrie DeGroot, Prem Goel, and Arnold Zellner were the program organizers. Unfortunately, Morrie became seriously ill just before the workshop was to start and could not participate in the workshop. Almost a year later, Morrie passed away after fighting valiantly with the illness. Not to find Morrie among ourselves was a shock for most of us. He was a continuous source of inspiration and ideas. Even while Morrie was fighting for his life, we had a lot of discussions about the contents of this volume and the Bangalore Workshop. He even talked about organizing a Second Indo-U.S. workshop some time in the near future. We are dedicating this volume to the memory of Prof. Morris H. DeGroot. We have taken a conscious decision not to include any biography of Morrie in this volume. An excellent biography of Morrie has appeared in Statistical Science [(1991), vol. 6, 1-14], and we could not have done a better job than that.
Book Synopsis Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods by : Peter D. Congdon
Download or read book Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods written by Peter D. Congdon and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-05-19 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The use of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for estimating hierarchical models involves complex data structures and is often described as a revolutionary development. An intermediate-level treatment of Bayesian hierarchical models and their applications, Applied Bayesian Hierarchical Methods demonstrates the advantages of a Bayesian approach
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis by : Jayanta K. Ghosh
Download or read book An Introduction to Bayesian Analysis written by Jayanta K. Ghosh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-07-03 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a graduate-level textbook on Bayesian analysis blending modern Bayesian theory, methods, and applications. Starting from basic statistics, undergraduate calculus and linear algebra, ideas of both subjective and objective Bayesian analysis are developed to a level where real-life data can be analyzed using the current techniques of statistical computing. Advances in both low-dimensional and high-dimensional problems are covered, as well as important topics such as empirical Bayes and hierarchical Bayes methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Many topics are at the cutting edge of statistical research. Solutions to common inference problems appear throughout the text along with discussion of what prior to choose. There is a discussion of elicitation of a subjective prior as well as the motivation, applicability, and limitations of objective priors. By way of important applications the book presents microarrays, nonparametric regression via wavelets as well as DMA mixtures of normals, and spatial analysis with illustrations using simulated and real data. Theoretical topics at the cutting edge include high-dimensional model selection and Intrinsic Bayes Factors, which the authors have successfully applied to geological mapping. The style is informal but clear. Asymptotics is used to supplement simulation or understand some aspects of the posterior.
Book Synopsis Robust Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Exchangeable Means by : James O. Berger
Download or read book Robust Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Exchangeable Means written by James O. Berger and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Robust Bayesian Analysis by : David Rios Insua
Download or read book Robust Bayesian Analysis written by David Rios Insua and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 431 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Robust Bayesian analysis aims at overcoming the traditional objection to Bayesian analysis of its dependence on subjective inputs, mainly the prior and the loss. Its purpose is the determination of the impact of the inputs to a Bayesian analysis (the prior, the loss and the model) on its output when the inputs range in certain classes. If the impact is considerable, there is sensitivity and we should attempt to further refine the information the incumbent classes available, perhaps through additional constraints on and/ or obtaining additional data; if the impact is not important, robustness holds and no further analysis and refinement would be required. Robust Bayesian analysis has been widely accepted by Bayesian statisticians; for a while it was even a main research topic in the field. However, to a great extent, their impact is yet to be seen in applied settings. This volume, therefore, presents an overview of the current state of robust Bayesian methods and their applications and identifies topics of further in terest in the area. The papers in the volume are divided into nine parts covering the main aspects of the field. The first one provides an overview of Bayesian robustness at a non-technical level. The paper in Part II con cerns foundational aspects and describes decision-theoretical axiomatisa tions leading to the robust Bayesian paradigm, motivating reasons for which robust analysis is practically unavoidable within Bayesian analysis.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition by : Bradley P. Carlin
Download or read book Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition written by Bradley P. Carlin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-06-30 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Broadening its scope to nonstatisticians, Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition provides an accessible introduction to the foundations and applications of Bayesian analysis. Along with a complete reorganization of the material, this edition concentrates more on hierarchical Bayesian modeling as implemented via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods and related data analytic techniques. New to the Third Edition New data examples, corresponding R and WinBUGS code, and homework problems Explicit descriptions and illustrations of hierarchical modeling—now commonplace in Bayesian data analysis A new chapter on Bayesian design that emphasizes Bayesian clinical trials A completely revised and expanded section on ranking and histogram estimation A new case study on infectious disease modeling and the 1918 flu epidemic A solutions manual for qualifying instructors that contains solutions, computer code, and associated output for every homework problem—available both electronically and in print Ideal for Anyone Performing Statistical Analyses Focusing on applications from biostatistics, epidemiology, and medicine, this text builds on the popularity of its predecessors by making it suitable for even more practitioners and students.
Book Synopsis Robustness of Bayesian Analyses by : Joseph B. Kadane
Download or read book Robustness of Bayesian Analyses written by Joseph B. Kadane and published by North Holland. This book was released on 1984 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Introduction to Applied Bayesian Statistics and Estimation for Social Scientists by : Scott M. Lynch
Download or read book Introduction to Applied Bayesian Statistics and Estimation for Social Scientists written by Scott M. Lynch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-30 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines Bayesian statistical analysis in great detail, from the development of a model through the process of making statistical inference. The key feature of this book is that it covers models that are most commonly used in social science research - including the linear regression model, generalized linear models, hierarchical models, and multivariate regression models - and it thoroughly develops each real-data example in painstaking detail.
Book Synopsis Basic and Advanced Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling by : Sik-Yum Lee
Download or read book Basic and Advanced Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling written by Sik-Yum Lee and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-07-05 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides clear instructions to researchers on how to apply Structural Equation Models (SEMs) for analyzing the inter relationships between observed and latent variables. Basic and Advanced Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling introduces basic and advanced SEMs for analyzing various kinds of complex data, such as ordered and unordered categorical data, multilevel data, mixture data, longitudinal data, highly non-normal data, as well as some of their combinations. In addition, Bayesian semiparametric SEMs to capture the true distribution of explanatory latent variables are introduced, whilst SEM with a nonparametric structural equation to assess unspecified functional relationships among latent variables are also explored. Statistical methodologies are developed using the Bayesian approach giving reliable results for small samples and allowing the use of prior information leading to better statistical results. Estimates of the parameters and model comparison statistics are obtained via powerful Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in statistical computing. Introduces the Bayesian approach to SEMs, including discussion on the selection of prior distributions, and data augmentation. Demonstrates how to utilize the recent powerful tools in statistical computing including, but not limited to, the Gibbs sampler, the Metropolis-Hasting algorithm, and path sampling for producing various statistical results such as Bayesian estimates and Bayesian model comparison statistics in the analysis of basic and advanced SEMs. Discusses the Bayes factor, Deviance Information Criterion (DIC), and $L_\nu$-measure for Bayesian model comparison. Introduces a number of important generalizations of SEMs, including multilevel and mixture SEMs, latent curve models and longitudinal SEMs, semiparametric SEMs and those with various types of discrete data, and nonparametric structural equations. Illustrates how to use the freely available software WinBUGS to produce the results. Provides numerous real examples for illustrating the theoretical concepts and computational procedures that are presented throughout the book. Researchers and advanced level students in statistics, biostatistics, public health, business, education, psychology and social science will benefit from this book.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence by : Arkady Shemyakin
Download or read book Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence written by Arkady Shemyakin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-02-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents an introduction to Bayesian statistics, presents an emphasis on Bayesian methods (prior and posterior), Bayes estimation, prediction, MCMC,Bayesian regression, and Bayesian analysis of statistical modelsof dependence, and features a focus on copulas for risk management Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence emphasizes the applications of Bayesian analysis to copula modeling and equips readers with the tools needed to implement the procedures of Bayesian estimation in copula models of dependence. This book is structured in two parts: the first four chapters serve as a general introduction to Bayesian statistics with a clear emphasis on parametric estimation and the following four chapters stress statistical models of dependence with a focus of copulas. A review of the main concepts is discussed along with the basics of Bayesian statistics including prior information and experimental data, prior and posterior distributions, with an emphasis on Bayesian parametric estimation. The basic mathematical background of both Markov chains and Monte Carlo integration and simulation is also provided. The authors discuss statistical models of dependence with a focus on copulas and present a brief survey of pre-copula dependence models. The main definitions and notations of copula models are summarized followed by discussions of real-world cases that address particular risk management problems. In addition, this book includes: • Practical examples of copulas in use including within the Basel Accord II documents that regulate the world banking system as well as examples of Bayesian methods within current FDA recommendations • Step-by-step procedures of multivariate data analysis and copula modeling, allowing readers to gain insight for their own applied research and studies • Separate reference lists within each chapter and end-of-the-chapter exercises within Chapters 2 through 8 • A companion website containing appendices: data files and demo files in Microsoft® Office Excel®, basic code in R, and selected exercise solutions Introduction to Bayesian Estimation and Copula Models of Dependence is a reference and resource for statisticians who need to learn formal Bayesian analysis as well as professionals within analytical and risk management departments of banks and insurance companies who are involved in quantitative analysis and forecasting. This book can also be used as a textbook for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses in Bayesian statistics and analysis. ARKADY SHEMYAKIN, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Mathematics and Director of the Statistics Program at the University of St. Thomas. A member of the American Statistical Association and the International Society for Bayesian Analysis, Dr. Shemyakin's research interests include informationtheory, Bayesian methods of parametric estimation, and copula models in actuarial mathematics, finance, and engineering. ALEXANDER KNIAZEV, PhD, is Associate Professor and Head of the Department of Mathematics at Astrakhan State University in Russia. Dr. Kniazev's research interests include representation theory of Lie algebras and finite groups, mathematical statistics, econometrics, and financial mathematics.
Book Synopsis Robust Shrinkage Estimation of Effect Sizes for Bayesian Meta-Analysis Models by : Junok Kim
Download or read book Robust Shrinkage Estimation of Effect Sizes for Bayesian Meta-Analysis Models written by Junok Kim and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In meta-analyses with outliers, Empirical Bayes estimates of extreme study results based on conventional random-effects models are often shrunk to an average effect size by a substantial amount. This can be particularly problematic when one is attempting to answer substantive questions concerning how large the largest effect size in a given sample of studies might be. In order to address this issue, I employ a fully Bayesian approach specifying t-distributional assumptions for random effects, using a Gibbs sampling algorithm. Through the empirical data-analysis and a targeted simulation, this study highlights that the Bayes-t models with heavy tails provide robust shrinkage estimates of outliers, thus protecting against over-shrinkage that can arise under maximum likelihood estimation, or when Bayesian models assuming normally-distributed random effects are used.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics by : Gary Koop
Download or read book Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics written by Gary Koop and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2010 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics provides a survey of the Bayesian methods used in modern empirical macroeconomics. These models have been developed to address the fact that most questions of interest to empirical macroeconomists involve several variables and must be addressed using multivariate time series methods. Many different multivariate time series models have been used in macroeconomics, but Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models have been among the most popular. Bayesian Multivariate Time Series Methods for Empirical Macroeconomics reviews and extends the Bayesian literature on VARs, TVP-VARs and TVP-FAVARs with a focus on the practitioner. The authors go beyond simply defining each model, but specify how to use them in practice, discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each and offer tips on when and why each model can be used.
Book Synopsis Large-Scale Inference by : Bradley Efron
Download or read book Large-Scale Inference written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-11-29 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in a new age for statistical inference, where modern scientific technology such as microarrays and fMRI machines routinely produce thousands and sometimes millions of parallel data sets, each with its own estimation or testing problem. Doing thousands of problems at once is more than repeated application of classical methods. Taking an empirical Bayes approach, Bradley Efron, inventor of the bootstrap, shows how information accrues across problems in a way that combines Bayesian and frequentist ideas. Estimation, testing and prediction blend in this framework, producing opportunities for new methodologies of increased power. New difficulties also arise, easily leading to flawed inferences. This book takes a careful look at both the promise and pitfalls of large-scale statistical inference, with particular attention to false discovery rates, the most successful of the new statistical techniques. Emphasis is on the inferential ideas underlying technical developments, illustrated using a large number of real examples.
Book Synopsis A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods by : Peter D. Hoff
Download or read book A First Course in Bayesian Statistical Methods written by Peter D. Hoff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-06-02 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A self-contained introduction to probability, exchangeability and Bayes’ rule provides a theoretical understanding of the applied material. Numerous examples with R-code that can be run "as-is" allow the reader to perform the data analyses themselves. The development of Monte Carlo and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in the context of data analysis examples provides motivation for these computational methods.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition by : Andrew Gelman
Download or read book Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-11-01 with total page 677 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.
