Risk Modeling Assessment And Management

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Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management

Author : Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111901798X
Total Pages : 714 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management by : Yacov Y. Haimes

Download or read book Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management written by Yacov Y. Haimes and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-08-03 with total page 714 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents systems-based theory, methodology, and applications in risk modeling, assessment, and management This book examines risk analysis, focusing on quantifying risk and constructing probabilities for real-world decision-making, including engineering, design, technology, institutions, organizations, and policy. The author presents fundamental concepts (hierarchical holographic modeling; state space; decision analysis; multi-objective trade-off analysis) as well as advanced material (extreme events and the partitioned multi-objective risk method; multi-objective decision trees; multi-objective risk impact analysis method; guiding principles in risk analysis); avoids higher mathematics whenever possible; and reinforces the material with examples and case studies. The book will be used in systems engineering, enterprise risk management, engineering management, industrial engineering, civil engineering, and operations research. The fourth edition of Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management features: Expanded chapters on systems-based guiding principles for risk modeling, planning, assessment, management, and communication; modeling interdependent and interconnected complex systems of systems with phantom system models; and hierarchical holographic modeling An expanded appendix including a Bayesian analysis for the prediction of chemical carcinogenicity, and the Farmer’s Dilemma formulated and solved using a deterministic linear model Updated case studies including a new case study on sequential Pareto-optimal decisions for emergent complex systems of systems A new companion website with over 200 solved exercises that feature risk analysis theories, methodologies, and application Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, Fourth Edition, is written for both undergraduate and graduate students in systems engineering and systems management courses. The text also serves as a resource for academic, industry, and government professionals in the fields of homeland and cyber security, healthcare, physical infrastructure systems, engineering, business, and more.

Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management

Author : Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118210921
Total Pages : 810 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management by : Yacov Y. Haimes

Download or read book Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management written by Yacov Y. Haimes and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-09-20 with total page 810 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Examines timely multidisciplinary applications, problems, and case histories in risk modeling, assessment, and management Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, Third Edition describes the state of the art of risk analysis, a rapidly growing field with important applications in engineering, science, manufacturing, business, homeland security, management, and public policy. Unlike any other text on the subject, this definitive work applies the art and science of risk analysis to current and emergent engineering and socioeconomic problems. It clearly demonstrates how to quantify risk and construct probabilities for real-world decision-making problems, including a host of institutional, organizational, and political issues. Avoiding higher mathematics whenever possible, this important new edition presents basic concepts as well as advanced material. It incorporates numerous examples and case studies to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion and features restructured and updated chapters, as well as: A new chapter applying systems-driven and risk-based analysis to a variety of Homeland Security issues An accompanying FTP site—developed with Professor Joost Santos—that offers 150 example problems with an Instructor's Solution Manual and case studies from a variety of journals Case studies on the 9/11 attack and Hurricane Katrina An adaptive multiplayer Hierarchical Holographic Modeling (HHM) game added to Chapter Three This is an indispensable resource for academic, industry, and government professionals in such diverse areas as homeland and cyber security, healthcare, the environment, physical infrastructure systems, engineering, business, and more. It is also a valuable textbook for both undergraduate and graduate students in systems engineering and systems management courses with a focus on our uncertain world.

Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management

Author : Robert Rhodes
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781722060718
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (67 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management by : Robert Rhodes

Download or read book Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management written by Robert Rhodes and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2018-06-03 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management, is written for both basic and learners in techniques technological innovation and techniques control programs. The written text also works as a source for academic, industry, and govt professionals in the areas of country and internet security software, medical care, physical features techniques, technological innovation, business, and more. The novel will be used in techniques technological innovation, business risk control, technological innovation control, commercial technological innovation, public technological innovation, and functions analysis.This guide looks into risk analysis, working on quantifying risk and building opportunities for real-world decision-making, such as technological innovation, design, technological innovation, organizations, organizations, and policy.

Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters

Author : Gero Michel
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0128040939
Total Pages : 338 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters by : Gero Michel

Download or read book Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters written by Gero Michel and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters covers all major aspects of catastrophe risk modeling, from hazards through to financial analysis. It explores relevant new science in risk modeling, indirect losses, assessment of impact and consequences to insurance losses, and current changes in risk modeling practice, along with case studies. It also provides further insight into the shortcomings of current models and examines model risk and ideas to diversify risk assessment. Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters instructs readers on how to assess, price and then hedge the losses from natural and manmade catastrophes. This book reviews current model development and science and explains recent changes in the catastrophe modeling space, including new initiatives covering uncertainty and big data in the assessment of risk for insurance pricing and portfolio management. Edited by a leading expert in both hazards and risk, this book is authored by a global panel including major modeling vendors, modeling consulting firms, and well-known catastrophe modeling scientists. Risk Modeling for Hazards and Disasters provides important insight into how models are used to price and manage risk. Includes high profile case studies such as the Newcastle earthquake, Hurricane Andrew and Hurricane Katrina Provides crucial information on new ideas and platforms that will help address the new demands for risk management and catastrophe risk reporting Presents the theory and practice needed to know how models are created and what is and what is not important in the modeling process Covers relevant new science in risk modeling, indirect losses, assessment of impact and consequences to insurance losses, and current changes in risk modeling practice, along with case studies

Risk Analysis in Engineering

Author : Mohammad Modarres
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420003496
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis in Engineering by : Mohammad Modarres

Download or read book Risk Analysis in Engineering written by Mohammad Modarres and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-27 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on the author's 20 years of teaching, Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends presents an engineering approach to probabilistic risk analysis (PRA). It emphasizes methods for comprehensive PRA studies, including techniques for risk management. The author assumes little or no prior knowledge of risk analysis on the p

Advances in Credit Risk Modeling and Management

Author : Frédéric Vrins
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039287605
Total Pages : 190 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Credit Risk Modeling and Management by : Frédéric Vrins

Download or read book Advances in Credit Risk Modeling and Management written by Frédéric Vrins and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-07-01 with total page 190 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Credit risk remains one of the major risks faced by most financial and credit institutions. It is deeply connected to the real economy due to the systemic nature of some banks, but also because well-managed lending facilities are key for wealth creation and technological innovation. This book is a collection of innovative papers in the field of credit risk management. Besides the probability of default (PD), the major driver of credit risk is the loss given default (LGD). In spite of its central importance, LGD modeling remains largely unexplored in the academic literature. This book proposes three contributions in the field. Ye & Bellotti exploit a large private dataset featuring non-performing loans to design a beta mixture model. Their model can be used to improve recovery rate forecasts and, therefore, to enhance capital requirement mechanisms. François uses instead the price of defaultable instruments to infer the determinants of market-implied recovery rates and finds that macroeconomic and long-term issuer specific factors are the main determinants of market-implied LGDs. Cheng & Cirillo address the problem of modeling the dependency between PD and LGD using an original, urn-based statistical model. Fadina & Schmidt propose an improvement of intensity-based default models by accounting for ambiguity around both the intensity process and the recovery rate. Another topic deserving more attention is trade credit, which consists of the supplier providing credit facilities to his customers. Whereas this is likely to stimulate exchanges in general, it also magnifies credit risk. This is a difficult problem that remains largely unexplored. Kanapickiene & Spicas propose a simple but yet practical model to assess trade credit risk associated with SMEs and microenterprises operating in Lithuania. Another topical area in credit risk is counterparty risk and all other adjustments (such as liquidity and capital adjustments), known as XVA. Chataignier & Crépey propose a genetic algorithm to compress CVA and to obtain affordable incremental figures. Anagnostou & Kandhai introduce a hidden Markov model to simulate exchange rate scenarios for counterparty risk. Eventually, Boursicot et al. analyzes CoCo bonds, and find that they reduce the total cost of debt, which is positive for shareholders. In a nutshell, all the featured papers contribute to shedding light on various aspects of credit risk management that have, so far, largely remained unexplored.

Understanding and Managing Model Risk

Author : Massimo Morini
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470977744
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding and Managing Model Risk by : Massimo Morini

Download or read book Understanding and Managing Model Risk written by Massimo Morini and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-10-20 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to the validation and risk management of quantitative models used for pricing and hedging Whereas the majority of quantitative finance books focus on mathematics and risk management books focus on regulatory aspects, this book addresses the elements missed by this literature--the risks of the models themselves. This book starts from regulatory issues, but translates them into practical suggestions to reduce the likelihood of model losses, basing model risk and validation on market experience and on a wide range of real-world examples, with a high level of detail and precise operative indications.

Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management

Author : Ed Pohl
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management by : Ed Pohl

Download or read book Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management written by Ed Pohl and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management

Author : Stephen Grey
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management by : Stephen Grey

Download or read book Practical Risk Assessment for Project Management written by Stephen Grey and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1995-07-11 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This practical handbook presents simple techniques for the analysis and management of risk and uncertainty. Covering everything from modelling and simulation to revenue risk assessment, this book will be appropriate for information technology professionals as well as for anyone involved in a project-based business.

Operational Risk Modeling in Financial Services

Author : Patrick Naim
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119508509
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Operational Risk Modeling in Financial Services by : Patrick Naim

Download or read book Operational Risk Modeling in Financial Services written by Patrick Naim and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-05-28 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transform your approach to oprisk modelling with a proven, non-statistical methodology Operational Risk Modeling in Financial Services provides risk professionals with a forward-looking approach to risk modelling, based on structured management judgement over obsolete statistical methods. Proven over a decade’s use in significant banks and financial services firms in Europe and the US, the Exposure, Occurrence, Impact (XOI) method of operational risk modelling played an instrumental role in reshaping their oprisk modelling approaches; in this book, the expert team that developed this methodology offers practical, in-depth guidance on XOI use and applications for a variety of major risks. The Basel Committee has dismissed statistical approaches to risk modelling, leaving regulators and practitioners searching for the next generation of oprisk quantification. The XOI method is ideally suited to fulfil this need, as a calculated, coordinated, consistent approach designed to bridge the gap between risk quantification and risk management. This book details the XOI framework and provides essential guidance for practitioners looking to change the oprisk modelling paradigm. Survey the range of current practices in operational risk analysis and modelling Track recent regulatory trends including capital modelling, stress testing and more Understand the XOI oprisk modelling method, and transition away from statistical approaches Apply XOI to major operational risks, such as disasters, fraud, conduct, legal and cyber risk The financial services industry is in dire need of a new standard — a proven, transformational approach to operational risk that eliminates or mitigates the common issues with traditional approaches. Operational Risk Modeling in Financial Services provides practical, real-world guidance toward a more reliable methodology, shifting the conversation toward the future with a new kind of oprisk modelling.

Dynamic Risk Assessment

Author : Stephen Asbury
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317937554
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis Dynamic Risk Assessment by : Stephen Asbury

Download or read book Dynamic Risk Assessment written by Stephen Asbury and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-04-16 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic Risk Assessment is the key tool to support a holistic risk management framework. This book aims to help employers, managers and staff alike to understand how they can effectively integrate dynamic risk assessment into business management processes and systems to improve safety. With tips, examples and solutions throughout, this multi-disciplinary text delivers an effective and comprehensive approach to help you to understand how dynamic risk assessment (DRA) can be integrated into predictive (PRA) and strategic risk assessments (SRA) to enhance your organization’s effectiveness. The 3-Level Risk Management Model fully supports and complements the systematic ‘five steps to risk assessment’ process A multi-disciplinary approach to dynamic risk assessment that covers workers operating in teams and those working alone within the public, private and third sectors Contains practical examples, tips and case studies drawn from a wide range of organizations The book comes with access to downloadable materials from an accompanying website at: www.routledge.com/cw/dynamic-risk-assessment

Measuring and Managing Information Risk

Author : Jack Freund
Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 0127999329
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (279 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring and Managing Information Risk by : Jack Freund

Download or read book Measuring and Managing Information Risk written by Jack Freund and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2014-08-23 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the factor analysis of information risk (FAIR) methodology developed over ten years and adopted by corporations worldwide, Measuring and Managing Information Risk provides a proven and credible framework for understanding, measuring, and analyzing information risk of any size or complexity. Intended for organizations that need to either build a risk management program from the ground up or strengthen an existing one, this book provides a unique and fresh perspective on how to do a basic quantitative risk analysis. Covering such key areas as risk theory, risk calculation, scenario modeling, and communicating risk within the organization, Measuring and Managing Information Risk helps managers make better business decisions by understanding their organizational risk. Uses factor analysis of information risk (FAIR) as a methodology for measuring and managing risk in any organization. Carefully balances theory with practical applicability and relevant stories of successful implementation. Includes examples from a wide variety of businesses and situations presented in an accessible writing style.

Knowledge in Risk Assessment and Management

Author : Terje Aven
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119317932
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Knowledge in Risk Assessment and Management by : Terje Aven

Download or read book Knowledge in Risk Assessment and Management written by Terje Aven and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-12-19 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exciting new developments in risk assessment and management Risk assessment and management is fundamentally founded on the knowledge available on the system or process under consideration. While this may be self-evident to the laymen, thought leaders within the risk community have come to recognize and emphasize the need to explicitly incorporate knowledge (K) in a systematic, rigorous, and transparent framework for describing and modeling risk. Featuring contributions by an international team of researchers and respected practitioners in the field, this book explores the latest developments in the ongoing effort to use risk assessment as a means for characterizing knowledge and/or lack of knowledge about a system or process of interest. By offering a fresh perspective on risk assessment and management, the book represents a significant contribution to the development of a sturdier foundation for the practice of risk assessment and for risk-informed decision making. How should K be described and evaluated in risk assessment? How can it be reflected and taken into account in formulating risk management strategies? With the help of numerous case studies and real-world examples, this book answers these and other critical questions at the heart of modern risk assessment, while identifying many practical challenges associated with this explicit framework. This book, written by international scholars and leaders in the field, and edited to make coverage both conceptually advanced and highly accessible: Offers a systematic, rigorous and transparent perspective and framework on risk assessment and management, explicitly strengthening the links between knowledge and risk Clearly and concisely introduces the key risk concepts at the foundation of risk assessment and management Features numerous cases and real-world examples, many of which focused on various engineering applications across an array of industries Knowledge of Risk Assessment and Management is a must-read for risk assessment and management professionals, as well as graduate students, researchers and educators in the field. It is also of interest to policy makers and business people who are eager to gain a better understanding of the foundations and boundaries of risk assessment, and how its outcomes should be used for decision-making.

Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Author : Andreas H. Schumann
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9048199174
Total Pages : 279 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Flood Risk Assessment and Management by : Andreas H. Schumann

Download or read book Flood Risk Assessment and Management written by Andreas H. Schumann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-01-04 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Flood catastrophes which happened world-wide have shown that it is not sufficient to characterize the hazard caused by the natural phenomenon "flood" with the well-known 3M-approach (measuring, mapping and modelling). Due to the recent shift in paradigms from a safety oriented approach to risk based planning it became necessary to consider the harmful impacts of hazards. The planning tasks changed from attempts to minimise hazards towards interventions to reduce exposure or susceptibility and nowadays to enhance the capacities to increase resilience. Scientific interest shifts more and more towards interdisciplinary approaches, which are needed to avoid disaster. This book deals with many aspects of flood risk management in a comprehensive way. As risks depend on hazard and vulnerabilities, not only geophysical tools for flood forecasting and planning are presented, but also socio-economic problems of flood management are discussed. Starting with precipitation and meteorological tools to its forecasting, hydrological models are described in their applications for operational flood forecasts, considering model uncertainties and their interactions with hydraulic and groundwater models. With regard to flood risk planning, regionalization aspects and the options to utilize historic floods are discussed. New hydrological tools for flood risk assessments for dams and reservoirs are presented. Problems and options to quantify socio-economic risks and how to consider them in multi-criteria assessments of flood risk planning are discussed. This book contributes to the contemporary efforts to reduce flood risk at the European scale. Using many real-world examples, it is useful for scientists and practitioners at different levels and with different interests.

Risk Analysis Assessment and Management

Author : Jake Ansell
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Analysis Assessment and Management by : Jake Ansell

Download or read book Risk Analysis Assessment and Management written by Jake Ansell and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling

Author : Christian Bluhm
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1584889934
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling by : Christian Bluhm

Download or read book Introduction to Credit Risk Modeling written by Christian Bluhm and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contains Nearly 100 Pages of New MaterialThe recent financial crisis has shown that credit risk in particular and finance in general remain important fields for the application of mathematical concepts to real-life situations. While continuing to focus on common mathematical approaches to model credit portfolios, Introduction to Credit Risk Modelin

Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 030904894X
Total Pages : 668 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment by : National Research Council

Download or read book Science and Judgment in Risk Assessment written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1994-01-01 with total page 668 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The public depends on competent risk assessment from the federal government and the scientific community to grapple with the threat of pollution. When risk reports turn out to be overblownâ€"or when risks are overlookedâ€"public skepticism abounds. This comprehensive and readable book explores how the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) can improve its risk assessment practices, with a focus on implementation of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. With a wealth of detailed information, pertinent examples, and revealing analysis, the volume explores the "default option" and other basic concepts. It offers two views of EPA operations: The first examines how EPA currently assesses exposure to hazardous air pollutants, evaluates the toxicity of a substance, and characterizes the risk to the public. The second, more holistic, view explores how EPA can improve in several critical areas of risk assessment by focusing on cross-cutting themes and incorporating more scientific judgment. This comprehensive volume will be important to the EPA and other agencies, risk managers, environmental advocates, scientists, faculty, students, and concerned individuals.