Government Budget Forecasting

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351565117
Total Pages : 637 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (515 download)

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Book Synopsis Government Budget Forecasting by : Jinping Sun

Download or read book Government Budget Forecasting written by Jinping Sun and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-09-25 with total page 637 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Revenue and expenditure forecasting plays an important role in public budgeting and financial management, particularly during times of financial constraint, when citizens impose greater accountability upon government to use taxpayer dollars more efficiently. Despite its significance, revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process, and there is an imbalance between practice and research in this area. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, Government Budget Forecasting fulfills two purposes: Enhances the understanding of revenue and expenditure estimation both theoretically and practically Stimulates dialogue and debate among practitioners and academicians to identify good forecast practices as well as areas for improvement Divided into four parts, this comprehensive reference first examines forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, drawing on case studies that include California, Texas, and Louisiana. It then explores consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors. The text concludes with a call to transparency and guidance from a code of ethics, and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries.

The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030181952
Total Pages : 448 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting by : Daniel Williams

Download or read book The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting written by Daniel Williams and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-14 with total page 448 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook is a comprehensive anthology of up-to-date chapters contributed by current researchers in budget forecasting. Editors Daniel Williams and Thad Calabrese had previously found substantial deficiencies in public budgeting forecast literature with current research failing to address such matters as practices related to forecasting expenditure factors, the consequences of forecast bias, or empirical examination of the effectiveness of many deterministic methods actually used by many governments. This volume comprehensively addresses the state of knowledge about budget forecasting for practitioners, academics, and students and serves as a comprehensive resource for instruction alongside serving as a reference book for those engaged in budget forecasting practice.

Revenue Forecasting--How is it Done? Results from a Survey of Low-Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Revenue Forecasting--How is it Done? Results from a Survey of Low-Income Countries by : Annette Kyobe

Download or read book Revenue Forecasting--How is it Done? Results from a Survey of Low-Income Countries written by Annette Kyobe and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-02 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes stock of revenue forecasting practices in low-income countries, and provides a comprehensive and condensed account of the revenue forecasting process. Based on a new dataset on 34 low-income countries, it catalogues forecasting practices and procedures from inception until budget submission, focusing primarily on institutional aspects and processes. The paper also synthesizes three key characteristics of forecasting practices, formality, organizational simplicity, and transparency, and empirically explores their determinants. High levels of country corruption are associated with less formal and less transparent forecasts. Past IMF involvement in a country increases the formality of the process, but does not improve public access to information.

General Fund Revenue and Expenditure Forecasts

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 5 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (54 download)

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Book Synopsis General Fund Revenue and Expenditure Forecasts by : Minnesota. Legislature. House of Representatives. Fiscal Analysis Department

Download or read book General Fund Revenue and Expenditure Forecasts written by Minnesota. Legislature. House of Representatives. Fiscal Analysis Department and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 5 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Local Government Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Local Government Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting by : Roy W. Bahl

Download or read book Local Government Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting written by Roy W. Bahl and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The International Handbook of Public Financial Management

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 113731530X
Total Pages : 1125 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)

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Book Synopsis The International Handbook of Public Financial Management by : Richard Allen

Download or read book The International Handbook of Public Financial Management written by Richard Allen and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-08-15 with total page 1125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook is a virtual encyclopedia of public financial management, written by topmost experts, many with a background in the IMF and World Bank. It provides the first comprehensive guide to the subject that has been published in more than ten years. The book is aimed at a broad audience of academics/students, government officials, development agencies and practitioners. It covers both bread-and-butter topics such as the macroeconomic and legal framework for budgeting, budget preparation and execution, procurement, accounting, reporting, audit and oversight, as well as specialist subjects such as government payroll systems, local government finance, fiscal transparency, the management of fiscal risks, sovereign wealth funds, the management of state-owned enterprises, and political economy aspects of budgeting. The book sets out numerous examples and case studies describing good practice in public financial management, and is highly relevant for use in both advanced and developing countries.

Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451860331
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets by : Mr.Stephan Danninger

Download or read book Revenue Forecasts as Performance Targets written by Mr.Stephan Danninger and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-01-01 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Budget revenue forecasts should be best estimates of expected receipts. Often they are not. This paper analyzes the rationale for overstated revenue forecasts and derives conditions for intentional biases. A theoretical model demonstrates that overstated revenue forecasts can be the result of the government's attempt to boost unobserved revenue collection effort. If positive forecast errors are costly and undermine public credibility of budget expenditure plans, the reverse outcome is possible and governments may understate revenue forecasts. A case study for Azerbaijan is presented in support of the former incentive motive.

Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557757876
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (578 download)

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Book Synopsis Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management by : Mr.Jack Diamond

Download or read book Guidelines for Public Expenditure Management written by Mr.Jack Diamond and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-07-01 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economics training in public finances has focused more on tax than public expenditure issues, and within expenditure, more on policy considerations than the more mundane matters of public expenditure management. For many years, the IMF's Public Expenditure Management Division has answered specific questions raised by fiscal economists on such missions. Based on this experience, these guidelines arose from the need to provide a general overview of the principles and practices observed in three key aspects of public expenditure management: budget preparation, budget execution, and cash planning. For each aspect of public expenditure management, the guidelines identify separately the differing practices in four groups of countries - the francophone systems, the Commonwealth systems, Latin America, and those in the transition economies. Edited by Barry H. Potter and Jack Diamond, this publication is intended for a general fiscal, or a general budget, advisor interested in the macroeconomic dimension of public expenditure management.

Multi-Year Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting for Small Municipal Governments

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 162 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-Year Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting for Small Municipal Governments by : Stanely Eugene Hankins

Download or read book Multi-Year Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting for Small Municipal Governments written by Stanely Eugene Hankins and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis explores multi-year revenue and expenditure forecasting as a financial management tool available to small municipal governments. A generalized approach for developing a multi-year forecasting process is presented, together with a multi-year revenue and expenditure forecasting model for the City of Monterey, California. The Monterey model includes an econometric approach for projecting revenues, while the expenditure forecast is based on a deterministic approach. Suggestions for forecast presentation, an approach to model updating, and a discussion of the interrelationship between the budget formulation and forecasting processes is also presented. (Author).

Five-year Financial Forecast

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Five-year Financial Forecast by : Vancouver (Wash.)

Download or read book Five-year Financial Forecast written by Vancouver (Wash.) and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Financing the Future

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Publisher : GFOA
ISBN 13 : 9780891252887
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (528 download)

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Book Synopsis Financing the Future by : Shayne Kavanagh

Download or read book Financing the Future written by Shayne Kavanagh and published by GFOA. This book was released on 2007 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Forecasting Government Budgets

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Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
ISBN 13 : 1793613117
Total Pages : 269 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (936 download)

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Book Synopsis Forecasting Government Budgets by : Aman Khan

Download or read book Forecasting Government Budgets written by Aman Khan and published by Rowman & Littlefield. This book was released on 2022-12-15 with total page 269 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is integral to all governmental activities, especially budgetary activities. Without good and accurate forecasts, a government will not only find it difficult to carry out its everyday operations but will also find it difficult to cope with the increasingly complex environment in which it has to operate. This book presents, in a simple and easy to understand manner, some of the commonly used methods in budget forecasting, simple as well as advanced. The book is divided into three parts: It begins with an overview of forecasting background, forecasting process, and forecasting methods, followed by a detailed discussion of the actual methods in Parts I, II, and III. Part I discusses a combination of basic time series models such as percentage average, simple moving average, double moving average, exponential moving average, double as well as triple, simple trend line, time-series with cyclical variation, and time-series regression, with single and multiple independent variables. Part II discusses some of the more advanced, but frequently used time series models, such as ARIMA, regular as well as seasonal, Vector Autoregression (VAR), and Vector Error Correction (VEC). Part III provides an overview of three of the more recent advances in time series models, namely ensemble forecasting, state-space forecasting, and neural network. The book concludes with a brief discussion of some practical issues in budget forecasting.

Brilliant Budgets and Forecasts

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Publisher : Pearson UK
ISBN 13 : 0273746790
Total Pages : 285 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (737 download)

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Book Synopsis Brilliant Budgets and Forecasts by : Malcolm Secrett

Download or read book Brilliant Budgets and Forecasts written by Malcolm Secrett and published by Pearson UK. This book was released on 2012-07-24 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Writing spreadsheets, budgets and forecasts is an important part of many managers roles, but do you need help in understanding and presenting the information in a clear and concise way? This step-by-step guide shows you the advantages and potentials of using spreadsheets. After reading this book you’ll be able to master company accounts; understand balance sheets, profit and loss accounts and cash flow systems; and learn to analyse and monitor your company’s financial performance. BRILLIANT OUTCOMES: • How to save time and gain control of your business. • Ability to understand, analyse and present financial information in a clear and concise way. BRILLIANT FEATURES: • Up-to-date examples and spreadsheets. • On-line downloads of examples and spreadsheet models • New 234mm X 156mm format to make

Successful Budgeting and Forecasting in a Week: Teach Yourself

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Publisher : Teach Yourself
ISBN 13 : 1444182757
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (441 download)

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Book Synopsis Successful Budgeting and Forecasting in a Week: Teach Yourself by : Roger Mason

Download or read book Successful Budgeting and Forecasting in a Week: Teach Yourself written by Roger Mason and published by Teach Yourself. This book was released on 2013-02-22 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book will enable readers to understand the purposes of the different budgets and forecasts and it will explain in detail how they are prepared and used. In many cases budgeting is an important (and often unpopular) part of their job and the book will show them how to do it more effectively and more quickly. It should increase their confidence and develop their management skills. The book will not just focus on the technical sides of budgeting - it will also focus on the softer skills of getting buy-in and navigating company political.

A Survey of Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting Methods and Techniques

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (378 download)

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Book Synopsis A Survey of Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting Methods and Techniques by : Emory C. Russell

Download or read book A Survey of Revenue and Expenditure Forecasting Methods and Techniques written by Emory C. Russell and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries by : Stephan Danninger

Download or read book The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience from Low-Income Countries written by Stephan Danninger and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new data on revenue-forecasting practices in low-income countries. Interference is defined as the occurrence of a significant deviation from purely technical forecasts. A theoretical model explains forecasting interference through government corruption. The data broadly supports the model, and the results are robust to alternative explanations. The paper also constructs three indices-transparency, formality, and organizational simplicity-that characterize revenue-forecasting practices, and assesses their effectiveness in producing an upfront-that is, timely-budget envelope. More transparent and simple forecasting processes lead to early budget constraints, while formality has no measurable effect.

Revenue Forecasting

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Revenue Forecasting by : Alfred B. Clubok

Download or read book Revenue Forecasting written by Alfred B. Clubok and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: