Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market by : Hilde C. Bjørnland

Download or read book Identifying the Interdependence Between US Monetary Policy and the Stock Market written by Hilde C. Bjørnland and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the interdependence between US monetary policy and the S&P 500 using structural VAR methodology. A solution is proposed to the simultaneity problem of identifying monetary and stock price shocks by using a combination of short-run and long-run restrictions that maintains the qualitative properties of a monetary policy shock found in the established literature (CEE 1999). We find great interdependence between interest rate setting and stock prices. Stock prices immediately fall by 1.5 per cent due to a monetary policy shock that raises the federal funds rate by ten basis points. A stock price shock increasing stock prices by one per cent leads to an increase in the interest rate of five basis points. Stock price shocks are orthogonal to the information set in the VAR model and can be interpreted as non-fundamental shocks. We attribute a major part of the surge in stock prices at the end of the 1990s to these non-fundamental shocks.

Stock Prices and Monetary Policy

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Publisher : CEPS
ISBN 13 : 929079819X
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (97 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Prices and Monetary Policy by : Paul De Grauwe

Download or read book Stock Prices and Monetary Policy written by Paul De Grauwe and published by CEPS. This book was released on 2008 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The question of whether central banks should target stock prices so as to prevent bubbles and crashes from occurring has been hotly debated. This paper analyses this question using a behavioural macroeconomic model. This model generates bubbles and crashes. It analyses how 'leaning against the wind' strategies, which aim to reduce the volatility of stock prices, can help in reducing volatility of output and inflation. We find that such policies can be effective in reducing macroeconomic volatility, thereby improving the trade-off between output and inflation variability. The strength of this result, however, depends on the degree of credibility of the inflation-targeting regime. In the absence of such credibility, policies aiming at stabilising stock prices do not stabilise output and inflation.

Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market by : Roberto Rigobón

Download or read book Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market written by Roberto Rigobón and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Movements in the stock market can have a significant impact on the macroeconomy and are therefore likely to be an important factor in the determination of monetary policy. However, little is known about the magnitude of the Federal Reserve's reaction to the stock market. One reason is that it is difficult to estimate the policy reaction because of the simultaneous response of equity prices to interest rate changes. This paper uses an identification technique based on the heteroskedasticity of stock market returns to identify the reaction of monetary policy to the stock market. The results indicate that monetary policy reacts significantly to stock market movements, with a 5% rise (fall) in the S & P 500 index increasing the likelihood of a 25 basis point tightening (easing) by about a half. This reaction is roughly of the magnitude that would be expected from estimates of the impact of stock market movements on aggregate demand. Thus, it appears that the Federal Reserve systematically responds to stock price movements only to the extent warranted by their impact on the macroeconomy.

Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy by : Naoyuki Yoshino

Download or read book Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy written by Naoyuki Yoshino and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the response of Asian stock market prices to exogenous monetary policy shocks using a vector error correction model. In our paper, monetary policy transmits to stock market price through three routes: money by itself, exchange rate, and inflation. Our result points to the fact that stock prices increase persistently in response to an exogenous easing monetary policy. Variance deposition results show that, after 10 periods, the forecast error variance of beyond 53% of the Tehran Stock Exchange Price Index (TEPIX) can be explained by exogenous shocks to the US dollar-Iranian rial exchange rate, while this ratio for exogenous shocks to Iranian real gross domestic product was only 17%. We argue that such evidence can be accounted for by an endogenous response of the stock prices to the monetary policy shocks.

The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780894991967
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (919 download)

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Book Synopsis The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions by : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Download or read book The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions written by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.

Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513588001
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission by : Mr. Romain A Duval

Download or read book Market Power and Monetary Policy Transmission written by Mr. Romain A Duval and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-07-09 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that firms’ market power dampens the response of their output to monetary policy shocks, using firm-level data for the United States and a large cross-country firm-level dataset for 14 advanced economies. The estimated impact of a firm’s markup on its response to a monetary policy shock is large enough to materially affect monetary policy transmission. We also find some evidence that the role of markup in monetary policy transmission, while independent from other channels, is greater for firms whose characteristics — notably size and age — are likely to be associated with greater financial constraints. We rationalize these findings through a simple partial equilibrium model in which borrowing constraints amplify disproportionately low-markup firms’ responses to changes in interest rates.

Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475763905
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe by : Jürgen von Hagen

Download or read book Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe written by Jürgen von Hagen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monetary union has dawned in Europe. Now that the common currency is a reality, questions concerning the practical conduct of monetary policy in the European Monetary Union (EMU) are moving to the forefront of the policy debate. Among these, one of the most critical is how the new monetary union will cope with the large heterogeneity of its member economies. Given the large differences in economic and financial structures among the EMU member states, monetary policy is likely to affect different member economies in different ways. Regional Aspects of Monetary Policy in Europe collects the proceedings of an international conference held at the Center for European Integration Studies of the University of Bonn, dedicated to this issue. The contributions to this conference fall into two parts. The first part consists of empirical and theoretical studies of the regional effects of monetary policy in heterogeneous monetary unions. The second part consists of papers analyzing the political economy of monetary policy in a monetary union of heterogeneous regions or member states. The papers all support the conclusion that regional differences in the responses to a common monetary policy will make European monetary policy especially difficult in the years to come. Such differences arise from a variety of sources, and they cannot be expected to be mere teething troubles that will disappear after a while. Even if they were ignored in the run-up to the EMU, Europe's central bankers and economic policy makers will have to learn how to cope with such differences in the future.

The Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Cyclical Variation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (921 download)

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Book Synopsis The Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Cyclical Variation by :

Download or read book The Stock Market's Reaction to Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Cyclical Variation written by and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The monetary policy can affect the economy through the monetary transmission mechanism. Two channels that the monetary policy can affect the economy via stock prices are through a credit channel in which the change in short term policy rate will affect the companies' cost of borrowings as well as abilities to access source of funds and a further result in companies' return and through an asset price channel in which the change in policy rate can affect demand for stocks and further the stock return. This study analyzes the impact of unanticipated changes in monetary policy in Thailand on the monthly SET index return and firm individual stock return during business cycles. I find that response of monthly SET index return to monetary surprise is not statistically significant; in contrast the reaction of most individual firms' returns give significant result. These findings prove that there are some firms that react strongly negative to monetary surprise. Reactions of these firms lead to significant response in firm-level data. I also find evidence supporting a credit channel of monetary policy transmission for overall stock price but I do not find significant cyclical variation in the impact of monetary policy on individual firm's returns. Notwithstanding, the behavior of countercyclical demand for credit can help to explain the result. However, both SET index returns and unexpected changes in policy rate have a negative relationship as stated in the asset price channel of monetary policy transmission. Moreover, I find a strong negative response of stock return of firms which are classified to be financially constrained firms but a little evidence which show that stock returns of those firms are more affected to monetary shocks compare to firms with non-financially constrained firms.

Handbook of Research on Current Trends in Asian Economics, Business, and Administration

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Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1799884880
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (998 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Research on Current Trends in Asian Economics, Business, and Administration by : Akkaya, Bülent

Download or read book Handbook of Research on Current Trends in Asian Economics, Business, and Administration written by Akkaya, Bülent and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2021-10-08 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Social sciences have always been an important tool that enables human beings to examine and understand society. Through social sciences, researchers gain understandings of social phenomena and changes by providing commentaries, producing explanations, and attempting to synthesize a diversity of information sets to formulate theories. Since the concept of change has been the hallmark of the new millennium, researchers have witnessed a transformation in every aspect of the modern world at an ever-increasing speed, particularly in the social facet of human life. Ways of thinking that had previously been upheld and taught may, therefore, no longer be appropriate or effective as tools to understand contemporary phenomena and changes. The Handbook of Research on Current Trends in Asian Economics, Business, and Administration is a critical reference source that examines different aspects of social sciences, management, sociology, and education to better understand today’s society and social life in the Asian context. The book identifies trends, impacts, and implications of disruptive technologies for business and socio-economic development as well as strategic advantage on different levels of business and administration. Covering topics that include e-commerce, green management, information technology, economic growth, and distance learning, this book is essential for economists, academicians, government officials, policymakers, social scientists, managers, leaders, behavioral scientists, academicians, researchers, and students.

Monetary Policy Transmission to Stock Markets

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Publisher : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783848401963
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Transmission to Stock Markets by : Natalia Chetveryk

Download or read book Monetary Policy Transmission to Stock Markets written by Natalia Chetveryk and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012-05 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The immediate effect of monetary policy changes on the stock market returns has been of great interest both for macroeconomists and financial economists. However, up until now a mutual accord has not been reached on the relationship between monetary policy and equity prices. The main issues of the debate are centered on the exact identification of policy changes and endogeneity of policy decisions. In this book I provide the analysis of alternative specifications of monetary policy measures and focus on testing of two most popular ones in empirical research: VAR orthogonalized innovations and decomposed federal funds rate change. I show how the estimates of stock responses vary with regard to the measure of policy shock chosen for estimation. I suggest extending the regression of stock returns on policy shocks with one of the measures of investor sentiment, Volatility Index, VIX, which I conclude to be the omitted variable. The empirical results presented in the book confirm the heterogeneous reaction of stock prices to changes in monetary conditions.

Understanding the Stock Market's Response to Monetary Policy Shocks

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding the Stock Market's Response to Monetary Policy Shocks by : Johann Scharler

Download or read book Understanding the Stock Market's Response to Monetary Policy Shocks written by Johann Scharler and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Stock Market, Monetary Policy, and Economic Development

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (459 download)

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Book Synopsis The Stock Market, Monetary Policy, and Economic Development by :

Download or read book The Stock Market, Monetary Policy, and Economic Development written by and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we examine the impact of financial market development on capital accumulation and inflation. In particular, we explore this issue in a setting in which banks provide risk pooling services. Furthermore, money overcomes incomplete information to facilitate transactions between individuals. In contrast to previous work, we incorporate a market for equity by allowing individuals to trade capital across generations. Interestingly, we find that the quantitative impact of the stock market may be indeterminate -- the economy may respond with significant gains in capital accumulation or relatively little. Consequently, it is not clear how much financial development will drive down inflation in the long-run. In the case of unique steady-states, expansionary monetary policy causes long-run capital accumulation to fall. However, the response is much stronger in the presence of a stock market. Furthermore, the market for capital may lead to a different qualitative response to monetary policy. That is, financial development may lead to a Tobin effect from inflation. Finally, by studying dynamics, we demonstrate that financial markets and monetary policy can have a significant impact on volatility in the economy. In this manner, there is additional scope for monetary policy to stabilize the economy at higher levels of financial development.

Booms, Bubbles and Bust in the US Stock Market

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 100015906X
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis Booms, Bubbles and Bust in the US Stock Market by : David Western

Download or read book Booms, Bubbles and Bust in the US Stock Market written by David Western and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-10-07 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An extremely user-friendly overview of the inner workings of the US stock market. Things have changed a great deal since the heady days of the 1980s and we are now entering an era of profound uncertainty, with most analysts predicting trouble ahead. Indeed, the alarming decline of the NASDAQ shows no sign of abating and the fear is that traditional industries will be the next to bite the dust. September 11th has only added to the gloomy mood. This book examines the current conditions before looking back to the events of the past century - The Great Depression, the 1970s oil crisis, the party-for-the-rich atmosphere of the 1980s and the emergence of the new economy.

Monetary Policy Rules

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226791262
Total Pages : 460 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules by : John B. Taylor

Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475579713
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows by : Ms.Sonali Jain-Chandra

Download or read book The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows written by Ms.Sonali Jain-Chandra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in open economies could be impaired if interest rates are driven primarily by global factors, especially during periods of large capital inflows. The main objective of this paper is to assess whether this is true for emerging Asia’s economies. Using a dynamic factor model and a structural vector auto-regression model, we show that long-term interest rates in Asia are indeed predominantly driven by global factors. However, monetary policy transmission mechanism remains effective in the region, as it operates predominantly through short-term interest rates. Nevertheless, the monetary transmission mechanism, though effective, is somewhat weaker in Asia during the periods of surges in capital inflows.

U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455210854
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices by : Mr.Luc Laeven

Download or read book U.S. Monetary Shocks and Global Stock Prices written by Mr.Luc Laeven and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies how U.S. monetary policy affects global stock prices. We find that global stock prices respond strongly to changes in U.S. interest rate policy, with stock prices increasing (decreasing) following unexpected monetary loosening (tightening). This impact is more pronounced for sectors that depend on external financing, and for countries that are more integrated with the global financial market. These findings suggest that financial frictions play an important role in the transmission of monetary policy, and that U.S. monetary policy influences global capital allocation.

Monetary Policy and Mispricing in Stock Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (118 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Mispricing in Stock Markets by : Benjamin Beckers

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Mispricing in Stock Markets written by Benjamin Beckers and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: