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Real Stock Returns
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Book Synopsis A Wealth of Common Sense by : Ben Carlson
Download or read book A Wealth of Common Sense written by Ben Carlson and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-06-22 with total page 231 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A simple guide to a smarter strategy for the individual investor A Wealth of Common Sense sheds a refreshing light on investing, and shows you how a simplicity-based framework can lead to better investment decisions. The financial market is a complex system, but that doesn't mean it requires a complex strategy; in fact, this false premise is the driving force behind many investors' market "mistakes." Information is important, but understanding and perspective are the keys to better decision-making. This book describes the proper way to view the markets and your portfolio, and show you the simple strategies that make investing more profitable, less confusing, and less time-consuming. Without the burden of short-term performance benchmarks, individual investors have the advantage of focusing on the long view, and the freedom to construct the kind of portfolio that will serve their investment goals best. This book proves how complex strategies essentially waste these advantages, and provides an alternative game plan for those ready to simplify. Complexity is often used as a mechanism for talking investors into unnecessary purchases, when all most need is a deeper understanding of conventional options. This book explains which issues you actually should pay attention to, and which ones are simply used for an illusion of intelligence and control. Keep up with—or beat—professional money managers Exploit stock market volatility to your utmost advantage Learn where advisors and consultants fit into smart strategy Build a portfolio that makes sense for your particular situation You don't have to outsmart the market if you can simply outperform it. Cut through the confusion and noise and focus on what actually matters. A Wealth of Common Sense clears the air, and gives you the insight you need to become a smarter, more successful investor.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Inflation Measures on the Real Returns and Risk of U.S. Stocks by : Charles P. Jones
Download or read book The Impact of Inflation Measures on the Real Returns and Risk of U.S. Stocks written by Charles P. Jones and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using different inflations measures produces economically significant differences in both the inflation record and inflation-adjusted stock returns. We introduce a more consistent measure of the monthly CPI inflation rate to better measure real returns over 1913-2004, for which the official CPI exists. We also extend the series backward to 1871 on a monthly basis, an important addition to the data series. We analyze the impact of inflation on the real standard deviation of stock returns and find that, in contrast to the results for geometric mean returns, inflation adjustments have little impact on estimates of return variability.
Book Synopsis STOCK RETURNS AND INLFATION: THE ROLE OF THE MONETARY SECTOR by : GAUTAM KAUL
Download or read book STOCK RETURNS AND INLFATION: THE ROLE OF THE MONETARY SECTOR written by GAUTAM KAUL and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real Stock Returns by : Prasad V. Bidarkota
Download or read book Real Stock Returns written by Prasad V. Bidarkota and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity by : Eugene F. Fama
Download or read book Stock Returns, Expected Returns, and Real Activity written by Eugene F. Fama and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stocks for the Long Run by : Jeremy J. Siegel
Download or read book Stocks for the Long Run written by Jeremy J. Siegel and published by McGraw-Hill Companies. This book was released on 1998 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Siegel's conclusion - that, when long-term purchasing power is considered, stocks are actually safer than bank deposits! - is now strengthened with updated research findings and information that include a thorough analysis of the "Dow 10" and other yield-based strategies that have captivated investors over the past several years; how the Baby Boom generation will change the stock market forever - knowledge that can energize your own portfolio's performance; the amazing effect of the calendar on stock market performance - and how investing at certain times of the year can enhance performance; how the newest tax laws impact your investment returns and the funding of your retirement account; analyses and performance comparisons of highly publicized market sectors such as small cap stocks, growth stocks, and the "Nifty Fifty" stocks; and how Wall Street pros use investor sentiment and Fed policy to successfully time stock purchases over the investment cycle."--BOOK JACKET.Title Summary field provided by Blackwell North America, Inc. All Rights Reserved
Book Synopsis Stock Returns and Inflation Redux: An Explanation from Monetary Policy in Advanced and Emerging Markets by : Mr. Zhongxia Zhang
Download or read book Stock Returns and Inflation Redux: An Explanation from Monetary Policy in Advanced and Emerging Markets written by Mr. Zhongxia Zhang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-08-20 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Classical theories of monetary economics predict that real stock returns are negatively correlated with inflation when monetary policy is countercyclical. Previous empirical studies mostly focus on a small group of developed countries or a few countries with hyperinflation. In this paper, I examine the stock return-inflation relation under different monetary policy regimes and conditions using an expanded dataset of 71 economies. Empirical evidence suggests that the stock return-inflation relation is partially driven by monetary policy. If a country’s monetary authority conducts a more countercyclical monetary policy, the stock return-inflation relation becomes more negative. In addition, the results differ by monetary policy framework. In exchange rate anchor countries, stock markets do not respond to monetary policy cyclicality. In inflation targeting countries, stock markets react more strongly to inflation. A key contribution of this paper is to classify inflation targeters by their behaviors, and illustrate that behavior matters in shaping market perceptions: markets react to inflation and monetary policy cyclicality when central banks are able to control inflation within their target bands. In this case markets are sensitive to inflation dynamics when inflation is above the announced target bands. Finally, when monetary policy is constrained by the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB), a structural break is introduced and real stock returns no longer respond to inflation and monetary policy cyclicality.
Book Synopsis Three Essays on Stock Returns and Inflation by : Sang-yŏng Chu
Download or read book Three Essays on Stock Returns and Inflation written by Sang-yŏng Chu and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Inflation and Real Stock Returns by : Barry Cozier
Download or read book Inflation and Real Stock Returns written by Barry Cozier and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Irrational Exuberance by : Robert J. Shiller
Download or read book Irrational Exuberance written by Robert J. Shiller and published by Scribe Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: No Marketing Blurb
Book Synopsis Stock Prices, Expected Returns, and Inflation by : Steven Alan Sharpe
Download or read book Stock Prices, Expected Returns, and Inflation written by Steven Alan Sharpe and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Just Keep Buying by : Nick Maggiulli
Download or read book Just Keep Buying written by Nick Maggiulli and published by Harriman House Limited. This book was released on 2022-04-12 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everyone faces big questions when it comes to money: questions about saving, investing, and whether you’re getting it right with your finances. Unfortunately, many of the answers provided by the financial industry have been based on belief and conjecture rather than data and evidence—until now. In Just Keep Buying, hugely popular finance blogger Nick Maggiulli crunches the numbers to answer the biggest questions in personal finance and investing, while providing you with proven ways to build your wealth right away. You will learn why you need to save less than you think; why saving up cash to buy market dips isn’t a good idea; how to survive (and thrive) during a market crash; and much more. By following the strategies revealed here, you can act smarter and live richer each and every day. It’s time to take the next step in your wealth-building journey. It’s time to Just Keep Buying.
Book Synopsis Casual Relations Among Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money Growth by : Kwangwoo Park
Download or read book Casual Relations Among Stock Returns, Real Activity, Inflation, and Money Growth written by Kwangwoo Park and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using various regression models and a vector autoregressions (VAR) framework, this paper examines causal relations and dynamic interactions among stock returns, interest rates, real activity, inflation, and money growth using the post-war United States data. While stock returns have long been presumed as an important indicator of real activity in theory, the predictive ability of the stock market as perceived by macro-economists has been questioned. The purpose of this paper is to answer following two main questions: (1) What causal relationship exists among macro-economic variables behind the apparent negative stock returns-inflation relations in the post-war U.S. data? and (2) Is the stock market a good predictor of the future real activity? Major findings of this paper are that (1) the negative inflation-stock returns relations are in part induced by the negative inflation-future output relations during most of the post-war U.S. data. (2) The persistent component of inflation predicts future output better than temporary output in the regression results. (3) In a dynamic framework of real stock returns, real activity, inflation, and money in the VAR system, the theory by Fama (1981) holds well during the period 1972 to 1995, which suggests aggregate supply shocks have been pronounced in the recent two decades. (4) Stock returns (both real and nominal) seem to Granger cause and explain a substantial fraction of the variance in real activity. (5) Real activity also explains a substantial fraction of variance in inflation. This shows that additional spending has been purely inflationary for the post-war U.S. economy. (6) The asymmetry effects of real stock returns have been captured. Positive real stock returns seem to better predict the real activity, and the 'proxy' hypothesis of Fama does not hold in both cases.
Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Book Synopsis Stock Market Returns in the Long Run by : Roger G. Ibbotson
Download or read book Stock Market Returns in the Long Run written by Roger G. Ibbotson and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the forward-looking long-term equity risk by extrapolating the way it participated in the real economy. We decompose the 1926-2000 historical equity returns into supply factors including inflation, earnings, dividends, price to earnings ratio, dividend payout ratio, book value, return on equity, and GDP per capita. There are several key findings: First, the growth in corporate productivity measured by earnings is in line with the growth of overall economic productivity. Second, P/E increases account for only a small portion of the total return of equity (1.25% of the total 10.70%). The bulk of the return is attributable to dividend payments and nominal earnings growth (including inflation and real earnings growth). Third, the increase in factor share of equity relative to the overall economy can be more than fully attributed to the increase in the P/E ratio. Fourth, there is a secular decline in the dividend yield and payout ratio, rendering dividend growth alone a poor measure of corporate profitability and future growth. Contrary to several recent studies, our supply side model forecast of the equity risk premium is only slightly lower than the pure historical return estimate. The long-term equity risk premium (relative to the long-term government bond yield) is estimated to be about 6% arithmetically, and 4% geometrically. Our estimate is in line with both the historical supply measures of the public corporations (i.e., earnings) and the overall economic productivity (GDP per capita).
Book Synopsis Stock Returns and Real Activity by :
Download or read book Stock Returns and Real Activity written by and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation by : Roger G. Ibbotson
Download or read book Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation written by Roger G. Ibbotson and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
