Rational Expectations And The New Macroeconomics

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Rational Expectations and Inflation

Author : Thomas J. Sargent
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400847648
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Inflation by : Thomas J. Sargent

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Inflation written by Thomas J. Sargent and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-05-05 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated. This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.

Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics

Author : Patrick Minford
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (833 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics by : Patrick Minford

Download or read book Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics written by Patrick Minford and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics

Author : Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226531929
Total Pages : 184 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (265 download)

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Book Synopsis A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics by : Frederic S. Mishkin

Download or read book A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics written by Frederic S. Mishkin and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.

Learning and Expectations in Macroeconomics

Author : George W. Evans
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400824265
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Learning and Expectations in Macroeconomics by : George W. Evans

Download or read book Learning and Expectations in Macroeconomics written by George W. Evans and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-01-06 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A crucial challenge for economists is figuring out how people interpret the world and form expectations that will likely influence their economic activity. Inflation, asset prices, exchange rates, investment, and consumption are just some of the economic variables that are largely explained by expectations. Here George Evans and Seppo Honkapohja bring new explanatory power to a variety of expectation formation models by focusing on the learning factor. Whereas the rational expectations paradigm offers the prevailing method to determining expectations, it assumes very theoretical knowledge on the part of economic actors. Evans and Honkapohja contribute to a growing body of research positing that households and firms learn by making forecasts using observed data, updating their forecast rules over time in response to errors. This book is the first systematic development of the new statistical learning approach. Depending on the particular economic structure, the economy may converge to a standard rational-expectations or a "rational bubble" solution, or exhibit persistent learning dynamics. The learning approach also provides tools to assess the importance of new models with expectational indeterminacy, in which expectations are an independent cause of macroeconomic fluctuations. Moreover, learning dynamics provide a theory for the evolution of expectations and selection between alternative equilibria, with implications for business cycles, asset price volatility, and policy. This book provides an authoritative treatment of this emerging field, developing the analytical techniques in detail and using them to synthesize and extend existing research.

Rational Expectations

Author : Steven M. Sheffrin
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521479394
Total Pages : 204 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (793 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations by : Steven M. Sheffrin

Download or read book Rational Expectations written by Steven M. Sheffrin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996-06-13 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book develops the idea of rational expectations and surveys its use in economics today.

Rational Expectations Macroeconomics

Author : Patrick Minford
Publisher : Wiley-Blackwell
ISBN 13 : 9780631177883
Total Pages : 243 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (778 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations Macroeconomics by : Patrick Minford

Download or read book Rational Expectations Macroeconomics written by Patrick Minford and published by Wiley-Blackwell. This book was released on 1992 with total page 243 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rational Expectations Macroeconomics is the second edition of Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics by Patrick Minford and David Peel. Under the sole authorship of Profesor Minford, this new dition represents a practical introduction to the principles and applications of rational expectations (RE) methods in macroeconomics for third year undergraduates and postgraduates. The author sets out to provide a basic working knowledge of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis (REH) by demonstrating in full various methods for solving RE models. The book then deals with policies and issues frequently encountered when applying these models including: stabilization policy, fiscal policy, the political economy of democracy and the Phillips curve. Finally, the author turns to methods of testing the REH. By the end of the book, students should be in a position to apply RE models to whatever economy they are concerned with. Professor Minford has updated the text extensively and included new chapters on representatitve agent models (increasingly used in a applied forecasting and policy analysis) and modelling the open economy. In the decade since the first edition of this classic text was written, the economics profession′s respect for the REH has only increased. The author′s introductory and concluding chapters place the REH research programme in its historical context, assess the current state of the debate and look ahead to future research in this important subject.

Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics

Author : Patrick Minford
Publisher : Wiley-Blackwell
ISBN 13 : 9780855207144
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics by : Patrick Minford

Download or read book Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics written by Patrick Minford and published by Wiley-Blackwell. This book was released on 1983 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models

Author : P. Fisher
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401580022
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models by : P. Fisher

Download or read book Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models written by P. Fisher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Rethinking Expectations

Author : Roman Frydman
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691155232
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Expectations by : Roman Frydman

Download or read book Rethinking Expectations written by Roman Frydman and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book originated from a 2010 conference marking the fortieth anniversary of the publication of the landmark "Phelps volume," Microeconomic Foundations of Employment and Inflation Theory, a book that is often credited with pioneering the currently dominant approach to macroeconomic analysis. However, in their provocative introductory essay, Roman Frydman and Edmund Phelps argue that the vast majority of macroeconomic and finance models developed over the last four decades derailed, rather than built on, the Phelps volume's "microfoundations" approach. Whereas the contributors to the 1970 volume recognized the fundamental importance of according market participants' expectations an autonomous role, contemporary models rely on the rational expectations hypothesis (REH), which rules out such a role by design. The financial crisis that began in 2007, preceded by a spectacular boom and bust in asset prices that REH models implied could never happen, has spurred a quest for fresh approaches to macroeconomic analysis. While the alternatives to REH presented in Rethinking Expectations differ from the approach taken in the original Phelps volume, they are notable for returning to its major theme: understanding aggregate outcomes requires according expectations an autonomous role. In the introductory essay, Frydman and Phelps interpret the various efforts to reconstruct the field--some of which promise to chart its direction for decades to come. The contributors include Philippe Aghion, Sheila Dow, George W. Evans, Roger E. A. Farmer, Roman Frydman, Michael D. Goldberg, Roger Guesnerie, Seppo Honkapohja, Katarina Juselius, Enisse Kharroubi, Blake LeBaron, Edmund S. Phelps, John B. Taylor, Michael Woodford, and Gylfi Zoega.

Rational Expectations

Author : Fouad Sabry
Publisher : One Billion Knowledgeable
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (661 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations by : Fouad Sabry

Download or read book Rational Expectations written by Fouad Sabry and published by One Billion Knowledgeable. This book was released on 2024-03-29 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What is Rational Expectations Rational expectations is an economic theory that seeks to infer the macroeconomic consequences of individuals' decisions based on all available knowledge. It assumes that individuals actions are based on the best available economic theory and information, and concludes that government policies cannot succeed by assuming widespread systematic error by individuals. How you will benefit (I) Insights, and validations about the following topics: Chapter 1: Rational expectations Chapter 2: Adaptive expectations Chapter 3: Macroeconomics Chapter 4: Inflation Chapter 5: New Keynesian economics Chapter 6: Phillips curve Chapter 7: Lucas critique Chapter 8: Macroeconomic model Chapter 9: Neutrality of money Chapter 10: John B. Taylor Chapter 11: Thomas J. Sargent Chapter 12: Edmund Phelps Chapter 13: Policy-ineffectiveness proposition Chapter 14: Lucas islands model Chapter 15: Neoclassical synthesis Chapter 16: New classical macroeconomics Chapter 17: NAIRU Chapter 18: History of macroeconomic thought Chapter 19: McCallum rule Chapter 20: Lucas aggregate supply function Chapter 21: Taylor contract (economics) (II) Answering the public top questions about rational expectations. (III) Real world examples for the usage of rational expectations in many fields. Who this book is for Professionals, undergraduate and graduate students, enthusiasts, hobbyists, and those who want to go beyond basic knowledge or information for any kind of Rational Expectations.

Rational Expectations

Author : Michael Carter
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349176443
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (491 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations by : Michael Carter

Download or read book Rational Expectations written by Michael Carter and published by Springer. This book was released on 1984-11-15 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Rational Expectations Revolution

Author : Preston J. Miller
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262631556
Total Pages : 534 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis The Rational Expectations Revolution by : Preston J. Miller

Download or read book The Rational Expectations Revolution written by Preston J. Miller and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1994 with total page 534 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These 21 readings describe the orgins and growth of the macroeconomic analysis known as "rational expectations". The readings trace the development of this approach from the late 1970s to the 1990s.

Economics, Economists and Expectations

Author : William Darity
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134886233
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics, Economists and Expectations by : William Darity

Download or read book Economics, Economists and Expectations written by William Darity and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004-03-04 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The concept of rational expectations has played a hugely important role in economics over the years. Dealing with the origins and development of modern approaches to expectations in micro and macroeconomics, this book makes use of primary sources and previously unpublished material from such figures as Hicks, Hawtrey and Hart. The accounts of the '

Rational Expectations and Economic Policy

Author : Stanley Fischer
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226251330
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations and Economic Policy by : Stanley Fischer

Download or read book Rational Expectations and Economic Policy written by Stanley Fischer and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Several areas in economics today have unprecedented significance and vitality. Most people would agree that stabilization policy ranks with the highest of these. Continuing inflation and periodic serious acceleration of inflation combined with high and secularly rising unemployment combine to give the area high priority. This book brings us up to date on an extremely lively discussion involving the role of expectations, and more particularly rational expectations, in the conduct of stabilization policy. . . . Anyone interested in the role of government in economics should read this important book."—C. Glyn Williams, The Wall Street Review of Books "This is a most timely and valuable contribution. . . . The contributors and commentators are highly distinguished and the editor has usefully collated comments and the ensuing discussion. Unusually for a conference proceedings the book is well indexed and it is also replete with numerous and up-to-date references. . . . This is the first serious book to examine the rational expectations thesis in any depth, and it will prove invaluable to anyone involved with macroeconomic policy generally and with monetary economics in particular."—G. K. Shaw, The Economic Journal

Rational Expectations

Author : Graham Keith Shaw
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 148 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Rational Expectations by : Graham Keith Shaw

Download or read book Rational Expectations written by Graham Keith Shaw and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Rational Expectations Revolution in Macroeconomics

Author : David K. H. Begg
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Rational Expectations Revolution in Macroeconomics by : David K. H. Begg

Download or read book The Rational Expectations Revolution in Macroeconomics written by David K. H. Begg and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Macroeconomics and New Macroeconomics

Author : Bernhard Felderer
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783540553182
Total Pages : 358 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (531 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomics and New Macroeconomics by : Bernhard Felderer

Download or read book Macroeconomics and New Macroeconomics written by Bernhard Felderer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 1992-08-21 with total page 358 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gives a comprehensive account of traditional and more recent developments in macroeconomic theory. It is written primarily for students at the intermediate level. The book differs from the customary expositions in that the authors do not discuss topic by topic but orthodoxy by orthodoxy. Thus, the main approaches, like Classical theory, Keynesian theory, theory of portfolio selection, Monetarism, Rational Expectations theory, and Neokeynesian "disequilibrium" theory are presented in historical order. Each of these approaches is substantiated and criticized in a self-contained chapter, and the authors have taken great pains to bring out the relations and differences between them. A mathematical appendix reviews those mathematical facts which are especially important for macroeconomic models and serves to make the text easy to read.