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Rands Strategic Assessment Center
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Book Synopsis Rand's Strategic Assessment Center by : Morlie Hammer Graubard
Download or read book Rand's Strategic Assessment Center written by Morlie Hammer Graubard and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Rand's Strategic Assessment Center is a new research facility designed for the development and testing of improved methodologies for the analysis of strategic forces. This note describes the concepts and objectives that have guided the facility design and the methodological developments during the first year. The methodology to be demonstrated in the facility during January 1981, uses the flexible structure of conflict gaming, but resorts to the discipline of analytic models to control the behavior of the game teams. The combination is expected to provide an improved method for the analysis of strategic forces--one with richer contexts and clearer relationships between inputs and outputs than is now available through any single analytical technique. (Author).
Book Synopsis The Rand Strategy Assessment Center: An Overview and Interim Conclusions about Utility and Development Options by : Rand Corporation
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center: An Overview and Interim Conclusions about Utility and Development Options written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is an ambitious multiyear effort to improve methods of strategy analysis by combining the best features of war gaming and analytic modeling. The approach is based on automated war gaming in which human teams are replaced by decision models (computer automatons) using heuristic behavior rules and by a force operational model treating: interrelationships among strategic and other forces, events in different theaters, and the operations of the several military services. The result is a capability for complex multiscenario analysis that has not previously existed. The power of the approach is due in large part to its emphasis on realism (relative to more standard approaches) and to the use of artificial-intelligence and force-modeling techniques that make behavior rules and other key assumptions both transparent and interactively variable. This report provides an introduction to RSAC work for those unfamiliar with it. It also provides, for those following the program more closely: a summary of recent conceptual and technical progress, interim conclusions about the utility of RSAC methodology, a plan for future development, and references to more detailed RSAC publications. (Author).
Book Synopsis The Rand Strategy Assessment Center and the Future of Simulation and Gaming by : David A. Shlapak
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center and the Future of Simulation and Gaming written by David A. Shlapak and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This paper was originally presented at a meeting of the Section for Military Studies of the International Studies Association at the University of Illinois at Champaign-Urbana on November 9, 1985. It describes the RAND Strategy Assessment Center's (RSAC) game-structured interactive simulation system in which functions of the traditional "Red," "Blue," and "Control" teams can be taken over partially or completely by automated decision models. It then discusses the roles of simulation and gaming in the training of officers and their impact on policy and strategy. It suggests that the analytic results of RSAC exercises should be very useful for enriching and extending the context of appropriately designed and implemented games, thereby enhancing their value as artificial experience."--Rand abstracts.
Book Synopsis The Rand Strategy Assessment Center by : Herbert J. Shukiar
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center written by Herbert J. Shukiar and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is a highly ambitious, multiyear research program to develop a system and methodology that combine the systematic reproducibility of analytic modeling/simulation with the behavioral richness of rule-based artificial intelligence technology. The system combines an adaptive simulation model of precombat and combat operations with three rule-based artificial intelligence agents that represent Red, Blue, and third-country behavior. The adaptive simulation model, called the Force Agent, simulates ground, air, and naval warfare in both conventional and nuclear settings on a theaterwide or global basis. The two superpower agents, Red Agent and Blue Agent, utilize wakeup rules to examine the world situation. Third-country behavior is represented by another rule-based agent--Scenario Agent. This paper examines the relationships among the four agents from the system interface, database management, and system control perspectives. The paper also discusses how the RSAC system can be used to support both automated and interactive war games.
Book Synopsis The Rand Strategy Assessment Center by : Herbert J. Shukiar
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment Center written by Herbert J. Shukiar and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC) is a highly ambitious, multiyear research program to develop a system and methodology that combine the systematic reproducibility of analytic modeling/simulation with the behavioral richness of rule-based artificial intelligence technology. The system combines an adaptive simulation model of precombat and combat operations with three rule-based artificial intelligence agents that represent Red, Blue, and third-country behavior. The adaptive simulation model, called the Force Agent, simulates ground, air, and naval warfare in both conventional and nuclear settings on a theaterwide or global basis. The two superpower agents, Red Agent and Blue Agent, utilize wakeup rules to examine the world situation. Third-country behavior is represented by another rule-based agent--Scenario Agent. This paper examines the relationships among the four agents from the system interface, database management, and system control perspectives. The paper also discusses how the RSAC system can be used to support both automated and interactive war games.
Book Synopsis Rand Strategy Assessment Center System Perspective by : Rand Corporation
Download or read book Rand Strategy Assessment Center System Perspective written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Knowledge Engineering for Rand Strategy Assessment Center Military Command Level Models by : William Schwabe
Download or read book Knowledge Engineering for Rand Strategy Assessment Center Military Command Level Models written by William Schwabe and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The Rand Strategy Assessment Center's (RSAC) automated wargaming system includes computer programs that act as agents for Red (Soviet Union) and Blue (United States). Both Red and Blue Agent programs consist of hierarchical levels of rule-based models ranging from the highest national political-military command level to individual theater command levels. The levels below the national command level are collectively referred to as the military command levels. Military command level models are rule-based systems, consisting largely of statements written as human-readable rules that are also executable as computer programs. The rules express knowledge about military command operations. This paper describes the knowledge engineering as RSAC develops the military command level models, and includes a detailed description of the design process and the resultant structure, and a discussion of the process of developing program content."--Rand abstract.
Book Synopsis Some Lessons Learned from Building Red Agents in the Rand Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Some Lessons Learned from Building Red Agents in the Rand Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study describes some of the lessons learned from developing political-level and Theater-Commander-level decision models for Use in the Rand Strategy assessment system (rsas). Thèse knowledge-based models (called Red agents) can represent alternative mindsets and alternative Military strategies.
Book Synopsis Rand's Strategic assessment center by :
Download or read book Rand's Strategic assessment center written by and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book A Rand Note written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Treatment of Escalation in the Rand Strategy Assessment Center by : Charles Louis Glaser
Download or read book Treatment of Escalation in the Rand Strategy Assessment Center written by Charles Louis Glaser and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Treatment of Escalation in the Rand Strategy Assessment Center by : Charles Glaser
Download or read book Treatment of Escalation in the Rand Strategy Assessment Center written by Charles Glaser and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Rand Note reviews mechanisms of escalation that should be included in the work of the Rand Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC), and discusses alternative ways of doing so analytically. It assumes that the reader is familiar with the RSAC's objectives, technical approach, and terminology. The appendix discusses some of these matters briefly. The Note begins by discussing the relationship between escalation for direct military benefit and escalation as a form of generalized bargaining in the sense of Schelling. It then identifies six important factors causing escalation to become difficult to control. Having outlined the escalation issues to be addressed and some of the relevant variables to be included in RSAC exercises, the Note considers two analytic techniques for doing so: formal decision analysis and heuristic rule-based modeling. The Note concludes that decision analysis may be invaluable for developing and evaluating rules even if little vestige of formal analysis will exist explicitly in most of the final Red and Blue Agent programs. (Authors).
Book Synopsis Modeling of Soft Factors in the Rand Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Modeling of Soft Factors in the Rand Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reflecting "soft factors" (defined as factors not yet reflected explicitly in analysis, and not yet well understood) has been a major goal since the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) was designed in 1982. This paper discusses how selected soft factors have been and could be represented in combat models, theater-level decision models dealing with command-control issues, and national-command-level models dealing with issues of national policy, strategy, and controls. The paper also discusses the (limited) empirical basis for the assumptions used and speculates about the degree to which the empirical and subjective bases could be improved. Finally, it notes several recent examples of policy-level analysis that have been strongly affected by assumptions about soft factors involving human and organizational issues--notably factors involving readiness, surprise, national fighting quality, the break-point phenomenon, and command-control adaptability.
Book Synopsis Design for an Advanced Red Agent for the Rand Strategy Assessment Center by : Randall Steeb
Download or read book Design for an Advanced Red Agent for the Rand Strategy Assessment Center written by Randall Steeb and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 1983 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes Rand's proposed approach for building an advanced 'Red Agent' computer model to describe Soviet behavior in the context of an automated war game. The advanced (Mark III) Red Agent described in this report will use and extend state-of-the-art (artificial) intelligence techniques to produce an extremely flexible model able to reflect the best-estimate and contrary-view concepts on likely Soviet political-military behavior in major superpower conflicts. (Author).
Book Synopsis Rand's Experience in Applying Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Strategic-level Military-political War Gaming by : Paul K. Davis
Download or read book Rand's Experience in Applying Artificial Intelligence Techniques to Strategic-level Military-political War Gaming written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper highlights some recent experience in Rand's Strategy Assessment Center (RSAC), a large-scale DoD program to develop new concepts and techniques combining features of war gaming and analytic modeling. The centerpiece of the program is a system for automated war gaming in which some or all political and military national decisions can be made by automatons, and in which both force operations and combat are described by theater and strategic-level models. The RSAC development program is providing a wealth of technical and managerial lessons in adapting and extending such artificial intelligence (AI) techniques as scripts, production rules, English-readable programming languages, goal-directed search, and pattern matching. Most previous AI applications have dealt with smaller and less-complex problems, and have not had to combine AI techniques with those of well-structured system programming and algorithmic combat modeling. Also, the RSAC integration effort has brought together professionals from at least a half-dozen cultures with good ideas but different notions of what constitutes good practice and natural logic. The experience has been illuminating, and the emerging synthesis is unlike previous simulations of which we are aware. (Author).
Book Synopsis The Rand Strategy Assessment System's Green Agent Model of Third-country Behavior in Superpower Crises and Conflict by : Rand Corporation
Download or read book The Rand Strategy Assessment System's Green Agent Model of Third-country Behavior in Superpower Crises and Conflict written by Rand Corporation and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Green Agent, formerly called Scenario Agent, is the Rand Strategy Assessment System's (RSAS's) rule-based computer model of third-country political-military behavior in conflicts involving one or both superpowers. This Note describes the third-generation version, and supersedes all previous Scenario Agent documentation. The Note provides information needed to set up and run the Green Agent in RSAS war games. It should be of interest both to political-military analysts and to modelers.
Book Synopsis Adapting the RAND Strategy Assessment System to Force Assessment Studies in the Joint Staff by : Robert Dale Howe
Download or read book Adapting the RAND Strategy Assessment System to Force Assessment Studies in the Joint Staff written by Robert Dale Howe and published by . This book was released on 1991-01-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report documents the results of an effort undertaken for the Capabilities Assessment Division (CAD) of the Joint Staff. The project had two purposes: (1) to demonstrate that the operations and output of the RAND Strategy Assessment System (RSAS) could be calibrated to that of other models and games currently employed by CAD, and (2) to allow CAD to evaluate the utility of the RSAS for their purposes. This report outlines what was done in this effort, how it was done, and the degree to which the results were acceptable to CAD. RSAS proved valuable for many of CAD's assessments. In particular, the combination of analytic war plans and analyst plans used in this work proved quite flexible and robust in controlling and modifying scenario details during the course of the assessments. The most pronounced shortcoming of the RSAS from CAD's perspective is the underdeveloped state of the naval models. The work reported here also resulted in several improvements being made to the baseline RSAS system, including changes to graphics software, force data, and air warfare modeling.
