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Author : Folarin Adekoya
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (911 download)
Download or read book Production Decline Analysis of Horizontal Well in Gas Shale Reservoirs written by Folarin Adekoya and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Hedong Sun
Publisher : Gulf Professional Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0128026278
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (28 download)
Download or read book Advanced Production Decline Analysis and Application written by Hedong Sun and published by Gulf Professional Publishing. This book was released on 2015-02-12 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years, production decline-curve analysis has become the most widely used tool in the industry for oil and gas reservoir production analysis. However, most curve analysis is done by computer today, promoting a "black-box" approach to engineering and leaving engineers with little background in the fundamentals of decline analysis. Advanced Production Decline Analysis and Application starts from the basic concept of advanced production decline analysis, and thoroughly discusses several decline methods, such as Arps, Fetkovich, Blasingame, Agarwal-Gardner, NPI, transient, long linear flow, and FMB. A practical systematic introduction to each method helps the reservoir engineer understand the physical and mathematical models, solve the type curves and match up analysis, analyze the processes and examples, and reconstruct all the examples by hand, giving way to master the fundamentals behind the software. An appendix explains the nomenclature and major equations, and as an added bonus, online computer programs are available for download. Understand the most comprehensive and current list of decline methods, including Arps, Fetkovich, Blasingame, and Agarwal-Gardner Gain expert knowledge with principles, processes, real-world cases and field examples Includes online downloadable computer programs on Blasingame decline type curves and normalized pseudo-pressure of gas wells
Author : Seth C Harris
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (881 download)
Download or read book A Study of Decline Curve Analysis in the Elm Coulee Field written by Seth C Harris and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the last two years, due in part to the collapse of natural gas prices, the oil industry has turned its focus from shale gas exploration to shale oil/tight oil. Some of the important plays under development include the Bakken, Eagle Ford, and Niobrara. New decline curve methods have been developed to replace the standard Arps model for use in shale gas wells, but much less study has been done to verify the accuracy of these methods in shale oil wells. The examples that I investigated were Arps with a 5% minimum decline rate as well as the stretched exponential model (SEPD) and the Duong method. There is a great amount of uncertainty about how to calculate reserves in shale reservoirs with long multi-fractured horizontals, since these wells have not yet been produced to abandonment. Although the Arps model can reliably describe conventional reservoir production decline, it is still uncertain which empirical decline curve method best describes a shale oil well to get a rapid assessment of expected recovery. My focus began in the oil window of the Eagle Ford, but I ultimately chose to study the Elm Coulee field (Bakken formation) instead to see what lessons an older tight oil play could lend to newer plays such as the Eagle Ford. Contrary to existing literature, I have found evidence from diagnostic plots that many horizontal wells in the Elm Coulee that began producing in 2006 and 2007 have entered boundary-dominated flow. In order to accommodate boundary flow I have modified the Duong and SEPD methods such that once boundary-dominated flow begins the decline is described by an Arps curve with a b-value of 0.3. What I found from hindcasting was that early production history, up to six months, is generally detrimental to accurate forecasting in the Elm Coulee. This was particularly true for the Arps with 5% minimum decline or the Duong method. Early production history often contains apparent bilinear flow or no discernible trend. There are many possible reasons for this, particularly the rapid decrease in bottomhole pressure and production of fracture fluid. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/151644
Author : Hammad Ahmed
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (132 download)
Download or read book History-matching and Forecasting of Three Unconventional Oil and Gas Reservoirs Using Decline Analyses and Type Curves written by Hammad Ahmed and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reservoir modeling of shale gas and tight oil presents numerous challenges due to complicated transport mechanisms and the existence of fracture networks. Even then, oil and gas companies have not slowed down on shale hydrocarbon investment and production using horizontal well drilling and hydraulic fracturing techniques. Many small oil companies may not have the budget to build a reservoir model which typically requires drilling test wells and performing well logging measurements. Even for large oil companies, building a reservoir model is not worthwhile for the evaluation of small-scale oil fields. Comprehensive numerical simulation methods are likely impractical in those cases. Decline Curve Analysis (DCA) is one of the most convenient and practical techniques in order to forecast the production of these reservoirs. With the rapid increase in shale hydrocarbon production over the past 30 years, there have been numerous production data for shale gas reservoirs. Many different DCA models have been constructed to model the shale hydrocarbon production rate, from the classical Arps to the latest and more advanced models; each has its advantages and shortcomings. In practice and in all existing commercial DCA software, most of these DCA models are implemented and open to be used. Most of the deterministic DCA models are empirical and lack a physical background so that they cannot be used for history-matching of the reservoir properties. In this study, popular DCA models for shale gas reservoirs are reviewed, including the types of reservoirs they fit. Their advantages and disadvantages have also been presented. This work will serve as a guideline for petroleum engineers to determine which DCA models should be applied to different shale hydrocarbon fields and production periods. The research objective also includes evaluating the performance of top unconventional plays (Bakken, Barnett, and Eagle Ford). Productions by counties are analyzed and compared to see how they stack up against each other. One section of this study also sheds some light on the future of shale gas and tight oil plays based on the simulation of models created.
Author : James Cody Statton
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (84 download)
Download or read book Application of the Stretched Exponential Production Decline Model to Forecast Production in Shale Gas Reservoirs written by James Cody Statton and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Production forecasting in shale (ultra-low permeability) gas reservoirs is of great interest due to the advent of multi-stage fracturing and horizontal drilling. The well renowned production forecasting model, Arps' Hyperbolic Decline Model, is widely used in industry to forecast shale gas wells. Left unconstrained, the model often overestimates reserves by a great deal. A minimum decline rate is imposed to prevent overestimation of reserves but with less than ten years of production history available to analyze, an accurate minimum decline rate is currently unknown; an educated guess of 5% minimum decline is often imposed. Other decline curve models have been proposed with the theoretical advantage of being able to match linear flow followed by a transition to boundary dominated flow. This thesis investigates the applicability of the Stretched Exponential Production Decline Model (SEPD) and compares it to the industry standard, Arps' with a minimum decline rate. When possible, we investigate an SEPD type curve. Simulated data is analyzed to show advantages of the SEPD model and provide a comparison to Arps' model with an imposed minimum decline rate of 5% where the full production history is known. Long-term production behavior is provided by an analytical solution for a homogenous reservoir with homogenous hydraulic fractures. Various simulations from short-term linear flow (~1 year) to long-term linear flow (~20 years) show the ability of the models to handle onset of boundary dominated flow at various times during production history. SEPD provides more accurate reserves estimates when linear flow ends at 5 years or earlier. Both models provide sufficient reserves estimates for longer-term linear flow scenarios. Barnett Shale production data demonstrates the ability of the models to forecast field data. Denton and Tarrant County wells are analyzed as groups and individually. SEPD type curves generated with 2004 well groups provide forecasts for wells drilled in subsequent years. This study suggests a type curve is most useful when 24 months or less is available to forecast. The SEPD model generally provides more conservative forecasts and EUR estimates than Arps' model with a minimum decline rate of 5%.
Author : Liehui Zhang
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444643168
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)
Download or read book Well Production Performance Analysis for Shale Gas Reservoirs written by Liehui Zhang and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2019-05-16 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Well Production Performance Analysis for Shale Gas Reservoirs, Volume 66 presents tactics and discussions that are urgently needed by the petroleum community regarding unconventional oil and gas resources development and production. The book breaks down the mechanics of shale gas reservoirs and the use of mathematical models to analyze their performance. Features an in-depth analysis of shale gas horizontal fractured wells and how they differ from their conventional counterparts Includes detailed information on the testing of fractured horizontal wells before and after fracturing Offers in-depth analysis of numerical simulation and the importance of this tool for the development of shale gas reservoirs
Author : Kananek Harongjit
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 568 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (895 download)
Download or read book Better Understanding of Production Decline in Shale Gas Wells written by Kananek Harongjit and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 568 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Production data from the Eagle Ford shale (an analog to the Alaska Shublik shale) was collected from two neighboring counties and analyzed to correlate well performance with completion parameters including length of horizontal wellbore and number of hydraulic fracturing stages. Thirty-eight dry gas wells with production history range of 18-43 months were analyzed using 6 different decline curve analysis (DCA) models including Arps' exponential, harmonic and hyperbolic, power law exponential (PLE), logistic growth analysis (LGA) and Duong's models. In the matching process, 2/3 of history was used to tune the DCA models and their forecasts were compared to the remaining 1/3 of real history. The matching results were analyzed based on production history length and flow regime to have better understanding of limitations and capabilities of each DCA model. Reservoir simulation models, constructed using range of realistic data and actual completion practices of 4 select wells, were employed to assess reasonable values of remaining reserve and remaining well life that were used as benchmarks for comparison with DCA results. The results showed that there was no strong correlation between well performance (average first year production rate) and the horizontal leg or the number of fracturing stages. This was an indication of extremely heterogeneous medium. In most cases, the accuracy of the DCA models increased when longer production history was used to tune the model parameters. LGA seems to be the most accurate DCA model since it gave the highest matching accuracy 71% of the total wells when using longest history length of 31 months. As the flow regime is concerned, LGA model also performed very well matched in 57% of the wells exhibiting only transient flow and 63% for the wells showing transient flow during early production time followed by boundary-dominated flow during late production. Moreover, the remaining reserve and well life of the select wells predicted by LGA fell into reasonably close range of the estimates from the reservoir simulations.
Author : Babak Akbarnejad Nesheli
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (813 download)
Download or read book Stretched Exponential Decline Model as a Probabilistic and Deterministic Tool for Production Forecasting and Reserve Estimation in Oil and Gas Shales written by Babak Akbarnejad Nesheli and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today everyone seems to agree that ultra-low permeability and shale reservoirs have become the potentials to transform North America's oil and gas industry to a new phase. Unfortunately, transient flow is of long duration (perhaps life of the well) in ultra-low permeability reservoirs, and traditional decline curve analysis (DCA) models can lead to significantly over-optimistic production forecasts without additional safeguards. Stretched Exponential decline model (SEDM) gives considerably more stabilized production forecast than traditional DCA models and in this work it is shown that it produces unchanging EUR forecasts after only two-three years of production data are available in selected reservoirs, notably the Barnett Shale. For an individual well, the SEDM model parameters, can be determined by the method of least squares in various ways, but the inherent nonlinear character of the least squares problem cannot be bypassed. To assure a unique solution to the parameter estimation problem, this work suggests a physics-based regularization approach, based on critical velocity concept. Applied to selected Barnett Shale gas wells, the suggested method leads to reliable and consistent EURs. To further understand the interaction of the different fracture properties on reservoir response and production decline curve behavior, a series of Discrete Fracture Network (DFN) simulations were performed. Results show that at least a 3-layer model is required to reproduce the decline behavior as captured in the published SEDM parameters for Barnett Shale. Further, DFN modeling implies a large number of parameters like fracture density and fracture length are in such a way that their effect can be compensated by the other one. The results of DFN modeling of several Barnett Shale horizontal wells, with numerous fracture stages, showed a very good agreement with the estimated SEDM model for the same wells. Estimation of P90 reserves that meet SEC criteria is required by law for all companies that raise capital in the United States. Estimation of P50 and P10 reserves that meet SPE/WPC/AAPG/SPEE Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) criteria is important for internal resource inventories for most companies. In this work a systematic methodology was developed to quantify the range of uncertainty in production forecast using SEDM. This methodology can be used as a probabilistic tool to quantify P90, P50, and P10 reserves and hence might provide one possible way to satisfy the various legal and technical-society-suggested criteria.
Author : Peter O. Ikewun
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (81 download)
Download or read book Production Optimization and Forecasting of Shale Gas Wells Using Simulation Models and Decline Curve Analysis written by Peter O. Ikewun and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Production data from the Eagle Ford shale (an analogue to the Shublik shale of Alaska) was compiled from three neighboring counties and analyzed using decline curve analysis (DCA) to correlate production performance with completion method (horizontal leg/stages of fracture) and length of horizontal leg. Generic simulation models were built and run using a realistic range of properties. Simulation results provided a better understanding of interplay between static properties and dynamic behavior. Results from the DCA of 24 producing wells with production histories of 9-57 months showed, for most cases, an increase in reserves with more fracture stages. However, the DCA generated different forecasts depending on which part of the data were used. This clearly indicated the need for running simulations. Simulation runs can generate more reliable production forecast of which the decline part can be used to evaluate the capability of DCA to reproduce the production profiles. A combination of simulation models and DCA was used to optimize production and forecasting. Simulation models were used to optimize production for a range of different reservoir and completion parameters. The ability for DCA to reproduce simulated results (built with similar data from the Eagle Ford) for wells with different production periods was also analyzed. This results in better and more reliable production forecasts for the Eagle Ford and other young producing shale reservoirs possessing short production history. Modeling of the complex reservoir geometry and fracture networks of these types of reservoirs would give an extensive understanding of the flow mechanics.
Author : Ibrahim Alkassim
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (69 download)
Download or read book Using Decline Map Anlaysis (DMA) to Test Well Completion Influence on Gas Production Decline Curves in Barnett Shale (Denton, Wise, and Tarrant Counties) written by Ibrahim Alkassim and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The increasing interest and focus on unconventional reservoirs is a result of the industry's direction toward exploring alternative energy sources. It is due to the fact that conventional reservoirs are being depleted at a fast pace. Shale gas reservoirs are a very favorable type of energy sources due to their low cost and long-lasting gas supply. In general, according to Ausubel (1996), natural gas serves as a transition stage to move from the current oil-based energy sources to future more stable and environment-friendly ones. By looking through production history in the U.S Historical Production Database, HPDI (2009), we learn that the Barnett Shale reservoir in Newark East Field has been producing since the early 90's and contributing a fraction of the U.S daily gas production. Zhao et al. (2007) estimated the Barnett Shale to be producing 1.97 Bcf/day of gas in 2007. It is considered the most productive unconventional gas shale reservoir in Texas. By 2004 and in terms of annual gas production volume, Pollastro (2007) considered the Barnett Shale as the second largest unconventional gas reservoir in the United States. Many studies have been conducted to understand better the production controls in Barnett Shale. However, this giant shale gas reservoir is still ambiguous. Some parts of this puzzle are still missing. It is not fully clear what makes the Barnett well produce high or low amounts of gas. Barnett operating companies are still trying to answer these questions. This study adds to the Barnett chain of studies. It tests the effects of the following on Barnett gas production in the core area (Denton, Wise, and Tarrant counties): * Barnett gross thickness, including the Forestburg formation that divides Barnett Shale. * Perforation footage. * Perforated zones of Barnett Shale. Instead of testing these parameters on each well production decline curve individually, this study uses a new technique to simplify this process. Decline Map Analysis (DMA) is introduced to measure the effects of these parameters on all production decline curves at the same time. Through this study, Barnett gross thickness and perforation footage are found not to have any definite effects on Barnett gas production. However, zone 3 (Top of Lower Barnett) and zone 1 (Bottom of Lower Barnett) are found to contribute to cumulative production. Zone 2 (Middle of Lower Barnett) and zone 4 (Upper Barnett), on the other hand, did not show any correlation or influence on production through their thicknesses.
Author : Dong Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (954 download)
Download or read book Evaluation of the Stretched Exponential Production Decline Model and Comparison to Other Decline Models for Shale Reservoirs written by Dong Li and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The discovery and development of shale oil/gas has changed the energy industry. By 2040, shale gas production will account for 50% of the total natural gas production of the U.S. Due to the extremely low permeability of shale reservoirs, shale gas wells exhibit much longer transient flow periods than conventional wells, and this makes it inappropriate to use conventional methods of evaluating estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) of wells in these reservoirs. Therefore, new methods of forecasting shale wells are needed. In this study, I focused on the stretched exponential production decline model (SEPD), and particularly Yu’s modification of the model (YM-SEPD). I compared the results with other methods, including Duong’s method, and the Arps hyperbolic model. SEPD provided the most reliable EURs for shale gas well when excluding early off-trend data. YM-SEPD gave results comparable to SEPD and is much easier to apply. It is therefore the method we recommend for shale wells.
Author : Dieudonne K. Delaihdem
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (876 download)
Download or read book Decline Curve Analysis and Enhanced Shale Oil Recovery Based on Eagle Ford Shale Data written by Dieudonne K. Delaihdem and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Transient and fracture dominated flow regimes in tight permeability shale reservoirs with hydraulically fractured horizontal wells impose many unconventional challenges. These include execution of appropriate shale decline curve analysis and the optimization of hydrocarbons recovery. Additionally, short production profiles available are inadequate for accurate production decline analysis. This research assessed the effectiveness of Arps' decline curve analysis and recently established methods--power law exponential analysis, logistic growth analysis, Duong's method and the author's approach--to predict future production of horizontal wells in the Eagle Ford Shale. Simulation models investigated history matching, enhanced shale oil recovery, and drainage area beyond stimulated reservoir volume. Traditional Arps' hyperbolic method sufficiently analyzed past production rates, but inaccurately forecasted cumulative productions. The recent decline models show slight variations in their past performance evaluations and forecasting future production trends. The technique proposed and used in this work enhanced the successful application of Arps' hyperbolic decline from 32.5% to 80%. Simulation results indicate 4.0% primary oil recovery factor and 5.8% enhanced shale oil recovery factor using CO2 miscible injection. Based on pressure observed outside of the stimulated reservoir volume, limited to the range of data used in this study, drainage area outside stimulated reservoir volume is not significant.
Author : Clarkson C.R.
Publisher : Gulf Professional Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0323901174
Total Pages : 1144 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (239 download)
Download or read book Unconventional Reservoir Rate-Transient Analysis written by Clarkson C.R. and published by Gulf Professional Publishing. This book was released on 2021-06-15 with total page 1144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unconventional Reservoir Rate-Transient Analysis provides petroleum engineers and geoscientists with the first comprehensive review of rate-transient analysis (RTA) methods as applied to unconventional reservoirs. Volume One—Fundamentals, Analysis Methods, and Workflow is comprised of five chapters which address key concepts and analysis methods used in RTA. This volume overviews the fundamentals of RTA, as applied to low-permeability oil and gas reservoirs exhibiting simple reservoir and fluid characteristics. Volume Two—Application to Complex Reservoirs, Exploration and Development is comprised of four chapters that demonstrate how RTA can be applied to coalbed methane reservoirs, shale gas reservoirs, and low-permeability/shale reservoirs exhibiting complex behavior such as multiphase flow. Use of RTA to assist exploration and development programs in unconventional reservoirs is also demonstrated. This book will serve as a critical guide for students, academics, and industry professionals interested in applying RTA methods to unconventional reservoirs. Gain a comprehensive review of key concepts and analysis methods used in modern rate-transient analysis (RTA) as applied to low-permeability ("tight") oil and gas reservoirs Improve your RTA methods by providing reservoir/hydraulic fracture properties and hydrocarbon-in-place estimates for unconventional gas and light oil reservoirs exhibiting complex reservoir behaviors Understand the provision of a workflow for confident application of RTA to unconventional reservoirs
Author : Pichit Vardcharragosad
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (94 download)
Download or read book Long-term Well Performance Prediction in Unconventionaltight Gas And Shale Gas Reservoirs written by Pichit Vardcharragosad and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unconventional tight gas and shale gas are the largest and fastest growing natural gas supply in the US. Natural gas produced from tight gas and shale gas reservoirs accounts for 60% of U.S. natural gas production in 2011. This number is expected to increase to 73% in 2040 (EIA, 2013). The lack of understanding and the lack of tools that can be applied to these unconventional plays are the major challenges. In unconventional tight gas and shale gas, the conventional reservoir engineering tools have been proven to be unsuccessful because they fail to capture the large differences in physical properties which heavily impact the production behaviors. The main differences include the ultra-low permeability of the formation, presence of adsorbed phase, and the need for multi-stage hydraulically fractured horizontal well completion to create massive flow area.This study aims to develop new reservoir engineering analysis techniques which fully apply for unconventional tight gas and shale gas reservoirs. The new techniques should be able to capture the reservoir responses that are characterized by the transient flow regime and the multi-mechanistic flow in ultra-low permeability formations, the complex flow pattern from hydraulic fracture completion, and the natural gas desorption. We focus on formulating the fundamental, physics-based governing equation for these tight gas and shale gas reservoirs, as well as the long-term analysis and prediction tools that can capture their physical properties. The research applies new promising tools, a density approach, which was proposed to the industry by our research group. In the density method, gas diffusivity equation will be solved in a density-based form, and effects of reservoir depletion on fluid properties are captured through dimensionless variable, [lambda]-[beta]. The density method has been proven to be a reliable production data analysis tool applicable to conventional gas reservoirs produced under constant flowing pressure, constant flow rate, variable pressure/rate constraint as well as in reservoirs with significant rock compressibility. In this thesis, we prove that density-based technique can be further extended to analyze production data from i) gas linear and fractal flow under boundary dominating condition, ii) gas radial, linear, and fractal flow with significant transient flow period, and iii) gas flow under slippage and desorption effects. We demonstrate that [lambda]-[beta] can effectively quantify effects of depletion on gas properties in reservoirs with linear, radial, and fractal flow. We also show how to incorporate slippage and desorption effects as well as transient flow effect by properly modified definitions of [lambda]-[beta]. Based on these results, we are able to show that the density-based production analysis tools, originally developed for conventional gas reservoirs under boundary dominated radial flow, can be applied to predict and analyze production from unconventional gas reservoirs. In addition, we are able to use these density-based tools to analyze the impact of flow geometries on production decline behavior of gas wells.
Author : Raul Alberto Gonzalez Jimenez
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (865 download)
Download or read book Using Decline Curve Analysis, Volumetric Analysis, and Bayesian Methodology to Quantify Uncertainty in Shale Gas Reserve Estimates written by Raul Alberto Gonzalez Jimenez and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probabilistic decline curve analysis (PDCA) methods have been developed to quantify uncertainty in production forecasts and reserves estimates. However, the application of PDCA in shale gas reservoirs is relatively new. Limited work has been done on the performance of PDCA methods when the available production data are limited. In addition, PDCA methods have often been coupled with Arp's equations, which might not be the optimum decline curve analysis model (DCA) to use, as new DCA models for shale reservoirs have been developed. Also, decline curve methods are based on production data only and do not by themselves incorporate other types of information, such as volumetric data. My research objective was to integrate volumetric information with PDCA methods and DCA models to reliably quantify the uncertainty in production forecasts from hydraulically fractured horizontal shale gas wells, regardless of the stage of depletion. In this work, hindcasts of multiple DCA models coupled to different probabilistic methods were performed to determine the reliability of the probabilistic DCA methods. In a hindcast, only a portion of the historical data is matched; predictions are made for the remainder of the historical period and compared to the actual historical production. Most of the DCA models were well calibrated visually when used with an appropriate probabilistic method, regardless of the amount of production data available to match. Volumetric assessments, used as prior information, were incorporated to further enhance the calibration of production forecasts and reserves estimates when using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) as the PDCA method and the logistic growth DCA model. The proposed combination of the MCMC PDCA method, the logistic growth DCA model, and use of volumetric data provides an integrated procedure to reliably quantify the uncertainty in production forecasts and reserves estimates in shale gas reservoirs. Reliable quantification of uncertainty should yield more reliable expected values of reserves estimates, as well as more reliable assessment of upside and downside potential. This can be particularly valuable early in the development of a play, because decisions regarding continued development are based to a large degree on production forecasts and reserves estimates for early wells in the play. The electronic version of this dissertation is accessible from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/148436
Author : Eshwar C. Yennigalla
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (954 download)
Download or read book Study of the Effect of Fracture Completion Variables on Decline Curve Parameters for Long-term Production Forecast of Shale Liquids written by Eshwar C. Yennigalla and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shale reservoir exploitation using multiple stage hydraulically fractured horizontal wells has proved the existence of considerable amount of oil and gas reserves throughout the world. Forecasts of future production from these reservoirs based on the fracture stimulation parameters and reservoir properties has led to a better understanding of the duration of important flow regimes and parameters used in production forecasting models. The decline curve analysis considered in the study is a combination of the traditional Arps and Stretched Exponential production decline models designed to fit the forecasts for individual flow regime production data. Simulations using identical reservoir properties but different fracture completion parameters were analyzed and fit to decline models. The parameters considered in our study are fracture half-length, fracture spacing, stimulated reservoir volume permeability and matrix permeability.
Author : Kun Sang Lee
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 331929296X
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)
Download or read book Integrative Understanding of Shale Gas Reservoirs written by Kun Sang Lee and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-03 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely book begins with an overview of shale gas reservoir features such as natural fracture systems, multi-fractured horizontal wells, adsorption/desorption of methane, and non-linear flow within the reservoir. Geomechanical modelling, an aspect of importance in ultra-low permeability reservoirs, is also presented in detail. Taking these complex features of shale reservoirs into account, the authors develop a numerical model, which is verified with field data using the history matching technique. Based on this model, the pressure transient and production characteristics of a fractured horizontal well in a shale gas reservoir are analysed with respect to reservoir and fracture properties. Methods for the estimation of shale properties are also detailed. Minifrac tests, rate transient tests (RTA), and type curve matching are used to estimate the initial pressure, permeability, and fracture half-length. Lastly, future technologies such as the technique of injecting CO2 into shale reservoirs are presented. The book will be of interest to industrial practitioners, as well as to academics and graduate students in the field of reservoir engineering.
