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Price Related Anomalies And Predictability Of Stock Returns
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Book Synopsis Price- Related Anomalies and Predictability of Stock Returns by : Izz Eddien Ananzeh
Download or read book Price- Related Anomalies and Predictability of Stock Returns written by Izz Eddien Ananzeh and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Huge empirical evidence suggests that a number of fundamentals help to explain the cross-sectional pattern of asset returns. In this dissertation we expand that evidence by investigating the cross-sectional pattern of stock returns for eight emerging markets, using two methodologies. Vector Auto regressive Approach (VAR) in conducting the inference about the ability of dividend yields to predict stock returns, and "between estimator" panel data regression in conducting the inference about the ability of price-earning ratio, book-to-market ratio, market capitalization, and beta to predict stock returns. Our results confirm some of the existing evidence for developed markets. Firstly, we report that dividend yield shocks play an important role in driving fluctuation in stock returns and this relation is positive. Secondly, we report that betas have a significant explanatory power in four markets and the sign is positive, which means that our result goes with same line of CAPM, but in the other hand, P/E, B/M, and MCAP all failed to capture any power to predict stock returns.
Book Synopsis Stock Market Anomalies by : Elroy Dimson
Download or read book Stock Market Anomalies written by Elroy Dimson and published by CUP Archive. This book was released on 1988-03-17 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Predictability of Stock Returns by : Zhong-guo Zhou
Download or read book The Predictability of Stock Returns written by Zhong-guo Zhou and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Chapter 25 written by Steve Z. Fan and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock market anomalies representing the predictability of cross-sectional stock returns are one of most controversial topics in financial economic research. This chapter reviews several well-documented and pervasive anomalies in the literature, including investment-related anomalies, value anomalies, momentum and long-term reversal, size, and accruals. Although anomalies are widely accepted, much disagreement exists on the underlying reasons for their predictability. This chapter surveys two competing theories that attempt to explain the presence of stock market anomalies: rational and behavioral. The rational explanation focuses on the improvement of the existing asset pricing models and/or searching for additional risk factors to explain the existence of anomalies. By contrast, the behavioral explanation attributes the predictability to human behavioral biases in collecting and processing financial information, as well as in making investment decisions.
Book Synopsis Stock Return Predictability and the Drift Between the Outcomes of Portfolio Investment Strategies by : Dirk P.M. De Wit
Download or read book Stock Return Predictability and the Drift Between the Outcomes of Portfolio Investment Strategies written by Dirk P.M. De Wit and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Anomalies found in tests of market efficiency do not necessarily imply that security prices do not reflect all available information, as the asset-pricing model used to describe the return generating process might also be false. In the present study, this joint hypothesis problem does not arise, because no use is made of an asset-pricing model. Instead, stock return predictability is tested by verifying whether the underlying variables of the drift between different types of indexes are correlated. This unambiguously tests for the sources of return predictability, which can be related to empirical anomalies, such as the "firm-size effect" and the "winner-loser effect". The drift between indexes is large if the (cross-sectional) variation of the underlying variables is large relative to their mean values, and vice versa. The size-related drift, for instance, is shown to be particularly large, but it also appears to be easily rendered statistically insignificant.
Book Synopsis Oil Price Shocks and Stock Return Predictability by : Lars Qvigstad Sørensen
Download or read book Oil Price Shocks and Stock Return Predictability written by Lars Qvigstad Sørensen and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent research has documented that oil price changes lead the aggregate market in most industrialized countries, and has argued that it represents an anomaly - an underreaction to information that investors can profit from. I identify oil price changes that are caused by exogenous events and show that it is only these oil price changes that predict stock returns. The exogenous events usually correspond to periods of extreme turmoil - either military conflicts in the Middle East or OPEC collapses. Given the source of the predictability, I question its usefulness as a trading strategy and its representation as an anomaly.
Book Synopsis The Value of Social Media for Predicting Stock Returns by : Michael Nofer
Download or read book The Value of Social Media for Predicting Stock Returns written by Michael Nofer and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-21 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Michael Nofer examines whether and to what extent Social Media can be used to predict stock returns. Market-relevant information is available on various platforms on the Internet, which largely consist of user generated content. For instance, emotions can be extracted in order to identify the investors' risk appetite and in turn the willingness to invest in stocks. Discussion forums also provide an opportunity to identify opinions on certain companies. Taking Social Media platforms as examples, the author examines the forecasting quality of user generated content on the Internet.
Author :Victor Silverio Posadas Hernandez Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3835091034 Total Pages :205 pages Book Rating :4.8/5 (35 download)
Book Synopsis Stock Market Anomalies by : Victor Silverio Posadas Hernandez
Download or read book Stock Market Anomalies written by Victor Silverio Posadas Hernandez and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-11-03 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Victor Silverio Posadas Hernandez explores three sets of questions: What are the investment laws in the Latin American emerging markets (LAEM) and how do they compare to those of developed countries? How heterogeneous are the implicit trading costs in the LAEM and which factors are responsible for the heterogeneity? How does the predictability of stock returns in the LAEM differ from those documented for developed markets?
Book Synopsis Economic Links and Cross-predictability of Stock Returns by : Sebastian Müller
Download or read book Economic Links and Cross-predictability of Stock Returns written by Sebastian Müller and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Prior research has shown that information diffuses gradually across stocks that are economically linked at the industry level. I document a similar pattern when stock portfolios are formed based on characteristics that are used in the anomaly literature (e.g., size, value, asset growth). Specifically, characteristics are useful to identify economic links, and earnings surprises contain information about future returns of other firms that share similar characteristics (i.e., “similar-style” firms). Such style-based earnings surprises can be used to predict style returns in the time-series. For the cross-section of stocks, I create a composite style-based earnings surprise measure (SESM), which generates an equal-weighted (value-weighted) long-short strategy return of 167 (101) basis points per month. I do not find that industry spillovers, the traditional post-earnings announcement drift, unconditional abnormal style returns, or risk can explain the return predictability. My findings suggest a further channel of gradual information diffusion in security markets.
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Book Synopsis Security Market Imperfections in Worldwide Equity Markets by : Donald B. Keim
Download or read book Security Market Imperfections in Worldwide Equity Markets written by Donald B. Keim and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-03-13 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study of security market imperfections, namely the predictability of equity stock returns, is one of the fundamental research areas in financial modelling. These anomalies, which are not consistent with existing theories, concern the relation between stock returns and variables, such as firm size and earnings-to-price ratios, and seasonal effects, such as January and turn-of-the-month. This book provides the most complete and current account of work in the area. Leading academics and investment researchers have combined to produce a comprehensive coverage of the subject, including both cross-sectional and time series analyses, as well as discussing the measurement of risk and prediction models that have been used by institutional investors. The studies cover many worldwide markets including the US, Japan, Asia, and Europe. The book will be invaluable for courses in financial engineering, investment and portfolio management, and as a reference for investment professionals seeking an up-to-date source on return predictability.
Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell
Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Book Synopsis Predictability of Stock Market Prices by : Clive William John Granger
Download or read book Predictability of Stock Market Prices written by Clive William John Granger and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Economic Significance of Some Simple Models of Time Series Stock Return Predictability by : Ben Jacobsen
Download or read book The Economic Significance of Some Simple Models of Time Series Stock Return Predictability written by Ben Jacobsen and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we study the economic significance of simple time series models of stock return predictability. We investigate the practical usefulness of recent findings on time series return predictability of stock returns and their volatility for dynamic tactical asset allocation decisions. We introduce a mean variance investor with an investment horizon of one year who takes investment decisions daily. When stock returns follow a random walk this investor holds constant proportions of a stock market index and a risk free asset. Using past data and knowledge of some well known return predictability results (i.e. predictability based on calendar anomalies and predictability from economic variables like dividend yields and short term interest rates), we evaluate whether, how and to what extent these predictability results might affect his investment decisions. For this investor we also investigate the practical usefulness of knowledge about the predictability over time of market volatility. The design we choose is as follows. We give the predictability results the benefit of the doubt and assume that all the estimates and models are correct and indeed accurately describe the true return generating process. We then analyze analytically, numerically and by Monte Carlo simulation the effect of investment decisions--conditional on these predictability results--on the return distribution of his portfolio. We also introduce transactions costs in this setting; these influence investment choices. Our main findings are that small transactions costs substantially reduce potential benefits of trading on calendar anomalies. Generally, however trading remains profitable under the assumption that stock market returns are partially predictable from economic variables like dividend yields and interest rates. This holds for relatively large transactions costs. Trading on volatility predictability is not profitable, except in the case of negligible transactions costs.
Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Book Synopsis Three Essays on Predictability and Seasonality in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Vincent Jean Bogousslavsky
Download or read book Three Essays on Predictability and Seasonality in the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Vincent Jean Bogousslavsky and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mots-clés de l'auteur: Return Predictability ; Return Seasonality ; Asset Pricing Anomalies ; Intraday Returns ; Liquidity ; Infrequent Rebalancing.
Book Synopsis Pseudo-Predictability in Conditional Asset Pricing Tests Explaining Anomaly Performance with Politics, the Weather, Global Warming, Sunspots, and the Stars by :
Download or read book Pseudo-Predictability in Conditional Asset Pricing Tests Explaining Anomaly Performance with Politics, the Weather, Global Warming, Sunspots, and the Stars written by and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
