Portfolio Analysis Methods For Assessing Capability Options

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Portfolio-analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833042149
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio-analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book Portfolio-analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The research reported in this monograph is part of RAND's continuing work on practical theory and methods for capabilities-based planning in the Department of Defense (DoD) and other organizations. Its particular contribution is to describe and illustrate in some detail an analytic framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews including DoD's experimental Concept Decision Reviews and related evaluations of alternatives (Krieg, 2007). The monograph also describes newly developed enabling tools -- one for generating and screening preliminary options and one for evaluating in a portfolio-analysis structure those options that pass screening. Variants of the methods can be applied for analysis across capability areas or for strategic-level defense planning, i.e., force planning to establish the overall mix and balance of capabilities. Finally, the monograph illustrates concepts with applications to the capability areas of Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD).

Finding Candidate Options for Investment

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833044885
Total Pages : 87 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Finding Candidate Options for Investment by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book Finding Candidate Options for Investment written by Paul K. Davis and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2008-04-09 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Description of a methodology and a prototype tool, Building Blocks To Composite Options Tool (BCOT), for identifying investment options for defense capability areas. It ensures that a broad range of options is considered initially, then uses a screening technique to narrow the range to those meriting more-extensive assessment in a fuller portfolio-analysis framework. BCOT extends classic economics and operations-research techniques and suggests pragmatic approximations, particularly in capabilities-based planning.

Capabilities-Based Planning for Energy Security at Department of Defense Installations

Author : Constantine Samaras
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833079131
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Capabilities-Based Planning for Energy Security at Department of Defense Installations by : Constantine Samaras

Download or read book Capabilities-Based Planning for Energy Security at Department of Defense Installations written by Constantine Samaras and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2013 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Department of Defense (DoD) installations rely on the commercial electricity grid for 99 percent of their electricity needs, but extensive energy delivery outages in 2012 have reinforced that the U.S. electricity grid is vulnerable to disruptions from natural hazards and actor-induced outages, such as physical or cyber attacks. In the event of a catastrophic disaster--such as a severe hurricane, massive earthquake, or large-scale terrorist attack--DoD installations would also serve as a base for emergency services. To enhance energy security, DoD has identified diversifying energy sources and increasing efficiency in DoD operations as critical goals. But how to enhance energy security across the portfolio of installations is not clear and several questions remain unanswered: Energy security for how long? Under what conditions? At what cost? The underlying analytical questions are, what critical capabilities do U.S. installations provide, and how can DoD maintain these capabilities during an energy services disruption in the most cost-effective manner? Answering these questions requires a systems approach that incorporates technological, economic, and operational uncertainties. Using portfolio analysis methods for assessing capability options, this paper presents a framework to evaluate choices among energy security strategies for DoD installations. This framework evaluates whether existing or proposed installation energy security strategies enhance DoD capabilities and evaluates strategy cost-effectiveness.

Proceedings of the 2023 3rd International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society (PMIS 2023)

Author : Nadeem Akhtar
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9464632003
Total Pages : 1418 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (646 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 2023 3rd International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society (PMIS 2023) by : Nadeem Akhtar

Download or read book Proceedings of the 2023 3rd International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society (PMIS 2023) written by Nadeem Akhtar and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-07-25 with total page 1418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is an open access book.The 3rd International Conference on Public Management and Intelligent Society(PMIS 2023) will be held on March 10-12, 2023 in Shanghai, China. PMIS 2021 and PMIS 2022 have been successfully held in the last 2 years, providing an academic exchange platform for participants from all over the world. The conference discussed the latest topics in the field of public management and intelligent society, and the wonderful presentations were given by invited distinguished speakers and praised by scholars. Building an intelligent society and studying public management have always been a leading and hot issue. PMIS 2023 will focus on public management in an intelligent society, technological innovation in an intelligent society and advanced intelligent transportation system to discuss further. The aim of PMIS 2023 is to bring together innovative academics and industrial experts in the field of Public Management and Intelligent Society to a common forum. The primary goal to promote research and developmental activities and another goal is to promote scientific information interchange between researchers, developers, students, and practitioners in related fields.

The George W. Bush Defense Program

Author : Stephen J. Cimbala
Publisher : Potomac Books, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 159797613X
Total Pages : 462 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (979 download)

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Book Synopsis The George W. Bush Defense Program by : Stephen J. Cimbala

Download or read book The George W. Bush Defense Program written by Stephen J. Cimbala and published by Potomac Books, Inc.. This book was released on 2010 with total page 462 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The events of 9/11 and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan make an obvious case for expert study of the George W. Bush defense program. During the Bush administration, the rise and fall of governments, the fates of peoples, and the very definitions of "war" and "victory" were up for discussion. The United States, with its unprecedented global military power at the dawn of the twenty-first century, created new opportunities for using foreign policy and military strategy on behalf of national and allied interests. But this power was limited, and its use against unconventional or otherwise unorthodox enemies required careful calibration of its various instruments. In this insightful series of essays edited by Stephen Cimbala, eleven academic experts prominent in the defense and security think-tank communities assess Bush's defense program. Many also have past or current experience in the U.S. government or the American armed forces. They examine Bush's defense policy and strategy across several critical issues, including Iraq, Afghanistan, terrorism, nuclear arms control, and foreign military sales. In addition, special chapters are devoted to the leadership style of former defense secretary Donald Rumsfeld, to the idea of "victory" as it might apply to Bush's defense decisions, and to the best exit strategy from Iraq for the United States. The lessons learned from the successes and failures in Bush's defense policy, clearly presented in The George W. Bush Defense Program, can also be applied to the appraisal of all presidents.

Social-Behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119484979
Total Pages : 881 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Social-Behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book Social-Behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems written by Paul K. Davis and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-03-18 with total page 881 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume describes frontiers in social-behavioral modeling for contexts as diverse as national security, health, and on-line social gaming. Recent scientific and technological advances have created exciting opportunities for such improvements. However, the book also identifies crucial scientific, ethical, and cultural challenges to be met if social-behavioral modeling is to achieve its potential. Doing so will require new methods, data sources, and technology. The volume discusses these, including those needed to achieve and maintain high standards of ethics and privacy. The result should be a new generation of modeling that will advance science and, separately, aid decision-making on major social and security-related subjects despite the myriad uncertainties and complexities of social phenomena. Intended to be relatively comprehensive in scope, the volume balances theory-driven, data-driven, and hybrid approaches. The latter may be rapidly iterative, as when artificial-intelligence methods are coupled with theory-driven insights to build models that are sound, comprehensible and usable in new situations. With the intent of being a milestone document that sketches a research agenda for the next decade, the volume draws on the wisdom, ideas and suggestions of many noted researchers who draw in turn from anthropology, communications, complexity science, computer science, defense planning, economics, engineering, health systems, medicine, neuroscience, physics, political science, psychology, public policy and sociology. In brief, the volume discusses: Cutting-edge challenges and opportunities in modeling for social and behavioral science Special requirements for achieving high standards of privacy and ethics New approaches for developing theory while exploiting both empirical and computational data Issues of reproducibility, communication, explanation, and validation Special requirements for models intended to inform decision making about complex social systems

Portfolio Decision Analysis

Author : Ahti Salo
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441999434
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Decision Analysis by : Ahti Salo

Download or read book Portfolio Decision Analysis written by Ahti Salo and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-08-12 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Portfolio Decision Analysis: Improved Methods for Resource Allocation provides an extensive, up-to-date coverage of decision analytic methods which help firms and public organizations allocate resources to 'lumpy' investment opportunities while explicitly recognizing relevant financial and non-financial evaluation criteria and the presence of alternative investment opportunities. In particular, it discusses the evolution of these methods, presents new methodological advances and illustrates their use across several application domains. The book offers a many-faceted treatment of portfolio decision analysis (PDA). Among other things, it (i) synthesizes the state-of-play in PDA, (ii) describes novel methodologies, (iii) fosters the deployment of these methodologies, and (iv) contributes to the strengthening of research on PDA. Portfolio problems are widely regarded as the single most important application context of decision analysis, and, with its extensive and unique coverage of these problems, this book is a much-needed addition to the literature. The book also presents innovative treatments of new methodological approaches and their uses in applications. The intended audience consists of practitioners and researchers who wish to gain a good understanding of portfolio decision analysis and insights into how PDA methods can be leveraged in different application contexts. The book can also be employed in courses at the post-graduate level.

Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis

Author : David C. Gompert
Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis by : David C. Gompert

Download or read book Analysis of Strategy and Strategies of Analysis written by David C. Gompert and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 2008 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a fluid global security environment such as ours, assessing the costs, risks, and likely consequences of alternative national defense strategies is as hard as it is essential. The authors show how, even in the face of uncertainty, the costs and other implications of any strategy can be assessed by examining the capabilities needed by U.S. combatant commands--the chief agents of strategy--to fulfill what the strategy expects of them.

Portfolio Analysis and Management for Naval Research and Development

Author : Richard S. Silberglitt
Publisher : Minnesota Historical Society
ISBN 13 : 9780833036810
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (368 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Analysis and Management for Naval Research and Development by : Richard S. Silberglitt

Download or read book Portfolio Analysis and Management for Naval Research and Development written by Richard S. Silberglitt and published by Minnesota Historical Society. This book was released on 2004 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Office of Naval Research (ONR) has the responsibility for defining and sponsoring research and development (R&D) necessary to support both the current and future requirements of the Navy and Marine Corps. To accomplish this mission, ONR must fund a broad spectrum of research, ranging from basic research needed to open up new options for the long-term to near-term advanced technology development to support the current fleet. Moreover, ONR must make its R&D funding decisions in the presence of uncertainty: uncertainty in required capabilities, in performance requirements, and in the feasibility of a technology or R&D approach. This monograph describes the adaptation of an R&D portfolio management (PortMan) decision framework developed by the RAND Corporation to support ONR's R&D decisionmaking, and the demonstration of its use by means of a case study evaluation of 20 sample ONR applied-research projects. PortMan computes the expected value of an R&D project as the product of three factors estimated by experts: value to the military of the capability sought through R&D, the extent to which the performance potential matches the level required to achieve the capability, and the project's transition probability. This approach allows identification of those R&D projects with high-value capabilities but formidable technical or fielding problems that remain to be solved-projects for which management attention may have the greatest leverage.

Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-entry

Author : Henry H. Willis
Publisher : Technical Report (RAND)
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 70 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-entry by : Henry H. Willis

Download or read book Measuring the Effectiveness of Border Security Between Ports-of-entry written by Henry H. Willis and published by Technical Report (RAND). This book was released on 2010 with total page 70 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report offers research and recommendations on ways to measure the overall efforts of the national border-security enterprise between ports of entry. Focusing on three missions--illegal drug control, counterterrorism, and illegal migration--this report recommends ways to measure performance of U.S. border-security efforts in terms of interdiction, deterrence, and exploiting networked intelligence.

Social Science for Counterterrorism

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Social Science for Counterterrorism by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book Social Science for Counterterrorism written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Employs an interdisciplinary, social science approach to various counterterrorism questions, problems, and policies.

Capabilities-Based Planning for Energy Security at Department of Defense Installations

Author : Constantine Samaras
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833079115
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Capabilities-Based Planning for Energy Security at Department of Defense Installations by : Constantine Samaras

Marrying Prevention and Resiliency

Author : Brian A. Jackson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Marrying Prevention and Resiliency by : Brian A. Jackson

Download or read book Marrying Prevention and Resiliency written by Brian A. Jackson and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The uncertain nature of the terrorist threat is a fundamental challenge in the design of counterterrorism policy. The author recommends a capabilities-based, portfolio approach to terrorism prevention planning. Protective portfolios would combine preventative measures and mitigation and resiliency measures to deal with the uncertain nature of the terrorist threat.

Capabilities for Joint Analysis in the Department of Defense

Author : Paul K. Davis
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780833095480
Total Pages : 129 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (954 download)

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Book Synopsis Capabilities for Joint Analysis in the Department of Defense by : Paul K. Davis

Download or read book Capabilities for Joint Analysis in the Department of Defense written by Paul K. Davis and published by . This book was released on 2016-09-30 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report stems from a congressional request for an independent report about the U.S. Department of Defense s capabilities for joint analysis and ways to improve them. Congressional concerns largely involved the activity called support for strategic analysis (SSA) and whether to revise it. The report recommends making fundamental revisions to the overall planning construct to which SSA contributes."

New Directions in Assessing Performance Potential of Individuals and Groups

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309290473
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis New Directions in Assessing Performance Potential of Individuals and Groups by : National Research Council

Download or read book New Directions in Assessing Performance Potential of Individuals and Groups written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-09-04 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As an all-volunteer service accepting applications from nearly 400,000 potential recruits annually from across the U.S. population, the U.S. military must accurately and efficiently assess the individual capability of each recruit for the purposes of selection, job classification, and unit assignment. New Directions for Assessing Performance Potential of Individuals and Groups is the summary of a workshop held April 3-4, 2013 to examine the future of military entrance assessments. This workshop was a part of the first phase of a larger study that will investigate cutting-edge research into the measurement of both individual capabilities and group composition in order to identify future research directions that may lead to improved assessment and selection of enlisted personnel for the U.S. Army. The workshop brought together scientists from a variety of relevant areas to focus on cognitive and noncognitive attributes that can be used in the initial testing and assignment of enlisted personnel. This report discusses the evolving goals of candidate testing, emerging constructs and theory, and ethical implications of testing methods.

Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming

Author : Don Snyder
Publisher : RAND Corporation
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming by : Don Snyder

Download or read book Assessing Capabilities and Risks in Air Force Programming written by Don Snyder and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 2009 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The goal of the defense budget is to deliver a portfolio of capabilities to meet a spectrum of uncertain future security environments. Despite progress in recent U.S. Air Force capabilities-based programming efforts, many limitations persist, and there are many disconnects between capability assessments and programming. To help mitigate these limitations, the findings presented here reexamine capabilities-based programming by introducing a new definition of capability metrics and a new set of algorithms for building and evaluating budgeting allocations. The capability metrics relate resources to operational-level activities in national plans, apply across a range of programs, and conform to programming boundaries. The algorithms provide the programmer with a means to quantitatively and reproducibly develop programming options in light of an uncertain future security environment, serving as a means to express capabilities and risks of resource allocations in terms of national planning objectives.

Portfolio Analysis in the Context of the Concept Decision Process

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Analysis in the Context of the Concept Decision Process by :

Download or read book Portfolio Analysis in the Context of the Concept Decision Process written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The primary purpose of the paper is to develop an approach to portfolio analysis in the Concept Decision (CD) process, which is an initiative from the 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review to improve the early stages of the defense acquisition process. The paper guides, in a general way, future practitioners in undertaking CD Evaluations of Alternatives (EoAs). The basic structure of such analyses is to identify zero-net-cost changes to the appropriate portfolio that would result in improved capabilities to meet specified challenges. The approach to portfolio analysis presented in this paper is as applicable to the tasks of the Institutional Reform and Governance (IR & G) Capabilities Portfolio Managers (CPMs) as they are to the tasks of the CD Evaluation of Alternatives study directors.