Population Projections For Hong Kong

Author : Chi-Kin Law
Publisher : Open Dissertation Press
ISBN 13 : 9781361204566
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (45 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Download or read book A Study on Population Dynamics in Hong Kong written by Chi-Kin Law and published by Open Dissertation Press. This book was released on 2017-01-26 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This dissertation, "A Study on Population Dynamics in Hong Kong" by Chi-kin, Law, 羅智健, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of thesis entitled A Study on Population Dynamics in Hong Kong Submitted By LAW Chi Kin for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong in June 2005 This thesis investigates the Hong Kong population dynamics and its implications on health care need and labour participation level for the next 30 years. An assessment of the changing fertility and profile of net movement of residents is first conducted in identifying the underlying factors for population ageing in Hong Kong. In response to the current situation on these demographic components is not coincident with the government's expectation, a new set of population projections for the next thirty years is carried out in facilitating an alternative reference to evaluate the future demographic structure of Hong Kong. Under the new compilation, it is projected that the population size would be peaked by late 2010s and a downward trend would be followed thereafter. With regards to the new population figures, its explicit and implicit implications are assessed in providing an extensive analysis on the ageing burden in Hong Kong. A patient day projection is first carried out in assessing the demographic effect on health care need and its effect on health care system under the latest projection figures in Hong Kong. Furthermore, in evaluating whether the public burden can be alleviated with the proposed health savings scheme from the health authority of Hong Kong (HWB, 2000), an assessment on its financial viability is also assessed based on current pattern on health care utilization and median earnings on workers in Hong Kong. Finally, the implicit burden on labour supply is compiled in the thesis. Owing to an improving quality of population in Hong Kong, the potential benefit for releasing potential workers into the workforce would become higher and this would become a critical issue in tackling with the ageing burden in the future. A new model in quantifying the potential productivity power is proposed and a cohort study is followed to show middle age women would constitute the most prominent share on the hidden productivity power in the next 30 years. In view of that, to establish a better environment for middle age women to be reactivated in the workforce should be prioritised in effectively tackling the future challenges arising from the population dynamics in Hong Kong. An abstract of exactly 354 words DOI: 10.5353/th_b3135531