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Author : Robin Harrison
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Periodic Integration & Cointegration written by Robin Harrison and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Hassan Shirwani
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Periodic Integration and Cointegration of U.S. Stock Prices, Dividends, and Interest Rates written by Hassan Shirwani and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a new test of the present value model of stock price determination, using some of the recent advances in the econometrics of seasonal time series. Unlike earlier studies which generally find stock prices, dividends, and interest rates to be characterized by standard nonseasonal unit roots, we find evidence of periodic seasonal integration in these variables. This means that the conventional cointegration tests may not be robust. Using a more appropriate periodic cointegration test, our results nevertheless fail to support the present value model, thus reinforcing the case against the efficient market hypothesis.
Author : G. S. Maddala
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521587822
Total Pages : 528 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (878 download)
Download or read book Unit Roots, Cointegration, and Structural Change written by G. S. Maddala and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1998 with total page 528 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of unit roots, cointegration and structural change from a best-selling author.
Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191529265
Total Pages : 166 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)
Download or read book Periodic Time Series Models written by Philip Hans Franses and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2004-03-25 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book considers periodic time series models for seasonal data, characterized by parameters that differ across the seasons, and focuses on their usefulness for out-of-sample forecasting. Providing an up-to-date survey of the recent developments in periodic time series, the book presents a large number of empirical results. The first part of the book deals with model selection, diagnostic checking and forecasting of univariate periodic autoregressive models. Tests for periodic integration, are discussed, and an extensive discussion of the role of deterministic regressors in testing for periodic integration and in forecasting is provided. The second part discusses multivariate periodic autoregressive models. It provides an overview of periodic cointegration models, as these are the most relevant. This overview contains single-equation type tests and a full-system approach based on generalized method of moments. All methods are illustrated with extensive examples, and the book will be of interest to advanced graduate students and researchers in econometrics, as well as practitioners looking for an understanding of how to approach seasonal data.
Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Periodicity and Stochastic Trends in Economic Time Series written by Philip Hans Franses and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1996 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a self-contained account of periodic models for seasonally observed economic time series with stochastic trends. Two key concepts are periodic integration and periodic cointegration. Periodic integration implies that a seasonally varying differencing filter is required to remove a stochastic trend. Periodic cointegration amounts to allowing cointegration paort-term adjustment parameters to vary with the season. The emphasis is on useful econrameters and shometric models that explicitly describe seasonal variation and can reasonably be interpreted in terms of economic behaviour. The analysis considers econometric theory, Monte Carlo simulation, and forecasting, and it is illustrated with numerous empirical time series. A key feature of the proposed models is that changing seasonal fluctuations depend on the trend and business cycle fluctuations. In the case of such dependence, it is shown that seasonal adjustment leads to inappropriate results.
Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (663 download)
Download or read book Period Integration and Cointegration written by Philip Hans Franses and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780191601286
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (12 download)
Download or read book Periodic Time Series Models written by Philip Hans Franses and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this insightful, modern study of the use of periodic models in the description and forecasting of economic data the authors investigate such areas as seasonal time series, periodic time series models, periodic integration and periodic cointegration.
Author : Peter Reinhard Hansen
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198776086
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (76 download)
Download or read book Workbook on Cointegration written by Peter Reinhard Hansen and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1998 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Aimed at graduates and researchers in economics and econometrics, this is a comprehesive exposition of Soren Johansen's remarkable contribution to the theory of cointegration analysis.
Author : Bernhard Pfaff
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387759670
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)
Download or read book Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R written by Bernhard Pfaff and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-09-03 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is designed for self study. The reader can apply the theoretical concepts directly within R by following the examples.
Author : Anindya Banerjee
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0191638919
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)
Download or read book Co-integration, Error Correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-Stationary Data written by Anindya Banerjee and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 1993-05-27 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a wide-ranging account of the literature on co-integration and the modelling of integrated processes (those which accumulate the effects of past shocks). Data series which display integrated behaviour are common in economics, although techniques appropriate to analysing such data are of recent origin and there are few existing expositions of the literature. This book focuses on the exploration of relationships among integrated data series and the exploitation of these relationships in dynamic econometric modelling. The concepts of co-integration and error-correction models are fundamental components of the modelling strategy. This area of time-series econometrics has grown in importance over the past decade and is of interest to econometric theorists and applied econometricians alike. By explaining the important concepts informally, but also presenting them formally, the book bridges the gap between purely descriptive and purely theoretical accounts of the literature. The asymptotic theory of integrated processes is described and the tools provided by this theory are used to develop the distributions of estimators and test statistics. Practical modelling advice, and the use of techniques for systems estimation, are also emphasized. A knowledge of econometrics, statistics, and matrix algebra at the level of a final-year undergraduate or first-year undergraduate course in econometrics is sufficient for most of the book. Other mathematical tools are described as they occur.
Author : Eric Ghysels
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521565882
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (658 download)
Download or read book The Econometric Analysis of Seasonal Time Series written by Eric Ghysels and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-06-18 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Eric Ghysels and Denise R. Osborn provide a thorough and timely review of the recent developments in the econometric analysis of seasonal economic time series, summarizing a decade of theoretical advances in the area. The authors discuss the asymptotic distribution theory for linear nonstationary seasonal stochastic processes. They also cover the latest contributions to the theory and practice of seasonal adjustment, together with its implications for estimation and hypothesis testing. Moreover, a comprehensive analysis of periodic models is provided, including stationary and nonstationary cases. The book concludes with a discussion of some nonlinear seasonal and periodic models. The treatment is designed for an audience of researchers and advanced graduate students.
Author : Erik Hjalmarsson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)
Download or read book Testing for Cointegration Using the Johansen Methodology when Variables are Near-Integrated written by Erik Hjalmarsson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-06 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the properties of Johansen's (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the empirically relevant situation of near-integrated variables. Using Monte Carlo techniques, we show that in a system with near-integrated variables, the probability of reaching an erroneous conclusion regarding the cointegrating rank of the system is generally substantially higher than the nominal size. The risk of concluding that completely unrelated series are cointegrated is therefore non-negligible. The spurious rejection rate can be reduced by performing additional tests of restrictions on the cointegrating vector(s), although it is still substantially larger than the nominal size.
Author : Fakher Chaari
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030225291
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)
Download or read book Cyclostationarity: Theory and Methods – IV written by Fakher Chaari and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-31 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book gathers contributions presented at the 10th Workshop on Cyclostationary Systems and Their Applications, held in Gródek nad Dunajcem, Poland in February 2017. It includes twelve interesting papers covering current topics related to both cyclostationary and general non stationary processes. Moreover, this book, which covers both theoretical and practical issues, offers a practice-oriented guide to the analysis of data sets with non-stationary behavior and a bridge between basic and applied research on nonstationary processes. It provides students, researchers and professionals with a timely guide on cyclostationary systems, nonstationary processes and relevant engineering applications.
Author : Steven Durlauf
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230280838
Total Pages : 417 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)
Download or read book Macroeconometrics and Time Series Analysis written by Steven Durlauf and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-30 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.
Author : G. Elliott
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444513957
Total Pages : 1071 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (445 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by G. Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2006-07-14 with total page 1071 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Section headings in this handbook include: 'Forecasting Methodology; 'Forecasting Models'; 'Forecasting with Different Data Structures'; and 'Applications of Forecasting Methods.'.
Author : Richard I. D. Harris
Publisher : Prentice Hall
ISBN 13 : 9780133558920
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (589 download)
Download or read book Using Cointegration Analysis in Econometric Modelling written by Richard I. D. Harris and published by Prentice Hall. This book was released on 1995 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cointegration has become an essential tool for applied economists wanting to estimate time series models. Without some form of testing for cointegration, non-stationary variables can lead to spurious regressions; this book introduces the student and practitioner to (co)integration testing and techniques at a very moderate technical level. The book's aim is a practical one: testing for (co)integration is explained thoroughly and with plenty of examples and there is an emphasis throughout on explaining how these tests are actually performed. Key Features: 'toolkit' approach with an emphasis on practice and the actual tests used, covers the Engle-Granger procedure, covers the Johansen technique, overview of structural VAR modelling, advanced and difficult concepts presented in technical boxes, thus preserving the flow of exposition, and boxed examples throughout. Though the material is presented non-technically, the reader will find that the book covers in detail those techniques that are now becoming standard in the literature. Readers are also taken through examples using relevant software such as PcFiml and Cats (in Rats).
Author : Param Silvapulle
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book A Score Test for Seasonal Fractional Integration and Cointegration written by Param Silvapulle and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
