Parameter Estimation And Uncertainty Quantification In Water Resources Modeling

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Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification in Water Resources Modeling

Author : Philippe Renard
Publisher : Frontiers Media SA
ISBN 13 : 2889636747
Total Pages : 177 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (896 download)

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Book Synopsis Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification in Water Resources Modeling by : Philippe Renard

Download or read book Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification in Water Resources Modeling written by Philippe Renard and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2020-04-22 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerical models of flow and transport processes are heavily employed in the fields of surface, soil, and groundwater hydrology. They are used to interpret field observations, analyze complex and coupled processes, or to support decision making related to large societal issues such as the water-energy nexus or sustainable water management and food production. Parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification are two key features of modern science-based predictions. When applied to water resources, these tasks must cope with many degrees of freedom and large datasets. Both are challenging and require novel theoretical and computational approaches to handle complex models with large number of unknown parameters.

Model Calibration and Parameter Estimation

Author : Ne-Zheng Sun
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1493923234
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (939 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Calibration and Parameter Estimation by : Ne-Zheng Sun

Download or read book Model Calibration and Parameter Estimation written by Ne-Zheng Sun and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-07-01 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This three-part book provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to these challenging topics such as model calibration, parameter estimation, reliability assessment, and data collection design. Part 1 covers the classical inverse problem for parameter estimation in both deterministic and statistical frameworks, Part 2 is dedicated to system identification, hyperparameter estimation, and model dimension reduction, and Part 3 considers how to collect data and construct reliable models for prediction and decision-making. For the first time, topics such as multiscale inversion, stochastic field parameterization, level set method, machine learning, global sensitivity analysis, data assimilation, model uncertainty quantification, robust design, and goal-oriented modeling, are systematically described and summarized in a single book from the perspective of model inversion, and elucidated with numerical examples from environmental and water resources modeling. Readers of this book will not only learn basic concepts and methods for simple parameter estimation, but also get familiar with advanced methods for modeling complex systems. Algorithms for mathematical tools used in this book, such as numerical optimization, automatic differentiation, adaptive parameterization, hierarchical Bayesian, metamodeling, Markov chain Monte Carlo, are covered in details. This book can be used as a reference for graduate and upper level undergraduate students majoring in environmental engineering, hydrology, and geosciences. It also serves as an essential reference book for professionals such as petroleum engineers, mining engineers, chemists, mechanical engineers, biologists, biology and medical engineering, applied mathematicians, and others who perform mathematical modeling.

Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality

Author : M.B. Beck
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642820549
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (428 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality by : M.B. Beck

Download or read book Uncertainty and Forecasting of Water Quality written by M.B. Beck and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis began its study of water quality modeling and management in 1977, it has been interested in the relations between uncertainty and the problems of model calibration and prediction. The work has focused on the theme of modeling poorly defined environmental systems, a principal topic of the effort devoted to environmental quality control and management. Accounting for the effects of uncertainty was also of central concern to our two case studies of lake eutrophication management, one dealing with Lake Balaton in Hungary and the other with several Austrian lake systems. Thus, in November 1979 we held a meeting at Laxenburg to discuss recent method ological developments in addressing problems associated with uncertainty and forecasting of water quality. This book is based on the proceedings of that meeting. The last few years have seen an increase in awareness of the issue of uncertainty in water quality and ecological modeling. This book is relevant not only to contemporary issues but also to those of the future. A lack of field data will not always be the dominant problem for water quality modeling and management; more sophisticated measuring techniques and more comprehensive monitoring networks will come to be more widely applied. Rather, the important problems of the future are much more likely to emerge from the enhanced facility of data processing and to concern the meaningful interpretation, assimilation., and use of the information thus obtained.

Hydrogeophysics

Author : Yorum Rubin
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1402031025
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Hydrogeophysics by : Yorum Rubin

Download or read book Hydrogeophysics written by Yorum Rubin and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-05-06 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This ground-breaking work is the first to cover the fundamentals of hydrogeophysics from both the hydrogeological and geophysical perspectives. Authored by leading experts and expert groups, the book starts out by explaining the fundamentals of hydrological characterization, with focus on hydrological data acquisition and measurement analysis as well as geostatistical approaches. The fundamentals of geophysical characterization are then at length, including the geophysical techniques that are often used for hydrogeological characterization. Unlike other books, the geophysical methods and petrophysical discussions presented here emphasize the theory, assumptions, approaches, and interpretations that are particularly important for hydrogeological applications. A series of hydrogeophysical case studies illustrate hydrogeophysical approaches for mapping hydrological units, estimation of hydrogeological parameters, and monitoring of hydrogeological processes. Finally, the book concludes with hydrogeophysical frontiers, i.e. on emerging technologies and stochastic hydrogeophysical inversion approaches.

Using Prediction Uncertainty Analysis to Design Hydrologic Monitoring Networks

Author : Michael N Fienen
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781500505202
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (52 download)

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Book Synopsis Using Prediction Uncertainty Analysis to Design Hydrologic Monitoring Networks by : Michael N Fienen

Download or read book Using Prediction Uncertainty Analysis to Design Hydrologic Monitoring Networks written by Michael N Fienen and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2014-08-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The importance of monitoring networks for resource-management decisions is becoming more recognized, in both theory and application. Quantitative computer models provide a science-based framework to evaluate the efficacy and efficiency of existing and possible future monitoring networks. In the study described herein, two suites of tools were used to evaluate the worth of new data for specific predictions, which in turn can support efficient use of resources needed to construct a monitoring network. The approach evaluates the uncertainty of a model prediction and, by using linear propagation of uncertainty, estimates how much uncertainty could be reduced if the model were calibrated with addition information (increased a priori knowledge of parameter values or new observations). The theoretical underpinnings of the two suites of tools addressing this technique are compared, and their application to a hypothetical model based on a local model inset into the Great Lakes Water Availability Pilot model are described. Results show that meaningful guidance for monitoring network design can be obtained by using the methods explored. The validity of this guidance depends substantially on the parameterization as well; hence, parameterization must be considered not only when designing the parameter-estimation paradigm but also-importantly-when designing the prediction-uncertainty paradigm.

Entropy-Based Parameter Estimation in Hydrology

Author : V.P. Singh
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401714312
Total Pages : 382 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Entropy-Based Parameter Estimation in Hydrology by : V.P. Singh

Download or read book Entropy-Based Parameter Estimation in Hydrology written by V.P. Singh and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the pioneering work of Shannon in the late 1940's on the development of the theory of entropy and the landmark contributions of Jaynes a decade later leading to the development of the principle of maximum entropy (POME), the concept of entropy has been increasingly applied in a wide spectrum of areas, including chemistry, electronics and communications engineering, data acquisition and storage and retreival, data monitoring network design, ecology, economics, environmental engineering, earth sciences, fluid mechanics, genetics, geology, geomorphology, geophysics, geotechnical engineering, hydraulics, hydrology, image processing, management sciences, operations research, pattern recognition and identification, photogrammetry, psychology, physics and quantum mechanics, reliability analysis, reservoir engineering, statistical mechanics, thermodynamics, topology, transportation engineering, turbulence modeling, and so on. New areas finding application of entropy have since continued to unfold. The entropy concept is indeed versatile and its applicability widespread. In the area of hydrology and water resources, a range of applications of entropy have been reported during the past three decades or so. This book focuses on parameter estimation using entropy for a number of distributions frequently used in hydrology. In the entropy-based parameter estimation the distribution parameters are expressed in terms of the given information, called constraints. Thus, the method lends itself to a physical interpretation of the parameters. Because the information to be specified usually constitutes sufficient statistics for the distribution under consideration, the entropy method provides a quantitative way to express the information contained in the distribution.

Applied Groundwater Modeling

Author : Mary P. Anderson
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0080916384
Total Pages : 632 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Groundwater Modeling by : Mary P. Anderson

Download or read book Applied Groundwater Modeling written by Mary P. Anderson and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2015-08-13 with total page 632 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This second edition is extensively revised throughout with expanded discussion of modeling fundamentals and coverage of advances in model calibration and uncertainty analysis that are revolutionizing the science of groundwater modeling. The text is intended for undergraduate and graduate level courses in applied groundwater modeling and as a comprehensive reference for environmental consultants and scientists/engineers in industry and governmental agencies. Explains how to formulate a conceptual model of a groundwater system and translate it into a numerical model Demonstrates how modeling concepts, including boundary conditions, are implemented in two groundwater flow codes-- MODFLOW (for finite differences) and FEFLOW (for finite elements) Discusses particle tracking methods and codes for flowpath analysis and advective transport of contaminants Summarizes parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis approaches using the code PEST to illustrate how concepts are implemented Discusses modeling ethics and preparation of the modeling report Includes Boxes that amplify and supplement topics covered in the text Each chapter presents lists of common modeling errors and problem sets that illustrate concepts

Grey Optimization for Uncertainty Modeling in Water Resources Systems

Author : Subhankar Karmakar
Publisher : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783838327754
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (277 download)

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Book Synopsis Grey Optimization for Uncertainty Modeling in Water Resources Systems by : Subhankar Karmakar

Download or read book Grey Optimization for Uncertainty Modeling in Water Resources Systems written by Subhankar Karmakar and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2009-12 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, methodologies for modeling grey uncertainty in water resources systems are developed, specifically for the problems in two identified areas in water resources: waste load allocation in streams and floodplain planning. A water resources system is associated with some degree of uncertainty, due to randomness of hydrologic and hydraulic parameters, imprecision and subjectivity in management goals, inappropriateness in model selection, inexactness of different input parameters for inadequacy of data, etc. Uncertainty due to randomness of input parameters could be modeled by the probabilistic models, when probability distributions of the parameters may be estimated. Uncertainties due to imprecision in the management problem may be addressed by the fuzzy decision models. In addition, some parameters in any water resources problems need to be addressed as grey parameters, due to inadequate data for an accurate estimation but with known extreme bounds of the parameter values. Such inexactness or grey uncertainty in the model parameters can be addressed by the inexact or grey optimization models, representing the parameters as interval grey numbers. The research study presented in this thesis deals with the development of grey and fuzzy optimization models, and the combination of the two for water resources systems decision-making. Three grey fuzzy optimization models for waste load allocation, namely (i) Grey Fuzzy Waste Load Allocation Model (GFWLAM), (ii) two-phase GFWLAM and (iii) multiobjective GFWLAM, and a Grey Integer Programming (GIP) model for floodplain planning, are developed in this study. The Grey Fuzzy Waste Load Allocation Model (GFWLAM) for water quality management of river system addresses uncertainty in the membership functions for imprecisely stated management goals of the Pollution Control Agency (PCA) and dischargers. To address the imprecision in fixing the boundaries of membership functions (also known as membership parameters), the mem.

Physically Based Parameter Estimation Methods for Hydrological Models

Author : Evison Kapangaziwiri
Publisher : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783844387377
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (873 download)

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Book Synopsis Physically Based Parameter Estimation Methods for Hydrological Models by : Evison Kapangaziwiri

Download or read book Physically Based Parameter Estimation Methods for Hydrological Models written by Evison Kapangaziwiri and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2011-06 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reliable quantification of available water resources is an important prerequisite for sustainable management and development. However, the data required for adequate resource estimation are usually not available due to inadequate and shrinking measurement networks. Hydrologic models are the standard tool used to generate continuous estimates of stream flow and regionalisation has been the traditional approach to model application in poorly gauged basins. The classical approach to regionalization is to calibrate against naturalized observed data, identify hydrologically similar basins, and then transfer calibrated parameter sets to the ungauged basins. One of the problems related to this approach is the relatively few basins for calibration in southern Africa (due to data quality and availability problems), resulting in huge uncertainties in the prediction process. This study proposes an a priori process to directly estimate parameters of the Pitman monthly rainfall runoff model based on physical basin characteristics. The approach is tested on selected basins in southern African.

Atmospheric Data Analysis

Author : Roger Daley
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521458252
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (582 download)

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Book Synopsis Atmospheric Data Analysis by : Roger Daley

Download or read book Atmospheric Data Analysis written by Roger Daley and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1993-11-26 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Intended to fill a void in the atmospheric science literature, this self-contained text outlines the physical and mathematical basis of all aspects of atmospheric analysis as well as topics important in several other fields outside of it, including atmospheric dynamics and statistics.

Application of the Systems Approach to the Management of Complex Water Systems

Author : Slobodan P. Simonovic
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039437690
Total Pages : 314 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Application of the Systems Approach to the Management of Complex Water Systems by : Slobodan P. Simonovic

Download or read book Application of the Systems Approach to the Management of Complex Water Systems written by Slobodan P. Simonovic and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-23 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the past five decades, we have witnessed a tremendous evolution in water resource system management. Three characteristics of this evolution are of particular note: First, the application of the systems approach to complex water management problems has been established as one of the most important advances in the field of water resource management. Second, the past five decades have brought a remarkable transformation of attitude in the water resource management community towards environmental concerns and action to address these concerns. Third, applying the principles of sustainability to water resource decision-making requires major changes in the objectives on which decisions are based, and an understanding of the complicated inter-relationships between existing ecological, economic, and social factors. The Special Issue includes 15 contributions that offer insights into contemporary problems, approaches, and issues related to the management of complex water resources systems. It will be presumptuous to say that these 15 contributions characterize the success or failure of the systems approach to support water resources decision-making. However, these contributions offer interesting lessons from current experiences and highlight possible future work.

Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Assessment in Hydrological Modelling

Author : Roberta-Serena Blasone
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (474 download)

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Book Synopsis Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Assessment in Hydrological Modelling by : Roberta-Serena Blasone

Download or read book Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Assessment in Hydrological Modelling written by Roberta-Serena Blasone and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Modelling Aspects of Water Framework Directive Implementation

Author : Peter A. Vanrolleghem
Publisher : IWA Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1843392232
Total Pages : 353 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (433 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Aspects of Water Framework Directive Implementation by : Peter A. Vanrolleghem

Download or read book Modelling Aspects of Water Framework Directive Implementation written by Peter A. Vanrolleghem and published by IWA Publishing. This book was released on 2010-04-30 with total page 353 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Special Offer: Water Framework Directive Series Set. To buy all four titles including Volume 3 and save £100, visit: http://iwapublishing.com/books/9781780400013/water-framework-directive-series-set Modelling Aspects of Water Framework Directive Implementation: Volume 1 is a concrete outcome from the Harmoni-CA concerted action as part of a 4-volume series of Guidance Reports that guide water professionals through the implementation process of the Water Framework Directive, with a focus on the use of ICT-tools (and in particular modelling). They are complementary to the Guidance Documents produced by the EU Directorate General for Environment. Water resources planning and management and the development of appropriate policies require methodologies and tools that are able to support systematic, integrative and multidisciplinary assessments at various scales. It also requires the quantification of various uncertainties in both data and models, and the incorporation of stakeholders participation and institutional mechanisms into the various tools and risk assessment methodologies, to help decision makers understand and evaluate alternative measures and decisions. The other three volumes in the Water Framework Directive Series are: Water Framework Directive: Model supported Implementation - A Water Manager’s Guide edited by Fred Hattermann and Zbigniew W Kundzewicz Integrated Assessment for WFD implementation: Data, economic and human dimension - Volume 2, edited by Peter A. Vanrolleghem Decision support for WFD implementation - Volume 3, edited by Peter A. Vanrolleghem. Visit the IWA WaterWiki to read and share material related to this title: http://www.iwawaterwiki.org/xwiki/bin/view/Articles/IntegratedAssessmentforWaterFrameworkDirectiveImplementation

Methods and Guidelines for Effective Model Calibration

Author : Mary Catherine Hill
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods and Guidelines for Effective Model Calibration by : Mary Catherine Hill

Download or read book Methods and Guidelines for Effective Model Calibration written by Mary Catherine Hill and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Satellite Rainfall Applications for Surface Hydrology

Author : Mekonnen Gebremichael
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 904812915X
Total Pages : 327 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Satellite Rainfall Applications for Surface Hydrology by : Mekonnen Gebremichael

Download or read book Satellite Rainfall Applications for Surface Hydrology written by Mekonnen Gebremichael and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-02 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With contributions from a panel of researchers from a wide range of fields, the chapters of this book focus on evaluating the potential, utility and application of high resolution satellite precipitation products in relation to surface hydrology.

River Water Quality Model

Author : P. Reichert
Publisher : IWA Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781900222822
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (228 download)

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Book Synopsis River Water Quality Model by : P. Reichert

Download or read book River Water Quality Model written by P. Reichert and published by IWA Publishing. This book was released on 2001-08-31 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Scientific and Technical Report (STR) presents the findings of the IWA Task Group on River Water Quality Modelling (RWQM). The task group was formed to create a scientific and technical base from which to formulate standardized, consistent river water quality models and guidelines for their implementation. This STR presents the first outcome in this effort: River Water Quality Model No. 1 (RWQM1). As background to the development of River Water Quality Model No.1, the Task Group completed a critical evaluation of the current state of the practice in water quality modelling. A major limitation in model formulation is the continued reliance on BOD as the primary state variable, despite the fact BOD does not include all biodegradable matter. A related difficulty is the poor representation of benthic flux terms. As a result of these limitations, it is impossible to close mass balances completely in most existing models. These various limitations in current river water quality models impair their predictive ability in situations of marked changes in a river's pollutant load, streamflow, morphometry, or other basic characteristics. RWQM 1 is intended to serve as a framework for river water quality models that overcome these deficiencies in traditional water quality models and most particularly the failure to close mass balances between the water column and sediment. To these ends, the model incorporates fundamental water quality components and processes to characterise carbon, oxygen, nitrogen, and phosphorus (C, O, N, and P) cycling instead of biochemical oxygen demand as used in traditional models. The model is presented in terms of process and components represented via a 'Petersen stoichiometry matrix', the same approach used for the IWA Activated Sludge Models. The full RWQM1 includes 24 components and 30 processes. The report provides detailed examples on reducing the numbers of components and processes to fit specific water quality problems. Thus, the model provides a framework for both complicated and simplified models. Detailed explanations of the model components, process equations, stoichiometric parameters, and kinetic parameters are provided, as are example parameter values and two case studies. The STR is intended to launch a participatory process of model development, application, and refinement. RWQM1 provides a framework for this process, but the goal of the Task Group is to involve water quality professionals worldwide in the continued work developing a new water quality modelling approach. This text will be an invaluable reference for researchers and graduate students specializing in water resources, hydrology, water quality, or environmental modelling in departments of environmental engineering, natural resources, civil engineering, chemical engineering, environmental sciences, and ecology. Water resources engineers, water quality engineers and technical specialists in environmental consultancy, government agencies or regulated industries will also value this critical assessment of the state of practice in water quality modelling. Key Features presents a unique new technical approach to river water quality modelling provides a detailed technical presentation of the RWQM1 water quality process model gives an informative critical evaluation of the state of the practice in water quality modelling, and problems with those practices provides a step by step procedure to develop a water quality model Scientific & Technical Report No. 12

Stochastic Modeling and Risk Management for Water Resources Systems Under Changing Climatic Conditions

Author : Zhong Li
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (133 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modeling and Risk Management for Water Resources Systems Under Changing Climatic Conditions by : Zhong Li

Download or read book Stochastic Modeling and Risk Management for Water Resources Systems Under Changing Climatic Conditions written by Zhong Li and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Water resources are indispensable for the sustainable development of the human society. A variety of hydrological modeling and water resources management tools based on simulation and optimization have been developed to address the current water issues worldwide. However, there are many challenges arising from climate change, human disturbances and enormous uncertainties and complexities. Thus, there is a global need for advanced methodologies that can support the modeling and management of water resources systems in an effective and efficient way. In this dissertation research, a spectrum of methods have been developed to deal with the stochastic modeling and risk-based management problems for water resources systems. These methods include: (i) a Stepwise Clustered Hydrological Inference (SCHI) model that can establish the complex nonlinear relationships between climatic conditions and streamflow for hydrological forecasting; (ii) a flexible and effective hydro-climatic modeling framework based on the Providing Regional Climates for Impacts Studies (PRECIS) modeling system and stepwise cluster analysis for hydrological modeling under the changing climatic conditions; (iii) a Stepwise-cluster-analysis-based Probabilistic Collocation Expansion (SPCE) method for the stochastic simulation and forecast of hydrologic time series; (iv) a hydrologic frequency analysis framework based on change point analysis and Bayesian parameter estimation to deal with the nonstationarity and uncertainties in hydrological risk analysis; (v) an Interval-parameter Two-stage Fuzzy Stochastic Integer Programming (ITFSIP) model for risk-based flood diversion management under multiple uncertainties. The proposed methods have been applied to the Xiangxi River Watershed in China and the Grand River Watershed in Canada, in order to demonstrate their capabilities and performances in precipitation-runoff modeling, climate change impact analysis, uncertainty quantification, frequency analysis, and systematic water resources and risk management. The major contribution of this research lies in the development of innovative approaches for tackling various uncertainties and complexities in the hydrological cycle and water resources systems. This research can provide scientific and practical bases for robust hydrological modeling and reliable water resources management.