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Optimal Reserves In Financially Closed Economies
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Book Synopsis Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies by : Mr.Olivier Jeanne
Download or read book Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies written by Mr.Olivier Jeanne and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financially closed economies insure themselves against current-account shocks using international reserves. We characterize the optimal management of reserves using an open-economy model of precautionary savings and emphasize several results. First, the welfare-based opportunity cost of reserves differs from the measures often used by practitioners. Second, under plausible calibrations the model is consistent with the rule of thumb that reserves should be close to three months of imports. Third, simple linear rules can capture most of the welfare gains from optimal reserve management. Fourth, policymakers should place more emphasis on how to use reserves in response to shocks than on the reserve target itself.
Book Synopsis The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries by : Romain Ranciere
Download or read book The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries written by Romain Ranciere and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-10 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a model of the optimal level of international reserves for a small open economy that is vulnerable to sudden stops in capital flows. Reserves allow the country to smooth domestic absorption in response to sudden stops, but yield a lower return than the interest rate on the country's long-term debt. We derive a formula for the optimal level of reserves, and show that plausible calibrations can explain reserves of the order of magnitude observed in many emerging market countries. However, the recent buildup of reserves in Asia seems in excess of what would be implied by an insurance motive against sudden stops.
Book Synopsis Optimal Precautionary Reserves for Low-Income Countries by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
Download or read book Optimal Precautionary Reserves for Low-Income Countries written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-10-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a cost-benefit approach that helps to quantify the optimal level of international reserves in low-income countries, focusing on the role of reserves in preventing and mitigating absorption drops triggered by large external shocks. The approach is applied to a sample of 49 LICs over the period 1980-2008 to yield estimates of the likelihood and severity of a crisis. The calibration results suggest that the standard metric of three months of imports is inadequate for countries with fixed exchange rate regimes. The results also highlight the role of overall policy frameworks and availability of Fund-support in determining optimal reserve levels, raising questions about the uniform applicability of standard rules of thumb across countries.
Book Synopsis The optimal level of international reserves for emerging market countries by : Olivier Jeanne
Download or read book The optimal level of international reserves for emerging market countries written by Olivier Jeanne and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis International Reserves by : Mr.Jaewoo Lee
Download or read book International Reserves written by Mr.Jaewoo Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-10-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper compares the importance of precautionary and mercantilist motives in the hoarding of international reserves by developing countries. Overall, empirical results support precautionary motives; in particular, a more liberal capital account regime increases international reserves. Theoretically, large precautionary demand for international reserves arises as a self-insurance to avoid costly liquidation of long-term projects when the economy is susceptible to sudden stops. The welfare gain from the optimal management of international reserves is of a first-order magnitude, reducing the welfare cost of liquidity shocks from a first-order to a second-order magnitude.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498345646 Total Pages :42 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations by : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
Download or read book Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-06 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: operational guidance to staff on reserve adequacy discussions in the IMF’s bilateral and multilateral surveillance. It is based on the views presented in the policy paper Assessing Reserve Adequacy—Specific Proposals and the related Board discussion. The note addresses key issues related to Staff’s advice on the assessment of the adequacy of reserves and related items, including answering the following questions: What is the expected coverage of reserve issues at different stages of the bilateral surveillance process (Policy Note, mission, and Staff Report)? Which reserve adequacy tools best fit different economies based on their financial maturity, economic flexibility, and market access? What do possible reserve needs in mature markets relate to, and how can their adequacy be assessed? How can reserve adequacy discussions for emerging and deepening financial markets be tailored and applied to better evaluate reserve levels in: (i) commodity-intensive economies; (ii) countries with capital flow management measures (CFMs); and (iii) partially and fully dollarized economies? What reserve adequacy considerations hold for countries with limited access to capital markets? How can metrics for these economies be tailored to evaluate their reserve needs? How should potential drains on reserves be covered? What are the various measures of the cost of reserves for countries with and without market access?
Book Synopsis External Adjustment and the Optimal Demand for International Reserves by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book External Adjustment and the Optimal Demand for International Reserves written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1989-10-27 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a theoretical underpinning for the major determinants of optimal reserve demand in the case where fundamental disequilibrium constitutes a key element governing reserve management. Emphasis is given to the role of reserves to smooth the process of economic adjustment by financing part of external disequilibrium, as well as to meet temporary random fluctuations in the excess demand for foreign exchange. The analysis incorporates this financing aspect of reserve holdings into a simple inventory model and discusses the optimal stock of reserves in the context of the optimal mix of adjustment and financing.
Book Synopsis Optimal Holdings of International Reserves by : Guillermo Calvo
Download or read book Optimal Holdings of International Reserves written by Guillermo Calvo and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper addresses the issue of the optimal stock of international reserves in terms of a statistical model in which reserves affect both the probability of a Sudden Stop-as well as associated output costs-by reducing the balance-sheet effects of liability dollarization. Optimal reserves are derived under the assumption that central bankers conservatively choose reserves by balancing the expected cost of a Sudden Stop against the opportunity cost of holding reserves. Results are obtained without using calibration to match observed reserves levels, providing no a priori reason for our concept of optimal reserves to be in line with observed holdings. Remarkably, however, observed reserves on the eve of the global financial crisis were-on average-not distant from optimal reserves as derived in this model, indicating that reserve over-accumulation in Emerging Markets was not obvious. However, heterogeneity prevailed across regions: from a precautionary standpoint, Latin America was closest to model-based optimal levels, while reserves in Eastern Europe lay below optimal levels, and those in Asia lay above. Nonetheless, there are other motives for reserve accumulation: we find that differences between observed reserves and precautionary-motive optimal reserves are partly explained by the perceived presence of a lender of last resort, or characteristics such as being a large oil producer. However, to a first approximation, there is no clear evidence supporting the so-called neo-mercantilist motive for reserve accumulation.
Book Synopsis International Reserves and Rollover Risk by : Mr.Javier Bianchi
Download or read book International Reserves and Rollover Risk written by Mr.Javier Bianchi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-31 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Two striking facts about international capital flows in emerging economies motivate this paper: (1) Governments hold large amounts of international reserves, for which they obtain a return lower than their borrowing cost. (2) Purchases of domestic assets by nonresidents and purchases of foreign assets by residents are both procyclical and collapse during crises. We propose a dynamic model of endogenous default that can account for these facts. The government faces a trade-off between the benefits of keeping reserves as a buffer against rollover risk and the cost of having larger gross debt positions. Long-duration bonds, the countercyclical default premium, and sudden stops are important for the quantitative success of the model.
Book Synopsis Holding International Reserves in an Era of High Capital Mobility by : Robert P. Flood
Download or read book Holding International Reserves in an Era of High Capital Mobility written by Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-04 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do countries hold so much international reserves? Global reserve holdings (excluding gold) were equivalent to 17 weeks of imports at the end of 1999. That is almost double what they were at the end of 1960 and about 20 percent higher than they were at the start of the 1990s. In this paper we study countries’ reserve holdings in light of both the increased financial volatility experienced in the last decade and diminished adherence to fixed exchange rates. We find that buffer-stock reserve models work about as well in the modern floating-rate period as they did during the Bretton Woods regime. During both periods, however, the models’ fundamentals explain only a small portion (10-15 percent) of reserves volatility.
Book Synopsis The Optimal Level of Foreign Reserves in Financially Dollarized Economies: The Case of Uruguay by : Fernando M. Gonçalves
Download or read book The Optimal Level of Foreign Reserves in Financially Dollarized Economies: The Case of Uruguay written by Fernando M. Gonçalves and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends the framework derived by Jeanne and Rancière (2006) by explicitly incorporating the dollarization of bank deposits into the analysis of the optimal level of foreign reserves for prudential purposes. In the extended model, a sudden stop in capital flows occurs in tandem with a run on dollar deposits. Reserves can smooth consumption in a crisis but are costly to carry. The resulting expression for the optimal level of reserves is calibrated for Uruguay, a country with high dollarization of bank deposits. The baseline calibration indicates that the gap between actual and optimal reserves has declined sharply since the 2002 crisis due to a substantial reduction in vulnerabilities. While the results suggest that reserves are now near optimal levels, further accumulation may be desirable going forward, partly because banks' currently high liquidity levels are likely to decline as the credit recovery matures.
Book Synopsis The Demand for International Reserves by : M. June Flanders
Download or read book The Demand for International Reserves written by M. June Flanders and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Specific Proposals by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Specific Proposals written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-19 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reserves have a central place in the policy tool kit of most economies, providing insurance against shocks. In conjunction with sound policies, they can help reduce the likelihood of balance of payment crises and preserve economic and financial stability. Reserves, however, can result from both precautionary and non-precautionary policy objectives and institutional settings. While they can bring several important benefits, reserve holdings can sometimes be costly. This paper brings together recent Fund work on reserve adequacy issues aiming to strengthen their discussion in bilateral surveillance. Despite the ongoing debate on reserve issues, there is little consensus about how to assess reserve holdings in different economies, even though this is an important aspect of a member’s external stability assessment. The work stream of which this paper is part aims to fill this gap by outlining a framework for discussing reserve adequacy issues in different economies. In this regard, the paper also forms part of the Fund’s response to the 2012 IEO evaluation of the Fund’s advice related to international reserves, which recommended, inter alia, that assessments of international reserves in bilateral surveillance reports should be more detailed and reflect country circumstances. To this end, the paper proposes that, where warranted, individual country Article IV reports include a fuller discussion of the authorities’ stated objectives (precautionary and non-precautionary) for holding reserves, an assessment of the reserve needs for precautionary purposes, and a discussion of the cost of reserves. The aim would be to ensure evenhandedness so that countries with similar circumstances are assessed in similar ways, while allowing the depth and emphasis of this discussion to vary depending on country conditions and needs
Book Synopsis The Optimal Level of Foreign Reserves in Financially Dollarized Economies by : Fernando M. Goncalves
Download or read book The Optimal Level of Foreign Reserves in Financially Dollarized Economies written by Fernando M. Goncalves and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Optimal Level of Foreign Reserves in Financial Dollarized Economies by : Fernando M. Gonçalves
Download or read book The Optimal Level of Foreign Reserves in Financial Dollarized Economies written by Fernando M. Gonçalves and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper extends the framework derived by Jeanne and Rancière (2006) by explicitly incorporating the dollarization of bank deposits into the analysis of the optimal level of foreign reserves for prudential purposes. In the extended model, a sudden stop in capital flows occurs in tandem with a run on dollar deposits. Reserves can smooth consumption in a crisis but are costly to carry. The resulting expression for the optimal level of reserves is calibrated for Uruguay, a country with high dollarization of bank deposits. The baseline calibration indicates that the gap between actual and optimal reserves has declined sharply since the 2002 crisis due to a substantial reduction in vulnerabilities. While the results suggest that reserves are now near optimal levels, further accumulation may be desirable going forward, partly because banks' currently high liquidity levels are likely to decline as the credit recovery matures.
Book Synopsis Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy Under Financial Stress by : Luis Felipe Céspedes
Download or read book Optimal Foreign Reserves and Central Bank Policy Under Financial Stress written by Luis Felipe Céspedes and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the interaction between optimal foreign reserves accumulation and central bank international liquidity provision in a small open economy under financial stress. Firms and households finance investment and consumption by borrowing from domestic financial intermediaries (banks), which in turn borrow from abroad. Binding financial constraints can cause the domestic rate of interest to rise above the world rate and the real exchange rate to depreciate, leading to inefficiently low investment and consumption. A role then emerges for a central bank that accumulates reserves in order to provide liquidity if financial frictions bind. The optimal level of international reserves in this context depends, among other variables, on the term premium, the depth of financial markets, ex ante financial uncertainty and the precise way the central bank intervenes. The model is consistent with both the increase in international reserves observed during the period 2004-2008 and with policy intervention after the Lehman bankruptcy.
Book Synopsis International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity by : International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
Download or read book International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity written by International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-07 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of the guidelines published in 2001 sets forth the underlying framework for the Reserves Data Template and provides operational advice for its use. The updated version also includes three new appendices aimed at assisting member countries in reporting the required data.
