Read Books Online and Download eBooks, EPub, PDF, Mobi, Kindle, Text Full Free.
On The Extrapolation With The Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method
Download On The Extrapolation With The Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online On The Extrapolation With The Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!
Book Synopsis On the Extrapolation with the Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method by : Mr.Tommaso Di Fonzo
Download or read book On the Extrapolation with the Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method written by Mr.Tommaso Di Fonzo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-06-01 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical offices have often recourse to benchmarking methods for compiling quarterly national accounts (QNA). Benchmarking methods employ quarterly indicator series (i) to distribute annual, more reliable series of national accounts and (ii) to extrapolate the most recent quarters not yet covered by annual benchmarks. The Proportional First Differences (PFD) benchmarking method proposed by Denton (1971) is a widely used solution for distribution, but in extrapolation it may suffer when the movements in the indicator series do not match consistently the movements in the target annual benchmarks. For this reason, an enhanced formula for extrapolation was recommended by the IMF’s Quarterly National Accounts Manual: Concepts, Data Sources, and Compilation (2001). We discuss the rationale behind this technique, and propose a matrix formulation of it. In addition, we present applications of the enhanced formula to artificial and real-life benchmarking examples showing how the extrapolations for the most recent quarters can be improved.
Book Synopsis Quarterly National Accounts Manual by : Mr.Adriaan M. Bloem
Download or read book Quarterly National Accounts Manual written by Mr.Adriaan M. Bloem and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2001-05-10 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Manual provides guidance to compilers of national accounts on the concepts, data sources, and compilation methods required for development of a system of quarterly national accounts. More and more countries are recognizing that quarterly national accounts are an essential tool for management and analysis of their economy. The Manual is intended particularly for compilers who already have a knowledge of annual national accounting concepts and methods, and provides techniques for the development of a consistent time series of annual and quarterly accounts. It serves as acomplement to the System of National Accounts 1993, which has only a limited discussion of quarterly accounts, and will also prove useful as a tool for sophisticated users of quarterly national accounts.
Book Synopsis Quarterly National Accounts Manual (2017 Edition) by : Mr.Kwangwon Lee
Download or read book Quarterly National Accounts Manual (2017 Edition) written by Mr.Kwangwon Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-11-06 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Quarterly National Accounts Manual (the Manual) provides conceptual and practical guidance for compiling quarterly national accounts (QNA) statistics. The Manual offers a comprehensive review of data sources, statistical methods, and compilation techniques to derive official estimates of quarterly GDP. The new edition—which upgrades the first edition, published in 2001—improves and expands the previous content based on recent methodological advances, best country practices, and suggestions received from QNA compilers and experts.
Book Synopsis Nowcasting Annual National Accounts with Quarterly Indicators by : Mr.Marco Marini
Download or read book Nowcasting Annual National Accounts with Quarterly Indicators written by Mr.Marco Marini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-18 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Benchmarking methods can be used to extrapolate (or “nowcast”) low-frequency benchmarks on the basis of available high-frequency indicators. Quarterly national accounts are a typical example, where a number of monthly and quarterly indicators of economic activity are used to calculate preliminary annual estimates of GDP. Using both simulated and real-life national accounts data, this paper aims at assessing the prediction accuracy of three benchmarking methods widely used in the national accounts compilation: the proportional Denton method, the proportional Cholette-Dagum method with first-order autoregressive error, and the regression-based Chow-Lin method. The results show that the Cholette-Dagum method provides the most accurate extrapolations when the indicator and the annual benchmarks move along the same trend. However, the Denton and Chow-Lin methods could prevail in real-life cases when the quarterly indicator temporarily deviates from the target series.
Book Synopsis Quarterly National Accounts Manual (2017 Edition) by : Mr. Kwangwon Lee
Download or read book Quarterly National Accounts Manual (2017 Edition) written by Mr. Kwangwon Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-05-09 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Quarterly National Accounts Manual (the Manual) provides conceptual and practical guidance for compiling quarterly national accounts (QNA) statistics. The Manual offers a comprehensive review of data sources, statistical methods, and compilation techniques to derive official estimates of quarterly GDP. The new edition—which upgrades the first edition, published in 2001—improves and expands the previous content based on recent methodological advances, best country practices, and suggestions received from QNA compilers and experts.
Book Synopsis New Estimates for Direction of Trade Statistics by : Mr.Marco Marini
Download or read book New Estimates for Direction of Trade Statistics written by Mr.Marco Marini and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-24 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In March 2017, the IMF published an upgrade of its Direction of Trade Statistics (DOTS) dataset. This paper documents the new methodology that has been developed to estimate missing observations of bilateral trade statistics on a monthly basis. The new estimation procedure is founded on a benchmarking method that produces monthly estimates based on official trade statistics by partner country reported at different times and frequencies. In this paper we describe the new estimation methodology. Additional data sources have also been incorporated. We also assess the impact of the new estimates on trade measurement in DOTS at global, regional, and country-specific levels. Finally, we suggest some developments of DOTS to strenghten its relevance for IMF bilateral and multilateral surveillance.
Book Synopsis The Changing Wealth of Nations 2021 by : World Bank
Download or read book The Changing Wealth of Nations 2021 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-12-18 with total page 531 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is now clear that a narrow focus on the growth of gross domestic product (GDP) is insufficient to achieve humanity's aspirations for sustainable prosperity. Well-functioning ecosystems and educated populations are requisites for sustainable well-being. These and other too-often-neglected ingredients of national wealth must be addressed if the development path is to be sustainable. 'The Changing Wealth of Nations 2021: Managing Assets for the Future' provides the most comprehensive accounting of the wealth of nations, an in-depth analysis of the evolution of wealth, and pathways to build wealth for the future. This report--and the accompanying global database--firmly establishes comprehensive wealth as a measure of sustainability and a key component of country analytics. It expands the coverage of wealth accounts and improves our understanding of the quality of all assets, notably, natural capital. Wealth--the stock of produced, natural, and human capital--is measured as the sum of assets that yield a stream of benefits over time. Changes in the wealth of nations matter because they reflect the change in countries' assets that underpin future income. Countries regularly track GDP as an indicator of their economic progress, but not wealth, and national wealth has a more direct and long-term impact on people's lives. This report provides a new set of tools and analysis to help policy makers navigate risks and to guide collective action. Wealth accounts can be applied in macroeconomic analysis to areas of major policy concern such as climate change and natural resource management. This report can be used to look beyond GDP, to gauge nations' economic well-being, and to promote sustainable prosperity.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters: Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK by : Samya Beidas-Strom
Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Reforms on Three Diverse Oil Exporters: Russia, Saudi Arabia, and the UK written by Samya Beidas-Strom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-10-11 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We build and estimate open economy two-bloc DSGE models to study the transmission and impact of shocks in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. After accounting for country-specific fiscal and monetary sectors, we estimate their key policy and structural parameters. Our findings suggest that not only has output responded differently to shocks due to differing levels of diversification and structural and policy settings, but also the responses to fiscal consolidation differ: Russia would benefit from a smaller state foot-print, while in Saudi Arabia, unless this is accompanied by structural reforms that remove rigidities, output would fall. We also find that lower oil prices need not be bad news given more oil-intensive production structures. However, lower oil prices have hurt these oil producers as their public finances depend heavily on oil, among other factors. Productivity gains accompanied by ambitious structural reforms, along with fiscal and monetary reforms could support these economies to achieve better outcomes when oil prices fall, including via diversifying exports.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1475510683 Total Pages :17 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (755 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Research Bulletin, September 2012 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Research Bulletin, September 2012 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-09-21 with total page 17 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The research summaries in the September 2012 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin are "Surges in Capital Flows: Why History Repeats Itself" (by Mahvash S. Qureshi) and "The LIC-BRIC Linkage: Growth Spillovers" (by Issouf Samake, Yongzheng Yang, and Catherine Pattillo). The Q&A covers "Seven Questions on Monetary Transmission in Low-Income Countries" (by Prachi Mishra and Peter Montiel). "Conversations with a Visiting Scholar" features an interview with IMF Fellow Olivier Coibion. Also included in this issue are details on the IMF Fellowship Program, visiting scholars at the IMF, a listing of recently published IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes, and an announcement on IMF Economic Review's first Impact Factor.
Book Synopsis Shifting the Beveridge Curve by : Ms.Elva Bova
Download or read book Shifting the Beveridge Curve written by Ms.Elva Bova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores conditions and policies that could affect the matching between labor demand and supply. We identify shifts in the Beveridge curves for 12 OECD countries between 2000Q1 and 2013Q4 using three complementary methodologies and analyze the short-run determinants of these shifts by means of limited-dependent variable models. We find that labor force growth as well as employment protection legislation reduce the likelihood of an outward shift in the Beveridge curve,. Our findings also show that the matching process is more difficult the higher the share of employees with intermediate levels of education in the labor force and when long-term unemployment is more pronounced. Policies which could facilitate labor market matching include active labor market policies, such as incentives for start-up and job sharing programs. Passive labor market policies, such as unemployment benefits, as well as labor taxation render matching signficantly more difficult.
Book Synopsis How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia? by : Mr.Sami Ben Naceur
Download or read book How to De-Dollarize Financial Systems in the Caucasus and Central Asia? written by Mr.Sami Ben Naceur and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-09-23 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dollarization rates in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region are among the highest in the world, with adverse consequences for macroeconomic stability, monetary policy transmission, and financial sector development. Using dynamic panel data models, we find that foreign exchange deposits and loans in the CCA are mainly driven by volatile inflation and exchange rates, low financial depth, and asymmetric exchange rate policies biased toward depreciation. Although there is no unique formula for success, empirical studies and cross-country experiences suggest that credible monetary and exchange rate frameworks, low and stable inflation, and deep domestic financial markets are essential ingredients of any de-dollarization strategy. In implementation, policymakers need to consider proper sequencing of policies, effective communication as well as risks from potential financial disintermediation and instability, and/or capital flight.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Spillovers by : Patrick Blagrave
Download or read book Fiscal Spillovers written by Patrick Blagrave and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-18 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are fiscal spillovers today as large as they were during the global financial crisis? How do they depend on economic and policy conditions? This note informs the debate on the cross-border impact of fiscal policy on economic activity, shedding light on the magnitude and the factors affecting transmission, such as the fiscal instruments used, cyclical positions, monetary policy conditions, and exchange rate regimes. The note assesses spillovers from five major advanced economies (France, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom, United States) on 55 advanced and emerging market economies that represent 85 percent of global output, looking at government-spending and tax revenue shocks during expansion and consolidation episodes. It finds that fiscal spillovers are economically significant in the presence of slack and/or accommodative monetary policy—and considerably smaller otherwise, which suggests that spillovers are large when domestic multipliers are also large. It also finds that spillovers from government-spending shocks are larger and more persistent than those from tax shocks and that transmission may be stronger among countries with fixed exchange rates. The evidence suggests that although spillovers from fiscal policies in the current environment may not be as large as they were during the crisis, they may still be important under certain economic circumstances.
Book Synopsis Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series by : Estela Bee Dagum
Download or read book Benchmarking, Temporal Distribution, and Reconciliation Methods for Time Series written by Estela Bee Dagum and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-23 with total page 418 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Time series play a crucial role in modern economies at all levels of activity and are used by decision makers to plan for a better future. Before publication time series are subject to statistical adjustments and this is the first statistical book to systematically deal with the methods most often applied for such adjustments. Regression-based models are emphasized because of their clarity, ease of application, and superior results. Each topic is illustrated with real case examples. In order to facilitate understanding of their properties and limitations of the methods discussed a real data example is followed throughout the book.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451820666 Total Pages :219 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (518 download)
Book Synopsis Japan by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Japan written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-17 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes data module provides an assessment of Japan’s macroeconomic statistics against the Special Data Dissemination Standard, complemented by an assessment of data quality based on the IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework, July 2003 version. The assessment reveals that the data-producing agencies in Japan adhere to the principle of objectivity in the collection, processing, and dissemination of statistics. They demonstrate professionalism and are transparent in their policies and practices. Data are protected by strict measures of confidentiality throughout the data-producing agencies.
Download or read book Survey of Current Business written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 1024 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Suriname by : International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
Download or read book Suriname written by International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-07-20 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Technical Assistance Report discusses measures required to improve the national accounts of Suriname, including consistency with the System of National Accounts 2008. The General Bureau of Statistics (GBS) is expected to implement the recommendations of the IMF mission progressively over a five-year period. Given the staff time wasted on data entry and potential transcription errors, the GBS should give high priority to requesting the Ministry of Finance to provide the Government accounts data in Excel format for 2015 onward. With the support of the Finance Minister, the GBS also needs to implement a formal agreement with the Tax Department to share tax registration data, company income tax returns and sales tax returns.
Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by N. Carnot and published by Springer. This book was released on 2005-08-12 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.
