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On The Detection Of Nonlinearity In Foreign Exchange Data
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Book Synopsis On the Detection of Nonlinearity in Foreign Exchange Data by : Paolo Guarda
Download or read book On the Detection of Nonlinearity in Foreign Exchange Data written by Paolo Guarda and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics and Economics by : William A. Barnett
Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics and Economics written by William A. Barnett and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1996-10-28 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 1997 book presents developments in nonlinear economic dynamics along with related research from other fields, including mathematics, statistics, biology, and physics.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Exchange Rate Models by : Lucio Sarno
Download or read book Nonlinear Exchange Rate Models written by Lucio Sarno and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange rates help resolve the "purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzles." The second question is whether recently developed nonlinear, regime-switching vector equilibrium correction models of the nominal exchange rate can beat a random walk model, the standard benchmark in the exchange rate literature, in terms of out-of-sample forecasting performance. Finally, issues related to the adequateness of standard methods of evaluation of (linear and nonlinear) exchange rate models are discussed with reference to different forecast accuracy criteria.
Book Synopsis Identifying and Modelling Nonlinearities in Australian Foreign Exchange Rate Data by Means of Flexible Nonlinear Inference by : R. Becker
Download or read book Identifying and Modelling Nonlinearities in Australian Foreign Exchange Rate Data by Means of Flexible Nonlinear Inference written by R. Becker and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exploring Existence of Nonlinearity and Chaotic Behavior in Foreign Exchange Rate Systems by : Benzhou Wang
Download or read book Exploring Existence of Nonlinearity and Chaotic Behavior in Foreign Exchange Rate Systems written by Benzhou Wang and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 674 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Testing for Nonlinear Dependence in Daily Foreign Exchange Rate Changes by : David Arthur Hsieh
Download or read book Testing for Nonlinear Dependence in Daily Foreign Exchange Rate Changes written by David Arthur Hsieh and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Instability by : William A. Brock
Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics, Chaos, and Instability written by William A. Brock and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1991 with total page 362 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Brock, Hsieh, and LeBaron show how the principles of chaos theory can be applied to such areas of economics and finance as the changing structure of stock returns and nonlinearity in foreign exchange.
Book Synopsis Testing for Nonlinear Dependence in Daily Foreign Exchange Rate Changes by : David Hsieh
Download or read book Testing for Nonlinear Dependence in Daily Foreign Exchange Rate Changes written by David Hsieh and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Forecasting and Hedging in the Foreign Exchange Markets by : Christian Ullrich
Download or read book Forecasting and Hedging in the Foreign Exchange Markets written by Christian Ullrich and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-05-30 with total page 206 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Historical and recent developments at international ?nancial markets show that it is easy to loose money, while it is dif?cult to predict future developments and op- mize decision-making towards maximizing returns and minimizing risk. One of the reasons of our inability to make reliable predictions and to make optimal decisions is the growing complexity of the global economy. This is especially true for the f- eign exchange market (FX market) which is considered as one of the largest and most liquid ?nancial markets. Its grade of ef?ciencyand its complexityis one of the starting points of this volume. From the high complexity of the FX market, Christian Ullrich deduces the - cessity to use tools from machine learning and arti?cial intelligence, e.g., support vector machines, and to combine such methods with sophisticated ?nancial mod- ing techniques. The suitability of this combination of ideas is demonstrated by an empirical study and by simulation. I am pleased to introduce this book to its - dience, hoping that it will provide the reader with interesting ideas to support the understanding of FX markets and to help to improve risk management in dif?cult times. Moreover, I hope that its publication will stimulate further research to contribute to the solution of the many open questions in this area.
Book Synopsis The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Stefan Reitz
Download or read book The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Stefan Reitz and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Testing for Non-Linearity in the Foreign Currency Futures Market by : Wan Mansor Mahmood
Download or read book Testing for Non-Linearity in the Foreign Currency Futures Market written by Wan Mansor Mahmood and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, the issue of nonlinearity in foreign currency futures markets is examined. Daily returns are found to be linear independent but nonlinear dependent. That is, they are correlated through their second moment. However, when the BDS test is applied, the results are inconclusive as the null hypothesis of i.i.d is not rejected in some cases but rejected in others. This rejection of i.i.d in the returns and filtered returns series arises solely from the variance of the process as suggested by the third moment test. As such, GARCH(1,1) models are fitted to all the return series and the corresponding standardized residuals are tested for i.i.d behavior. It is shown that the model brings about some improvement in that nonlinear dependence in the return series is reduced considerably.
Book Synopsis An investigation of modeling foreign exchange rates with a non-linear chaotic attractor algorithm by : Betty Prince
Download or read book An investigation of modeling foreign exchange rates with a non-linear chaotic attractor algorithm written by Betty Prince and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Stefan Reitz
Download or read book The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Stefan Reitz and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The coordination channel has been proposed as a means by which foreign.
Book Synopsis Inferences on Predictability of Foreign Exchange Rates Via Generalized Spectrum and Nonlinear Models by : Yongmiao Hong
Download or read book Inferences on Predictability of Foreign Exchange Rates Via Generalized Spectrum and Nonlinear Models written by Yongmiao Hong and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is often documented, based on autocorrelation, variance ratio and power spectrum, that exchange rates approximately follow a martingale process. Because autocorrelation, variance ratio and spectrum check serial uncorrelatedness rather than martingale difference, they may deliver misleading conclusions in favor of the martingale hypothesis when the test statistics are insignificant. In this paper, we explore whether there exists a gap between serial uncorrelatedness and martingale difference for exchange rate changes, and if so, whether nonlinear time series models admissible in the gap can outperform the martingale model in out-of-sample forecasts. Applying the generalized spectral tests of Hong (1999) to five major exchange rates, we find that the changes of exchange rates are often serially uncorrelated, but there exists strong nonlinearity in conditional mean, in addition to the well-known volatility clustering. To forecast the conditional mean, we consider the linear autoregressive, autoregressive polynomial, artificial neural network and functional-coefficient models, as well as their combination. The functional coefficient model allows the autoregressive coefficients to depend on investment positions via an moving average technical trading rule. We evaluate out-of-sample forecasts of these models relative to the martingale model, using four criteria-the mean squared forecast error, the mean absolute forecast error, the mean forecast trading return, and the mean correct forecast direction. White's (2000) reality check method is used to avoid data-snooping bias. It is found that some nonlinear models, particularly their combination, do have superior predictive ability over the martingale model for some currencies in terms of certain forecast evaluation criteria.
Book Synopsis In the foreign exchange market characterized by nonlinearity ? by : Charles Goodhart
Download or read book In the foreign exchange market characterized by nonlinearity ? written by Charles Goodhart and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics in the Foreign Exchange Futures Market by : Laura E. Kodres
Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics in the Foreign Exchange Futures Market written by Laura E. Kodres and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes by : Gagari Chakrabarti
Download or read book Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes written by Gagari Chakrabarti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-01-05 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work is an exploration of the global market dynamics, their intrinsic natures, common trends and dynamic interlinkages during the stock market crises over the last twelve years. The study isolates different phases of crisis and differentiates between any crisis that remains confined to the region and those that take up a global dimension. The latent structure of the global stock market, the inter-regional and intra-regional stock market dynamics around the crises are analyzed to get a complete picture of the structure of the global stock market. The study further probing into the inherent nature of the global stock market in generating crisis finds the global market to be chaotic thus making the system intrinsically unstable or at best to follow knife-edge stability. The findings have significant bearing at theoretical level and on policy decisions.