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Nonlinear Models For Economic Decision Processes
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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Models for Economic Decision Processes by : Ionut Purica
Download or read book Nonlinear Models for Economic Decision Processes written by Ionut Purica and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using models, developed in one branch of science, to describe similar behaviors encountered in a different one, is the essence of a synergetic approach. A wide range of topics has been developed including Agent-based models, econophysics, socio-economic networks, information, bounded rationality and learning in economics, markets as complex adaptive systems evolutionary economics, multiscale analysis and modeling, nonlinear dynamics and econometrics, physics of risk, statistical and probabilistic methods in economics and finance. Complexity. This publication concentrates on process behavior of economic systems and building models that stem from Haken's, Prigogine's, Taylor's work as well as from nuclear physics models.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises by : Ionut Purica
Download or read book Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises written by Ionut Purica and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2015-03-28 with total page 125 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When just a handful of economists predicted the 2008 financial crisis, people should wonder how so many well educated people with enormous datasets and computing power can be so wrong. In this short book Ionut Purica joins a growing number of economists who explore the failings of mainstream economics and propose solutions developed in other disciplines, such as sociology and evolutionary biology. While it might be premature to call for a revolution, Dr. Purica echoes John Maynard Keynes in believing that economic ideas are "dangerous for good or evil." In recent years evil seems to have had the upper hand. "Nonlinear Dynamics of Financial Crises" points to their ability to do good. Makes complex economics ideas accessible by carefully explaining technical terms and minimizing mathematics and equations Delivers easily-understood perspectives about the global economy by constructing broad assumptions and conclusions in the face of its infinitely complexity Challenges received economic ideas by focusing on human behavior and the roles it plays in easily-observable recent trends and events
Book Synopsis Information and Efficiency in Economic Decision by : Jati Sengupta
Download or read book Information and Efficiency in Economic Decision written by Jati Sengupta and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 478 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Use of information is basic to economic theory in two ways. As a basis for optimization, it is central to all normative hypotheses used in eco nomics, but in decision-making situations it has stochastic and evolution ary aspects that are more dynamic and hence more fundamental. This book provides an illustrative survey of the use of information in econom ics and other decision sciences. Since this area is one of the most active fields of research in modern times, it is not possible to be definitive on all aspects of the issues involved. However questions that appear to be most important in this author's view are emphasized in many cases, without drawing any definite conclusions. It is hoped that these questions would provoke new interest for those beginning researchers in the field who are currently most active. Various classifications of information structures and their relevance for optimal decision-making in a stochastic environment are analyzed in some detail. Specifically the following areas are illustrated in its analytic aspects: 1. Stochastic optimization in linear economic models, 2. Stochastic models in dynamic economics with problems of time-inc- sistency, causality and estimation, 3. Optimal output-inventory decisions in stochastic markets, 4. Minimax policies in portfolio theory, 5. Methods of stochastic control and differential games, and 6. Adaptive information structures in decision models in economics and the theory of economic policy.
Book Synopsis Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models by : Jun Ma
Download or read book Recent Advances in Estimating Nonlinear Models written by Jun Ma and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-09-24 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nonlinear models have been used extensively in the areas of economics and finance. Recent literature on the topic has shown that a large number of series exhibit nonlinear dynamics as opposed to the alternative--linear dynamics. Incorporating these concepts involves deriving and estimating nonlinear time series models, and these have typically taken the form of Threshold Autoregression (TAR) models, Exponential Smooth Transition (ESTAR) models, and Markov Switching (MS) models, among several others. This edited volume provides a timely overview of nonlinear estimation techniques, offering new methods and insights into nonlinear time series analysis. It features cutting-edge research from leading academics in economics, finance, and business management, and will focus on such topics as Zero-Information-Limit-Conditions, using Markov Switching Models to analyze economics series, and how best to distinguish between competing nonlinear models. Principles and techniques in this book will appeal to econometricians, finance professors teaching quantitative finance, researchers, and graduate students interested in learning how to apply advances in nonlinear time series modeling to solve complex problems in economics and finance.
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Forecasting Models, Computational and Bayesian Models by : G. Gregoriou
Download or read book Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Forecasting Models, Computational and Bayesian Models written by G. Gregoriou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-12-21 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book investigates several competing forecasting models for interest rates, financial returns, and realized volatility, addresses the usefulness of nonlinear models for hedging purposes, and proposes new computational techniques to estimate financial processes.
Book Synopsis Cities And Regions As Nonlinear Decision Systems by : Robert W Crosby
Download or read book Cities And Regions As Nonlinear Decision Systems written by Robert W Crosby and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents an exposition of ongoing research in the fields of non-linear dynamic systems driven by the decisions of human beings and cognitive science as they relate to urban and regional analysis. It aims to illuminate the social and economic functioning of cities and regions.
Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty by : J. Geweke
Download or read book Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty written by J. Geweke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As desired, the infonnation demand correspondence is single valued at equilibrium prices. Hence no planner is needed to assign infonnation allocations to individuals. Proposition 4. For any given infonnation price system p E . P (F *), almost every a E A demands a unique combined infonnation structure (although traders may be indifferent among partial infonnation sales from different information allocations, etc. ). In particular, the aggregate excess demand correspondence for net combined infonnation trades is a continuous function. Proof Uniqueness fails only if an agent can obtain the same expected utility from two or more net combined infonnation allocations. If this happens, appropriate slight perturbations of personal probability vectors destroy the equality unless the utility functions and wealth allocations were independent across states. Yet, when utilities and wealths don't depend on states in S, no infonnation to distinguish the states is desired, so that the demand for such infonnation structures must equal zero. To show the second claim, recall that if the correspondence is single valued for almost every agent, then its integral is also single valued. Finally, note that an upper hemicontinuous (by Proposition 2) correspondence which is single valued everywhere is, in fact, a continuous function. [] REFERENCES Allen, Beth (1986a). "The Demand for (Differentiated) Infonnation"; Review of Economic Studies. 53. (311-323). Allen, Beth (1986b). "General Equilibrium with Infonnation Sales"; Theory and Decision. 21. (1-33). Allen, Beth (1990). "Infonnation as an Economic Commodity"; American Economic Review. 80. (268-273).
Author :Erricos John Kontoghiorghes Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :1475736134 Total Pages :626 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (757 download)
Book Synopsis Computational Methods in Decision-Making, Economics and Finance by : Erricos John Kontoghiorghes
Download or read book Computational Methods in Decision-Making, Economics and Finance written by Erricos John Kontoghiorghes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 626 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Computing has become essential for the modeling, analysis, and optimization of systems. This book is devoted to algorithms, computational analysis, and decision models. The chapters are organized in two parts: optimization models of decisions and models of pricing and equilibria.
Author :Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :3642420397 Total Pages :268 pages Book Rating :4.6/5 (424 download)
Book Synopsis Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling by : Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom
Download or read book Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling written by Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-11 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years nonlinearities have gained increasing importance in economic and econometric research, particularly after the financial crisis and the economic downturn after 2007. This book contains theoretical, computational and empirical papers that incorporate nonlinearities in econometric models and apply them to real economic problems. It intends to serve as an inspiration for researchers to take potential nonlinearities in account. Researchers should be aware of applying linear model-types spuriously to problems which include non-linear features. It is indispensable to use the correct model type in order to avoid biased recommendations for economic policy.
Book Synopsis The Visible Hand by : Reiner B Koblo
Download or read book The Visible Hand written by Reiner B Koblo and published by . This book was released on 1991-11-13 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Alternative Decision-Making Models for Financial Portfolio Management: Emerging Research and Opportunities by : Spaseski, Narela
Download or read book Alternative Decision-Making Models for Financial Portfolio Management: Emerging Research and Opportunities written by Spaseski, Narela and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2017-08-11 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economics is an integral aspect to every successful society, yet basic financial practices have gone unchanged for decades. Analyzing unconventional finance methods can provide new ways to ensure personal financial futures on an individual level, as well as boosting international economies. Alternative Decision-Making Models for Financial Portfolio Management: Emerging Research and Opportunities is an essential reference source that discusses methods and techniques that make financial administration more efficient for professionals in economic fields. Featuring relevant topics such as mean-variance portfolio theory, decision tree analysis, risk protection strategies, and asset-liability management, this publication is ideal for academicians, students, economists, and researchers that would like to stay current on new and innovative methods to transform the financial realm.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models by : Benedikt M. Pötscher
Download or read book Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models written by Benedikt M. Pötscher and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Many relationships in economics, and also in other fields, are both dynamic and nonlinear. A major advance in econometrics over the last fifteen years has been the development of a theory of estimation and inference for dy namic nonlinear models. This advance was accompanied by improvements in computer technology that facilitate the practical implementation of such estimation methods. In two articles in Econometric Reviews, i.e., Pötscher and Prucha {1991a,b), we provided -an expository discussion of the basic structure of the asymptotic theory of M-estimators in dynamic nonlinear models and a review of the literature up to the beginning of this decade. Among others, the class of M-estimators contains least mean distance estimators (includ ing maximum likelihood estimators) and generalized method of moment estimators. The present book expands and revises the discussion in those articles. It is geared towards the professional econometrician or statistician. Besides reviewing the literature we also presented in the above men tioned articles a number of then new results. One example is a consis tency result for the case where the identifiable uniqueness condition fails.
Book Synopsis Econometric Decision Models by : Josef Gruber
Download or read book Econometric Decision Models written by Josef Gruber and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 629 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a refereed selection of revised papers which were originally presented at the Second International Conference on Econometric Decision Models, University of Hagen (FernUni versitat). The conference was held in Haus Nordhelle, a meeting place in the mountainous area " Sauerland" , some 50 kilometers south of Hagen, on August 29 - September 1, 1989. Some details about this conference are given in the first paper, they need not be repeated here. The 40 papers included in this volume are organized in 10 "parts", shown in the table of contents. Included are such "fashionable" topics like "optimal control", "cointegration" and "rational expec tations models". In each part, the papers have been arranged alphabetically by author, unless there were good reasons for a different arrangement. To facilitate the decision making of the readers, all papers (except a few short ones) contain an abstract, a list of keywords and a table of contents. At the end of the proceedings volume, there is a list of authors. More than ten years ago, I began to organize meetings of econometricians, mainly called "seminar" or " colloquium". One major purpose of these meetings has always been to improve international cooperation of econometric model builders (and model users) from "the East" and "the West". Unprecedented changes to the better have taken place recently ("perestroika"). For a large fraction of participants from the Soviet Union, the 1989 conference was the first conference in a Western country.
Book Synopsis Risk Management in Supply Chains by : Mohammad Heydari
Download or read book Risk Management in Supply Chains written by Mohammad Heydari and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book examines a relatively unexplored issue in supply chain risk management, which is how long companies specifically take to respond to catastrophic events of low probability but high impact. The book also looks at why such supply chain disruptions are unavoidable, and consequently, all complex supply chains are inherently at risk. The book illustrates how companies can respond to supply chain disruptions with faster responses and in shorter lead-times to reduce impact. In reducing total response time, designing solutions, and deploying a recovery plan sooner after a disruption in anticipation of such events, companies reduce the impact of disruption risk. The book also explores the basics of multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and how they contribute to both the quality of the financial economic decision-making process and the quality of the resulting decisions. The book illustrates through cases in the construction sector how this industry has become more complex and riskier due to the diverse nature of activities among global companies.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Decision Theory by : G. Haag
Download or read book Dynamic Decision Theory written by G. Haag and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Choice processes appear in all spheres of society. Hitherto ruling paradigms in the modelling of choice problems have presumed a competitive general equi librium which, however, proves insufficient for dynamic processes. This contribution aims at providing a general coherent and closed frame work for the dynamic modelling of decision processes. It was one of my main interests to build a bridge between the pure model building concepts and their practical applications. Therefore all given examples are related to empirical work. Solution algorithms for the estimation of trend parameters as well as the numerical simulation in concrete applications therefore playa central role in this contribution. Friendly relations with a number of colleagues from many universities in Europe, and the U.S. have emerged during the different applications. I wish to thank all of them. The international cooperations were mainly initiated and supported by conferences and workshops organized and financed by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (lIASA), the Istituto Ricerche Economico-Sociali Del Piemonte (I RES). the Institut National D 'Etudes De'mographiques (I NED), the Centre for Regional Science Research UmeJ. (CERUM) and the Projets de Cooperation et D'Echange avec France (Procop>' Special thanks go to the Volkswagen Stiftung for financial support of this work over the years. Thanks also go in particular to my friend and mentor Prof. W. Weidlich for his encouragement and for the many suggestions he made in fruitful discus sions and common work that have taken place over the years.
Book Synopsis Some Quantitative Methods and Models in Economic Theory by : Alexander V. Prasolov
Download or read book Some Quantitative Methods and Models in Economic Theory written by Alexander V. Prasolov and published by Nova Science Publishers. This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book takes an intermediate place between monographs and textbooks: on the one hand, it contains known, yet unusually portrayed facts, and on the other hand, the author brings his own results corresponding to the field of research. It is already obvious from the title that while reading the book, attention and concentration are required, as it is always necessary when studying books with mathematical content. Mathematical models and methods in the economic theory are very various. They are as follows: econometrics, the game theory, operation research, nonlinear and chaotic dynamics and many other aspects as well. The book will be interesting only to those who are already familiar with corresponding tasks as well as to students at all levels specializing in economic dynamics, in decision-making methods, in forecasting effects of management and in the analysis of interaction of economic agents. In terms of the most interesting and new models of economic dynamics, the authors emphasize multidimensional nonlinear systems of the differential equations of Lotka-Volterra type. These models have been constructed and analyzed, and scopes of their application and various methods of coefficients identification have been offered for them. The analysis of the competition between various economic agents (i.e. branches of economy, rival companies and sellers in the market) has been made. Another fact unusual to similar monographs is the inclusion of the theory of differential equations with the retarded argument. In economic theory, there are numerous examples of models being used with discrete time (they also have been given attention here) and with time lags (concentrated or distributed). Such an approach gives more adequate models without lags, but in the differential equations with continuous time, the introduction of delay complicates systems while the growth of delay the qualitative behavior of trajectories is changed. Additionally, there appear fluctuations such as stability being changed by instability, etc. As the author has belonged to the St. Petersburg Mathematical School for more than thirty-five years, the list of references contains many Russian names which may be unknown to Western readers. However, the list also includes world classical scientists who devoted their works to mathematical methods in economics. In this monograph, an attentive reader will find numerous points for further analysis which can become a subject of publications or theses. In some cases, the text is conducted in a polemic manner that is, the author is always open for discussions and does not consider his work to be "the ultimate truth".
Book Synopsis Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision Processes by : Manfred Grauer
Download or read book Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision Processes written by Manfred Grauer and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These Proceedings report the scientific results of the Summer Study on Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision Processes orga nized jointly by the System and Decision Sciences Program of the Inter national Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (located in Laxenburg, Austria) and the Hungarian Committee for Applied Systems Analysis. The Study, which was held in Sopron over the period 16-26 Augus·t 1984, had a very special character. Sixty-eight researchers from sixteen coun tr~es participated, most of them contributing papers or experiments. In addition many members of IIASA's Young Scientists Summer Program were present. All of these participants were heavily involved in dis cussions; discussions that were not limited to the allotted time but extended well into the evenings and nights. By design, the Study gathered specialists from many disciplines, from philosophy and cultur al anthropology, through decision theory, game theory and economics, to engineering and applied mathematics. A further element of diversity was the representation of several varieties of culture, from typically Western countries, through Middle and Eastern Europe, to the Far East.
