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New Methods For Robust Science And Technology Planning
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Book Synopsis New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning by : Robert J. Lempert
Download or read book New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning written by Robert J. Lempert and published by RAND Corporation. This book was released on 1998 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: RAND researchers have conducted a successful proof-of-concept demonstration for the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) of two new methods for science and technology (S&T) planning. These methods--HyperForum, a facilitated Web-based collaborative exercise, conducted in a carefully crafted, information-rich, online environment, and Exploratory Modeling, a new approach to generating systematic, quantitative comparisons among alternative policy decisions without relying on imperfect predictions of the future--exploit new information technologies.
Book Synopsis New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning by :
Download or read book New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the fall of 1996, RAND researchers conducted a successful proof of concept demonstration for the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) of new methods for science and technology (S & T) planning. These methods exploit new information technologies in order to (1) improve the quality of the S & T planning process by using online computer assisted decision support tools that make relevant information more easily available to expert panelists meeting over the World Wide Web, and help panelists include and compensate for the effects of uncertainty by treating an S & T plan as a portfolio of technology investments hedged against a wide range of plausible futures. (2) Provide a lasting electronic archive of the expert discussions and other information that go into building an S & T plan. (3) Lower the travel related costs and scheduling constraints of the current planning process by supplementing face to face expert panel meetings with asynchronous meetings over the World Wide Web. The demonstration made use of two new RAND methodologies: HyperForum, a facilitated Web based collaborative exercise, conducted in a carefully crafted, information rich, online environment, and Exploratory Modeling, a new approach to generating systematic, quantitative comparisons among alternative policy decisions without relying on imperfect predictions of the future. This documented briefing describes that demonstration. It should be of interest to decisionmakers responsible for choosing, managing, and justifying portfolios of science and technology research projects in the Department of Defense and other federal agencies, and in the private sector. In addition, it should be informative to those readers interested in how new information technologies can provide new methods for planning and decisionmaking under uncertainty.
Author :United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Reform. Subcommittee on Government Management, Information, and Technology Publisher : ISBN 13 : Total Pages :112 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (327 download)
Book Synopsis Emerging Technologies by : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Reform. Subcommittee on Government Management, Information, and Technology
Download or read book Emerging Technologies written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Government Reform. Subcommittee on Government Management, Information, and Technology and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Marjolein B.A. van Asselt Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :9401725837 Total Pages :444 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (17 download)
Book Synopsis Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk by : Marjolein B.A. van Asselt
Download or read book Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk written by Marjolein B.A. van Asselt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is intended to stimulate a change in the practice of decision support, advocating an interdisciplinary approach centred on both social and natural sciences, both theory and practice. It addresses the issue of analysis and management of uncertainty and risk in decision support corresponding to the aims of Integrated Assessment. A pluralistic method is necessary to account for legitimate plural interpretations of uncertainty and multiple risk perceptions. A wide range of methods and tools is presented to contribute to adequate and effective pluralistic uncertainty management and risk analysis in decision support endeavours. Special attention is given to the development of one such approach, the Pluralistic fRamework for Integrated uncertainty Management and risk Analysis (PRIMA), of which the practical value is explored in the context of the Environmental Outlooks produced by the Dutch Institute for Public Health and Environment (RIVM). Audience: This book will be of interest to researchers and practitioners whose work involves decision support, uncertainty management, risk analysis, environmental planning, and Integrated Assessment.
Book Synopsis Integrated Regional Assessment of Global Climate Change by :
Download or read book Integrated Regional Assessment of Global Climate Change written by and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :National Academies of Sciences and Engineering Publisher :National Academies Press ISBN 13 :9780309082938 Total Pages :142 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (829 download)
Book Synopsis Adaptive Agents, Intelligence, and Emergent Human Organization by : National Academies of Sciences and Engineering
Download or read book Adaptive Agents, Intelligence, and Emergent Human Organization written by National Academies of Sciences and Engineering and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2002-01-01 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Intelligent Information Systems and Knowledge Management for Energy: Applications for Decision Support, Usage, and Environmental Protection by : Metaxiotis, Kostas
Download or read book Intelligent Information Systems and Knowledge Management for Energy: Applications for Decision Support, Usage, and Environmental Protection written by Metaxiotis, Kostas and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2009-08-31 with total page 523 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book analyzes the need for a holistic approach for the construction and engineering of cities and societies"--Provided by publisher.
Book Synopsis New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning by :
Download or read book New Methods for Robust Science and Technology Planning written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the fall of 1996, RAND researchers conducted a successful proof of concept demonstration for the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) of new methods for science and technology (S & T) planning. These methods exploit new information technologies in order to (1) improve the quality of the S & T planning process by using online computer assisted decision support tools that make relevant information more easily available to expert panelists meeting over the World Wide Web, and help panelists include and compensate for the effects of uncertainty by treating an S & T plan as a portfolio of technology investments hedged against a wide range of plausible futures. (2) Provide a lasting electronic archive of the expert discussions and other information that go into building an S & T plan. (3) Lower the travel related costs and scheduling constraints of the current planning process by supplementing face to face expert panel meetings with asynchronous meetings over the World Wide Web. The demonstration made use of two new RAND methodologies: HyperForum, a facilitated Web based collaborative exercise, conducted in a carefully crafted, information rich, online environment, and Exploratory Modeling, a new approach to generating systematic, quantitative comparisons among alternative policy decisions without relying on imperfect predictions of the future. This documented briefing describes that demonstration. It should be of interest to decisionmakers responsible for choosing, managing, and justifying portfolios of science and technology research projects in the Department of Defense and other federal agencies, and in the private sector. In addition, it should be informative to those readers interested in how new information technologies can provide new methods for planning and decisionmaking under uncertainty.
Book Synopsis Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by : Robert J. Lempert
Download or read book Shaping the Next One Hundred Years written by Robert J. Lempert and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Army Science And Technology Master Plan 2001, Volume 1, January 2001 by :
Download or read book Army Science And Technology Master Plan 2001, Volume 1, January 2001 written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Army Science and Technology Master Plan by : United States. Department of the Army
Download or read book Army Science and Technology Master Plan written by United States. Department of the Army and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Societal Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change by : Sally M. Kane
Download or read book Societal Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change written by Sally M. Kane and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2000-05-31 with total page 840 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changes in climate and climate variability have an effect on people's behaviour around the world, and public institutions have an important part to play in influencing our ability to respond to and plan for climate risk. We may be able to reduce climate risk by seeking to mitigate the threat on the one hand, and by adapting to a changed climate on the other. Another theme of the book is the integrated role of adaptation and mitigation in framing issues and performing analyses. Adaptation costs fall most heavily on the poor and special attention needs to be paid to adaptation by the poorest populations. An integrating framework is also presented to provide the context for an expansive typology of terms to apply to adaptation. The 12 papers collected here use methods from a variety of disciplines and focus on different time frames for decision making, from short term to the very long term. Readership: Technically trained readers familiar with the policy issues surrounding climate change and interested in learning the scientific underpinnings of issues related to societal adaptation.
Book Synopsis Shaping the Next One Hundred Years by : Robert J. Lempert
Download or read book Shaping the Next One Hundred Years written by Robert J. Lempert and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2003-07-18 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.
Book Synopsis Emergent Information Technologies and Enabling Policies for Counter-Terrorism by : Robert L. Popp
Download or read book Emergent Information Technologies and Enabling Policies for Counter-Terrorism written by Robert L. Popp and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2006-04-28 with total page 486 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores both counter-terrorism and enabling policy dimensions of emerging information technologies in national security After the September 11th attacks, "connecting the dots" has become the watchword for using information and intelligence to protect the United States from future terrorist attacks. Advanced and emerging information technologies offer key assets in confronting a secretive, asymmetric, and networked enemy. Yet, in a free and open society, policies must ensure that these powerful technologies are used responsibly, and that privacy and civil liberties remain protected. Emergent Information Technologies and Enabling Policies for Counter-Terrorism provides a unique, integrated treatment of cutting-edge counter-terrorism technologies and their corresponding policy options. Featuring contributions from nationally recognized authorities and experts, this book brings together a diverse knowledge base for those charged with protecting our nation from terrorist attacks while preserving our civil liberties. Topics covered include: Counter-terrorism modeling Quantitative and computational social science Signal processing and information management techniques Semantic Web and knowledge management technologies Information and intelligence sharing technologies Text/data processing and language translation technologies Social network analysis Legal standards for data mining Potential structures for enabling policies Technical system design to support policy Countering terrorism in today's world requires innovative technologies and corresponding creative policies; the two cannot be practically and realistically addressed separately. Emergent Information Technologies and Enabling Policies for Counter-Terrorism offers a comprehensive examination of both areas, serving as an essential resource for students, practitioners, researchers, developers, and decision-makers.
Book Synopsis Intelligent Computing Theories by : De-Shuang Huang
Download or read book Intelligent Computing Theories written by De-Shuang Huang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-07-20 with total page 671 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed conference proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Intelligent Computing, ICIC 2013, held in Nanning, China, in July 2013. The 74 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions and are organized in topical sections on neural networks, nature inspired computing and optimization, cognitive science and computational neuroscience, knowledge discovery and data mining, evolutionary learning and genetic algorithms machine learning theory and methods, natural language processing and computational linguistics, fuzzy theory and models, soft computing, unsupervised and reinforced learning, intelligent computing in finance, intelligent computing in petri nets, intelligent data fusion and information security, virtual reality and computer interaction, intelligent computing in pattern recognition, intelligent computing in image processing, intelligent computing in robotics, complex systems theory and methods.
Book Synopsis Innovative Research Methodologies in Management by : Luiz Moutinho
Download or read book Innovative Research Methodologies in Management written by Luiz Moutinho and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-12-05 with total page 245 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A seminal collection of research methodology themes, this two-volume work provides a set of key scholarly developments related to robustness, allowing scholars to advance their knowledge of research methods used outside of their own immediate fields. With a focus on emerging methodologies within management, key areas of importance are dissected with chapters covering statistical modelling, new measurements, digital research, biometrics and neuroscience, the philosophy of research, computer modelling approaches and new mathematical theories, among others. A genuinely pioneering contribution to the advancement of research methods in business studies, Innovative Research Methodologies in Management presents an analytical and engaging discussion on each topic. By introducing new research agendas it aims to pave the way for increased application of innovative techniques, allowing the exploration of future research perspectives. Volume II explores a range of research methodologies including the Spatial Delphi and Spatial Shang, Virtual Reality, the Futures Polygon and Neuroscience research.
Author :National Science and Technology Council Publisher :Createspace Independent Publishing Platform ISBN 13 :9781539773153 Total Pages :48 pages Book Rating :4.7/5 (731 download)
Book Synopsis The National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan by : National Science and Technology Council
Download or read book The National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan written by National Science and Technology Council and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2016-10-27 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Artificial intelligence (AI) is a transformative technology that holds promise for tremendous societal and economic benefit. AI has the potential to revolutionize how we live, work, learn, discover, and communicate. AI research can further our national priorities, including increased economic prosperity, improved educational opportunities and quality of life, and enhanced national and homeland security. Because of these potential benefits, the U.S. government has invested in AI research for many years. Yet, as with any significant technology in which the Federal government has interest, there are not only tremendous opportunities but also a number of considerations that must be taken into account in guiding the overall direction of Federally-funded R&D in AI. On May 3, 2016, the Administration announced the formation of a new NSTC Subcommittee on Machine Learning and Artificial intelligence, to help coordinate Federal activity in AI.1 This Subcommittee, on June 15, 2016, directed the Subcommittee on Networking and Information Technology Research and Development (NITRD) to create a National Artificial Intelligence Research and Development Strategic Plan. A NITRD Task Force on Artificial Intelligence was then formed to define the Federal strategic priorities for AI R&D, with particular attention on areas that industry is unlikely to address. This National Artificial Intelligence R&D Strategic Plan establishes a set of objectives for Federally-funded AI research, both research occurring within the government as well as Federally-funded research occurring outside of government, such as in academia. The ultimate goal of this research is to produce new AI knowledge and technologies that provide a range of positive benefits to society, while minimizing the negative impacts.
