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Neural Networks For Financial Markets Analyses And Options Valuation
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Book Synopsis Neural Networks for Financial Markets Analyses and Options Valuation by : Ing-Chyuan Wu
Download or read book Neural Networks for Financial Markets Analyses and Options Valuation written by Ing-Chyuan Wu and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a neural network option pricing model that can fit listed option prices accurately, and be used to recover the implied asset price distribution and asset price dynamics. The observable market option prices are noisy and insufficient. To overcome the problem, two option pricing models constructed using multilayer feedforward neural networks are investigated. The first one uses a neural network to learn the implied volatility function of Black-Scholes-Merton model. To price an option, this neural network must work together with Black-Scholes-Merton formulas. The other one uses a neural network to learn the function mapping between the option price and observable affecting factors. This neural network is a complete option pricing model and can function independently of any option pricing formula. Based on a theory derived by Breeden and Litzenberger, the implied risk-neutral probability density surface can be extracted from the second partial derivative of the option price function with respect to the strike price. While both neural network option pricing models fit observed option prices well, only the first model is suitable for extracting a risk-neutral probability density surface. Risk-neutral valuation method is used to perform in-sample and out-of-sample tests. Based on the Fokker-Plank equation, an implied Ito process can be derived from the first and second partial derivatives of the option price function with respect to the strike price and the maturity. Similarly, only the first neural network option pricing model is suitable for deriving an Ito process. Monte Carlo simulation is used to perform in-sample and out-of-sample tests. The pricing errors from the extracted risk-neutral probability density surface and Ito process are only slightly larger than that directly from the neural network option pricing model. The small difference indicates that little information has been lost in the extracted risk-neutral probability density surface and Ito process. As a result, exotic options can be priced with the extracted information.
Book Synopsis Neural Network Solutions for Trading in Financial Markets by : Dirk Emma Baestaens
Download or read book Neural Network Solutions for Trading in Financial Markets written by Dirk Emma Baestaens and published by Pitman Publishing. This book was released on 1994 with total page 274 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offers an alternative technique in forecasting to the traditional techniques used in trading and dealing. The book explains the shortcomings of traditional techniques and shows how neural networks overcome many of the disadvantages of these traditional systems.
Book Synopsis Pricing Options with Futures-style Margining by : A. Jay White
Download or read book Pricing Options with Futures-style Margining written by A. Jay White and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2000 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First Published in 2000. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Book Synopsis Neural Networks and the Financial Markets by : Jimmy Shadbolt
Download or read book Neural Networks and the Financial Markets written by Jimmy Shadbolt and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2002-08-06 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is abook about the methods developed byour research team, over a period of 10years, for predicting financial market returns. Thework began in late 1991, at a time when one ofus (Jimmy Shadbolt) had just completed a rewrite of the software used at Econostat by the economics team for medium-term trend prediction of economic indica- tors.Looking for anewproject, itwassuggestedthatwelook atnon-linear modelling of financial markets, and that a good place to start might be with neural networks. One small caveat should be added before we start: we use the terms "prediction" and "prediction model" throughout the book, although, with only such a small amount of information being extracted about future performance, can we really claim to be building predictors at all? Some might saythat the future ofmarkets, especially one month ahead, is too dim to perceive. We think we can claim to "predict" for two reasons. Firstlywedoindeedpredictafewper cent offuturevalues ofcertainassets in terms ofpast values ofcertainindicators, asshown by our trackrecord. Secondly, we use standard and in-house prediction methods that are purely quantitative. Weallow no subjective viewto alter what the models tell us. Thus weare doing prediction, even if the problem isvery hard. So while we could throughout the book talk about "getting a better view of the future" or some such euphemism, we would not be correctly describing what it isweare actually doing. Weare indeed getting abetter view of the future, by using prediction methods.
Book Synopsis Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network by : Joish Bosco
Download or read book Stock Market Prediction and Efficiency Analysis using Recurrent Neural Network written by Joish Bosco and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2018-09-18 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Project Report from the year 2018 in the subject Computer Science - Technical Computer Science, , course: Computer Science, language: English, abstract: Modeling and Forecasting of the financial market have been an attractive topic to scholars and researchers from various academic fields. The financial market is an abstract concept where financial commodities such as stocks, bonds, and precious metals transactions happen between buyers and sellers. In the present scenario of the financial market world, especially in the stock market, forecasting the trend or the price of stocks using machine learning techniques and artificial neural networks are the most attractive issue to be investigated. As Giles explained, financial forecasting is an instance of signal processing problem which is difficult because of high noise, small sample size, non-stationary, and non-linearity. The noisy characteristics mean the incomplete information gap between past stock trading price and volume with a future price. The stock market is sensitive with the political and macroeconomic environment. However, these two kinds of information are too complex and unstable to gather. The above information that cannot be included in features are considered as noise. The sample size of financial data is determined by real-world transaction records. On one hand, a larger sample size refers a longer period of transaction records; on the other hand, large sample size increases the uncertainty of financial environment during the 2 sample period. In this project, we use stock data instead of daily data in order to reduce the probability of uncertain noise, and relatively increase the sample size within a certain period of time. By non-stationarity, one means that the distribution of stock data is various during time changing. Non-linearity implies that feature correlation of different individual stocks is various. Efficient Market Hypothesis was developed by Burton G. Malkiel in 1991.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning in Asset Pricing by : Stefan Nagel
Download or read book Machine Learning in Asset Pricing written by Stefan Nagel and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A groundbreaking, authoritative introduction to how machine learning can be applied to asset pricing Investors in financial markets are faced with an abundance of potentially value-relevant information from a wide variety of different sources. In such data-rich, high-dimensional environments, techniques from the rapidly advancing field of machine learning (ML) are well-suited for solving prediction problems. Accordingly, ML methods are quickly becoming part of the toolkit in asset pricing research and quantitative investing. In this book, Stefan Nagel examines the promises and challenges of ML applications in asset pricing. Asset pricing problems are substantially different from the settings for which ML tools were developed originally. To realize the potential of ML methods, they must be adapted for the specific conditions in asset pricing applications. Economic considerations, such as portfolio optimization, absence of near arbitrage, and investor learning can guide the selection and modification of ML tools. Beginning with a brief survey of basic supervised ML methods, Nagel then discusses the application of these techniques in empirical research in asset pricing and shows how they promise to advance the theoretical modeling of financial markets. Machine Learning in Asset Pricing presents the exciting possibilities of using cutting-edge methods in research on financial asset valuation.
Book Synopsis Neural Networks in Finance by : Paul D. McNelis
Download or read book Neural Networks in Finance written by Paul D. McNelis and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2005-01-20 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the intuitive appeal of neural networks and the genetic algorithm in finance. It demonstrates how neural networks used in combination with evolutionary computation outperform classical econometric methods for accuracy in forecasting, classification and dimensionality reduction. McNelis utilizes a variety of examples, from forecasting automobile production and corporate bond spread, to inflation and deflation processes in Hong Kong and Japan, to credit card default in Germany to bank failures in Texas, to cap-floor volatilities in New York and Hong Kong. * Offers a balanced, critical review of the neural network methods and genetic algorithms used in finance * Includes numerous examples and applications * Numerical illustrations use MATLAB code and the book is accompanied by a website
Book Synopsis Forecasting Financial Markets Using Neural Networks by : Jason E. Kutsurelis
Download or read book Forecasting Financial Markets Using Neural Networks written by Jason E. Kutsurelis and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 99 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research examines andanalyzes the use of neural networks as a forecasting tool. Specifically a neural network's ability to predict future trends of Stock Market Indices is tested. Accuracy is compared against a traditional forecasting method, multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, the probability of the model's forecast being correct is calculated using conditional probabilities. While only briefly discussing neural network theory, this research determines the feasibility and practicality of usingneural networks as a forecasting tool for the individual investor. This study builds upon the work done byEdward Gately in his book Neural Networks for Financial Forecasting. This research validates the work of Gately and describes the development of a neural network that achieved a 93.3 percent probability of predicting a market rise, and an 88.07 percent probability of predicting a market drop in the S&P500. It was concluded that neural networks do have the capability to forecast financial markets and, if properly trained, the individual investor could benefit from the use of this forecasting tool.
Book Synopsis Advanced Option Pricing Models by : Jeffrey Owen Katz
Download or read book Advanced Option Pricing Models written by Jeffrey Owen Katz and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2005-02-04 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advanced Option Pricing Models details specific conditions under which current option pricing models fail to provide accurate price estimates and then shows option traders how to construct improved models for better pricing in a wider range of market conditions. Model-building steps cover options pricing under conditional or marginal distributions, using polynomial approximations and curve fitting, and compensating for mean reversion. The authors also develop effective prototype models that can be put to immediate use, with real-time examples of the models in action.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning and AI in Finance by : German Creamer
Download or read book Machine Learning and AI in Finance written by German Creamer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2021-04-05 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The significant amount of information available in any field requires a systematic and analytical approach to select the most critical information and anticipate major events. During the last decade, the world has witnessed a rapid expansion of applications of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms to an increasingly broad range of financial markets and problems. Machine learning and AI algorithms facilitate this process understanding, modelling and forecasting the behaviour of the most relevant financial variables. The main contribution of this book is the presentation of new theoretical and applied AI perspectives to find solutions to unsolved finance questions. This volume proposes an optimal model for the volatility smile, for modelling high-frequency liquidity demand and supply and for the simulation of market microstructure features. Other new AI developments explored in this book includes building a universal model for a large number of stocks, developing predictive models based on the average price of the crowd, forecasting the stock price using the attention mechanism in a neural network, clustering multivariate time series into different market states, proposing a multivariate distance nonlinear causality test and filtering out false investment strategies with an unsupervised learning algorithm. Machine Learning and AI in Finance explores the most recent advances in the application of innovative machine learning and artificial intelligence models to predict financial time series, to simulate the structure of the financial markets, to explore nonlinear causality models, to test investment strategies and to price financial options. The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of the Quantitative Finance journal.
Book Synopsis An Introduction to Financial Option Valuation by : Desmond J. Higham
Download or read book An Introduction to Financial Option Valuation written by Desmond J. Higham and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2004-04-15 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a lively textbook providing a solid introduction to financial option valuation for undergraduate students armed with a working knowledge of a first year calculus. Written in a series of short chapters, its self-contained treatment gives equal weight to applied mathematics, stochastics and computational algorithms. No prior background in probability, statistics or numerical analysis is required. Detailed derivations of both the basic asset price model and the Black–Scholes equation are provided along with a presentation of appropriate computational techniques including binomial, finite differences and in particular, variance reduction techniques for the Monte Carlo method. Each chapter comes complete with accompanying stand-alone MATLAB code listing to illustrate a key idea. Furthermore, the author has made heavy use of figures and examples, and has included computations based on real stock market data.
Book Synopsis Computational Intelligence Applications to Option Pricing, Volatility Forecasting and Value at Risk by : Fahed Mostafa
Download or read book Computational Intelligence Applications to Option Pricing, Volatility Forecasting and Value at Risk written by Fahed Mostafa and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-02-28 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book demonstrates the power of neural networks in learning complex behavior from the underlying financial time series data. The results presented also show how neural networks can successfully be applied to volatility modeling, option pricing, and value-at-risk modeling. These features mean that they can be applied to market-risk problems to overcome classic problems associated with statistical models.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence in Financial Markets by : Christian L. Dunis
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence in Financial Markets written by Christian L. Dunis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-11-21 with total page 349 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As technology advancement has increased, so to have computational applications for forecasting, modelling and trading financial markets and information, and practitioners are finding ever more complex solutions to financial challenges. Neural networking is a highly effective, trainable algorithmic approach which emulates certain aspects of human brain functions, and is used extensively in financial forecasting allowing for quick investment decision making. This book presents the most cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI)/neural networking applications for markets, assets and other areas of finance. Split into four sections, the book first explores time series analysis for forecasting and trading across a range of assets, including derivatives, exchange traded funds, debt and equity instruments. This section will focus on pattern recognition, market timing models, forecasting and trading of financial time series. Section II provides insights into macro and microeconomics and how AI techniques could be used to better understand and predict economic variables. Section III focuses on corporate finance and credit analysis providing an insight into corporate structures and credit, and establishing a relationship between financial statement analysis and the influence of various financial scenarios. Section IV focuses on portfolio management, exploring applications for portfolio theory, asset allocation and optimization. This book also provides some of the latest research in the field of artificial intelligence and finance, and provides in-depth analysis and highly applicable tools and techniques for practitioners and researchers in this field.
Book Synopsis Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets by : Thomas Barrau
Download or read book Artificial Intelligence for Financial Markets written by Thomas Barrau and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-05-31 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces the novel artificial intelligence technique of polymodels and applies it to the prediction of stock returns. The idea of polymodels is to describe a system by its sensitivities to an environment, and to monitor it, imitating what a natural brain does spontaneously. In practice this involves running a collection of non-linear univariate models. This very powerful standalone technique has several advantages over traditional multivariate regressions. With its easy to interpret results, this method provides an ideal preliminary step towards the traditional neural network approach. The first two chapters compare the technique with other regression alternatives and introduces an estimation method which regularizes a polynomial regression using cross-validation. The rest of the book applies these ideas to financial markets. Certain equity return components are predicted using polymodels in very different ways, and a genetic algorithm is described which combines these different predictions into a single portfolio, aiming to optimize the portfolio returns net of transaction costs. Addressed to investors at all levels of experience this book will also be of interest to both seasoned and non-seasoned statisticians.
Book Synopsis Machine Learning in Finance by : Matthew F. Dixon
Download or read book Machine Learning in Finance written by Matthew F. Dixon and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-01 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces machine learning methods in finance. It presents a unified treatment of machine learning and various statistical and computational disciplines in quantitative finance, such as financial econometrics and discrete time stochastic control, with an emphasis on how theory and hypothesis tests inform the choice of algorithm for financial data modeling and decision making. With the trend towards increasing computational resources and larger datasets, machine learning has grown into an important skillset for the finance industry. This book is written for advanced graduate students and academics in financial econometrics, mathematical finance and applied statistics, in addition to quants and data scientists in the field of quantitative finance. Machine Learning in Finance: From Theory to Practice is divided into three parts, each part covering theory and applications. The first presents supervised learning for cross-sectional data from both a Bayesian and frequentist perspective. The more advanced material places a firm emphasis on neural networks, including deep learning, as well as Gaussian processes, with examples in investment management and derivative modeling. The second part presents supervised learning for time series data, arguably the most common data type used in finance with examples in trading, stochastic volatility and fixed income modeling. Finally, the third part presents reinforcement learning and its applications in trading, investment and wealth management. Python code examples are provided to support the readers' understanding of the methodologies and applications. The book also includes more than 80 mathematical and programming exercises, with worked solutions available to instructors. As a bridge to research in this emergent field, the final chapter presents the frontiers of machine learning in finance from a researcher's perspective, highlighting how many well-known concepts in statistical physics are likely to emerge as important methodologies for machine learning in finance.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Financial Markets Using Neural Networks by : Jason Kutsurelis
Download or read book Forecasting Financial Markets Using Neural Networks written by Jason Kutsurelis and published by . This book was released on 1998-09-01 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research examines and analyzes the use of neural networks as a forecasting tool. Specifically a neural network's ability to predict future trends of Stock Market Indices is tested. Accuracy is compared against a traditional forecasting method, multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, the probability of the model's forecast being correct is calculated using conditional probabilities. While only briefly discussing neural network theory, this research determines the feasibility and practicality of using neural networks as a forecasting tool for the individual investor. This study builds upon the work done by Edward Gately in his book Neural Networks for Financial Forecasting. This research validates the work of Gately and describes the development of a neural network that achieved a 93.3 percent probability of predicting a market rise, and an 88.07 percent probability of predicting a market drop in the S&P500. It was concluded that neural networks do have the capability to forecast financial markets and, if properly trained, the individual investor could benefit from the use of this forecasting tool.
Book Synopsis Statistics of Financial Markets by : Jürgen Franke
Download or read book Statistics of Financial Markets written by Jürgen Franke and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-06-11 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Now in its fifth edition, this book offers a detailed yet concise introduction to the growing field of statistical applications in finance. The reader will learn the basic methods for evaluating option contracts, analyzing financial time series, selecting portfolios and managing risks based on realistic assumptions about market behavior. The focus is both on the fundamentals of mathematical finance and financial time series analysis, and on applications to specific problems concerning financial markets, thus making the book the ideal basis for lectures, seminars and crash courses on the topic. All numerical calculations are transparent and reproducible using quantlets. For this new edition the book has been updated and extensively revised and now includes several new aspects such as neural networks, deep learning, and crypto-currencies. Both R and Matlab code, together with the data, can be downloaded from the book’s product page and the Quantlet platform. The Quantlet platform quantlet.de, quantlet.com, quantlet.org is an integrated QuantNet environment consisting of different types of statistics-related documents and program codes. Its goal is to promote reproducibility and offer a platform for sharing validated knowledge native to the social web. QuantNet and the corresponding Data-Driven Documents-based visualization allow readers to reproduce the tables, pictures and calculations inside this Springer book. “This book provides an excellent introduction to the tools from probability and statistics necessary to analyze financial data. Clearly written and accessible, it will be very useful to students and practitioners alike.” Yacine Ait-Sahalia, Otto Hack 1903 Professor of Finance and Economics, Princeton University
