Global Trends 2040

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Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

National Security Crisis Forecasting And Management

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429696825
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis National Security Crisis Forecasting And Management by : Gerald W. Hopple

Download or read book National Security Crisis Forecasting And Management written by Gerald W. Hopple and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-03-08 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book identifies the central problems of crisis research, assesses the progress of work in the area, and discusses prospects for the future. It addresses Soviet, Chinese, and U.S. crisis management patterns, computer-based early warning systems, terrorism, and the Rapid Deployment Force.

National Security Forecast

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Publisher : Wydawnictwo Naukowe FNCE
ISBN 13 : 8366264114
Total Pages : 220 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (662 download)

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Book Synopsis National Security Forecast by : Bogdan Grenda

Download or read book National Security Forecast written by Bogdan Grenda and published by Wydawnictwo Naukowe FNCE. This book was released on with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The reviewed monograph is an unprecedented publication on the Polish publishing market. A group of leading scientists have undertaken an incredibly difficult task to investigate the Polish raison d'état. The task has been fully performed. Not only have the authors defined Polish national interest but they have also elaborated the challenges and threats faced by Poland and produced a forecast horizon for up to 2025.

Climate and Social Stress

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309278562
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate and Social Stress by : National Research Council

Download or read book Climate and Social Stress written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-02-14 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change can reasonably be expected to increase the frequency and intensity of a variety of potentially disruptive environmental events-slowly at first, but then more quickly. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching effects. During the coming decade, certain climate-related events will produce consequences that exceed the capacity of the affected societies or global systems to manage; these may have global security implications. Although focused on events outside the United States, Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis recommends a range of research and policy actions to create a whole-of-government approach to increasing understanding of complex and contingent connections between climate and security, and to inform choices about adapting to and reducing vulnerability to climate change.

Driving in the Dark

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781935087519
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (875 download)

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Book Synopsis Driving in the Dark by : Richard Danzig

Download or read book Driving in the Dark written by Richard Danzig and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Department of Defense relies on predictions about future threats and potential scenarios to forecast needs and select and acquire major weapons systems. Yet history has shown that an uncertain national security environment dictates the need for adaptability and flexibility when predictions are incorrect, and the U.S. military must be better prepared when predictions are wrong. This report examines the nature of prediction in national security and offers strategic recommendations for how the U.S. Department of Defense can improve its predictive capabilities while also preparing for predictive failure. The author recommends that the Department of Defense adopt new strategies to improve its predictive abilities while also preparing to be unprepared, and suggests narrowing the time between conceptualizing programs and bringing them to realization; building more for the short-term and designing operationally flexible equipment; and valuing diversity and competition. Policymakers will always drive in the dark, but by adopting these recommendations, they may better respond to unpredictable conditions and prepare the United States for unforeseen threats.

Out of the Box and Into the Future

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (466 download)

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Book Synopsis Out of the Box and Into the Future by : James J. Richardson

Download or read book Out of the Box and Into the Future written by James J. Richardson and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Project on National Security Reform - Vision Working Group Report and Scenarios

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Author :
Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781477687482
Total Pages : 278 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (874 download)

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Book Synopsis Project on National Security Reform - Vision Working Group Report and Scenarios by : Sheila Ronis

Download or read book Project on National Security Reform - Vision Working Group Report and Scenarios written by Sheila Ronis and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2012-06-18 with total page 278 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On November 26, 2008, the Project on National Security Reform submitted its 2-year study of the national security system, Forging a New Shield, to the President, Presidentelect, and Congress. The study found that the national security system was at risk of failure and needed serious reform. Before the Project finalized the report's recommendations, its Vision Working Group tested the findings against a diverse set of scenarios to determine if the recommendations were robust and effective. This testing revealed that each of the five major findings improved the performance of the current national security system. This volume documents the scenario-testing process used by the Vision Working Group. It includes the actual pre-reform and post-reform scenarios and details many other scenario techniques used in the overall study. The work of the Vision Working Group has led to the formulation of another recommendation: The country must establish a mechanism to infuse greater foresight into the Executive Branch, and in particular the national security system. This proposed mechanism, named the Center for Strategic Analysis and Assessment, would exist and operate within the Executive Office of the President. This volume details the proposed architecture and operation of the Center. The Project on National Security Reform advocates establishment of such a foresight mechanism as part of the larger transformation of the national security system and is ready and willing to assist in its implementation.

Project on National Security Reform

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Author :
Publisher : Strategic Studies Institute
ISBN 13 : 158487452X
Total Pages : 211 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Project on National Security Reform by :

Download or read book Project on National Security Reform written by and published by Strategic Studies Institute. This book was released on 2010 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Project on National Security Reform submitted its 2-year study of the national security system, Forging a New Shield, to the President, President-elect, and Congress on November 26, 2008. Before the Project finalized the report's recommendations, its Vision Working Group tested the findings against a diverse set of scenarios to determine if the recommendations were robust and effective. This volume documents the scenario-testing process used by the Vision Working Group and includes the actual pre-reform and post-reform scenarios and details many other scenario techniques used in the overall study. Results revealed that each of the five major findings improved the performance of the current national security system, but, on the whole, the findings concluded that the national security system was at risk of failure and needed serious reform. The work of the Vision Working Group has led to the formulation of an additional recommendation: The country must establish a mechanism to infuse greater foresight into the Executive Branch, and in particular the national security system. This proposed mechanism, named the Center for Strategic Analysis and Assessment, would exist and operate within the Executive Office of the President. This volume details the proposed architecture and operation of the Center.

Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ?

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Author :
Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ? by : National Defense University (U S )

Download or read book Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security ? written by National Defense University (U S ) and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2011-12-27 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: On August 24-25, 2010, the National Defense University held a conference titled “Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security?” to explore the economic element of national power. This special collection of selected papers from the conference represents the view of several keynote speakers and participants in six panel discussions. It explores the complexity surrounding this subject and examines the major elements that, interacting as a system, define the economic component of national security.

National Security Issues in Science, Law, and Technology

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1040080774
Total Pages : 464 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis National Security Issues in Science, Law, and Technology by : Thomas A. Johnson

Download or read book National Security Issues in Science, Law, and Technology written by Thomas A. Johnson and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2007-04-16 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the best scientific decision-making practices, this book introduces the concept of risk management and its application in the structure of national security decisions. It examines the acquisition and utilization of all-source intelligence and addresses reaction and prevention strategies applicable to chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons; agricultural terrorism; cyberterrorism; and other potential threats to our critical infrastructure. It discusses legal issues and illustrates the dispassionate analysis of our intelligence, law enforcement, and military operations and actions. The book also considers the redirection of our national research and laboratory system to investigate weapons we have yet to confront.

Global Trends

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Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781543054705
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (547 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends by : National Intelligence Council and Office

Download or read book Global Trends written by National Intelligence Council and Office and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of Global Trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. The main section lays out the key trends, explores their implications, and offers up three scenarios to help readers imagine how different choices and developments could play out in very different ways over the next several decades. Two annexes lay out more detail. The first lays out five-year forecasts for each region of the world. The second provides more context on the key global trends in train.

Policy Analysis in National Security Affairs

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Publisher : Government Printing Office
ISBN 13 : 9781579060701
Total Pages : 664 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (67 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Analysis in National Security Affairs by : Richard L. Kugler

Download or read book Policy Analysis in National Security Affairs written by Richard L. Kugler and published by Government Printing Office. This book was released on 2006 with total page 664 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses how to conduct policy analysis in the field of national security, including foreign policy and defense strategy. It is a philosophical and conceptual book for helphing people think deeply, clearly, and insightfully about complex policy issues. This books reflects the viewpoint that the best policies normally come from efforts to synthesize competing camps by drawing upon the best of each of them and by combining them to forge a sensible whole. While this book is written to be reader-friendly, it aspires to in-depth scholarship.

Reducing Uncertainty

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Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 080477594X
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Reducing Uncertainty by : Thomas Fingar

Download or read book Reducing Uncertainty written by Thomas Fingar and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2011-07-20 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes what Intelligence Community (IC) analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output. It is written by a 25-year intelligence professional.

National Security Crisis Forecasting and Management

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 9780367018795
Total Pages : 221 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (187 download)

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Book Synopsis National Security Crisis Forecasting and Management by : Gerald W. Hopple

Download or read book National Security Crisis Forecasting and Management written by Gerald W. Hopple and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-06-17 with total page 221 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book identifies the central problems of crisis research, assesses the progress of work in the area, and discusses prospects for the future. It addresses Soviet, Chinese, and U.S. crisis management patterns, computer-based early warning systems, terrorism, and the Rapid Deployment Force.

Project on National Security Reform

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (942 download)

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Book Synopsis Project on National Security Reform by :

Download or read book Project on National Security Reform written by and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economics and National Security

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Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1437980805
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (379 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics and National Security by : Dick K. Nanto

Download or read book Economics and National Security written by Dick K. Nanto and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contents: (1) National Security (NS) and the Congressional Interest; 21st Century Challenges to NS; (2) The Role of the Economy in U.S. NS; Macroecon. and Microecon. Issues in NS; (3) Economic Growth and Broad Conceptions of NS: Human Capital; Research, Innovation, Energy, and Space; (4) Globalization, Trade, Finance, and the G-20; Instability in the Global Economy; Savings and Exports; Boosting Domestic Demand Abroad; Open Foreign Markets to U.S. Products and Services; Build Cooperation with International Partners; Deterring Threats to the International Financial System; (5) Democracy, Human Rights, and Development Aid; Sustainable Development. Charts and tables. This is a print on demand publication.

Global Trends 2030

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Author :
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646797721
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (977 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2030 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2030 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2018-02-07 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important report, Global Trends 2030-Alternative Worlds, released in 2012 by the U.S. National Intelligence Council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Among the megatrends, it analyzes: - increased individual empowerment - the diffusion of power among states and the ascent of a networked multi-polar world - a world's population growing to 8.3 billion people, of which sixty percent will live in urbanized areas, and surging cross-border migration - expanding demand for food, water, and energy It furthermore describes potential game changers, including: - a global economy that could thrive or collapse - increased global insecurity due to regional instability in the Middle East and South Asia - new technologies that could solve the problems caused by the megatrends - the possibility, but by no means the certainty, that the U.S. with new partners will reinvent the international system Students of trends, forward-looking entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades will find this essential reading.