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Multicointegration Analysis Of The Sustainability Of Foreign Debt
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Book Synopsis Multicointegration Analysis of the Sustainability of Foreign Debt by : Lori L. Leachman
Download or read book Multicointegration Analysis of the Sustainability of Foreign Debt written by Lori L. Leachman and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the multicointegration framework suggested by Granger and Lee (1989, 1990) and developed in Engsted, Gonzalo and Haldrup (1997) and Haldrup (1997) this study explores the long-run relationship between components of the U.S. current account during two periods, 1947:i-1973:iv and 1974:i-1994:ii. The paper develops the concept of sustainability of external imbalances in an environment that is non-deterministic and characterized by uncertainty. The sustainability criteria are related to multicointegration. Evidence consistent with sustainable intertemporal external budgeting in the fixed exchange rate era is presented. In the post Bretton Woods period there is no support for sustainable external budgeting. Policy issues and factors that affect sustainability are discussed.
Book Synopsis Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt by : Issouf Samaké
Download or read book Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt written by Issouf Samaké and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-12-01 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fiscal and macroeconomic variables. Retrospectively, a historical decomposition shows by how much debt accumulation reflects unsustainable policy, adverse shocks, or both. Prospectively, Monte Carlo techniques reveal the primary surplus that is required to keep the debt/GDP ratio from rising in all but the worst 50 percent, 25 percent, and 10 percent of circumstances. Such a value-at-risk approach presents a clearer menu of policy options than currently used frameworks.
Book Synopsis Sustainability of External Imbalances by : Angélique Herzberg
Download or read book Sustainability of External Imbalances written by Angélique Herzberg and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-08-28 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the mid-1990s, sustainability of large and persistent current account positions have been attracting much attention from policy makers and economists alike. Alongside global imbalances, sustainability of imbalances within the euro area, which started widening shortly after the introduction of the euro, raised much concern. While there exists a large body of theoretical and empirical literature on sustainability of external imbalances, a systematic survey has been lacking so far. Angélique Herzberg fills this gap by examining a broad range of established sustainability measures concerning their applicability to the various global and intra-euro imbalances of the recent past. Furthermore, the author examines the existence of feedback effects from an economy ́s net international investment position to its trade balance.
Book Synopsis Ensayos sobre política económica by :
Download or read book Ensayos sobre política económica written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data by : Badi Hani Baltagi
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data written by Badi Hani Baltagi and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 705 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data examines new developments in the theory and applications of panel data. It includes basic topics like non-stationary panels, co-integration in panels, multifactor panel models, panel unit roots, measurement error in panels, incidental parameters and dynamic panels, spatial panels, nonparametric panel data, random coefficients, treatment effects, sample selection, count panel data, limited dependent variable panel models, unbalanced panel models with interactive effects and influential observations in panel data. Contributors to the Handbook explore applications of panel data to a wide range of topics in economics, including health, labor, marketing, trade, productivity, and macro applications in panels. This Handbook is an informative and comprehensive guide for both those who are relatively new to the field and for those wishing to extend their knowledge to the frontier. It is a trusted and definitive source on panel data, having been edited by Professor Badi Baltagi-widely recognized as one of the foremost econometricians in the area of panel data econometrics. Professor Baltagi has successfully recruited an all-star cast of experts for each of the well-chosen topics in the Handbook.
Book Synopsis Global Shocks and the New Global and Regional Financial Architecture by : Naoyuki Yoshino
Download or read book Global Shocks and the New Global and Regional Financial Architecture written by Naoyuki Yoshino and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asian economies continue to be subject to new shocks: US monetary policy tightening, the adoption of negative-interest-rate policies by central banks all over the world, the slowdown of the People's Republic of China, and the sharp drop in oil and other commodity prices. All these highlight the vulnerability of the region to volatile trade and capital flows even as the global and Asian regional financial architecture evolves. This volume analyzes the vulnerabilities of Asian economies to external economic and financial shocks and assesses the performance of Asian regional institutions in financial surveillance and cooperation. It also evaluates ongoing reforms of the global financial architecture, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Financial Stability Board, and reviews the experience of the "Troika" (European Commission, European Central Bank, and the IMF) in managing the European sovereign debt and banking crisis. Based on these, the book develops valuable recommendations to strengthen the Asian regional financial architecture and improve cooperation with global multilateral institutions.
Author :Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti Publisher :International Finance Section Princeton University Internati ISBN 13 : Total Pages :90 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (129 download)
Book Synopsis Current-account Sustainability by : Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti
Download or read book Current-account Sustainability written by Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and published by International Finance Section Princeton University Internati. This book was released on 1996 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study presents a notion of current-account sustainability that explicitly considers, in addition to intertemporal solvency, a willingness to pay and to lend. It argues that this notion of sustainability provides a useful framework for understanding the variety of country experiences with protracted current-account imbalances. Based on this notion, the authors identify a number of potential sustainability indicators related to the structure of the economy and the economic policy stance. They use these indicators in the evaluation of the experience of a number of countries that have run persistent current-account imbalances and ask whether they help to discriminate between countries that underwent an external crisis and those that did not.
Book Synopsis The King of Halloween and Miss Firecracker Queen by : Lori Leachman
Download or read book The King of Halloween and Miss Firecracker Queen written by Lori Leachman and published by . This book was released on 2018-05-22 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Told in a rich Southern voice, The King of Halloween and Miss Firecracker Queen is a quirky, heartwarming true story of life and death in competitive football.
Book Synopsis Towards a Sustainable Fiscal Position for Malaysia by : Azura Othman
Download or read book Towards a Sustainable Fiscal Position for Malaysia written by Azura Othman and published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG. This book was released on 2021-10-25 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The financial crisis of the last decade has brought to the fore many discourses on the stability of the financial system under the current interest rate regime and whether issuing more debts, that create further divergence between the financial and real sector of the economy, is a sustainable solution to the ensuing debt crisis that followed. Invigorating economic development may need more than just achieving mere growth in GDP numbers and other mainstream macroeconomic key performance indices. Social equity, environmental conservation, inclusive development, and equitable income distribution are concepts that are increasingly given more weight in the measurement of economic development. The onset of the pandemic of the current decade has further emphasized the importance of these considerations as well as the concept of sharing of risks and return. This book analyses the past and current fiscal situation in Malaysia and identifies areas of improvements in the current tax system and public sector financing in generating the required revenue and financing government expenditure. The alternative fiscal framework proposed in this book covers a tax structure that features a simple and fairer tax system that is based on the ability to pay and public financing which is free of interest and provides opportunity for broader participation of the public. As Malaysia has a comprehensive framework as well as firm regulatory and government support for Islamic finance, the fiscal reform builds on an important feature of risk sharing Islamic finance that brings the real and financial sectors of the economy close together. The fiscal policy reform recommended in this book seeks to address the public debt burden, expand fiscal space, increase financial inclusion, reduce income and wealth disparities, increase employment and income for the growing population and ultimately improve social solidarity especially for a pluralistic country such as Malaysia.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries: by : Roberto Perotti
Download or read book Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries: written by Roberto Perotti and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper surveys fiscal policy in developing countries from the point of view of long-run growth. The first section reviews existing methodologies to estimate the effects of fiscal policy shocks and of systematic fiscal policy, with time series or with cross-sectional methods, and their applicability to developing countries. The second section surveys optimal fiscal policy in developing countries, by considering the role of the intertemporal government budget, and sustainability and solvency. It also reviews the fuzzy debate on "fiscal space" and "macroeconomic space" - and the usefulness (or lack thereof) of these terms for policy analysis. The third section asks what theory tells us about the optimal cyclical behavior of fiscal policy in developing countries. It shows that it very much depends on the assumptions about the interactions between credit market imperfections at the individual, firms, or government level, and on the supply of external funds to the country. Different sets of assumptions lead to different implications about optimal cyclical behavior. The available evidence on the cyclical behavior of fiscal policy, and possible reasons for the observed prevalence of a procyclical behavior in developing countries, is also reviewed. If one agrees that fiscal policy is indeed less countercyclical than we think is optimal, the issue is how to correct the problem. One obvious question is why government do not self-insure, i.e. why they do not accumulate assets in upturns and decumulate them in downturns. This leads to the analysis of fiscal rules and stabilization funds, in the fourth section. The last section concludes with what the author considers important research and policy questions in each part.
Book Synopsis Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries by : Mr.Abdul Abiad
Download or read book Primary Surpluses and sustainable Debt Levels in Emerging Market Countries written by Mr.Abdul Abiad and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-10-01 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to put some constraints on the way primary surpluses are projected when making assessments of public debt sustainability. Projections should be tied either to the country's historical track record in generating surpluses-if the institutional and other factors accounting for this track record are expected to persist-or to some model that links primary surpluses to their fundamental determinants, either on the basis of constant institutions and policies or a credible reform program. History-based or model-based primary surplus projections provide a useful benchmark for judging the realism of fiscal forecasts underlying debt sustainability calculations. Together with information on future growth and interest rates, the primary surplus projections can be used to generate measures of overborrowing, and the magnitude of adjustment needed to return debt to a sustainable level.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice by : Craig Burnside
Download or read book Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice written by Craig Burnside and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Topics discussed in this publication include: an introduction to theoretical and practical aspects of fiscal sustainability; theoretical prerequisites for fiscal sustainability analysis; debt indicators in the measurement of vulnerability; cyclical adjustment of budget surplus; pro-cyclical fiscal policy using Mexico's fiscal accounts as a case study; fiscal rules and the experience of Chile; currency crises and models for deal with financing costs.
Book Synopsis The Practice of Economics by : Alex N. McLeod
Download or read book The Practice of Economics written by Alex N. McLeod and published by Transaction Publishers. This book was released on 1993-01-01 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers a unique comparative perspective on economic systems and decision-making in Western Societies. It is a lucid and practical guide to the complexities of economics.
Book Synopsis Assessing Fiscal Sustainability by : Mr.Enzo Croce
Download or read book Assessing Fiscal Sustainability written by Mr.Enzo Croce and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To monitor fiscal sustainability, this paper proposes a recursive algorithm derived from the law of motion of the debt-to-GDP ratio, subject to a government reaction function that links convergence to the targeted debt ratio with primary fiscal surpluses. Based on quarterly estimates of this algorithm in the 1990s, 12 developed and developing countries are ranked according to their degree of sustainability. For a number of countries, the paper finds evidence of causality between the fiscal policy stance and growth-adjusted real interest rates.
Author :Manitra A. Rakotoarisoa Publisher :Food & Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO) ISBN 13 :9789251067321 Total Pages :0 pages Book Rating :4.0/5 (673 download)
Book Synopsis Agricultural Import Surges in Developing Countries by : Manitra A. Rakotoarisoa
Download or read book Agricultural Import Surges in Developing Countries written by Manitra A. Rakotoarisoa and published by Food & Agriculture Organization of the UN (FAO). This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The potentially adverse effect of import surges on domestic markets and the agricultural sector, particularly in developing countries, have received enough attention to prompt the concepts of safeguards to protect against any "injurious" import surge. This book has two objectives. The first is to examine the theoretical and legal frameworks of an import surge, based on reviews of the definition and identification of an import surge, and its potential and likely effects. The second is to synthesize the findings of FAO country case studies, including implications for ways to deal with import surges, and especially to provide informed guidance to policy-makers to respond to the surge's consequences"--Publisher's description.
Book Synopsis The State of State Reforms in Latin America by : Eduardo Lora
Download or read book The State of State Reforms in Latin America written by Eduardo Lora and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-10-23 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Latin America suffered a profound state crisis in the 1980s, which prompted not only the wave of macroeconomic and deregulation reforms known as the Washington Consensus, but also a wide variety of institutional or 'second generation' reforms. 'The State of State Reform in Latin America' reviews and assesses the outcomes of these less studied institutional reforms. This book examines four major areas of institutional reform: a. political institutions and the state organization; b. fiscal institutions, such as budget, tax and decentralization institutions; c. public institutions in charge of sectoral economic policies (financial, industrial, and infrastructure); and d. social sector institutions (pensions, social protection, and education). In each of these areas, the authors summarize the reform objectives, describe and measure their scope, assess the main outcomes, and identify the obstacles for implementation, especially those of an institutional nature.
Book Synopsis Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics by : Katharine G. Abraham
Download or read book Big Data for Twenty-First-Century Economic Statistics written by Katharine G. Abraham and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2022-03-11 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introduction.Big data for twenty-first-century economic statistics: the future is now /Katharine G. Abraham, Ron S. Jarmin, Brian C. Moyer, and Matthew D. Shapiro --Toward comprehensive use of big data in economic statistics.Reengineering key national economic indicators /Gabriel Ehrlich, John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, David Johnson, and Matthew D. Shapiro ;Big data in the US consumer price index: experiences and plans /Crystal G. Konny, Brendan K. Williams, and David M. Friedman ;Improving retail trade data products using alternative data sources /Rebecca J. Hutchinson ;From transaction data to economic statistics: constructing real-time, high-frequency, geographic measures of consumer spending /Aditya Aladangady, Shifrah Aron-Dine, Wendy Dunn, Laura Feiveson, Paul Lengermann, and Claudia Sahm ;Improving the accuracy of economic measurement with multiple data sources: the case of payroll employment data /Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz --Uses of big data for classification.Transforming naturally occurring text data into economic statistics: the case of online job vacancy postings /Arthur Turrell, Bradley Speigner, Jyldyz Djumalieva, David Copple, and James Thurgood ;Automating response evaluation for franchising questions on the 2017 economic census /Joseph Staudt, Yifang Wei, Lisa Singh, Shawn Klimek, J. Bradford Jensen, and Andrew Baer ;Using public data to generate industrial classification codes /John Cuffe, Sudip Bhattacharjee, Ugochukwu Etudo, Justin C. Smith, Nevada Basdeo, Nathaniel Burbank, and Shawn R. Roberts --Uses of big data for sectoral measurement.Nowcasting the local economy: using Yelp data to measure economic activity /Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca ;Unit values for import and export price indexes: a proof of concept /Don A. Fast and Susan E. Fleck ;Quantifying productivity growth in the delivery of important episodes of care within the Medicare program using insurance claims and administrative data /John A. Romley, Abe Dunn, Dana Goldman, and Neeraj Sood ;Valuing housing services in the era of big data: a user cost approach leveraging Zillow microdata /Marina Gindelsky, Jeremy G. Moulton, and Scott A. Wentland --Methodological challenges and advances.Off to the races: a comparison of machine learning and alternative data for predicting economic indicators /Jeffrey C. Chen, Abe Dunn, Kyle Hood, Alexander Driessen, and Andrea Batch ;A machine learning analysis of seasonal and cyclical sales in weekly scanner data /Rishab Guha and Serena Ng ;Estimating the benefits of new products /W. Erwin Diewert and Robert C. Feenstra.
