More Judgment Than Data

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More Judgment Than Data

Author : Michael Jones
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030994724
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis More Judgment Than Data by : Michael Jones

Download or read book More Judgment Than Data written by Michael Jones and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-08-23 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More data has been produced in the 21st century than all of human history combined. Yet, are we making better decisions today than in the past? How many poor decisions result from the absence of data? The existence of an overwhelming amount of data has affected how we make decisions, but it has not necessarily improved how we make decisions. To make better decisions, people need good judgment based on data literacy—the ability to extract meaning from data. Including data in the decision-making process can bring considerable clarity in answering our questions. Nevertheless, human beings can become distracted, overwhelmed, and even confused in the presence of too much data. The book presents cautionary tales of what can happen when too much attention is spent on acquiring more data instead of understanding how to best use the data we already have. Data is not produced in a vacuum, and individuals who possess data literacy will understand the environment and incentives in the data-generating process. Readers of this book will learn what questions to ask, what data to pay attention to, and what pitfalls to avoid in order to make better decisions. They will also be less vulnerable to those who manipulate data for misleading purposes.

Judgment Calls

Author : Thomas H. Davenport
Publisher : Harvard Business Review Press
ISBN 13 : 142215811X
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (221 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment Calls by : Thomas H. Davenport

Download or read book Judgment Calls written by Thomas H. Davenport and published by Harvard Business Review Press. This book was released on 2012-04-03 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Your guide to making better decisions Despite the dizzying amount of data at our disposal today—and an increasing reliance on analytics to make the majority of our decisions—many of our most critical choices still come down to human judgment. This fact is fundamental to organizations whose leaders must often make crucial decisions: to do this they need the best available insights. In Judgment Calls, authors Tom Davenport and Brook Manville share twelve stories of organizations that have successfully tapped their data assets, diverse perspectives, and deep knowledge to build an organizational decision-making capability—a competence they say can make the difference between success and failure. This book introduces a model that taps the collective judgment of an organization so that the right decisions are made, and the entire organization profits. Through the stories in Judgment Calls, the authors—both of them seasoned management thinkers and advisers—make the case for the wisdom of organizations and suggest ways to use it to best advantage. Each chapter tells a unique story of one dilemma and its ultimate resolution, bringing into high relief one key to the power of collective judgment. Individually, these stories inspire and instruct; together, they form a model for building an organizational capacity for broadly based, knowledge-intensive decision making. You’ve read The Wisdom of Crowds and Competing on Analytics. Now read Judgment Calls. You, and your organization, will make better decisions.

Judgment under Uncertainty

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107268168
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (72 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment under Uncertainty by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Judgment under Uncertainty written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1982-04-30 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The thirty-five chapters in this book describe various judgmental heuristics and the biases they produce, not only in laboratory experiments but in important social, medical, and political situations as well. Individual chapters discuss the representativeness and availability heuristics, problems in judging covariation and control, overconfidence, multistage inference, social perception, medical diagnosis, risk perception, and methods for correcting and improving judgments under uncertainty. About half of the chapters are edited versions of classic articles; the remaining chapters are newly written for this book. Most review multiple studies or entire subareas of research and application rather than describing single experimental studies. This book will be useful to a wide range of students and researchers, as well as to decision makers seeking to gain insight into their judgments and to improve them.

Judgment and Decision Making

Author : Terry Connolly
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521626026
Total Pages : 814 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (26 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision Making by : Terry Connolly

Download or read book Judgment and Decision Making written by Terry Connolly and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000 with total page 814 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.

Clinical Judgment: A Critical Appraisal

Author : H. Tristram Engelhardt Jr.
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400993994
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Clinical Judgment: A Critical Appraisal by : H. Tristram Engelhardt Jr.

Download or read book Clinical Judgment: A Critical Appraisal written by H. Tristram Engelhardt Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over a period of a year, the symposium on clinical judgment has taken shape as a volume devoted to the analysis of how knowledge claims are framed in medicine and how choices of treatment are made. We hope it will afford the reader, whether layman, physician or philosopher, a useful perspective on the process of knowing what occurs in medicine; and that the results of the dis cussions at the Fifth Symposium on Philosophy and Medicine will lead to a better understanding of how philosophy and medicine can usefully challenge each other. As the interchange between physicians, philosophers, nurses and psychologists recorded in the major papers, the commentaries and the round table discussion shows, these issues are truly interdisciplinary. In particular, they have shown that members of the health care professions have much to learn about themselves from philosophers as well as much of interest to engage philosophers. By making the structure of medical reasoning more apparent to its users, philosophers can show health care practitioners how better to master clinical judgment and how better to focus it towards the goods and values medicine wishes to pursue. Becoming clearer about the process of knowing can in short teach us how to know better and how to learn more efficiently. The result can be more than (though it surely would be enough!) a powerful intellectual insight into a major cultural endeavor, medicine.

Political Judgment

Author : Milton Lodge
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 9780472105410
Total Pages : 658 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (54 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Judgment by : Milton Lodge

Download or read book Political Judgment written by Milton Lodge and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 1995 with total page 658 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How are impressions about political candidates organized in memory? What is the nature of political group stereotypes? How do citizens make voting decisions? How do citizens formulate opinions about key issues and politics? The contributors to Political Judgment: Structure and Process reach answers to these questions that will substantially influence how the next generation of scholars working at the intersection of political science and sociology, and public opinion researchers more generally, go about their work.

Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment

Author : Mary A. Meyer
Publisher : SIAM
ISBN 13 : 0898714745
Total Pages : 471 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment by : Mary A. Meyer

Download or read book Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment written by Mary A. Meyer and published by SIAM. This book was released on 2001-01-01 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Expert judgment is invaluable for assessing products, systems, and situations for which measurements or test results are sparse or nonexistent. Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas. The analysis procedures presented in the book may require a basic understanding of statistics and probabilities, but the authors have provided detailed explanations of the techniques used and have taken special care to define all statistical jargon. Originally published in 1991, this book is designed so that those familiar with the use of expert judgment can quickly find the material appropriate for their advanced background.

Canadian Essentials of Nursing Research

Author : Joanne Profetto-McGrath
Publisher : Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
ISBN 13 : 160547729X
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (54 download)

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Book Synopsis Canadian Essentials of Nursing Research by : Joanne Profetto-McGrath

Download or read book Canadian Essentials of Nursing Research written by Joanne Profetto-McGrath and published by Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Completely revised With timely content and state-of-the-art research undertaken by Canadian nurse researchers, the Third Edition of this trusted resource provides the guidance you need to effectively critique every aspect of nursing research and apply the results to clinical practice. Canadian Essentials of Nursing Research uses clear, straightforward language and a "user-friendly" presentation to help you understand, retain, and apply fundamental concepts with ease." --Book Jacket.

Psychological Assessment With the MMPI-2

Author : Alan F. Friedman
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135693854
Total Pages : 714 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (356 download)

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Book Synopsis Psychological Assessment With the MMPI-2 by : Alan F. Friedman

Download or read book Psychological Assessment With the MMPI-2 written by Alan F. Friedman and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-04-08 with total page 714 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: User-friendly yet sophisticated, Psychological Assessment With the MMPI-2 will be welcomed by practicing psychologists, researchers, and students alike. This long-awaited second edition constitutes the single most comprehensive and up-to-date textbook of MMPI-2 interpretation. Completely rewritten to address the changes to the original instrument that resulted in the MMPI-2 in l989, it describes in detail all the MMPI-2 scales--clinical, supplementary, and content--and offers empirically-grounded and clinically-tested recommendations for their use. The last decade has seen an explosion of research, as well as a steady accumulation of experiential wisdom; bridging the gap between behavioral science and practice, the authors review all the major findings and their implications and draw on rich clinical material to illuminate the issues. This second edition: * helps users with forensic interests including attorneys needing a reference for expert review; * gives step-by-step advice on interpreting profiles; * includes treatment recommendations in the explanation of every code pattern; * provides extensive guidance on report-writing for new users; * compares the most current MMPI-2 computer reports; * features numerous tables, figures, and appendices for all the MMPI-2 scales including the newer validity measures; and * incorporates 570 references (235 completely new).

Cognitive Sophistication and the Development of Judgment and Decision-Making

Author : Maggie E. Toplak
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0128166452
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Cognitive Sophistication and the Development of Judgment and Decision-Making by : Maggie E. Toplak

Download or read book Cognitive Sophistication and the Development of Judgment and Decision-Making written by Maggie E. Toplak and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2021-10-27 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cognitive Sophistication and the Development of Judgment and Decision-Making reviews the existing literature on the development of reasoning, judgment and decision-making, with a primary focus on measures from the heuristics and biases tradition. The book presents a model based on cognitive sophistication to examine the development of judgment and decision-making, including age related differences in developmental samples, associations with intellectual abilities and executive functions, and associations with dispositional tendencies that support judgment and decision-making. Additional sections cover the empirical findings of a longitudinal study conducted over seven years that tie together the discussed aspects related to cognitive sophistication. This book will provide a much-needed description of the theoretical and conceptual issues, a review of empirical findings, and an integrative summary of the implications for developmental models of reasoning, judgment and decision-making. Explores whether individual heuristics and biases are associated Reviews individual differences in cognitive abilities and thinking dispositions Examines reasoning from the lens of cognitive sophistication Discusses the implications for models, including dual process models Tests and elaborates using empirical findings from a longitudinal study

Handbook of Personality Assessment

Author : Irving B. Weiner
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111925888X
Total Pages : 773 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Personality Assessment by : Irving B. Weiner

Download or read book Handbook of Personality Assessment written by Irving B. Weiner and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-04-03 with total page 773 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Handbook of Personality Assessment provides comprehensive guidance on the administration, scoring, and interpretation of the most widely-used instruments. Written by two of the field's foremost authorities, this well-balanced guide blends theory and application to provide a foundational reference for both graduate students and professionals. Updated to reflect the most current advances, this second edition includes new chapters on the Minnesota Personality Inventory-Restructured Form and the Rorschach Performance Assessment System, along with in-depth coverage of the MMPI-2, MMPI-2-A, MCMI-IV, PAI, NEO-PI-R, Rorschach Comprehensive System, TAT, and Figure Drawing and Sentence Completion Methods. Each instrument is discussed in terms of its history, administration, scoring, validity, assessment, interpretation, applications, and psychometric foundations, and other chapters address ethical considerations and provide general guidelines in the assessment process. Personality assessments guide recommendations in a broad range of clinical, health care, forensic, educational, and organizational settings. This book delves deeply into the nature and appropriate use of the major assessment instruments, with authoritative insight and practical guidance. Review the latest concepts, research, and practices Administer, score, and interpret the most widely-used instruments Understand the psychometric foundations of personality assessment Access downloadable sample reports that illustrate software interpretation An individual's nature and disposition can be assessed in several ways. This book focuses on standardized psychological tests that assess personality characteristics and indicate how a person is likely to think, feel, and act. The results can only be as accurate as the process, from assessment selection and administration, to scoring, interpretation, and beyond. The Handbook of Personality Assessment is an invaluable resource for every stage of the process, with a practical focus and advice from two leading experts.

Judgment in Managerial Decision Making

Author : Max H. Bazerman
Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9780471398875
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (988 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment in Managerial Decision Making by : Max H. Bazerman

Download or read book Judgment in Managerial Decision Making written by Max H. Bazerman and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2001-07-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Author is a leading theorist in negotiation and decision-making.

The Measurement of Moral Judgment

Author : Anne Colby
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521169103
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (691 download)

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Book Synopsis The Measurement of Moral Judgment by : Anne Colby

Download or read book The Measurement of Moral Judgment written by Anne Colby and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-02-17 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume reviews Kohlberg's stage theory of classifying moral judgment and issues of reliability and validity are addressed.

The Oxford Handbook of Accurate Personality Judgment

Author : Tera D. Letzring
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190912545
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Accurate Personality Judgment by : Tera D. Letzring

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Accurate Personality Judgment written by Tera D. Letzring and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-02-02 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Each day, we make judgments about the personality characteristics of those around us, and we routinely rely on them to guide our behavior in interpersonal interactions and relationships. This handbook provides a review of theory and research on the accuracy of personality judgments. After a historical review, the first section presents the major theoretical models that guide research in this area and describes methodological approaches to evaluating accuracy. The second section reviews the research findings relevant to four moderators of accuracy, and the third section focuses on judgments people make of themselves. The fourth section examines various types of information used in making personality judgments, while the fifth section provides examples of some of the domains to which accuracy research can be applied, including romantic relationships and clinical practice. Learning about the process of accurate judgments can be used to help people understand when and how they are more likely to make accurate judgments, and this handbook offers a thorough, evidence-based, and up-to-date review of this research field.

Judgment and Decision-Making

Author : Nancy S. Kim
Publisher : Bloomsbury Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1137269561
Total Pages : 322 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (372 download)

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Book Synopsis Judgment and Decision-Making by : Nancy S. Kim

Download or read book Judgment and Decision-Making written by Nancy S. Kim and published by Bloomsbury Publishing. This book was released on 2017-10-19 with total page 322 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How do we make the judgments that inform our lives? Is there any way of consciously removing bias from the choices we make? What do our everyday personal decisions have in common with those made by groups, companies, and even nations? In this engaging and innovative textbook, Nancy Kim presents a multidisciplinary introduction to the dynamic field of judgment and decision-making. This lucidly written text delivers insights from cognitive psychology, aptly combining with interdependent findings from fields as diverse as neuropsychology, behavioural economics, social, developmental and clinical psychology, and philosophy. Offering not only a comprehensive explanation of the neurological structures and cognitive processes that underlie how we make decisions and form judgments in our everyday lives, readers can expect to learn the implications of these decisions upon an individual's prospects for health and longevity. Understanding behaviour is a central aspect of inquiry in the psychology discipline and as such this book is an essential companion for students taking undergraduate psychology, cognitive psychology and cognitive neuroscience courses; particularly those which include a module in judgment and decision-making. This text may also be helpful for undergraduate and postgraduate business courses on the subject.

Patterns of Personality Judgment

Author : Rudolf Cohen
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 1483271463
Total Pages : 377 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (832 download)

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Book Synopsis Patterns of Personality Judgment by : Rudolf Cohen

Download or read book Patterns of Personality Judgment written by Rudolf Cohen and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-10-22 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Patterns of Personality Judgment focuses on the significant lines of development that deals with systematic tendencies in personality judgments. This book consists of four chapters. Chapter 1 deals with the meaning of judgments in terms of their structural interrelations. The second chapter examines what degrees of agreement and extent different judges evaluate one another or evaluate persons whom they know only by photographs, handwriting, and self-descriptions. The utilization of individual items of information in judgment is deliberated in Chapter 3, while the subjective patterns of judgment are described in Chapter 4. This publication is a good source for students and researchers intending to acquire knowledge of personality judgment.

Noise

Author : Daniel Kahneman
Publisher : Little, Brown
ISBN 13 : 031645138X
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis Noise by : Daniel Kahneman

Download or read book Noise written by Daniel Kahneman and published by Little, Brown. This book was released on 2021-05-18 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and Slow and the coauthor of Nudge, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones—"a tour de force” (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients—or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants—or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment—and what we can do about it.