Modelling and Simulation of Stochastic Volatility in Finance

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Publisher : Universal-Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1581123833
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (811 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling and Simulation of Stochastic Volatility in Finance by : Christian Kahl

Download or read book Modelling and Simulation of Stochastic Volatility in Finance written by Christian Kahl and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The famous Black-Scholes model was the starting point of a new financial industry and has been a very important pillar of all options trading since. One of its core assumptions is that the volatility of the underlying asset is constant. It was realised early that one has to specify a dynamic on the volatility itself to get closer to market behaviour. There are mainly two aspects making this fact apparent. Considering historical evolution of volatility by analysing time series data one observes erratic behaviour over time. Secondly, backing out implied volatility from daily traded plain vanilla options, the volatility changes with strike. The most common realisations of this phenomenon are the implied volatility smile or skew. The natural question arises how to extend the Black-Scholes model appropriately. Within this book the concept of stochastic volatility is analysed and discussed with special regard to the numerical problems occurring either in calibrating the model to the market implied volatility surface or in the numerical simulation of the two-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations required to price non-vanilla financial derivatives. We introduce a new stochastic volatility model, the so-called Hyp-Hyp model, and use Watanabe's calculus to find an analytical approximation to the model implied volatility. Further, the class of affine diffusion models, such as Heston, is analysed in view of using the characteristic function and Fourier inversion techniques to value European derivatives.

Stochastic Volatility Modeling

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482244071
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility Modeling by : Lorenzo Bergomi

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility Modeling written by Lorenzo Bergomi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-12-16 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Packed with insights, Lorenzo Bergomi's Stochastic Volatility Modeling explains how stochastic volatility is used to address issues arising in the modeling of derivatives, including:Which trading issues do we tackle with stochastic volatility? How do we design models and assess their relevance? How do we tell which models are usable and when does c

Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118272056
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications by : Luc Bauwens

Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-22 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451854846
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns by : Mr.Noureddine Krichene

Download or read book Modeling Stochastic Volatility with Application to Stock Returns written by Mr.Noureddine Krichene and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-06-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A stochastic volatility model where volatility was driven solely by a latent variable called news was estimated for three stock indices. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm was used for estimating Bayesian parameters and filtering volatilities. Volatility persistence being close to one was consistent with both volatility clustering and mean reversion. Filtering showed highly volatile markets, reflecting frequent pertinent news. Diagnostics showed no model failure, although specification improvements were always possible. The model corroborated stylized findings in volatility modeling and has potential value for market participants in asset pricing and risk management, as well as for policymakers in the design of macroeconomic policies conducive to less volatile financial markets.

Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461545331
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets by : Antonio Mele

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets written by Antonio Mele and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets presents advanced topics in financial econometrics and theoretical finance, and is divided into three main parts. The first part aims at documenting an empirical regularity of financial price changes: the occurrence of sudden and persistent changes of financial markets volatility. This phenomenon, technically termed `stochastic volatility', or `conditional heteroskedasticity', has been well known for at least 20 years; in this part, further, useful theoretical properties of conditionally heteroskedastic models are uncovered. The second part goes beyond the statistical aspects of stochastic volatility models: it constructs and uses new fully articulated, theoretically-sounded financial asset pricing models that allow for the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity. The third part shows how the inclusion of the statistical aspects of stochastic volatility in a rigorous economic scheme can be faced from an empirical standpoint.

Stochastic Simulation and Applications in Finance with MATLAB Programs

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470722134
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Simulation and Applications in Finance with MATLAB Programs by : Huu Tue Huynh

Download or read book Stochastic Simulation and Applications in Finance with MATLAB Programs written by Huu Tue Huynh and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-11-21 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic Simulation and Applications in Finance with MATLAB Programs explains the fundamentals of Monte Carlo simulation techniques, their use in the numerical resolution of stochastic differential equations and their current applications in finance. Building on an integrated approach, it provides a pedagogical treatment of the need-to-know materials in risk management and financial engineering. The book takes readers through the basic concepts, covering the most recent research and problems in the area, including: the quadratic re-sampling technique, the Least Squared Method, the dynamic programming and Stratified State Aggregation technique to price American options, the extreme value simulation technique to price exotic options and the retrieval of volatility method to estimate Greeks. The authors also present modern term structure of interest rate models and pricing swaptions with the BGM market model, and give a full explanation of corporate securities valuation and credit risk based on the structural approach of Merton. Case studies on financial guarantees illustrate how to implement the simulation techniques in pricing and hedging. NOTE TO READER: The CD has been converted to URL. Go to the following website www.wiley.com/go/huyhnstochastic which provides MATLAB programs for the practical examples and case studies, which will give the reader confidence in using and adapting specific ways to solve problems involving stochastic processes in finance.

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

Modelling Financial Time Series

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9812770844
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (127 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Financial Time Series by : Stephen J. Taylor

Download or read book Modelling Financial Time Series written by Stephen J. Taylor and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains several innovative models for the prices of financial assets. First published in 1986, it is a classic text in the area of financial econometrics. It presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models that are often used and cited in academic research and are applied by quantitative analysts in many banks. Another often-cited contribution of the first edition is the documentation of statistical characteristics of financial returns, which are referred to as stylized facts.This second edition takes into account the remarkable progress made by empirical researchers during the past two decades from 1986 to 2006. In the new Preface, the author summarizes this progress in two key areas: firstly, measuring, modelling and forecasting volatility; and secondly, detecting and exploiting price trends.

Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 981990935X
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models by : Makoto Takahashi

Download or read book Stochastic Volatility and Realized Stochastic Volatility Models written by Makoto Takahashi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-18 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This treatise delves into the latest advancements in stochastic volatility models, highlighting the utilization of Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for estimating model parameters and forecasting the volatility and quantiles of financial asset returns. The modeling of financial time series volatility constitutes a crucial aspect of finance, as it plays a vital role in predicting return distributions and managing risks. Among the various econometric models available, the stochastic volatility model has been a popular choice, particularly in comparison to other models, such as GARCH models, as it has demonstrated superior performance in previous empirical studies in terms of fit, forecasting volatility, and evaluating tail risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. The book also explores an extension of the basic stochastic volatility model, incorporating a skewed return error distribution and a realized volatility measurement equation. The concept of realized volatility, a newly established estimator of volatility using intraday returns data, is introduced, and a comprehensive description of the resulting realized stochastic volatility model is provided. The text contains a thorough explanation of several efficient sampling algorithms for latent log volatilities, as well as an illustration of parameter estimation and volatility prediction through empirical studies utilizing various asset return data, including the yen/US dollar exchange rate, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the Nikkei 225 stock index. This publication is highly recommended for readers with an interest in the latest developments in stochastic volatility models and realized stochastic volatility models, particularly in regards to financial risk management.

Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521791632
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility by : Jean-Pierre Fouque

Download or read book Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic Volatility written by Jean-Pierre Fouque and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-07-03 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, first published in 2000, addresses pricing and hedging derivative securities in uncertain and changing market volatility.

Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814440132
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities by : Anatoli? Vital?evich Svishchuk

Download or read book Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities written by Anatoli? Vital?evich Svishchuk and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2013 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling and Pricing of Swaps for Financial and Energy Markets with Stochastic Volatilities is devoted to the modeling and pricing of various kinds of swaps, such as those for variance, volatility, covariance, correlation, for financial and energy markets with different stochastic volatilities, which include CIR process, regime-switching, delayed, mean-reverting, multi-factor, fractional, Levy-based, semi-Markov and COGARCH(1,1). One of the main methods used in this book is change of time method. The book outlines how the change of time method works for different kinds of models and problems arising in financial and energy markets and the associated problems in modeling and pricing of a variety of swaps. The book also contains a study of a new model, the delayed Heston model, which improves the volatility surface fitting as compared with the classical Heston model. The author calculates variance and volatility swaps for this model and provides hedging techniques. The book considers content on the pricing of variance and volatility swaps and option pricing formula for mean-reverting models in energy markets. Some topics such as forward and futures in energy markets priced by multi-factor Levy models and generalization of Black-76 formula with Markov-modulated volatility are part of the book as well, and it includes many numerical examples such as S&P60 Canada Index, S&P500 Index and AECO Natural Gas Index.

Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387216170
Total Pages : 603 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering by : Paul Glasserman

Download or read book Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering written by Paul Glasserman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 603 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: "Paul Glasserman has written an astonishingly good book that bridges financial engineering and the Monte Carlo method. The book will appeal to graduate students, researchers, and most of all, practicing financial engineers [...] So often, financial engineering texts are very theoretical. This book is not." --Glyn Holton, Contingency Analysis

Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470876883
Total Pages : 468 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (78 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance by : Frederi G. Viens

Download or read book Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance written by Frederi G. Viens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-12-20 with total page 468 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: CUTTING-EDGE DEVELOPMENTS IN HIGH-FREQUENCY FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS In recent years, the availability of high-frequency data and advances in computing have allowed financial practitioners to design systems that can handle and analyze this information. Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance addresses the many theoretical and practical questions raised by the nature and intrinsic properties of this data. A one-stop compilation of empirical and analytical research, this handbook explores data sampled with high-frequency finance in financial engineering, statistics, and the modern financial business arena. Every chapter uses real-world examples to present new, original, and relevant topics that relate to newly evolving discoveries in high-frequency finance, such as: Designing new methodology to discover elasticity and plasticity of price evolution Constructing microstructure simulation models Calculation of option prices in the presence of jumps and transaction costs Using boosting for financial analysis and trading The handbook motivates practitioners to apply high-frequency finance to real-world situations by including exclusive topics such as risk measurement and management, UHF data, microstructure, dynamic multi-period optimization, mortgage data models, hybrid Monte Carlo, retirement, trading systems and forecasting, pricing, and boosting. The diverse topics and viewpoints presented in each chapter ensure that readers are supplied with a wide treatment of practical methods. Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with high-frequency data in their everyday work. It also serves as a supplement for risk management and high-frequency finance courses at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.

Handbook of High-Frequency Trading and Modeling in Finance

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118593405
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of High-Frequency Trading and Modeling in Finance by : Ionut Florescu

Download or read book Handbook of High-Frequency Trading and Modeling in Finance written by Ionut Florescu and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-03-29 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reflecting the fast pace and ever-evolving nature of the financial industry, the Handbook of High-Frequency Trading and Modeling in Finance details how high-frequency analysis presents new systematic approaches to implementing quantitative activities with high-frequency financial data. Introducing new and established mathematical foundations necessary to analyze realistic market models and scenarios, the handbook begins with a presentation of the dynamics and complexity of futures and derivatives markets as well as a portfolio optimization problem using quantum computers. Subsequently, the handbook addresses estimating complex model parameters using high-frequency data. Finally, the handbook focuses on the links between models used in financial markets and models used in other research areas such as geophysics, fossil records, and earthquake studies. The Handbook of High-Frequency Trading and Modeling in Finance also features: • Contributions by well-known experts within the academic, industrial, and regulatory fields • A well-structured outline on the various data analysis methodologies used to identify new trading opportunities • Newly emerging quantitative tools that address growing concerns relating to high-frequency data such as stochastic volatility and volatility tracking; stochastic jump processes for limit-order books and broader market indicators; and options markets • Practical applications using real-world data to help readers better understand the presented material The Handbook of High-Frequency Trading and Modeling in Finance is an excellent reference for professionals in the fields of business, applied statistics, econometrics, and financial engineering. The handbook is also a good supplement for graduate and MBA-level courses on quantitative finance, volatility, and financial econometrics. Ionut Florescu, PhD, is Research Associate Professor in Financial Engineering and Director of the Hanlon Financial Systems Laboratory at Stevens Institute of Technology. His research interests include stochastic volatility, stochastic partial differential equations, Monte Carlo Methods, and numerical methods for stochastic processes. Dr. Florescu is the author of Probability and Stochastic Processes, the coauthor of Handbook of Probability, and the coeditor of Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance, all published by Wiley. Maria C. Mariani, PhD, is Shigeko K. Chan Distinguished Professor in Mathematical Sciences and Chair of the Department of Mathematical Sciences at The University of Texas at El Paso. Her research interests include mathematical finance, applied mathematics, geophysics, nonlinear and stochastic partial differential equations and numerical methods. Dr. Mariani is the coeditor of Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance, also published by Wiley. H. Eugene Stanley, PhD, is William Fairfield Warren Distinguished Professor at Boston University. Stanley is one of the key founders of the new interdisciplinary field of econophysics, and has an ISI Hirsch index H=128 based on more than 1200 papers. In 2004 he was elected to the National Academy of Sciences. Frederi G. Viens, PhD, is Professor of Statistics and Mathematics and Director of the Computational Finance Program at Purdue University. He holds more than two dozen local, regional, and national awards and he travels extensively on a world-wide basis to deliver lectures on his research interests, which range from quantitative finance to climate science and agricultural economics. A Fellow of the Institute of Mathematics Statistics, Dr. Viens is the coeditor of Handbook of Modeling High-Frequency Data in Finance, also published by Wiley.

Mathematical Modeling And Computation In Finance: With Exercises And Python And Matlab Computer Codes

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 1786347962
Total Pages : 1310 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (863 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical Modeling And Computation In Finance: With Exercises And Python And Matlab Computer Codes by : Cornelis W Oosterlee

Download or read book Mathematical Modeling And Computation In Finance: With Exercises And Python And Matlab Computer Codes written by Cornelis W Oosterlee and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-10-29 with total page 1310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the interplay of stochastics (applied probability theory) and numerical analysis in the field of quantitative finance. The stochastic models, numerical valuation techniques, computational aspects, financial products, and risk management applications presented will enable readers to progress in the challenging field of computational finance.When the behavior of financial market participants changes, the corresponding stochastic mathematical models describing the prices may also change. Financial regulation may play a role in such changes too. The book thus presents several models for stock prices, interest rates as well as foreign-exchange rates, with increasing complexity across the chapters. As is said in the industry, 'do not fall in love with your favorite model.' The book covers equity models before moving to short-rate and other interest rate models. We cast these models for interest rate into the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework, show relations between the different models, and explain a few interest rate products and their pricing.The chapters are accompanied by exercises. Students can access solutions to selected exercises, while complete solutions are made available to instructors. The MATLAB and Python computer codes used for most tables and figures in the book are made available for both print and e-book users. This book will be useful for people working in the financial industry, for those aiming to work there one day, and for anyone interested in quantitative finance. The topics that are discussed are relevant for MSc and PhD students, academic researchers, and for quants in the financial industry.Supplementary Material:Solutions Manual is available to instructors who adopt this textbook for their courses. Please contact [email protected].

Applied Quantitative Finance

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662544865
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Applied Quantitative Finance by : Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Download or read book Applied Quantitative Finance written by Wolfgang Karl Härdle and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-08-02 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides practical solutions and introduces recent theoretical developments in risk management, pricing of credit derivatives, quantification of volatility and copula modeling. This third edition is devoted to modern risk analysis based on quantitative methods and textual analytics to meet the current challenges in banking and finance. It includes 14 new contributions and presents a comprehensive, state-of-the-art treatment of cutting-edge methods and topics, such as collateralized debt obligations, the high-frequency analysis of market liquidity, and realized volatility. The book is divided into three parts: Part 1 revisits important market risk issues, while Part 2 introduces novel concepts in credit risk and its management along with updated quantitative methods. The third part discusses the dynamics of risk management and includes risk analysis of energy markets and for cryptocurrencies. Digital assets, such as blockchain-based currencies, have become popular b ut are theoretically challenging when based on conventional methods. Among others, it introduces a modern text-mining method called dynamic topic modeling in detail and applies it to the message board of Bitcoins. The unique synthesis of theory and practice supported by computational tools is reflected not only in the selection of topics, but also in the fine balance of scientific contributions on practical implementation and theoretical concepts. This link between theory and practice offers theoreticians insights into considerations of applicability and, vice versa, provides practitioners convenient access to new techniques in quantitative finance. Hence the book will appeal both to researchers, including master and PhD students, and practitioners, such as financial engineers. The results presented in the book are fully reproducible and all quantlets needed for calculations are provided on an accompanying website. The Quantlet platform quantlet.de, quantlet.com, quantlet.org is an integrated QuantNet environment consisting of different types of statistics-related documents and program codes. Its goal is to promote reproducibility and offer a platform for sharing validated knowledge native to the social web. QuantNet and the corresponding Data-Driven Documents-based visualization allows readers to reproduce the tables, pictures and calculations inside this Springer book.

Monte Carlo Methods and Models in Finance and Insurance

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420076191
Total Pages : 485 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Methods and Models in Finance and Insurance by : Ralf Korn

Download or read book Monte Carlo Methods and Models in Finance and Insurance written by Ralf Korn and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-02-26 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offering a unique balance between applications and calculations, Monte Carlo Methods and Models in Finance and Insurance incorporates the application background of finance and insurance with the theory and applications of Monte Carlo methods. It presents recent methods and algorithms, including the multilevel Monte Carlo method, the statistical Rom