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Modeling The Distribution Of Exchange Rate Time Series And Measuring The Tail Area
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Book Synopsis Modeling the Distribution of Exchange Rate Time Series and Measuring the Tail Area by : Héctor Zarate
Download or read book Modeling the Distribution of Exchange Rate Time Series and Measuring the Tail Area written by Héctor Zarate and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modeling the unconditional distribution of returns on exchange rate and measuring its tails area are issues in the finance literature that have been studied extensively by parametric and non-parametric estimation procedures. However, a conflict of robustness is derived from them because the time series involved in this process are usually fat tailed and highly peaked around the center. Moreover, it has been an empirical fact that the initial phase of a freely floating exchange rate regime has experienced high volatility across many economies. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we try to capture the behavior of the Colombian exchange rate under the flexible system by fitting special types of distributions in order to obtain a new insight of the underlying distribution. Secondly, we measure the tail area through the Hill estimator. This strategy requires the number of extreme observations in he tails to be known. Therefore, the decision rule of choosing an optimal cutting observation based on the idea of spacing statistics is implemented by using a Monte Carlo simulation under different underlying distributions. The decision model is formulated in such a way that the mean squared error is minimized.
Book Synopsis Modeling the Distribution of Highly Volatile Exchange-rate Time Series by : George Chobanov
Download or read book Modeling the Distribution of Highly Volatile Exchange-rate Time Series written by George Chobanov and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Springer. This book was released on 1988 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility by : Christian Hafner
Download or read book Nonlinear Time Series Analysis with Applications to Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility written by Christian Hafner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book deals with the econometric analysis of high frequency financial time series. It emphasizes a new nonparametric approach to volatility models and provides theoretical and empirical comparisons with conventional ARCH models, applied to foreign exchange rates. Nonparametric models are discussed that cope with asymmetry and long memory of volatility as well as heterogeneity of higher conditional moments.
Book Synopsis Target Zones and Exchange Rates by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book Target Zones and Exchange Rates written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper we develop an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The model is general enough to nest most theoretical and empirical models in the existing literature. We find evidence of two types of jumps in exchange rates. Realignment jumps are those that are associated with the periodic realignments of the target zone and within-the-band jumps are those that can be accommodated within the current target zone. The exchange rate may jump outside the current target zone band, in the case of a realignment, but when no jump occurs the target zone is credible (there is zero probability of a realignment) and the exchange rate must stay within the band. We incorporate jumps, in general, by conditioning the distribution of exchange rate changes on a jump variable where the probability and size of a jump vary over time as a function of financial and macroeconomic variables. With this more general model, we revisit the empirical evidence from the European Monetary System regarding the conditional distribution of exchange rate changes, the credibility of the system, and the size of the foreign exchange risk premia. In contrast to some previous findings, we conclude that the FF/DM rate exhibits considerable non-linearities, realignments are predictable and the credibility of the system did not increase after 1987. Moreover, our model implies that the foreign exchange risk premium becomes large during speculative crises. A comparison with the Deutschemark/Dollar rate suggests that an explicit target zone does have a noticeable effect on the time-series behavior of exchange rates.
Download or read book Colombian Economic Journal written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Proceedings of 20th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management by : Ershi Qi
Download or read book Proceedings of 20th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management written by Ershi Qi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-12-17 with total page 1145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management is sponsored by the Chinese Industrial Engineering Institution, CMES, which is the only national-level academic society for Industrial Engineering. The conference is held annually as the major event in this arena. Being the largest and the most authoritative international academic conference held in China, it provides an academic platform for experts and entrepreneurs in the areas of international industrial engineering and management to exchange their research findings. Many experts in various fields from China and around the world gather together at the conference to review, exchange, summarize and promote their achievements in the fields of industrial engineering and engineering management. For example, some experts pay special attention to the current state of the application of related techniques in China as well as their future prospects, such as green product design, quality control and management, supply chain and logistics management to address the need for, amongst other things low-carbon, energy-saving and emission-reduction. They also offer opinions on the outlook for the development of related techniques. The proceedings offers impressive methods and concrete applications for experts from colleges and universities, research institutions and enterprises who are engaged in theoretical research into industrial engineering and engineering management and its applications. As all the papers are of great value from both an academic and a practical point of view, they also provide research data for international scholars who are investigating Chinese style enterprises and engineering management.
Book Synopsis The Time-series Structure of Exchange Rate Fluctuations by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book The Time-series Structure of Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Management of Foreign Exchange Risk by : Y. C. Lum
Download or read book Management of Foreign Exchange Risk written by Y. C. Lum and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-09-02 with total page 1149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a technical and specialised discussion of contemporary and emerging issues in foreign exchange and financial markets by addressing the issues of risk management and theory and hypothesis development, which have general implications for finance theory and foreign exchange market management. It offers an in-depth, comprehensive analysis of the issues concerning the volatility of exchange rates. The book has three main objectives. First, it applies the integrated study of exchange rate volatility in terms of depth and breadth. Second, it applies the integrated study of exchange rate volatility in Malaysia, as a case study of a developing country. Malaysia had imposed capital control measures in the past and has now liberalised its exchange rate market and will continue to liberalise it further in the long run. Hence, the need to understand exchange rate volatility measurement and management will be even more important in the future. Third, the book highlights new conditional volatility models for a developing country, such as Malaysia, and develops advanced econometric models which have produced results for sound risk management strategies and for achieving risk management in the financial market and the economy. Additionally, the authors recommend risk management themes which may be of relevance to other developing countries. This work can be used as a reference book by fund managers, financial market analysts, researchers, academics, practitioners, policy makers and postgraduate students in the areas of finance, accounting, business and financial economics. It can also be a supplementary text for Ph.D. and Masters’ students in these areas.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle by : Falkmar Butgereit
Download or read book Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle written by Falkmar Butgereit and published by Diplomica Verlag. This book was released on 2010 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Still after more than thirty years of free floating exchange rates, large parts of exchange rate dynamics remain a puzzle. As this book shows, much progress has been made in explaining exchange rate movements over longer horizons. It also shows, however, that short-run movements are far more challenging to explain. The book is based upon a variety of papers, many of them released recently. A key aspiration of the literature has always been not only to explain past exchange rate behavior but also to forecast out of sample and to compare it to the simple random walk outcome. Here some development has been made after Meese and Rogoff's (1983) truculent verdict of the performance of common exchange rate models. By means of empirical analysis and descriptive statistics this book further supports the established long-run relationships between exchange rates and fundamentals such as expected productivity growth, real GDP growth, domestic investment, interest rates, inflation, government spending, and current account balances. It finds that these fundamentals affect the exchange rate to varying degrees over time. Turning to short-term exchange rate dynamics, it turns out that a different set of forces is at play. The key to explaining short-run movements is to be found in an extensive micro-foundation that factors in a pronounced heterogeneity among market participants and information asymmetries, as well as the possibility of sudden shifts in sentiment, beliefs, and the degree of risk aversion. Promising results have been obtained by order-flow analysis and high frequency data. Also, the consideration of chartism and speculators facilitates understanding for otherwise puzzling exchange rate movements. The last attempt to tackle the understanding of exchange rate behavior is the use of frequency domain analysis and in particular spectral analysis which tries to track down any cyclical patterns in the various moments of time series. And as we shall see forex indeed incorpor
Book Synopsis Advances in Econometrics by : Dek Terrell
Download or read book Advances in Econometrics written by Dek Terrell and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Analysis of Volatile Time Series, with Reference to Foreign Exchange Rates by : Bin Zhou
Download or read book Analysis of Volatile Time Series, with Reference to Foreign Exchange Rates written by Bin Zhou and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 210 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management – Volume 1 by : Jiuping Xu
Download or read book Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management – Volume 1 written by Jiuping Xu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-07-13 with total page 854 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers many hot topics, including theoretical and practical research in many areas such as dynamic analysis, machine learning, supply chain management, operations management, environmental management, uncertainty, and health and hygiene. It showcases advanced management concepts and innovative ideas. The 16th International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (2022 ICMSEM) will be held in Ankara, Turkey, during August 3-6, 2022. ICMSEM has always been committed to promoting innovation management science (M-S) and engineering management (EM) academic research and development. The book provides researchers and practitioners in the field of Management Science and Engineering Management (MSEM) with the latest, cutting-edge thinking and research in the field. It will appeal to readers interested in these fields, especially those looking for new ideas and research directions.
Book Synopsis Time Series Analysis and Adjustment by : Haim Y Bleikh
Download or read book Time Series Analysis and Adjustment written by Haim Y Bleikh and published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2014-07-01 with total page 149 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Time Series Analysis and Adjustment the authors explain how the last four decades have brought dramatic changes in the way researchers analyze economic and financial data on behalf of economic and financial institutions and to provide statistics. An understanding of time series and the application and knowledge of related time series adjustment procedures is essential in areas such as risk management, business cycle analysis, and forecasting. The case studies in this book demonstrate that time series adjustment methods can be efficaciously applied and utilized, for both analysis and forecasting, but they must be used in the context of reasoned statistical and economic judgment -- this is the first known published study to really deal with this issue of context.
Book Synopsis Time-series Studies of the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Intervention by : Kenneth S. Rogoff
Download or read book Time-series Studies of the Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Intervention written by Kenneth S. Rogoff and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Subordinated Exchange Rate Models by : Carlo Marinelli
Download or read book Subordinated Exchange Rate Models written by Carlo Marinelli and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the main properties of high-frequency exchange rate data in the setting of stochastic subordination and stable modeling, focusing on heavy-tailedness and long memory, together with their dependence on the sampling period. We show that the the instrinsic time process exhibits strong long-range dependence and has increments well described by a Weibull law, while the return series in intrinsic time has weak long memory and is well approximated by a stable Levy motion. We also show that the stable domain of attraction offers a good fit to the returns in physical time, which leads us to consider as a realistic model for exchange rate data a process subordinated to an alpha-stable Levy motion (possibly fractional stable) by a long-memory intrinsic time process with Weibull distributed increments.
Book Synopsis Quantitative Investment Analysis by : CFA Institute
Download or read book Quantitative Investment Analysis written by CFA Institute and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-09-07 with total page 944 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
