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Modeling Shifting Mortality And Its Applications
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Book Synopsis Modeling Shifting Mortality, and Its Applications by : Futoshi Ishii
Download or read book Modeling Shifting Mortality, and Its Applications written by Futoshi Ishii and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-07-31 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes a novel method for mortality modeling applying the shifting feature of the mortality curve. In Japan, the increase and pace of the extension in life expectancy have been quite remarkable. Therefore, existing mortality models often cannot capture the peculiarities of Japanese mortality, nor can the Lee–Carter model, which is now regarded internationally as a standard model. One of the important concepts to model recent Japanese mortality is a shifting feature. In this book, the linear difference model, which has many advantages for modeling and analyzing Japanese mortality, is introduced. The book shows applications of the model to mortality projection with a tangent vector field approach and decomposition of the change of modal age at death. The models introduced here are useful tools for modeling mortality with strong shifting features, as in Japan.
Book Synopsis An Extended Linear Difference Model for Mortality Projection, with Applications to Japan by : Futoshi Ishii
Download or read book An Extended Linear Difference Model for Mortality Projection, with Applications to Japan written by Futoshi Ishii and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this dissertation, we propose the Tangent Vector Field (TVF) model for Japanese mortality projection, which is an extended Linear Difference (LD) model, and show its applications. In the two chapters following the introduction, we describe the mortality trends in Japan and review the mortality projection models for Japan. Then, in the following two chapters, we describe the data and methods for the mortality models, show the results of fitting, and discuss them with special emphasis on the LD model. We describe the mathematical formulations for decline-type and shift-type models, and discuss the inverse function of log mortality and differential forms of mortality models. We discuss five models: two decline-type models (the Proportional Hazard (PH) and Lee--Carter (LC) models), and three shift-type models (the Horizontal Shifting (HS), Horizontal Lee--Carter (HL), and LD models). In particular, we compare the LC and LD models from a statistical viewpoint. The result guides better construction of a mortality projection model, namely, a blended model with LC properties in youth and LD properties in older age. In the last chapter, we propose the TVF model applying the idea of tangent vector fields on the log mortality surface. We show a fully specified example of the projection procedure of the TVF model with all constants and coefficients applied for Japanese mortality projection. Then, we compare the TVF and LC models' results of mortality projection. From the observation of the relative mortality rates, we see that the LC model expresses mortality improvement only in a vertical direction, whereas the TVF model succeeds in expressing a shifting of mortality improvement in the direction of older ages that are observed in the actual mortality. In addition, we compare the projected mx curves. The mx by the LC model exhibits an unnatural pattern because the slope of the curve diminishes once around the age of 60 years and becomes much steeper after 80 years. The curve of the TVF model is more plausible. As a whole, we observe that the TVF model has many advantages for Japanese mortality projection compared with the LC model. We show that the TVF model proposed in this dissertation is not only quite useful for Japanese mortality projection but also has various applicability. At this point in time, there may be few countries with such strong shifting features for old age mortality as Japan. However, some countries are likely to experience the same mortality situation as Japan in the future through the extension of life expectancy. Thus, the TVF model will be a useful tool for projections in such situations.
Book Synopsis Modelling Mortality with Actuarial Applications by : Angus S. Macdonald
Download or read book Modelling Mortality with Actuarial Applications written by Angus S. Macdonald and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-05-03 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern mortality modelling for actuaries and actuarial students, with example R code, to unlock the potential of individual data.
Book Synopsis Modeling Infectious Mortality Risk and Its Application by : Fen-Ying Chen
Download or read book Modeling Infectious Mortality Risk and Its Application written by Fen-Ying Chen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A model of the dimensions of mortality and its application to paleodemography by : Ann Marie Palkovich
Download or read book A model of the dimensions of mortality and its application to paleodemography written by Ann Marie Palkovich and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 602 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Future of the Public's Health in the 21st Century by : Institute of Medicine
Download or read book The Future of the Public's Health in the 21st Century written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2003-02-01 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The anthrax incidents following the 9/11 terrorist attacks put the spotlight on the nation's public health agencies, placing it under an unprecedented scrutiny that added new dimensions to the complex issues considered in this report. The Future of the Public's Health in the 21st Century reaffirms the vision of Healthy People 2010, and outlines a systems approach to assuring the nation's health in practice, research, and policy. This approach focuses on joining the unique resources and perspectives of diverse sectors and entities and challenges these groups to work in a concerted, strategic way to promote and protect the public's health. Focusing on diverse partnerships as the framework for public health, the book discusses: The need for a shift from an individual to a population-based approach in practice, research, policy, and community engagement. The status of the governmental public health infrastructure and what needs to be improved, including its interface with the health care delivery system. The roles nongovernment actors, such as academia, business, local communities and the media can play in creating a healthy nation. Providing an accessible analysis, this book will be important to public health policy-makers and practitioners, business and community leaders, health advocates, educators and journalists.
Book Synopsis Solutions Manual for Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks by : David C. M. Dickson
Download or read book Solutions Manual for Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks written by David C. M. Dickson and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2012-03-26 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This manual presents solutions to all exercises from Actuarial Mathematics for Life Contingent Risks (AMLCR) by David C.M. Dickson, Mary R. Hardy, Howard Waters; Cambridge University Press, 2009. ISBN 9780521118255"--Pref.
Book Synopsis Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems. Theory and Foundations by : Jesús Medina
Download or read book Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems. Theory and Foundations written by Jesús Medina and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-05-30 with total page 835 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This three volume set (CCIS 853-855) constitutes the proceedings of the 17th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, IPMU 2017, held in Cádiz, Spain, in June 2018. The 193 revised full papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 383 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on advances on explainable artificial intelligence; aggregation operators, fuzzy metrics and applications; belief function theory and its applications; current techniques to model, process and describe time series; discrete models and computational intelligence; formal concept analysis and uncertainty; fuzzy implication functions; fuzzy logic and artificial intelligence problems; fuzzy mathematical analysis and applications; fuzzy methods in data mining and knowledge discovery; fuzzy transforms: theory and applications to data analysis and image processing; imprecise probabilities: foundations and applications; mathematical fuzzy logic, mathematical morphology; measures of comparison and entropies for fuzzy sets and their extensions; new trends in data aggregation; pre-aggregation functions and generalized forms of monotonicity; rough and fuzzy similarity modelling tools; soft computing for decision making in uncertainty; soft computing in information retrieval and sentiment analysis; tri-partitions and uncertainty; decision making modeling and applications; logical methods in mining knowledge from big data; metaheuristics and machine learning; optimization models for modern analytics; uncertainty in medicine; uncertainty in Video/Image Processing (UVIP).
Book Synopsis Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors by : Alan D. Lopez
Download or read book Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors written by Alan D. Lopez and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2006-04-02 with total page 511 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Strategic health planning, the cornerstone of initiatives designed to achieve health improvement goals around the world, requires an understanding of the comparative burden of diseases and injuries, their corresponding risk factors and the likely effects of invervention options. The Global Burden of Disease framework, originally published in 1990, has been widely adopted as the preferred method for health accounting and has become the standard to guide the setting of health research priorities. This publication sets out an updated assessment of the situation, with an analysis of trends observed since 1990 and a chapter on the sensitivity of GBD estimates to various sources of uncertainty in methods and data.
Book Synopsis Applications Of Epidemiological Models To Public Health Policymaking: The Role Of Heterogeneity In Model Predictions by : Zhilan Feng
Download or read book Applications Of Epidemiological Models To Public Health Policymaking: The Role Of Heterogeneity In Model Predictions written by Zhilan Feng and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2014-04-16 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mathematical models can be very helpful to understand the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. This book presents examples of epidemiological models and modeling tools that can assist policymakers to assess and evaluate disease control strategies.
Author :Maria del Carmen Parafita Couto Publisher :Cambridge Scholars Publishing ISBN 13 :1443891665 Total Pages :290 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (438 download)
Book Synopsis Bilingualism and Minority Languages in Europe by : Maria del Carmen Parafita Couto
Download or read book Bilingualism and Minority Languages in Europe written by Maria del Carmen Parafita Couto and published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing. This book was released on 2017-05-11 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection considers such issues as the cognitive, linguistic and emotional benefits of speaking two languages, the perceptions, attitudes and issues relating to identity in minority language areas, and the number of grammatical aspects amongst those who speak these minority languages. The premise of the book is based on the fact that these minority languages have, in the past, been in danger of becoming obsolete, mainly because of negative attitudes regarding the benefits of speaking languages that are considered irrelevant internationally. However, in recent times, the benefits of speaking two languages, including where one is a minority language, have been recognised in ways that were not previously understood. Perhaps because of this, alongside the introduction of legislation in some areas in Europe that has been designed to support the preservation of some of these languages, there has been a re-emergence of many minority languages throughout the continent. Questions remain whether this has led to the languages becoming more widely spoken and whether there are specific benefits that can be gained from speaking them. Exploring these questions has led to an increasing amount of research being undertaken on various aspects of bilingualism in minority language areas in Europe. The book contributes to this debate and underlines the relevance and significance of bilingualism in the specific context where European minority languages are still spoken.
Book Synopsis Clinical Application of Artificial Intelligence in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Volume IV by : Zhongheng Zhang
Download or read book Clinical Application of Artificial Intelligence in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Volume IV written by Zhongheng Zhang and published by Frontiers Media SA. This book was released on 2024-01-23 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Research Topic is the fourth volume of the series Clinical Application of Artificial Intelligence in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine Volume I: Clinical Application of Artificial Intelligence in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Volume I Volume II:Clinical Application of Artificial Intelligence in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Volume II Volume III:Clinical Application of Artificial Intelligence in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Volume III Analytics based on artificial intelligence has greatly advanced scientific research fields like natural language processing and imaging classification. Clinical research has also greatly benefited from artificial intelligence. Emergency and critical care physicians face patients with rapidly changing conditions, which require accurate risk stratification and initiation of rescue therapy. Furthermore, critically ill patients, such as those with sepsis, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and trauma, are comprised of heterogeneous population. The “one-size-fit-all” paradigm may not fit for the management of such heterogeneous patient population. Thus, artificial intelligence can be employed to identify novel subphenotypes of these patients. These sub classifications can provide not only prognostic value for risk stratification but also predictive value for individualized treatment. With the development of transcriptome providing a large amount of information for an individual, artificial intelligence can greatly help to identify useful information from high dimensional data. Altogether, it is of great importance to further utilize artificial intelligence in the management of critically ill patients.
Book Synopsis Air Pollution Modeling and Its Application VIII by : H. Van Dop
Download or read book Air Pollution Modeling and Its Application VIII written by H. Van Dop and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 759 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In 1949, when the North Atlantic Treaty was ratified, one of its articles explicitly noted '1hat member countries should contribute towards the further development of peaceful and friendly international relations." Specific problems related to the human environment were addressed by the Committee of Challenges of Modern Society (CCMS) of NATO, established in 1969. This provided a framework within which a series of International Technical Meetings (ITMs) on Air Pollution Modelling has been held. This volume documents the proceedings of the 18th meeting in this series. Science, like the arts and sports, provides an ideal vehicle for "developing peaceful and friendly international relations". National boundaries have never been barriers to the movement of air pollution, and fortunately this has also proved true of scientists studying the transport of air pollution. It is thus satisfying to record that since the mid-seventies it has been commonplace to find Eastern European scientists among attendees at the ITMs which have (in a very modest way) participated in a precursor to the process which has led to historical changes in Europe and which will undoubtedly lead to a tremendous increase in personal and intellectual exchange on a worldwide basis.
Author :Christopher J. L. Murray Publisher :Harvard School of Public Health, Frangois-Xavier Bagnoud Cen ISBN 13 : Total Pages :1034 pages Book Rating :4.:/5 (321 download)
Book Synopsis The Global Burden of Disease by : Christopher J. L. Murray
Download or read book The Global Burden of Disease written by Christopher J. L. Murray and published by Harvard School of Public Health, Frangois-Xavier Bagnoud Cen. This book was released on 1996 with total page 1034 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) provides systematic epidemiological estimates for an unprecedented 150 major health conditions. The GBD provides indispensable global and regional data for health planning, research, and education.
Book Synopsis Pandemics: Insurance and Social Protection by : María del Carmen Boado-Penas
Download or read book Pandemics: Insurance and Social Protection written by María del Carmen Boado-Penas and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book collects expert contributions on actuarial modelling and related topics, from machine learning to legal aspects, and reflects on possible insurance designs during an epidemic/pandemic. Starting by considering the impulse given by COVID-19 to the insurance industry and to actuarial research, the text covers compartment models, mortality changes during a pandemic, risk-sharing in the presence of low probability events, group testing, compositional data analysis for detecting data inconsistencies, behaviouristic aspects in fighting a pandemic, and insurers' legal problems, amongst others. Concluding with an essay by a practicing actuary on the applicability of the methods proposed, this interdisciplinary book is aimed at actuaries as well as readers with a background in mathematics, economics, statistics, finance, epidemiology, or sociology.
Book Synopsis Hidden Markov Models in Finance by : Rogemar S. Mamon
Download or read book Hidden Markov Models in Finance written by Rogemar S. Mamon and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-14 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the groundbreaking research of Harry Markowitz into the application of operations research to the optimization of investment portfolios, finance has been one of the most important areas of application of operations research. The use of hidden Markov models (HMMs) has become one of the hottest areas of research for such applications to finance. This handbook offers systemic applications of different methodologies that have been used for decision making solutions to the financial problems of global markets. As the follow-up to the authors’ Hidden Markov Models in Finance (2007), this offers the latest research developments and applications of HMMs to finance and other related fields. Amongst the fields of quantitative finance and actuarial science that will be covered are: interest rate theory, fixed-income instruments, currency market, annuity and insurance policies with option-embedded features, investment strategies, commodity markets, energy, high-frequency trading, credit risk, numerical algorithms, financial econometrics and operational risk. Hidden Markov Models in Finance: Further Developments and Applications, Volume II presents recent applications and case studies in finance and showcases the formulation of emerging potential applications of new research over the book’s 11 chapters. This will benefit not only researchers in financial modeling, but also others in fields such as engineering, the physical sciences and social sciences. Ultimately the handbook should prove to be a valuable resource to dynamic researchers interested in taking full advantage of the power and versatility of HMMs in accurately and efficiently capturing many of the processes in the financial market.
Book Synopsis Demographic Forecasting by : Federico Girosi
Download or read book Demographic Forecasting written by Federico Girosi and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2008-08-24 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Demographic Forecasting introduces new statistical tools that can greatly improve forecasts of population death rates. Mortality forecasting is used in a wide variety of academic fields, and for policymaking in global health, social security and retirement planning, and other areas. Federico Girosi and Gary King provide an innovative framework for forecasting age-sex-country-cause-specific variables that makes it possible to incorporate more information than standard approaches. These new methods more generally make it possible to include different explanatory variables in a time-series regression for each cross section while still borrowing strength from one regression to improve the estimation of all. The authors show that many existing Bayesian models with explanatory variables use prior densities that incorrectly formalize prior knowledge, and they show how to avoid these problems. They also explain how to incorporate a great deal of demographic knowledge into models with many fewer adjustable parameters than classic Bayesian approaches, and develop models with Bayesian priors in the presence of partial prior ignorance. By showing how to include more information in statistical models, Demographic Forecasting carries broad statistical implications for social scientists, statisticians, demographers, public-health experts, policymakers, and industry analysts. Introduces methods to improve forecasts of mortality rates and similar variables Provides innovative tools for more effective statistical modeling Makes available free open-source software and replication data Includes full-color graphics, a complete glossary of symbols, a self-contained math refresher, and more
