Modeling Farmer Responses To Climate Change

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Improving Modeling Tools to Assess Climate Change Effects on Crop Response

Author : Jerry L. Hatfield
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0891183515
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Improving Modeling Tools to Assess Climate Change Effects on Crop Response by : Jerry L. Hatfield

Download or read book Improving Modeling Tools to Assess Climate Change Effects on Crop Response written by Jerry L. Hatfield and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2020-01-22 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Crop model intercomparison and improvement are required to advance understanding of the impact of future climate change on crop growth and yield. The initial efforts undertaken in the Agriculture Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) led to several observations where crop models were not adequately simulating growth and development. These studies revealed where enhanced efforts should be undertaken in experimental data to quantify the carbon dioxide × temperature × water interactions in plant growth and yield. International leaders in this area held a symposium at the 2013 ASA, CSSA, and SSSA Annual Meeting to discuss this topic. This volume in the Advances in Agricultural Systems Modeling series presents experimental observations across crops and simulation modeling outcomes and addresses future challenges in improving crop simulation models. IN PRESS! This book is being published according to the “Just Published” model, with more chapters to be published online as they are completed.

Modeling Farmer Responses to Climate Change

Author : Sungno Niggol Seo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (837 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Farmer Responses to Climate Change by : Sungno Niggol Seo

Download or read book Modeling Farmer Responses to Climate Change written by Sungno Niggol Seo and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Climate Change and Food Security

Author : David B. Lobell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9048129524
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (481 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change and Food Security by : David B. Lobell

Download or read book Climate Change and Food Security written by David B. Lobell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-21 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Roughly a billion people around the world continue to live in state of chronic hunger and food insecurity. Unfortunately, efforts to improve their livelihoods must now unfold in the context of a rapidly changing climate, in which warming temperatures and changing rainfall regimes could threaten the basic productivity of the agricultural systems on which most of the world’s poor directly depend. But whether climate change represents a minor impediment or an existential threat to development is an area of substantial controversy, with different conclusions wrought from different methodologies and based on different data. This book aims to resolve some of the controversy by exploring and comparing the different methodologies and data that scientists use to understand climate’s effects on food security. In explains the nature of the climate threat, the ways in which crops and farmers might respond, and the potential role for public and private investment to help agriculture adapt to a warmer world. This broader understanding should prove useful to both scientists charged with quantifying climate threats, and policy-makers responsible for crucial decisions about how to respond. The book is especially suitable as a companion to an interdisciplinary undergraduate or graduate level class.

Climate Change

Author : Nelson, Gerald C.
Publisher : Intl Food Policy Res Inst
ISBN 13 : 0896295354
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (962 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change by : Nelson, Gerald C.

Download or read book Climate Change written by Nelson, Gerald C. and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2009 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Food Policy Report presents research results that quantify the climate-change impacts mentioned above, assesses the consequences for food security, and estimates the investments that would offset the negative consequences for human well-being.

Looking Beyond the Horizon

Author : William R. Sutton
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821397680
Total Pages : 202 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Looking Beyond the Horizon by : William R. Sutton

Download or read book Looking Beyond the Horizon written by William R. Sutton and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2013-04-04 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agriculture is one of the most climate-sensitive of all economic sectors. In many countries, such as the four examined in Looking Beyond the Horizon, the risks of climate change are an immediate and fundamental problem because the majority of the rural population depends either directly or indirectly on agriculture for its livelihood. The risks of climate change to agriculture cannot be eff ectively dealt with--and the opportunities cannot be eff ectively exploited--without a clear plan for aligning agricultural policies with climate change, developing the capabilities of key agricultural institutions, and investing in infrastructure, support services, and on-farm improvements. Developing such a plan ideally involves a combination of high-quality quantitative analysis; consultation with key stakeholders, particularly farmers and local agricultural experts; and investments in both human and physical capital. The diverse experiences of Albania, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Moldova, and Uzbekistan, highlighted in this book, show that it is possible to develop a plan to meet these objectives--one that is comprehensive and empirically driven as well as consultative and quick to develop. The approach of this volume is predicated on strong country ownership and participation, and is defi ned by its emphasis on "win-win" or "no regrets" solutions to the multiple challenges posed by climate change for the farmers of Eastern Europe and Central Asia. The solutions are measures that increase resilience to future climate change, boost current productivity despite the greater climate variability already occurring, and limit greenhouse gas emissions--also known as "climate-smart agriculture." Looking Beyond the Horizon draws on the experiences of applying this approach to these four nations in Eastern Europe and Central Asia with the goal of helping each country mainstream climate change adaptation into its agricultural policies, programs, and investments. The book also highlights the projected impacts of climate change on agriculture in these countries through forecast variations in temperature and rainfall patterns, which are crucial to farming, and off ers a map for navigating the risks and realizing the opportunities. Finally, a detailed e xplanation of the approach, as well as lessons learned from its implementation, is provided for those who would like to implement similar programs in other countries of Europe, Central Asia, or anywhere else in the world.

Climate Change and Agriculture Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation

Author : Wreford Anita
Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264086870
Total Pages : 139 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change and Agriculture Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation by : Wreford Anita

Download or read book Climate Change and Agriculture Impacts, Adaptation and Mitigation written by Wreford Anita and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2010-06-17 with total page 139 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report examines the economic and policy issues related to the impacts of climate change on agriculture and adaptation responses and to the mitigation of greenhouse gases from agriculture.

A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture

Author : Sungno Niggol Seo
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture by : Sungno Niggol Seo

Download or read book A Structural Ricardian Analysis of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations in African Agriculture written by Sungno Niggol Seo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2008 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: This paper develops a Structural Ricardian model to measure climate change impacts that explicitly models the choice of farm type in African agriculture. This two stage model first estimates the type of farm chosen and then the conditional incomes of each farm type after removing selection biases. The results indicate that increases in temperature encourage farmers to adopt mixed farming and avoid specialized farms such as crop-only or livestock-only farms. Increases in precipitation encourage farmers to shift from irrigated to rainfed crops. As temperatures increase, farm incomes from crop-only farms or livestock-only farms fall whereas incomes from mixed farms increase. With precipitation increases, farm incomes from irrigated farms fall whereas incomes from rainfed farms increase. Naturally, the Structural Ricardian model predicts much smaller impacts than a model that holds farm type fixed. With a hot dry climate scenario, the Structural Ricardian model predicts that farm income will fall 50 percent but the fixed farm type model predicts farm incomes will fall 75 percent.

The Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Management in Africa

Author : Sungno Niggol Seo
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Management in Africa by : Sungno Niggol Seo

Download or read book The Impact of Climate Change on Livestock Management in Africa written by Sungno Niggol Seo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops the structural Ricardian method, a new approach to modeling agricultural performance using cross-sectional evidence, and uses the method to study animal husbandry in Africa. The model is intended to estimate the structure beneath Ricardian results in order to understand how farmers change their behavior in response to climate. A survey of over 5,000 livestock farmers in 10 countries reveals that the selection of species, the net income per animal, and the number of animals are all highly dependent on climate. As climate warms, net income across all animals will fall, especially across beef cattle. The fall in net income causes African farmers to reduce the number of animals on their farms. The fall in relative revenues also causes them to shift away from beef cattle and toward sheep and goats. All farmers will lose income but the most vulnerable farms are large African farms that currently specialize in beef cattle. Small livestock and large livestock farms respond to climates differently. Small farms are diversified, relying on dairy cattle, goats, sheep, and chickens. Large farms specialize in dairy and beef cattle. Estimating a separate multinomial logit selection model for small and large farms reveals that the two types of farm choose species differently and specifically have different climate response functions. The regressions of the number of animals also reveal that large farms are more responsive to climate. The results indicate that warming will be harmful to commercial livestock owners, especially cattle owners. Owners of commercial livestock farms have few alternatives either in crops or other animal species. In contrast, small livestock farms are better able to adapt to warming or precipitation increases by switching to heat tolerant animals or crops. Livestock operations will be a safety valve for small farmers if warming or drought causes their crops to fail.

An analysis of crop choice : adapting to climate change in Latin American farms

Author : Niggol Seo
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis An analysis of crop choice : adapting to climate change in Latin American farms by : Niggol Seo

Download or read book An analysis of crop choice : adapting to climate change in Latin American farms written by Niggol Seo and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: The authors explore how Latin American farmers adapt to climate by changing crops. They develop a multinomial choice model of farmer's choice of crops. Estimating the model across over 2,000 farmers in seven countries, they find that both temperature and precipitation affects the crops that Latin American farmers choose. Farmers choose fruits and vegetables in warmer locations and wheat and potatoes in cooler locations. Farms in wetter locations are more likely to grow rice, fruits, and squash, and in dryer locations maize and potatoes. Global warming will cause Latin American farmers to switch away from wheat and potatoes toward fruits and vegetables. Predictions of the impact of climate change must reflect not only changes in yields or net revenues per crop but also crop switching.

Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture

Author : Toshichika Iizumi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811392358
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture by : Toshichika Iizumi

Download or read book Adaptation to Climate Change in Agriculture written by Toshichika Iizumi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-10-18 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book highlights state-of-the-art research and practices for adaptation to climate change in food production systems (agriculture in particular) as observed in Japan and neighboring Asian countries. The main topics covered include the current scientific understanding of observed and projected climate change impacts on crop production and quality, modeling of autonomous and planned adaptation, and development of early warning and/or support systems for climate-related decision-making. Drawing on concrete real-world examples, the book provides readers with an essential overview of adaptation, from research to system development to practices, taking agriculture in Asia as the example. As such, it offers a valuable asset for all researchers and policymakers whose work involves adaptation planning, climate negotiations, and/or agricultural developments.

A Coupled Agent-based Model of Farmer Adaptability and System-level Outcomes in the Context of Climate Change

Author : Patrick Bitterman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (141 download)

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Book Synopsis A Coupled Agent-based Model of Farmer Adaptability and System-level Outcomes in the Context of Climate Change by : Patrick Bitterman

Download or read book A Coupled Agent-based Model of Farmer Adaptability and System-level Outcomes in the Context of Climate Change written by Patrick Bitterman and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Social-ecological systems (SES) may become "locked in" particular states or configurations due to various constraints on adaptability imposed by feedback mechanisms or by processes designed to incentivize certain behavior. While these locked-in states may be desirable and robust to disturbances over relatively short time periods, limits on system adaptations may diminish the longer-term resilience of these states, and potentially of the system itself. The agricultural SES in the Iowa-Cedar River Basin in eastern Iowa is one such system. While highly productive, culturally important, and essential to local economies, the system is facing significant economic and environmental challenges. This dissertation presents the results of a project designed to survey the adaptability of farmers in the ICRB, model their actions subject to constraints, and plot potential future states under scenarios of climate change, policy, and market conditions. We utilize a coupled agent-based model (ABM) to examine the specified resilience of the system to future climate, leveraging the ability of ABMs to integrate heterogeneous actors, dynamic couplings of natural and human systems, and processes across spatiotemporal scales. We find that farmer behavior is primarily constrained by economic factors, including federal crop insurance subsidies and the financial risk of implementing different crops or practices. Finally, we generate alternative system trajectories by modeling twenty-one scenarios, identifying actionable adaptations and pathways for transforming the system to alternative, more sustainable states.

Systems Modeling

Author : Mukhtar Ahmed
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811547289
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Systems Modeling by : Mukhtar Ahmed

Download or read book Systems Modeling written by Mukhtar Ahmed and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-07-13 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Achieving food security and economic developmental objectives in the face of climate change and rapid population growth requires systems modelling approaches, for example in the design of sustainable agriculture farming systems. Such approaches increase our understanding of system responses to different soil and climatic conditions, and provide insights into the effects of various variable climate change scenarios, providing valuable information for decision-makers. Further, in the agricultural sector, systems modelling can help optimise crop management and adaptation measures to boost productivity under variable climatic conditions. Presenting key outcomes from crop models used in agricultural systems this book is a valuable resource for professionals interested in using modelling approaches to manage the growth and improve the quality of various crops.

The Adoption of Agricultural Technology

Author :
Publisher : CIMMYT
ISBN 13 : 9789686127775
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (277 download)

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Book Synopsis The Adoption of Agricultural Technology by :

Download or read book The Adoption of Agricultural Technology written by and published by CIMMYT. This book was released on 1993 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Building Climate Resilience in Agriculture

Author : Wajid Nasim Jatoi
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030794083
Total Pages : 425 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)

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Book Synopsis Building Climate Resilience in Agriculture by : Wajid Nasim Jatoi

Download or read book Building Climate Resilience in Agriculture written by Wajid Nasim Jatoi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-10-21 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume discusses the need to adopt Climate-Resilient Agriculture (CRA) practices to address the increasing global impact that climate change has on agricultural productivity and agriculture-dependent communities. This approach applies technological, policy and economic measures to achieve sustainable agricultural growth in the sectors of grain, fruit, vegetable, fiber, feed, livestock, fisheries and forestry, with the ultimate goal of adapting and building resilience to climate change. The book also uses GIS, crop modeling and remote sensing techniques for future climate resilience applications in agriculture, and covers pest control measures that avoid the use of pesticides to boost crop and livestock productivity for improved food security. The book will be of interest to researchers and students in environmental science, climate science, sustainability and agriculture, as well as policy makers and environmental organizations.

Farming for Our Future

Author : PETER H.. ROSENBERG LEHNER (NATHAN A.)
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781585762378
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Farming for Our Future by : PETER H.. ROSENBERG LEHNER (NATHAN A.)

Download or read book Farming for Our Future written by PETER H.. ROSENBERG LEHNER (NATHAN A.) and published by . This book was released on 2021-12-07 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Farming for Our Future examines the policies and legal reforms necessary to accelerate the adoption of practices that can make agriculture in the United States climate-neutral or better. These proven practices will also make our food system more resilient to the impacts of climate change. Agriculture's contribution to climate change is substantial--much more so than official figures suggest--and we will not be able to achieve our overall mitigation goals unless agricultural emissions sharply decline. Fortunately, farms and ranches can be a major part of the climate solution, while protecting biodiversity, strengthening rural communities, and improving the lives of the workers who cultivate our crops and rear our animals. The importance of agricultural climate solutions can not be underestimated; it is a critical element both in ensuring our food security and limiting climate change. This book provides essential solutions to address the greatest crises of our time.

Science, Policy and Politics of Modern Agricultural System

Author : Mohamed Behnassi
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400779577
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Science, Policy and Politics of Modern Agricultural System by : Mohamed Behnassi

Download or read book Science, Policy and Politics of Modern Agricultural System written by Mohamed Behnassi and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-01-10 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book arises from a 2011 international conference entitled Climate Change, Agri-Food, Fisheries and Ecosystems: Reinventing Research, Innovation, and Policy Agendas for an Environmentally and Socially-Balanced Growth (ICCAFFE2011), organized by the North-South Center for Social Sciences (NRCS) in collaboration with the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, Germany and the Institute for Research and Development (IRD), France. Coverage focuses on the agricultural sector and helps improve understanding of the relationships between agriculture and the environment and between human communities and nature, so as to sustainably manage agricultural development. The contributors analyze the interdependence between sustainable agricultural development and environmental, economic and social dynamics; assess the impacts of soil degradation on agricultural productivity; present ways to enhance livestock production and recommend mechanisms for managing links between agro-biodiversity, climate change and livelihoods. Part I examines sustainable agriculture development and environmental, economic and social dynamics, addressing topics such as global climate change, agriculture and challenges including socio-economic factors, adaptation, poverty reduction and water management. Part II covers the impacts of soil degradation on agricultural productivity and discusses the use of expert systems to assess and manage degraded lands, agricultural productivity, land suitability and rehabilitation. Part III focuses on livestock production enhancements, such as feed resources and supplemental feeds for animals and capacity building for women in dairy management. Part IV shares the outcomes of research in agro-biodiversity, climate change and livelihoods, addressing topics such as co-management of forests, carbon consumption models, biodiversity conservation and carbon sequestration and scarce mangrove forests. Current environmental and agro-ecological research focuses on understanding the cause-consequence relationships between specific agricultural practices and land use and the responses at different levels of ecosystems. This book is intended to contribute to this discussion.

Changing Farm Types and Irrigation as an Adaptation to Climate Change in Latin American Agriculture

Author : Robert O. Mendelsohn
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Changing Farm Types and Irrigation as an Adaptation to Climate Change in Latin American Agriculture by : Robert O. Mendelsohn

Download or read book Changing Farm Types and Irrigation as an Adaptation to Climate Change in Latin American Agriculture written by Robert O. Mendelsohn and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates a model of a farm that treats the choice of crops, livestock, and irrigation as endogenous. The model is composed of a multinomial choice of farm type, a binomial choice of irrigation, and a set of conditional land value functions. The model is estimated across over 2,000 farmers in seven Latin America countries. The results quantify how farmers adapt their choice of farm type and irrigation to their local climate. The results should help governments develop effective adaptation policies in response to climate change and improve the forecasting of climate effects. The paper compares the predicted effects of climate change using both endogenous and exogenous models of farm choice.