Model Development Decisions Under Uncertainty In Conceptual Design

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Model Development Decisions Under Uncertainty in Conceptual Design

Author : Thomas M. Stone
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (825 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Development Decisions Under Uncertainty in Conceptual Design by : Thomas M. Stone

Download or read book Model Development Decisions Under Uncertainty in Conceptual Design written by Thomas M. Stone and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model development decisions are an important feature of engineering design. The quality of simulation models often dictates the quality of design decisions, seeing as models guide decision makers (DM) in choosing design decisions. A quality model accurately represents the modeled system and is helpful for exploring what-if scenarios, optimizing design parameters, estimating design performance, and predicting the effect of design changes. However, obtaining a quality model comes at a cost in terms of model development--in experimentation, labor, model development time, and simulation time. Thus, DMs must make appropriate trade-offs when considering model development decisions. :The primary challenge in model development is making decisions under significant uncertainty. This thesis addresses model development in the conceptual design phase where uncertainty levels are high. In the conceptual design phase, there are many information constraints which may include an incomplete requirements list, unclear design goals, and/or undefined resource constrains. During the embodiment design phase, the overall objective of the design is more clearly defined, and model development decisions can be made with respect to an overall objective function. For example, the objective may be to maximize profit, where the profit is a known function of the model output. In the conceptual design phase, this level of clarity is not always present, so the DM must make decisions under significant model uncertainty and objective uncertainty. In this thesis, conjoint analysis is employed to solicit the preferences of the decision maker for various model attributes, and the preferences are used to formulate a quasi-objective function during the conceptual design phase--where the overall design goals are vague. Epistemic uncertainty (i.e., imprecision) in model attributes is represented as intervals and propagated through the proposed model development framework. :The model development framework is used to evaluate the best course of action (i.e., model development decision) for a real-world packaging design problem. The optimization of medical product packaging is assessed via mass spring damper models which predict contact forces experienced during shipping and handling. Novel testing techniques are employed to gather information from drop tests, and preliminary models are developed based on limited information. Imprecision in preliminary test results are quantified, and multiple model options are considered. Ultimately, this thesis presents a model development framework in which decision makers have systematic guidance for choosing optimal model development decisions.

Design Decisions Under Uncertainty with Limited Information

Author : Efstratios Nikolaidis
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781138115095
Total Pages : 538 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (15 download)

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Book Synopsis Design Decisions Under Uncertainty with Limited Information by : Efstratios Nikolaidis

Download or read book Design Decisions Under Uncertainty with Limited Information written by Efstratios Nikolaidis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-06-16 with total page 538 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's business environment involves design decisions with significant uncertainty. To succeed, decision-makers should replace deterministic methods with a risk-based approach that accounts for the decision maker¿s risk tolerance. In many problems, it is impractical to collect data because rare or one-time events are involved. Therefore, we need a methodology to model uncertainty and make choices when we have limited information. This methodology must use all available information and rely only on assumptions that are supported by evidence. This book explains theories and tools to represent uncertainty using both data and expert judgment. It teaches the reader how to make design or business decisions when there is limited information with these tools. Readers will learn a structured, risk-based approach, which is based on common sense principles, for design and business decisions. These decisions are consistent with the decision-maker¿s risk attitude. The book is exceptionally suited as educational material because it uses everyday language and real-life examples to elucidate concepts. It demonstrates how these concepts touch our lives through many practical examples, questions and exercises. These are designed to help students learn that first they should understand a problem and then establish a strategy for solving it, instead of using trial-and-error approaches. This volume is intended for undergraduate and graduate courses in mechanical, civil, industrial, aerospace, and ocean engineering and for researchers and professionals in these disciplines. It will also benefit managers and students in business administration who want to make good decisions with limited information.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331713
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Design Decisions under Uncertainty with Limited Information

Author : Efstratios Nikolaidis
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0415492475
Total Pages : 540 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (154 download)

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Book Synopsis Design Decisions under Uncertainty with Limited Information by : Efstratios Nikolaidis

Download or read book Design Decisions under Uncertainty with Limited Information written by Efstratios Nikolaidis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2011-02-18 with total page 540 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's business environment involves design decisions with significant uncertainty. To succeed, decision-makers should replace deterministic methods with a risk-based approach that accounts for the decision maker’s risk tolerance. In many problems, it is impractical to collect data because rare or one-time events are involved. Therefore, we need a methodology to model uncertainty and make choices when we have limited information. This methodology must use all available information and rely only on assumptions that are supported by evidence. This book explains theories and tools to represent uncertainty using both data and expert judgment. It teaches the reader how to make design or business decisions when there is limited information with these tools. Readers will learn a structured, risk-based approach, which is based on common sense principles, for design and business decisions. These decisions are consistent with the decision-maker’s risk attitude. The book is exceptionally suited as educational material because it uses everyday language and real-life examples to elucidate concepts. It demonstrates how these concepts touch our lives through many practical examples, questions and exercises. These are designed to help students learn that first they should understand a problem and then establish a strategy for solving it, instead of using trial-and-error approaches. This volume is intended for undergraduate and graduate courses in mechanical, civil, industrial, aerospace, and ocean engineering and for researchers and professionals in these disciplines. It will also benefit managers and students in business administration who want to make good decisions with limited information.

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030052524
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau

Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.

Completing the Forecast

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309180538
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Completing the Forecast by : National Research Council

Download or read book Completing the Forecast written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2006-10-09 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration's National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts. By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3

Author : Robert Barthorpe
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319548581
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 by : Robert Barthorpe

Download or read book Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3 written by Robert Barthorpe and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-06-07 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3: Proceedings of the 35th IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2017, the third volume of ten from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, including papers on: Uncertainty Quantification in Material Models Uncertainty Propagation in Structural Dynamics Practical Applications of MVUQ Advances in Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification: Model Updating Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification: Industrial Applications Controlling Uncertainty Uncertainty in Early Stage Design Modeling of Musical Instruments Overview of Model Validation and Uncertainty

Handbook of Probabilistic Models

Author : Pijush Samui
Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
ISBN 13 : 0128165464
Total Pages : 590 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (281 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Probabilistic Models by : Pijush Samui

Download or read book Handbook of Probabilistic Models written by Pijush Samui and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2019-10-05 with total page 590 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Probabilistic Models carefully examines the application of advanced probabilistic models in conventional engineering fields. In this comprehensive handbook, practitioners, researchers and scientists will find detailed explanations of technical concepts, applications of the proposed methods, and the respective scientific approaches needed to solve the problem. This book provides an interdisciplinary approach that creates advanced probabilistic models for engineering fields, ranging from conventional fields of mechanical engineering and civil engineering, to electronics, electrical, earth sciences, climate, agriculture, water resource, mathematical sciences and computer sciences. Specific topics covered include minimax probability machine regression, stochastic finite element method, relevance vector machine, logistic regression, Monte Carlo simulations, random matrix, Gaussian process regression, Kalman filter, stochastic optimization, maximum likelihood, Bayesian inference, Bayesian update, kriging, copula-statistical models, and more. Explains the application of advanced probabilistic models encompassing multidisciplinary research Applies probabilistic modeling to emerging areas in engineering Provides an interdisciplinary approach to probabilistic models and their applications, thus solving a wide range of practical problems

A Framework for Conceptual Design Decision Support

Author : Fayyaz Ur Rehman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (141 download)

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Book Synopsis A Framework for Conceptual Design Decision Support by : Fayyaz Ur Rehman

Download or read book A Framework for Conceptual Design Decision Support written by Fayyaz Ur Rehman and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The decisions made at the conceptual design stage are crucial to the overall success of the product as they affect all the downstream phases of the product life cycle, the user satisfaction of the product and the environment that the product is used and disposed of. The consequences due to these design decisions could therefore be good or problematic. Due to the lack of availability of knowledge and understanding about the complexity of such knowledge spanning these different areas, designers find it difficult to know the implications of their decisions made at the conceptual stage on the product's life cycle, the user of the product and the environment in which the product operates. Reviews of existing methodologies reveal that there is a, need for a holistic view of knowledge in terms of the total context of the design problem under consideration to aid designers in their decision making at the conceptual design stage. This thesis addresses this problem by proposing, implementing and evaluating a computational framework for supporting decision making at the conceptual design stage. The need for considering the implications of design decisions on other life cycle stages of the product and using the whole context of the design problem lead to the characterization and formalization of the Design Context Knowledge into different groups and context knowledge categories. This structuring facilitates the creation of feasible design solutions composed of what is called Product Design Elements (PDEs) i.e. basic elements as a functional means to constitute a conceptual product design solution. The proposed Function to POE mapping model uses the aforesaid design context knowledge structured in different categories for reasoning and eliciting consequences, associated with selecting a particular design solution and determining its implications on the product's subsequent life cycle stages, user of the product and on the product itself. After developing a system architecture model based on the system requirements, the PROCONDES prototype system has been implemented for a sheet metal component design domain. An evaluation of PROCONDES performed by conducting a case study indicates the importance of design context knowledge in proactively supporting effective decision making during function to POE mapping process (i.e. conceptual design stage) by generating timely potential (good and problematic) consequences. However, further work is required to improve the model and its implementation to fully explore the approach and use of PROCONDES for real-time design scenarios.

Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making - Proceedings Of The 10th International Flins Conference

Author : Cengiz Kahraman
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814417750
Total Pages : 1373 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making - Proceedings Of The 10th International Flins Conference by : Cengiz Kahraman

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making - Proceedings Of The 10th International Flins Conference written by Cengiz Kahraman and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2012-08-10 with total page 1373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: FLINS, originally an acronym for Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science, is now extended to Computational Intelligence for applied research. The contributions to the 10th of FLINS conference cover state-of-the-art research, development, and technology for computational intelligence systems, both from the foundations and the applications points-of-view.

Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Design

Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444634428
Total Pages : 835 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Design by :

Download or read book Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Design written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2014-07-14 with total page 835 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume collects together the presentations at the Eighth International Conference on Foundations of Computer-Aided Process Design, FOCAPD-2014, an event that brings together researchers, educators, and practitioners to identify new challenges and opportunities for process and product design. The chemical industry is currently entering a new phase of rapid evolution. The availability of low-cost feedstocks from natural gas is causing renewed investment in basic chemicals in the OECD, while societal pressures for sustainability and energy security continue to be key drivers in technology development and product selection. This dynamic environment creates opportunities to launch new products and processes and to demonstrate new methodologies for innovation, synthesis and design. FOCAPD-2014 fosters constructive interaction among thought leaders from academia, industry, and government and provides a showcase for the latest research in product and process design. Focuses exclusively on the fundamentals and applications of computer-aided design for the process industries. Provides a fully archival and indexed record of the FOCAPD14 conference Aligns the FOCAPD series with the ESCAPE and PSE series

Marine Design XIII, Volume 1

Author : Pentti Kujala
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429803303
Total Pages : 1077 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (298 download)

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Book Synopsis Marine Design XIII, Volume 1 by : Pentti Kujala

Download or read book Marine Design XIII, Volume 1 written by Pentti Kujala and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-06-04 with total page 1077 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is volume 1 of a 2-volume set. Marine Design XIII collects the contributions to the 13th International Marine Design Conference (IMDC 2018, Espoo, Finland, 10-14 June 2018). The aim of this IMDC series of conferences is to promote all aspects of marine design as an engineering discipline. The focus is on key design challenges and opportunities in the area of current maritime technologies and markets, with special emphasis on: • Challenges in merging ship design and marine applications of experience-based industrial design • Digitalisation as technological enabler for stronger link between efficient design, operations and maintenance in future • Emerging technologies and their impact on future designs • Cruise ship and icebreaker designs including fleet compositions to meet new market demands To reflect on the conference focus, Marine Design XIII covers the following research topic series: •State of art ship design principles - education, design methodology, structural design, hydrodynamic design; •Cutting edge ship designs and operations - ship concept design, risk and safety, arctic design, autonomous ships; •Energy efficiency and propulsions - energy efficiency, hull form design, propulsion equipment design; •Wider marine designs and practices - navy ships, offshore and wind farms and production. Marine Design XIII contains 2 state-of-the-art reports on design methodologies and cruise ships design, and 4 keynote papers on new directions for vessel design practices and tools, digital maritime traffic, naval ship designs, and new tanker design for arctic. Marine Design XIII will be of interest to academics and professionals in maritime technologies and marine design.

Managing Uncertainty in Engineering Design Using Imprecise Probabilities and Principles of Information Economics

Author : Jason Matthew Aughenbaugh
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (712 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Uncertainty in Engineering Design Using Imprecise Probabilities and Principles of Information Economics by : Jason Matthew Aughenbaugh

Download or read book Managing Uncertainty in Engineering Design Using Imprecise Probabilities and Principles of Information Economics written by Jason Matthew Aughenbaugh and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The engineering design community recognizes that an essential part of the design process is decision making. Because decisions are generally made under uncertainty, engineers need appropriate methods for modeling and managing uncertainty. Two important characteristics of uncertainty in the context of engineering design are imprecision and irreducible uncertainty. In order to model both of these characteristics, it is valuable to use probabilities that are most generally imprecise and subjective. These imprecise probabilities generalize traditional, precise probabilities; when the available information is extensive, imprecise probabilities reduce to precise probabilities. An approach for comparing the practical value of different uncertainty models is developed. The approach examines the value of a model using the principles of information economics: value equals benefits minus costs. The benefits of a model are measured in terms of the quality of the product that results from the design process. Costs are measured not only in terms of direct design costs, but also the costs of creating and using the model. Using this approach, the practical value of using an uncertainty model that explicitly recognizes both imprecision and irreducible uncertainty is demonstrated in the context of a high-risk engineering design example in which the decision-maker has few statistical samples to support the decision. It is also shown that a particular imprecise probability model called probability bounds analysis generalizes sensitivity analysis, a process of identifying whether a particular decision is robust given the decision makers lack of complete information. An approach for bounding the value of future statistical data samples while collecting information to support design decisions is developed, and specific policies for making decisions in the presence of imprecise information are examined in the context of engineering.

Marine Design XIII

Author : Pentti Kujala
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351010034
Total Pages : 1144 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Marine Design XIII by : Pentti Kujala

Download or read book Marine Design XIII written by Pentti Kujala and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-06-11 with total page 1144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Marine Design XIII collects the contributions to the 13th International Marine Design Conference (IMDC 2018, Espoo, Finland, 10-14 June 2018). The aim of this IMDC series of conferences is to promote all aspects of marine design as an engineering discipline. The focus is on key design challenges and opportunities in the area of current maritime technologies and markets, with special emphasis on: • Challenges in merging ship design and marine applications of experience-based industrial design • Digitalisation as technological enabler for stronger link between efficient design, operations and maintenance in future • Emerging technologies and their impact on future designs • Cruise ship and icebreaker designs including fleet compositions to meet new market demands To reflect on the conference focus, Marine Design XIII covers the following research topic series: •State of art ship design principles - education, design methodology, structural design, hydrodynamic design; •Cutting edge ship designs and operations - ship concept design, risk and safety, arctic design, autonomous ships; •Energy efficiency and propulsions - energy efficiency, hull form design, propulsion equipment design; •Wider marine designs and practices - navy ships, offshore and wind farms and production. Marine Design XIII contains 2 state-of-the-art reports on design methodologies and cruise ships design, and 4 keynote papers on new directions for vessel design practices and tools, digital maritime traffic, naval ship designs, and new tanker design for arctic. Marine Design XIII will be of interest to academics and professionals in maritime technologies and marine design.

Principles of Risk Analysis

Author : Charles Yoe
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439857504
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Risk Analysis by : Charles Yoe

Download or read book Principles of Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In every decision context there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis uses science and the best available evidence to assess what we know-and it is intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we don't know. Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty lays out the tasks of risk analysis i

Proceedings of a Workshop on Deterring Cyberattacks

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309160359
Total Pages : 400 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of a Workshop on Deterring Cyberattacks by : National Research Council

Download or read book Proceedings of a Workshop on Deterring Cyberattacks written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-10-30 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a world of increasing dependence on information technology, the prevention of cyberattacks on a nation's important computer and communications systems and networks is a problem that looms large. Given the demonstrated limitations of passive cybersecurity defense measures, it is natural to consider the possibility that deterrence might play a useful role in preventing cyberattacks against the United States and its vital interests. At the request of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the National Research Council undertook a two-phase project aimed to foster a broad, multidisciplinary examination of strategies for deterring cyberattacks on the United States and of the possible utility of these strategies for the U.S. government. The first phase produced a letter report providing basic information needed to understand the nature of the problem and to articulate important questions that can drive research regarding ways of more effectively preventing, discouraging, and inhibiting hostile activity against important U.S. information systems and networks. The second phase of the project entailed selecting appropriate experts to write papers on questions raised in the letter report. A number of experts, identified by the committee, were commissioned to write these papers under contract with the National Academy of Sciences. Commissioned papers were discussed at a public workshop held June 10-11, 2010, in Washington, D.C., and authors revised their papers after the workshop. Although the authors were selected and the papers reviewed and discussed by the committee, the individually authored papers do not reflect consensus views of the committee, and the reader should view these papers as offering points of departure that can stimulate further work on the topics discussed. The papers presented in this volume are published essentially as received from the authors, with some proofreading corrections made as limited time allowed.

Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences

Author : Bilal M. Ayyub
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1420011456
Total Pages : 401 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences by : Bilal M. Ayyub

Download or read book Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences written by Bilal M. Ayyub and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2006-05-25 with total page 401 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Engineers and scientists often need to solve complex problems with incomplete information resources, necessitating a proper treatment of uncertainty and a reliance on expert opinions. Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis in Engineering and the Sciences prepares current and future analysts and practitioners to understand the fundamentals of knowledge a