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Measuring The Health Of Italian Smes With Insolvency Prediction Models Z Scorem And D Score
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Book Synopsis Measuring the "health" of Italian SMEs with insolvency prediction models Z '-ScoreM and D-Score by : Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro
Download or read book Measuring the "health" of Italian SMEs with insolvency prediction models Z '-ScoreM and D-Score written by Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro and published by Olga Maria stefania Cucaro. This book was released on 2017-08-29 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Measuring the "health" of Italian SMEs with insolvency prediction models Z '-ScoreM and D-Score. This book comes from the study of probability of Default began in 2007 and that continues to this day. In particular, this analysis is taken up with the study of the Rating and credit and liquidity risk during the PhD. the main objective will be to locate a model based on trusted variables for locating the State of health and level of risk of SMEs. Several studies have analyzed the probability of failure of large companies, listed companies or emerging markets, other studies have attempted to create a useful dashboard to the analysis of core indicators to be kept under observation, but still did not create a quantitative indicator of business health suited to Italian SMEs.
Book Synopsis A Revision of Altman's Z-Score for SMEs by : Federico Beltrame
Download or read book A Revision of Altman's Z-Score for SMEs written by Federico Beltrame and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the pandemic urged further investigations on the prediction of firms' financial distress, this study develops and tests an alternative measure to the alert system elaborated by the NCCAAE which combines the benefits of the Z-score's multivariate discriminant model with the background employed to develop the NCCAAE' predictors. Using a sample of 43 viable and 43 non-viable Italian SMEs, we first compare the financial distress predictive accuracy of the NCCAAE's alert system to that of the traditional Z-score over the period 2015-2019. On the basis of the results, we elaborate and compare the revised versions of both approaches which align the traditional Z-score to the current socio-economic conditions and provide an alternative measure to the NCCAAE's alert system which embeds a Z-score calculated using the ratios elaborated by the NCCAAE for the alert system. The analysis of the two baseline approaches showed complementary results as the Z-score overperformed the alert system when predicting the status of non-viable firms whereas the opposite emerged as regards viable firms. The revised version of both approaches pointed out an enhanced predictive accuracy with respect to baseline models. In particular, the complementary role of the Z-score has been integrated into the new alert system as major contribute to its enhancement which pointed it out as the best measure employed. We, therefore, contribute to the literature studying the financial distress prediction developments by elaborating an alternative measure to the alert system developed by the NCCAAE which combines the benefits of the Z-score's multivariate discriminant function with the background employed to develop the NCCAAE' predictors. Our analysis enriches the post-pandemic debate on refined financial distressed prediction methods by pointing out the limits of the alert system as designed by the NCCAAE and suggests an alternative and better performing measure that may be used by third-party bodies to predict financial distress.
Book Synopsis The bankruptcy prediction model Z-ScoreM for Italian Manufacturing Listed Companies and Z'-ScoreM for Italian Industrial Company by : Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro
Download or read book The bankruptcy prediction model Z-ScoreM for Italian Manufacturing Listed Companies and Z'-ScoreM for Italian Industrial Company written by Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro and published by Olga Maria stefania Cucaro. This book was released on 2019-01-08 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The bankruptcy prediction model Z-ScoreM for Italian Manufacturing Listed Companies and Z'-ScoreM for Italian Industrial Company. The work stems from the study of the probability of default started in 2007 and continues today. In particular, this analysis is taken up with the study of the Rating and the credit and liquidity risk carried out during the author's research doctorate. The study is the continuation of other recently published author's e-books. The main objective is to identify a model for Italian companies based on Altman's Z-Score variables. Several researchers have analyzed the probability of failure of large companies, listed or emerging markets, other authors have tried to create a dashboard useful for the analysis of key indicators to be monitored, but this research differs for the creation of a specific indicator for the Italian Industrial Companies based on Altman variables.
Book Synopsis Crisis, Turnaround and Corporate Reorganization by : Olga Cucaro
Download or read book Crisis, Turnaround and Corporate Reorganization written by Olga Cucaro and published by Olga Maria stefania Cucaro. This book was released on 2019-01-08 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Crisis, Turnaround and Corporate Reorganization. It is a work born from the study of corporate crisis, the Default and the cleansing of the companies. Even before starting the PhD, the author has analyzed the risk of default of agri-business and the rating as a system for identifying the probability of default in a research consortium under a second level Master. After returning in 2010 for a research group on governance strategies Turnaround and decided to study the one hand and on the other the default remediation to understand when and how to effectively make a turnaround. Companies in crisis at some point in their life cycle are at a crossroads; on the one hand and on the other the default salvation and this is the time to enable an effective turnaround strategy that can bring the company back on track. The identification of these strategies is of paramount importance not only for scholars, but primarily for managers. First, an intervention is carried out and the results will be better.
Book Synopsis Collection of short stories inspired by the pandemic by : Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro
Download or read book Collection of short stories inspired by the pandemic written by Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro and published by Olga Maria stefania Cucaro. This book was released on 2020-10-01 with total page 83 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These short stories were inspired by the period that has just passed and continues to this day. Some of the six short stories contained in this collection are full of hope for the future while others analyze reality with the eyes of the imagination that all writers are lucky enough to have. Obviously all references to facts and people are random since they originate from the author's imagination.
Book Synopsis Which variables of governance can affect the risk of default of family businesses? A cross-country comparison between United Kingdom and Italy by : Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro
Download or read book Which variables of governance can affect the risk of default of family businesses? A cross-country comparison between United Kingdom and Italy written by Olga Maria Stefania Cucaro and published by Olga Maria stefania Cucaro. This book was released on 2017-08-17 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the association between some governance variables and the risk of default of family and non-family firms. The paper also discusses the nature of family control and the differences to non-family control and their link to firm’s performance. The most relevant indicators utilised by the authors for identifies the probability of default are based on quantitative indicators, but the presence of independent directors or the managements turnover (in particular the change of CEO) are more important for the future life of the firms, especially in the crisis periods. These governance variables are more relevant for the firms that are controlled by founder’s family and in case of succession transition, that is one critical period for the firm. In this study we try to confirm the agency problems in family businesses highlighted by the literature as the relationship between Z-score and the presence of independent directors, the turnover of the directors and the change of CEO. Especially if the latter is also Chairman. We reaffirm in this analysis the necessary distinction between the capital and the company management.
Book Synopsis Corporate Financial Distress by : Edward I. Altman
Download or read book Corporate Financial Distress written by Edward I. Altman and published by . This book was released on 1983-02-14 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A Wiley-Interscience publication."Includes index. Bibliography: p. 355-361.
Book Synopsis Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction by : Błażej Prusak
Download or read book Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction written by Błażej Prusak and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-06-16 with total page 202 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bankruptcy prediction is one of the most important research areas in corporate finance. Bankruptcies are an indispensable element of the functioning of the market economy, and at the same time generate significant losses for stakeholders. Hence, this book was established to collect the results of research on the latest trends in predicting the bankruptcy of enterprises. It suggests models developed for different countries using both traditional and more advanced methods. Problems connected with predicting bankruptcy during periods of prosperity and recession, the selection of appropriate explanatory variables, as well as the dynamization of models are presented. The reliability of financial data and the validity of the audit are also referenced. Thus, I hope that this book will inspire you to undertake new research in the field of forecasting the risk of bankruptcy.
Book Synopsis Managing Credit Risk by : John B. Caouette
Download or read book Managing Credit Risk written by John B. Caouette and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-11-03 with total page 476 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first full analysis of the latest advances in managing credit risk. "Against a backdrop of radical industry evolution, the authors of Managing Credit Risk: The Next Great Financial Challenge provide a concise and practical overview of these dramatic market and technical developments in a book which is destined to become a standard reference in the field." -Thomas C. Wilson, Partner, McKinsey & Company, Inc. "Managing Credit Risk is an outstanding intellectual achievement. The authors have provided investors a comprehensive view of the state of credit analysis at the end of the millennium." -Martin S. Fridson, Financial Analysts Journal. "This book provides a comprehensive review of credit risk management that should be compulsory reading for not only those who are responsible for such risk but also for financial analysts and investors. An important addition to a significant but neglected subject." -B.J. Ranson, Senior Vice-President, Portfolio Management, Bank of Montreal. The phenomenal growth of the credit markets has spawned a powerful array of new instruments for managing credit risk, but until now there has been no single source of information and commentary on them. In Managing Credit Risk, three highly regarded professionals in the field have-for the first time-gathered state-of-the-art information on the tools, techniques, and vehicles available today for managing credit risk. Throughout the book they emphasize the actual practice of managing credit risk, and draw on the experience of leading experts who have successfully implemented credit risk solutions. Starting with a lucid analysis of recent sweeping changes in the U.S. and global financial markets, this comprehensive resource documents the credit explosion and its remarkable opportunities-as well as its potentially devastating dangers. Analyzing the problems that have occurred during its growth period-S&L failures, business failures, bond and loan defaults, derivatives debacles-and the solutions that have enabled the credit market to continue expanding, Managing Credit Risk examines the major players and institutional settings for credit risk, including banks, insurance companies, pension funds, exchanges, clearinghouses, and rating agencies. By carefully delineating the different perspectives of each of these groups with respect to credit risk, this unique resource offers a comprehensive guide to the rapidly changing marketplace for credit products. Managing Credit Risk describes all the major credit risk management tools with regard to their strengths and weaknesses, their fitness to specific financial situations, and their effectiveness. The instruments covered in each of these detailed sections include: credit risk models based on accounting data and market values; models based on stock price; consumer finance models; models for small business; models for real estate, emerging market corporations, and financial institutions; country risk models; and more. There is an important analysis of default results on corporate bonds and loans, and credit rating migration. In all cases, the authors emphasize that success will go to those firms that employ the right tools and create the right kind of risk culture within their organizations. A strong concluding chapter integrates emerging trends in the financial markets with the new methods in the context of the overall credit environment. Concise, authoritative, and lucidly written, Managing Credit Risk is essential reading for bankers, regulators, and financial market professionals who face the great new challenges-and promising rewards-of credit risk management.
Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Scalable Uncertainty Management by : Serafín Moral
Download or read book Scalable Uncertainty Management written by Serafín Moral and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-09-20 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management, SUM 2017, which was held in Granada, Spain, in October 2017. The 24 full and 6 short papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 35 submissions. The book also contains 3 invited papers. Managing uncertainty and inconsistency has been extensively explored in Artificial Intelligence over a number of years. Now, with the advent of massive amounts of data and knowledge from distributed, heterogeneous, and potentially conflicting sources, there is interest in developing and applying formalisms for uncertainty and inconsistency in systems that need to better manage this data and knowledge. The International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty (SUM) aims to provide a forum for researchers who are working on uncertainty management, in different communities and with different uncertainty models, to meet and exchange ideas.
Download or read book Doing Business 2020 written by World Bank and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2019-11-21 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seventeen in a series of annual reports comparing business regulation in 190 economies, Doing Business 2020 measures aspects of regulation affecting 10 areas of everyday business activity.
Book Synopsis Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial Distress by : William H. Beaver
Download or read book Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial Distress written by William H. Beaver and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2011 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Statement Analysis and the Prediction of Financial Distress discusses the evolution of three main streams within the financial distress prediction literature: the set of dependent and explanatory variables used, the statistical methods of estimation, and the modeling of financial distress. Section 1 discusses concepts of financial distress. Section 2 discusses theories regarding the use of financial ratios as predictors of financial distress. Section 3 contains a brief review of the literature. Section 4 discusses the use of market price-based models of financial distress. Section 5 develops the statistical methods for empirical estimation of the probability of financial distress. Section 6 discusses the major empirical findings with respect to prediction of financial distress. Section 7 briefly summarizes some of the more relevant literature with respect to bond ratings. Section 8 presents some suggestions for future research and Section 9 presents concluding remarks.
Book Synopsis Twenty-Five Years of the Taffler Z-Score Model by : Vineet Agarwal
Download or read book Twenty-Five Years of the Taffler Z-Score Model written by Vineet Agarwal and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Doing Business in 2004 by : Simeon Djankov
Download or read book Doing Business in 2004 written by Simeon Djankov and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2004 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A co-publication of the World Bank, International Finance Corporation and Oxford University Press
Book Synopsis Managing and Measuring Risk by : Oliviero Roggi
Download or read book Managing and Measuring Risk written by Oliviero Roggi and published by World Scientific Publishing Company Incorporated. This book was released on 2013 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ch. 1. An evolutionary perspective on the concept of risk, uncertainty and risk management / Oliviero Roggi and Omar Ottonelli -- ch. 2. Toward a bottom-up approach to assessing sovereign default risk: an update / Edward I. Altman and Herbert Rijken -- ch. 3. Measuring systemic risk / Viral V. Acharya ... [et al.] -- ch. 4. Taxing systemic risk / Viral V. Acharya ... [et al.] -- ch. 5. Liquidity and efficiency in three related foreign exchange options markets / Menachem Brenner and Ben Z. Schreiber -- ch. 6. Illiquidity or credit deterioration: a study of liquidity in the US corporate bond market during financial crises / Nils Friewald, Rainer Jankowitsch and Marti G. Subrahmanyam -- ch. 7. Integrated wealth and risk management: first principles / Zvi Bodie -- ch. 8. Analyzing the impact of effective risk management: innovation and capital structure effects / Torben Juul Andersen -- ch. 9. Modeling credit risk for SMEs: evidence from the US market / Edward I. Altman and Gabriele Sabato -- ch. 10. SME rating: risk globally, measure locally / Oliviero Roggi and Alessandro Giannozzi -- ch. 11. Credit loss and systematic LGD / Jon Frye and Michael Jacobs Jr. -- ch. 12. Equity risk premiums (ERP): determinants, estimation and implications - the 2012 edition / Aswath Damodaran -- ch. 13. Stock market crashes in 2007-2009: were we able to predict them? / Sébastien Lleo and William T. Ziemba
Book Synopsis Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics by : Michael McAleer
Download or read book Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics written by Michael McAleer and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2019-07-23 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk measures play a vital role in many subfields of economics and finance. It has been proposed that risk measures could be analysed in relation to the performance of variables extracted from empirical real-world data. For example, risk measures may help inform effective monetary and fiscal policies and, therefore, the further development of pricing models for financial assets such as equities, bonds, currencies, and derivative securities.A Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” will be devoted to advancements in the mathematical and statistical development of risk measures with applications in finance and economics. This Special Issue will bring together the theory, practice and real-world applications of risk measures. This book is a collection of papers published in the Special Issue of “Risk Measures with Applications in Finance and Economics” for Sustainability in 2018.
