Measuring Corporate Default Risk

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Measuring Corporate Default Risk

Author : Darrell Duffie
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 019150047X
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Corporate Default Risk by : Darrell Duffie

Download or read book Measuring Corporate Default Risk written by Darrell Duffie and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2011-06-23 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, based on the author's Clarendon Lectures in Finance, examines the empirical behaviour of corporate default risk. A new and unified statistical methodology for default prediction, based on stochastic intensity modeling, is explained and implemented with data on U.S. public corporations since 1980. Special attention is given to the measurement of correlation of default risk across firms. The underlying work was developed in a series of collaborations over roughly the past decade with Sanjiv Das, Andreas Eckner, Guillaume Horel, Nikunj Kapadia, Leandro Saita, and Ke Wang. Where possible, the content based on methodology has been separated from the substantive empirical findings, in order to provide access to the latter for those less focused on the mathematical foundations. A key finding is that corporate defaults are more clustered in time than would be suggested by their exposure to observable common or correlated risk factors. The methodology allows for hidden sources of default correlation, which are particularly important to include when estimating the likelihood that a portfolio of corporate loans will suffer large default losses. The data also reveal that a substantial amount of power for predicting the default of a corporation can be obtained from the firm's "distance to default," a volatility-adjusted measure of leverage that is the basis of the theoretical models of corporate debt pricing of Black, Scholes, and Merton. The findings are particularly relevant in the aftermath of the financial crisis, which revealed a lack of attention to the proper modelling of correlation of default risk across firms.

Measuring Corporate Default Risk

Author : Darrell Duffie
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199279233
Total Pages : 122 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Corporate Default Risk by : Darrell Duffie

Download or read book Measuring Corporate Default Risk written by Darrell Duffie and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-06-23 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: public corporations since 1980.

Managing Portfolio Credit Risk in Banks: An Indian Perspective

Author : Arindam Bandyopadhyay
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110714647X
Total Pages : 390 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Portfolio Credit Risk in Banks: An Indian Perspective by : Arindam Bandyopadhyay

Download or read book Managing Portfolio Credit Risk in Banks: An Indian Perspective written by Arindam Bandyopadhyay and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-05-09 with total page 390 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains how a proper credit risk management framework enables banks to identify, assess and manage the risk proactively.

The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions

Author : Jiri Podpiera
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455201367
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions by : Jiri Podpiera

Download or read book The Fundamental Determinants of Credit Default Risk for European Large Complex Financial Institutions written by Jiri Podpiera and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-06-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper attempts to identify the fundamental variables that drive the credit default swaps during the initial phase of distress in selected European Large Complex Financial Institutions (LCFIs). It uses yearly data over 2004 - 08 for 29 European LCFIs. The results from a dynamic panel data estimator show that LCFIs’ business models, earnings potential, and economic uncertainty (represented by market expectations about the future risks of a particular LCFI and market views on prospects for economic growth) are among the most significant determinants of credit risk. The findings of the paper are broadly consistent with those of the literature on bank failure, where the determinants of the latter include the entire CAMELS structure - that is, Capital Adequacy, Asset Quality, Management Quality, Earnings Potential, Liquidity, and Sensitivity to Market Risk. By establishing a link between the financial and market fundamentals of LCFIs and their CDS spreads, the paper offers a potential tool for fundamentals-based vulnerability and early warning system for LCFIs.

Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk

Author : Andre Santos
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk by : Andre Santos

Download or read book Currency Mismatches and Corporate Default Risk written by Andre Santos and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-12 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Currency mismatches in corporate balance sheets have been singled out as an important factor underlying the severity of recent financial crises. We propose several structural models for measuring default risk for firms with currency mismatches in their asset/liability structure. The proposed models can be adapted to different exchange rate regimes, are analytically tractable, and can be estimated using available equity price and balance sheet data. The paper provides a detailed explanation on how to calibrate the models and discusses two applications to financial surveillance: the measurement of systematic risk in the corporate sector and the estimation of prudential leverage ratios consistent with regulatory capital ratios in the banking sector.

Credit Risk Measurement

Author : Anthony Saunders
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471274763
Total Pages : 337 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (712 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk Measurement by : Anthony Saunders

Download or read book Credit Risk Measurement written by Anthony Saunders and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2002-10-06 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most cutting-edge read on the pricing, modeling, and management of credit risk available The rise of credit risk measurement and the credit derivatives market started in the early 1990s and has grown ever since. For many professionals, understanding credit risk measurement as a discipline is now more important than ever. Credit Risk Measurement, Second Edition has been fully revised to reflect the latest thinking on credit risk measurement and to provide credit risk professionals with a solid understanding of the alternative approaches to credit risk measurement. This readable guide discusses the latest pricing, modeling, and management techniques available for dealing with credit risk. New chapters highlight the latest generation of credit risk measurement models, including a popular class known as intensity-based models. Credit Risk Measurement, Second Edition also analyzes significant changes in banking regulations that are impacting credit risk measurement at financial institutions. With fresh insights and updated information on the world of credit risk measurement, this book is a must-read reference for all credit risk professionals. Anthony Saunders (New York, NY) is the John M. Schiff Professor of Finance and Chair of the Department of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University. He holds positions on the Board of Academic Consultants of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors as well as the Council of Research Advisors for the Federal National Mortgage Association. He is the editor of the Journal of Banking and Finance and the Journal of Financial Markets, Instruments and Institutions. Linda Allen (New York, NY) is Professor of Finance at Baruch College and Adjunct Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University. She also is author of Capital Markets and Institutions: A Global View (Wiley: 0471130494). Over the years, financial professionals around the world have looked to the Wiley Finance series and its wide array of bestselling books for the knowledge, insights, and techniques that are essential to success in financial markets. As the pace of change in financial markets and instruments quickens, Wiley Finance continues to respond. With critically acclaimed books by leading thinkers on value investing, risk management, asset allocation, and many other critical subjects, the Wiley Finance series provides the financial community with information they want. Written to provide professionals and individuals with the most current thinking from the best minds in the industry, it is no wonder that the Wiley Finance series is the first and last stop for financial professionals looking to increase their financial expertise.

Scenario Analysis with the DD-PD Mapping Approach: Stock Market Shocks and U.S. Corporate Default Risk

Author : Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513573535
Total Pages : 24 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Scenario Analysis with the DD-PD Mapping Approach: Stock Market Shocks and U.S. Corporate Default Risk by : Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau

Download or read book Scenario Analysis with the DD-PD Mapping Approach: Stock Market Shocks and U.S. Corporate Default Risk written by Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-20 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper introduces the quantile regression- based Distance-to-Default to Probability of Default (DD-PD) mapping, which links individual firms’ DD to their real world PD. Since changes in the DD depend on a handful of parameters, the mapping easily accommodates shocks arising from quantitative and narrative scenarios informed by expert judgment. At end-2020, risks from stock market corrections in the U.S. are concentrated in the energy, financial and technology sectors, and additional bank capital needs could be large. The paper concludes discussing uses of the mapping beyond PD valuation suitable for capital structure analysis, credit portfolio management, and long-term scenario planning analysis.

Measuring and Managing Credit Risk

Author : Arnaud de Servigny
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 007178800X
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring and Managing Credit Risk by : Arnaud de Servigny

Download or read book Measuring and Managing Credit Risk written by Arnaud de Servigny and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2004-05-05 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Today's most complete, up-to-date reference for controlling credit risk exposure of all types, in every environment Measuring and Managing Credit Risk takes you far beyond the Basel guidelines to detail a powerful, proven program for understanding and controlling your firm’s credit risk. Providing hands-on answers on practical topics from capital management to correlations, and supporting its theories with up-to-the-minute data and insights, this authoritative book examines every key aspect of credit risk, including: Determinants of credit risk and pricing/spread implications Quantitative models for moving beyond Altman’s Z score to separate “good” borrowers from “bad” Key determinants of loss given default, and potential links between recovery rates and probabilities of default Measures of dependency including linear correlation, and the impact of correlation on portfolio losses A detailed review of five of today’s most popular portfolio models—CreditMetrics, CreditPortfolioView, Portfolio Risk Tracker, CreditRisk+, and Portfolio Manager How credit risk is reflected in the prices and yields of individual securities How derivatives and securitization instruments can be used to transfer and repackage credit risk Today’s credit risk measurement and management tools and techniques provide organizations with dramatically improved strength and flexibility, not only in mitigating risk but also in improving overall financial performance. Measuring and Managing Credit Risk introduces and explores each of these tools, along with the rapidly evolving global credit environment, to provide bankers and other financial decision-makers with the know-how to avoid excessive credit risk where possible—and mitigate it when necessary.

Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis

Author : Anthony Saunders
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470622369
Total Pages : 373 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis by : Anthony Saunders

Download or read book Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis written by Anthony Saunders and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-04-16 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A classic book on credit risk management is updated to reflect the current economic crisis Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis dissects the 2007-2008 credit crisis and provides solutions for professionals looking to better manage risk through modeling and new technology. This book is a complete update to Credit Risk Measurement: New Approaches to Value at Risk and Other Paradigms, reflecting events stemming from the recent credit crisis. Authors Anthony Saunders and Linda Allen address everything from the implications of new regulations to how the new rules will change everyday activity in the finance industry. They also provide techniques for modeling-credit scoring, structural, and reduced form models-while offering sound advice for stress testing credit risk models and when to accept or reject loans. Breaks down the latest credit risk measurement and modeling techniques and simplifies many of the technical and analytical details surrounding them Concentrates on the underlying economics to objectively evaluate new models Includes new chapters on how to prevent another crisis from occurring Understanding credit risk measurement is now more important than ever. Credit Risk Management In and Out of the Financial Crisis will solidify your knowledge of this dynamic discipline.

Credit Risk

Author : Darrell Duffie
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400829178
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk by : Darrell Duffie

Download or read book Credit Risk written by Darrell Duffie and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-01-12 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this book, two of America's leading economists provide the first integrated treatment of the conceptual, practical, and empirical foundations for credit risk pricing and risk measurement. Masterfully applying theory to practice, Darrell Duffie and Kenneth Singleton model credit risk for the purpose of measuring portfolio risk and pricing defaultable bonds, credit derivatives, and other securities exposed to credit risk. The methodological rigor, scope, and sophistication of their state-of-the-art account is unparalleled, and its singularly in-depth treatment of pricing and credit derivatives further illuminates a problem that has drawn much attention in an era when financial institutions the world over are revising their credit management strategies. Duffie and Singleton offer critical assessments of alternative approaches to credit-risk modeling, while highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of current practice. Their approach blends in-depth discussions of the conceptual foundations of modeling with extensive analyses of the empirical properties of such credit-related time series as default probabilities, recoveries, ratings transitions, and yield spreads. Both the "structura" and "reduced-form" approaches to pricing defaultable securities are presented, and their comparative fits to historical data are assessed. The authors also provide a comprehensive treatment of the pricing of credit derivatives, including credit swaps, collateralized debt obligations, credit guarantees, lines of credit, and spread options. Not least, they describe certain enhancements to current pricing and management practices that, they argue, will better position financial institutions for future changes in the financial markets. Credit Risk is an indispensable resource for risk managers, traders or regulators dealing with financial products with a significant credit risk component, as well as for academic researchers and students.

Corporate Bond Rating Drift

Author : Edward I. Altman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 100 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Corporate Bond Rating Drift by : Edward I. Altman

Download or read book Corporate Bond Rating Drift written by Edward I. Altman and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Credit Review

Author : Risk Management Institute
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814566152
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (145 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Credit Review by : Risk Management Institute

Download or read book Global Credit Review written by Risk Management Institute and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2013-12-30 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global Credit Review is an annual publication that provides an overview of the most important developments in global credit markets and the regulatory landscape. The third volume provides some critical analysis, reviews the introduction of new regulations and also offers new insights to address the challenges ahead. The carefully selected chapters touch on current topics such as: the measurement of systemic risk, reserve requirements and its role in monetary policy, the application of the Basel II default definition by credit risk assessment systems, and changes in credit portfolio management, amongst others. Recent evolutions of the Risk Management Institute's Credit Research Initiative are also reported, including a comprehensive overview of the technical details on the implementation of the current RMI-CRI corporate default prediction model. With its distinctive focus on topics related to credit markets and credit risk, this is an invaluable publication for finance professionals, policy makers and academics with an interest in credit markets. Contents:Systemic Risk in Europe (Eric Jondeau and Michael Rockinger)Changes in the Ratings Game — An Update on Various Developments (RMI staff)Reserve Requirements as Window Guidance in China (Violaine Cousin)The Implementation of the Basel II Default Definition by Credit Risk Assessment Systems: An Analysis of Possible Aggregation Procedures (Markus Bingmer and Laura Auria)Can Credit-Scoring Models Effectively Predict Microloans Default? Statistical Evidence from the Tunisian Microfinance Bank (Ibtissem Baklouti and Abdelfettah Bouri)Stepping Up to the Liquidity Challenge: The Changing Role of Credit Portfolio Management (IACPM and KPMG)NUS-RMI Credit Research Initiative Technical Report (Version: 2013, Update 2b) (RMI staff) Readership: Finance professionals, policy makers and academics with an interest in credit markets. Keywords:Systemic Risk;Marginal Expected Shortfall;Multi-Factor Model;Volatility;Correlation;Regulations;Credit-Rating Alternatives;Recommendations;Lawsuits;Sovereign Ratings;Non-Performing Loans;Reserve Requirements;Monetary Policy;China;Banks;Asset Quality;Central Bank;Bank Regulation;Window Guidance;Basel II Default Definition;Materiality;Probability of Default;Aggregation of Default Information;Credit Scoring;Micro-Credit Default Risk;Logistic Regression;Tunisian Microfinance Bank;Credit Portfolio Management;Funding Liquidity Management;Asset and Liability Management;Capital;Liquidity;Liquidity Coverage RatioKey Features:A distinctive focus on credit risk related topics that are relevant for academics, policymakers and practitioners, linking rigorous theoretical and empirical research with clear practical implicationsAn annual update on global credit market dynamics and financial regulationsTouches on current topics such as the measurement of systemic risk, the role of reserve requirements in monetary policy, and changes in credit portfolio management

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

Author :
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Managing and Measuring of Risk

Author : Oliviero Roggi
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814417505
Total Pages : 519 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing and Measuring of Risk by : Oliviero Roggi

Download or read book Managing and Measuring of Risk written by Oliviero Roggi and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2013 with total page 519 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most recent achievements in risk measurement and management, as well as regulation of the financial industry, with contributions from prominent scholars and practitioners, and provides a comprehensive overview of recent emerging standards in risk management from an interdisciplinary perspective.

Advances in Credit Risk Modelling and Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction

Author : Stewart Jones
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521869285
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Credit Risk Modelling and Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction by : Stewart Jones

Download or read book Advances in Credit Risk Modelling and Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction written by Stewart Jones and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2008-09-25 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A thorough compendium of credit risk modelling approaches, including several new techniques that extend the horizons of future research and practice. Models and techniques are illustrated with empirical examples and are accompanied by a careful explanation of model derivation issues. An ideal resource for academics, practitioners and regulators.

Advances in Mathematical Economics

Author : Shigeo Kusuoka
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 443167909X
Total Pages : 167 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (316 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Mathematical Economics by : Shigeo Kusuoka

Download or read book Advances in Mathematical Economics written by Shigeo Kusuoka and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 167 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of asymmetric information in allocation of resources, together with the associated information-revelation process, has long been a central focus of economic research. While the bulk of the literature addresses these is sues within the framework of principal-agent relationship, which essentially reduces the problem to the sole principal's (the sole Stackelberg leader's) optimization problem subject to the agents' (the Stackelberg followers') re sponses, there are recent attempts to extend analysis to other economic setups characterized by different relationships among decision-makers. A notable strand of such attempts is the core analysis of incomplete in formation. Here, there is no Stackelberg-type relationship, and more impor tantly the players can talk to each other for coordinated choice of strategies. See, e.g., Wilson (1978) for a pioneering work; Yannelis (1991) for formula tion of feasibility of a strategy as its measurability; Ichiishi and Idzik (1996) for introduction of Bayesian incentive-compatibility to this strand; Ichiishi, Idzik and Zhao (1994) for information revelation (that is, endogenous deter mination of updated information structures); Ichiishi and Radner (1997) and Ichiishi and Sertel (1998) for studies of a specific model of Chandler's firm in multidivisional form for sharper results; and Vohra (1999) for a recent work. It is a common postulate in these works that every player takes part in design of a mechanism and also in execution of the signed contract.

Risk, Value and Default

Author : Oliviero Roggi
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814641731
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (146 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk, Value and Default by : Oliviero Roggi

Download or read book Risk, Value and Default written by Oliviero Roggi and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2015-07-30 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scholars and practitioners have known for a long time that risk plays an important, indeed central, role in determining the appropriate discount rate to be used in a sophisticated valuation model. In today's world, however, the very risk of survival, especially for financial institutions, is essential to the health of the world's capital markets and their impact on the global economy. Risk, Value and Default is a vital text for understanding the interaction between enterprise risk management with corporate valuation and corporate default. The book seeks to explore the interaction between the risk of default and enterprise risk, and their joint impact on firm valuation. It aims to address the problem of how corporations should deal with risk and how they can maximize shareholder value. It also examines various conceptual ways to measure risk, thereby bridging the gap between theoretical concepts and pragmatic application. The book combines sound conceptual analytics and empirical tools to provide useful information and tangible guidelines for firms, risk managers and financial analysts and advisors. Scholars and professionals with an interest in risk management, and managers, owners, creditors and potential investors in enterprises will find Risk, Value and Default a particularly useful guide to understanding the relationship between risk generation, risk management and corporate value and default from an interdisciplinary perspective. Contents:The Concept of Risk and the Enterprise Risk Management:The Corporate RiskRisk Management: Analysis of Risk, Endowment Capital, and Suppliers of FinanceEstimating Default Risk in Practice: Methodologies and Discriminant Variables:Credit Risk, Default, and Borrowing CostsCompany Default and Discriminant Variables for SMEDefault Risk and Discriminant Methodologies for SME Readership: Scholars and practitioners with an interest in risk governance, valuation and risk management within the context of the risk management and governance, corporate finance, banking, econometrics, mathematical economics and quantitative finance. Key Features:Explores the interaction between the risk of default and enterprise risk, and their joint impact on firm valuationAddresses the problem of how corporations should deal with risk and how they can maximize shareholder valueCombines sound conceptual analytics and regional firm data to provide useful information and tangible guidelines for firms as well as for analystsKeywords:Risk Management;Enterprise Risk Management;Credit Risk;Valuation;Equity Risk Premium;Basel III;Default Risk;Capital Requirements