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Market Integration And Contagion
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Book Synopsis Market Integration and Contagion by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book Market Integration and Contagion written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contagion is usually defined as correlation between markets in excess of what would be implied by economic fundamentals; however, there is considerable disagreement regarding the definitions of the fundamentals, how the fundamentals might differ across countries, and the mechanisms that link the fundamentals to asset returns. Our research takes, as a starting point, a two-factor model with time-varying betas that accommodates various degrees of market integration between different markets. We apply this model to stock returns in three different regions: Europe, South-East Asia, and Latin America. In addition to providing new insights on contagion during crisis periods, we document patterns through time in world and regional market integration and measure the proportion of volatility driven by global, regional, and local factors.
Book Synopsis Market Integration and Contagion by : Geert Bekaert
Download or read book Market Integration and Contagion written by Geert Bekaert and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Contagion is usually defined as correlation between markets in excess of what would be implied by economic fundamentals. However, there is considerable disagreement regarding the definitions of the fundamentals, how the fundamentals might differ across countries and the mechanisms that link the fundamentals to asset returns. Our research takes as a starting point, a two-factor model with time-varying betas that accommodates various degrees of market integration between the different markets. We apply this model to stock returns in three different regions, Europe, South-East Asia and Latin America. In addition to providing new insights on contagion during crisis periods, we document patterns through time in world and regional market integration and measure the proportion of volatility driven by global, regional, as well as, local factors.
Book Synopsis International Integration of Equity Markets and Contagion Effects by : Mr.Paul Cashin
Download or read book International Integration of Equity Markets and Contagion Effects written by Mr.Paul Cashin and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-11-01 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates empirically the degree of international integration of industrial and emerging country equity markets. It analyzes two issues: first, the extent to which equity prices have tended to move similarly across countries and regions in the long run; and second, the strength of cross-country “contagion” effects. The paper’s findings suggest that both intra-regional and inter-regional linkages across national equity markets have strengthened in recent years. In addition, using impulse response functions, the paper shows that cross-country contagion effects of country-specific shocks dissipate in a matter of weeks while contagion effects of global shocks take several months to unwind themselves.
Book Synopsis Essays on Market Integration & Contagion in South East Asian Markets by : Kessara Thanyalakpark
Download or read book Essays on Market Integration & Contagion in South East Asian Markets written by Kessara Thanyalakpark and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Measuring Market Integration During Periods of Crisis and Contagion by : Weiping Qin
Download or read book Measuring Market Integration During Periods of Crisis and Contagion written by Weiping Qin and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Global Stock Market Integration by : Sabur Mollah
Download or read book Global Stock Market Integration written by Sabur Mollah and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-10 with total page 172 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock market integration between developing and emerging markets has numerous benefits for creating a global - yet stable - world economy. It increases competition and the efficiency of local markets, in turn reducing price volatility and the cost of capital among integrated markets. It also generates capital flows, which enhance financial stability and spur economic growth. At its core, stock market integration has an important role to play in both developing and emerging markets still reeling from the global financial crisis. Global Stock Market Integration analyzes the financial makeup of developing and emerging markets around the world, providing empirical insights into market integration, co-movements in price, crises, and efficiency linkages. Mobarek and Mollah argue that the relationship between market integration and market efficiency within developing and emerging countries is not the only measure necessary for effecting real financial growth. This work brings the review of theories and empirical research on the topic up-to-date and expands the existing literature with new perspectives on developed and emerging markets.
Download or read book Contagion written by Jon Wongswan and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Using the conditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), this paper tests for the existence and pattern of contagion and capital market integration in global equity markets. Contagion is defined as significant excess conditional correlation among different countries' asset returns above what could be explained by economic fundamentals (systematic risks). Capital market integration is defined as the situation in which only systematic risks are priced. The paper uses a panel of sixteen countries, divided into three blocs: Asia, Latin America, and Germany-U.K.-U.S., for the period from 1990 through 1999. The results show evidence of contagion and capital market integration. In addition, contagion is found to be a regional phenomenon"--Federal Reserve Board web site.
Book Synopsis Capital and Credit Market Integration and Real Economic Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis by : Ju Hyun Pyun
Download or read book Capital and Credit Market Integration and Real Economic Contagion During the Global Financial Crisis written by Ju Hyun Pyun and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study investigates the role of financial integration in the spread of the global financial crisis. In particular, this study shows how the effect of the crisis on real business cycle co-movement varied for capital and credit market integration, using a sample of 58 countries in 2001-2013. During the global financial crisis, the United States -- the epicenter of the crisis -- experienced a severe downturn in the real economy, and other countries followed suit. We find that during the global financial crisis, the business cycle co-movements between the United States and the rest of the world were stronger when the level of capital market integration between them was higher. However, the co-movements were weaker when the level of credit market integration was higher. These findings are robust even when including investment channels, local fundamental factors, endogenous policy responses across countries, and alternative measures for financial integration and business cycle co-movements.
Book Synopsis Market Integration and Contagion - The Curious Case of the Eurozone Debt Crisis by : Dirk G. Baur
Download or read book Market Integration and Contagion - The Curious Case of the Eurozone Debt Crisis written by Dirk G. Baur and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes financial contagion in European sovereign bond markets. It highlights the relationship between market integration and contagion and demonstrates that the disintegration of the Eurozone sovereign debt markets was a necessary condition for contagion. An analysis of extreme systemic shocks shows that contagion in the Eurozone debt crisis was not as frequent as often reported as it identifies only one major incidence of contagion that affected five periphery Eurozone countries in May 2010 coinciding with flight to quality from the periphery to the core and the 2010 “flash crash” in US equity markets. The findings demonstrate that extreme systemic shocks provide important additional information to correlation-based tests and show that there was no contagion to the core as feared by policymakers but the exact opposite of contagion - flight to quality.
Book Synopsis Time-Varying Integration, Interdependence and Contagion by : Lieven Baele
Download or read book Time-Varying Integration, Interdependence and Contagion written by Lieven Baele and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bekaert, Harvey, and Ng (2005a) define contagion as quot;correlation over and above what one would expect from economic fundamentalsquot;. Based on a two-factor asset pricing specification to model fundamentally-driven linkages between markets, they define contagion as correlation among the model residuals, and develop a corresponding test procedure. In this paper, we investigate to what extent conclusions from this contagion test depend upon the specification of the time-varying factor exposures. We develop a two-factor model with global and regional market shocks as factors. We make the global and regional market exposures conditional upon both a latent regime variable and two structural instruments, and find that, for a set of 14 European countries, this model outperforms more restricted versions. The structurally-driven increase in global (regional) market exposures and correlations suggest that market integration has increased substantially over the last three decades. Using our optimal model, we do not find evidence that further integration has come at the cost of contagion. We do find evidence for contagion, however, when more restricted versions of the factor specifications are used. We conclude that the specification of the global and regional market exposures is an important issue in any test for contagion.
Book Synopsis International Integration of Equity Markets and Contagion Effects by : Paul Anthony Cashin
Download or read book International Integration of Equity Markets and Contagion Effects written by Paul Anthony Cashin and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates empirically the degree of international integration of industrial and emerging country equity markets. It analyzes two issues: first, the extent to which equity prices have tended to move similarly across countries and regions in the long run; and second, the strength of cross-country quot;contagionquot; effects. The paper`s findings suggest that both intra-regional and inter-regional linkages across national equity markets have strengthened in recent years. In addition, using impulse response functions, the paper shows that cross-country contagion effects of country-specific shocks dissipate in a matter of weeks while contagion effects of global shocks take several months to unwind themselves.
Book Synopsis International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion by : Michael B. Devereux
Download or read book International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion written by Michael B. Devereux and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International financial integration helps to diversify risk but also may increase the trans- mission of crises across countries. We provide a quantitative analysis of this trade-off in a two-country general equilibrium model with endogenous portfolio choice and collateral con- straints. Collateral constraints bind occasionally, depending upon the state of the economy and levels of inherited debt. The analysis allows for different degrees of financial integration, moving from financial autarky to bond market integration and equity market integration. Fi- nancial integration leads to a significant increase in global leverage, doubles the probability of balance sheet crises for any one country, and dramatically increases the degree of 'contagion' across countries. Outside of crises, the impact of financial integration on macro aggregates is relatively small. But the impact of a crisis with integrated international financial markets is much less severe than that under financial market autarky. Thus, a trade-off emerges between the probability of crises and the severity of crises. Financial integration can raise or lower welfare, depending on the scale of macroeconomic risk. In particular, in a low risk environment, the increased leverage resulting from financial integration can reduce welfare of investors.
Book Synopsis Financial Entanglement by : Nicolae Gârleanu
Download or read book Financial Entanglement written by Nicolae Gârleanu and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a unified model of limited market integration, asset-price determination, leveraging, and contagion. Investors and firms are located on a circle, and access to markets involves participation costs that increase with distance. Despite the ex-ante symmetry of investors, their strategies may (endogenously) exhibit diversity, with some investors in each location following high-leverage, high-participation, and high-cost strategies and some unleveraged, low-participation, and low-cost strategies. The capital allocated to high-leverage strategies may be vulnerable even to small changes in market-access costs, which can lead to discontinuous price drops, de-leveraging, and portfolio-flow reversals. Moreover, the market is subject to contagion, in that an adverse shock to investors at a subset of locations affects prices everywhere.
Book Synopsis Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers by : Sabri Boubaker
Download or read book Handbook Of Global Financial Markets: Transformations, Dependence, And Risk Spillovers written by Sabri Boubaker and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2019-06-27 with total page 828 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this handbook is to provide the readers with insights about current dynamics and future potential transformations of global financial markets. We intend to focus on four main areas: Dynamics of Financial Markets; Financial Uncertainty and Volatility; Market Linkages and Spillover Effects; and Extreme Events and Financial Transformations and address the following critical issues, but not limited to: market integration and its implications; crisis risk assessment and contagion effects; financial uncertainty and volatility; role of emerging financial markets in the global economy; role of complex dynamics of economic and financial systems; market linkages, asset valuation and risk management; exchange rate volatility and firm-level exposure; financial effects of economic, political and social risks; link between financial development and economic growth; country risks; and sovereign debt markets.
Book Synopsis Risk Factors And Contagion In Commodity Markets And Stocks Markets by : Stephane Goutte
Download or read book Risk Factors And Contagion In Commodity Markets And Stocks Markets written by Stephane Goutte and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2020-04-28 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The link between commodities prices and the business cycle, including variables such as real GDP, industrial production, unemployment, inflation, and market uncertainty, has often been debated in the macroeconomic literature. To quantify the impact of commodities on the economy, one can distinguish different modeling approaches. First, commodities can be represented as the pinnacle of cross-sectional financial asset prices. Second, price fluctuations due to seasonal variations, dramatic market changes, political and regulatory decisions, or technological shocks may adversely impact producers who use commodities as input. This latter effect creates the so-called 'commodities risk'. Additionally, commodities price fluctuations may spread to other sectors in the economy, via contagion effects. Besides, stronger investor interest in commodities may create closer integration with conventional asset markets; as a result, the financialization process also enhances the correlation between commodity markets and financial markets.Our objective in this book, Risk Factors and Contagion in Commodity Markets and Stocks Markets, lies in answering the following research questions: What are the interactions between commodities and stock market sentiment? Do some of these markets move together overtime? Did the financialization in energy commodities occur after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? These questions are essential to understand whether commodities are driven only by their fundamentals, or whether there is also a systemic component influenced by the volatility present within the stock markets.
Book Synopsis Bond Spreads, Market Integration and Contagion in the 2007-2008 Crisis by : Jae-Young Kim
Download or read book Bond Spreads, Market Integration and Contagion in the 2007-2008 Crisis written by Jae-Young Kim and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Yield spreads on sovereign bonds represent market expectations for the economic performance of issuing countries. In the international financial market, yield spreads also reflect the extent to which the issuing countries are integrated into the global market. We analyze market integration and interconnectedness for several countries by studying the characteristics of yield spreads of long-term bonds from December 1, 2006 to March 31, 2010. Our analysis is based on a latent factor model with the following factors: world factor, the regional factor, the country-specific factor, and the US shock. Our results show that there are clear contagion effects of the 2007-2008 crisis, which originated from the U.S., on all emerging economies under consideration. Stronger effects are observed on countries with relatively higher susceptibility to world factors before crisis. Mixed effects of regional factors are shown with similarities and differences across regions and countries. Relatively stronger effects of country-specific factors are shown in Korea, Japan, the U.K., and the U.S.
Book Synopsis Financial Entanglement by : Nicolae Garleanu
Download or read book Financial Entanglement written by Nicolae Garleanu and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 69 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We propose a unified model of limited market integration, asset-price determination, leveraging, and contagion. Investors and firms are located on a circle, and access to markets involves participation costs that increase with distance. Due to a complementarity between participation and leverage decisions, the market equilibrium may exhibit diverse leverage and participation choices across investors, even though investors are ex-ante identical. Small changes in market-access costs can cause a change in the type of equilibrium and lead to discontinuous price changes, de-leveraging, and portfolio flow reversals. Moreover, the market is subject to contagion, in that an adverse shock to investors in a subset of locations affects prices everywhere.
