Inflation Expectations

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Probable Outcomes

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781879384828
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (848 download)

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Book Synopsis Probable Outcomes by : Ed Easterling

Download or read book Probable Outcomes written by Ed Easterling and published by . This book was released on 2011-01 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probable outcomes continues the Crestmont Research tradition of extensive full-color charts and graphs that enable investors and advisors to differentiate between irrational hope and a rational view of the stock market. This book's empowering insights prepare you to take action during the current period of below -average returns. The unique combination of investment science and investment art explores the market from several perspectives and addresses the significant implications for a broad range of investors. Beyond concepts, Ed Easterling delivers a dramatic analysis of the likely course for the stock market over the 2010 decade. Investors and advisors will benefit from this timely outlook and its message of reasonable expectations and value-added investing. This essential resource offers a compelling understanding of the key fundamental principles that drive the stock market. Derived from years of meticulous research, Probably outcomes provides sensible conclusions that will guide your future investment choices and allow you to invest with confidence, whatever your financial strategy."--

Expectation formation in dynamic market experiments

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Author :
Publisher : Rozenberg Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9036101158
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (361 download)

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Book Synopsis Expectation formation in dynamic market experiments by : Peter Heemeijer

Download or read book Expectation formation in dynamic market experiments written by Peter Heemeijer and published by Rozenberg Publishers. This book was released on 2009 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Rethinking Expectations

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400846455
Total Pages : 441 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Rethinking Expectations by : Roman Frydman

Download or read book Rethinking Expectations written by Roman Frydman and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-23 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book originated from a 2010 conference marking the fortieth anniversary of the publication of the landmark "Phelps volume," Microeconomic Foundations of Employment and Inflation Theory, a book that is often credited with pioneering the currently dominant approach to macroeconomic analysis. However, in their provocative introductory essay, Roman Frydman and Edmund Phelps argue that the vast majority of macroeconomic and finance models developed over the last four decades derailed, rather than built on, the Phelps volume's "microfoundations" approach. Whereas the contributors to the 1970 volume recognized the fundamental importance of according market participants' expectations an autonomous role, contemporary models rely on the rational expectations hypothesis (REH), which rules out such a role by design. The financial crisis that began in 2007, preceded by a spectacular boom and bust in asset prices that REH models implied could never happen, has spurred a quest for fresh approaches to macroeconomic analysis. While the alternatives to REH presented in Rethinking Expectations differ from the approach taken in the original Phelps volume, they are notable for returning to its major theme: understanding aggregate outcomes requires according expectations an autonomous role. In the introductory essay, Frydman and Phelps interpret the various efforts to reconstruct the field--some of which promise to chart its direction for decades to come. The contributors include Philippe Aghion, Sheila Dow, George W. Evans, Roger E. A. Farmer, Roman Frydman, Michael D. Goldberg, Roger Guesnerie, Seppo Honkapohja, Katarina Juselius, Enisse Kharroubi, Blake LeBaron, Edmund S. Phelps, John B. Taylor, Michael Woodford, and Gylfi Zoega.

Market Expectations and Option Prices

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642574289
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Expectations and Option Prices by : Martin Mandler

Download or read book Market Expectations and Option Prices written by Martin Mandler and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a slightly revised version of my doctoral dissertation which has been accepted by the Department of Economics and Business Administration of the Justus-Liebig-Universitat Giessen in July 2002. I am indebted to my advisor Prof. Dr. Volbert Alexander for encouraging and supporting my research. I am also grateful to the second member of the doctoral committee, Prof. Dr. Horst Rinne. Special thanks go to Dr. Ralf Ahrens for providing part of the data and to my colleague Carsten Lang, who spent much time reading the complete first draft. Wetzlar, January 2003 Martin Mandler Contents 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Part I Theoretical Foundations 2 Arbitrage Pricing and Risk-Neutral Probabilities........ .. 7 2.1 Arbitrage Pricing in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model... . . .. . 7 2.2 The Equivalent Martingale Measure and Risk-Neutral Valuation ............................................... 11 2.3 Extracting Risk-Neutral Probabilities from Option Prices. . . .. 13 2.4 Summary............................................... 15 Appendix 2A: The Valuation Function in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model .................................................. 16 Appendix 2B: Some Further Details on the Replication Strategy ... 21 3 Survey of the Related Literature .......................... 23 3.1 The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices. . . .. . 24 3.2 The Information Content of Implied Volatilities ............. 25 3.2.1 Implied Volatilities and the Risk-Neutral Probability Density .......................................... 27 3.2.2 The Term Structure of Implied Volatilities. . . . . . . .. . . 29 . 3.2.3 The Forecasting Information in Implied Volatilities. . .. 30 3.2.4 Implied Correlations as Forecasts of Future Correlations 43 VIII Contents 3.3 The Skewness Premium ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 45 . . . . . . .

Handbook of Experimental Economics Results

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Author :
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444826424
Total Pages : 1175 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (448 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Experimental Economics Results by : Charles R. Plott

Download or read book Handbook of Experimental Economics Results written by Charles R. Plott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2008-08-21 with total page 1175 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the field of economics makes sharp distinctions and produces precise theory, the work of experimental economics sometimes appears blurred and may produce uncertain results. The contributors to this volume have provided brief notes describing specific experimental results.

Musings on Markets: Articles from 2015-2019

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Author :
Publisher : Martin Kilarski
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1502 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Musings on Markets: Articles from 2015-2019 by : Martin Kilarski

Download or read book Musings on Markets: Articles from 2015-2019 written by Martin Kilarski and published by Martin Kilarski. This book was released on with total page 1502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the ever-evolving world of finance, clarity and insight are precious commodities. Enter Professor Aswath Damodaran, the mind behind the influential blog "Musings on Markets." This unassuming corner of the internet, launched in 2008, serves as a platform for his insightful commentary on current financial events, valuation methodologies, and emerging trends. Damodaran's ability to break down complex financial concepts into digestible terms has made him a beloved figure among investors and students. Professor Damodaran, or "Aswath" as he's affectionately known to his readers, isn't your typical Wall Street guru. His writing is refreshingly devoid of jargon, laced with wit, and grounded in a passion for demystifying complex financial concepts. Think of "Musings on Markets" as your friendly neighborhood professor, patiently explaining the intricate workings of financial markets through clear explanations, insightful analyses, and a healthy dose of real-world examples. Aswath Damodaran is a distinguished professor of finance at the Stern School of Business, New York University. Renowned for his groundbreaking work in corporate finance and valuation, Damodaran has been instrumental in shaping the field's methodologies and applications. Born in India, Damodaran pursued his academic journey in the United States, earning his Ph.D. in finance from the University of Michigan. His early career was marked by a deep dive into the intricacies of capital markets and corporate valuation, a fascination that has remained a constant throughout his illustrious career. Damodaran's academic prowess is evident in his extensive publications. He is the author of several highly acclaimed textbooks, including "Investment Valuation," "Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice," and "Applied Corporate Finance: A User's Guide." These books are considered essential reading for students, practitioners, and academics alike, providing invaluable insights into the theory and practice of finance. His contributions to the field of finance have not gone unnoticed. Damodaran has been recognized with numerous awards and honors, including the Graham and Dodd Award from the Financial Analysts Journal and the Distinguished Scholar Award from the Academy of Financial Management. Aswath Damodaran's legacy extends far beyond his academic achievements. His dedication to teaching, research, and public outreach has inspired countless individuals to pursue careers in finance and has significantly advanced the field of corporate valuation.

Probabilistic Machine Learning for Finance and Investing

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Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN 13 : 1492097632
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Probabilistic Machine Learning for Finance and Investing by : Deepak K. Kanungo

Download or read book Probabilistic Machine Learning for Finance and Investing written by Deepak K. Kanungo and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2023-08-14 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether based on academic theories or discovered empirically by humans and machines, all financial models are at the mercy of modeling errors that can be mitigated but not eliminated. Probabilistic ML technologies are based on a simple and intuitive definition of probability and the rigorous calculus of probability theory. Unlike conventional AI systems, probabilistic machine learning (ML) systems treat errors and uncertainties as features, not bugs. They quantify uncertainty generated from inexact model inputs and outputs as probability distributions, not point estimates. Most importantly, these systems are capable of forewarning us when their inferences and predictions are no longer useful in the current market environment. These ML systems provide realistic support for financial decision-making and risk management in the face of uncertainty and incomplete information. Probabilistic ML is the next generation ML framework and technology for AI-powered financial and investing systems for many reasons. They are generative ensembles that learn continually from small and noisy financial datasets while seamlessly enabling probabilistic inference, prediction and counterfactual reasoning. By moving away from flawed statistical methodologies (and a restrictive conventional view of probability as a limiting frequency), you can embrace an intuitive view of probability as logic within an axiomatic statistical framework that comprehensively and successfully quantifies uncertainty. This book shows you why and how to make that transition.

The Theory of New Classical Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319175785
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory of New Classical Macroeconomics by : Peter Galbács

Download or read book The Theory of New Classical Macroeconomics written by Peter Galbács and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-23 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines new classical macroeconomics from a comparative and critical point of view that confronts the original texts and later comments as a first dimension of comparison. The second dimension appears in a historical context, since none of the new classical doctrines can be analyzed ignoring the parallelism and discrepancies with the theory of Keynes, Friedman or Phelps. Radicalism of new classical macroeconomics has brought fundamental changes in economic thought, but the doctrines got vulgarized and distorted thanks to the mass of followers. Nowadays, economic theory and policy, trying to find their ways, have a less clear relationship than ever. Therefore, this volume is aimed at mapping and reconsidering the policy instruments and transmission mechanisms offered by the new classicals. Its central question points to the real nature of new classical macroeconomics: what consequences are grounded by the assumptions new classicals used. Moreover, issues raised by automatic fiscal stabilizers and fiscal reforms are analyzed as well, even if they were out of the range of classical texts. The book draws a picture of new classical macroeconomics stressing the analogies with Keynesian countercyclical policies, instead of the discrepancies commonly held.

Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems

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Author :
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139619780
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (396 download)

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Book Synopsis Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems by : Cars Hommes

Download or read book Behavioral Rationality and Heterogeneous Expectations in Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems and confronts the nonlinear dynamic models with empirical stylized facts and laboratory experiments. The complexity modeling paradigm has been strongly advocated since the late 1980s by some economists and by multidisciplinary scientists from various fields, such as physics, computer science and biology. More recently the complexity view has also drawn the attention of policy makers, who are faced with complex phenomena, irregular fluctuations and sudden, unpredictable market transitions. The complexity tools - bifurcations, chaos, multiple equilibria - discussed in this book will help students, researchers and policy makers to build more realistic behavioral models with heterogeneous expectations to describe financial market movements and macro-economic fluctuations, in order to better manage crises in a complex global economy.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262572217
Total Pages : 436 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (722 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003 by : Mark Gertler

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003 written by Mark Gertler and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The NBER Macroeconomics Annual presents pioneering work in macroeconomics by leading academic researchers to an audience of public policymakers and the academic community. Each commissioned paper is followed by comments and discussion. This year's edition provides a mix of cutting-edge research and policy analysis on such topics as productivity and information technology, the increase in wealth inequality, behavioral economics, and inflation.

Investment Management (Security Analysis and Portfolio Management), 19th Ed.

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Author :
Publisher : S. Chand Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9788121912488
Total Pages : 1112 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Management (Security Analysis and Portfolio Management), 19th Ed. by : V.K.Bhalla

Download or read book Investment Management (Security Analysis and Portfolio Management), 19th Ed. written by V.K.Bhalla and published by S. Chand Publishing. This book was released on 2008-06 with total page 1112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: SECURITY ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT. This 5th Edition , is thoroughly revised and updated. It describes techniques, vehicles, and strategies of the funds of an individual investor(s).For the students of Management, Commerce, Professional Course of CA, CS, ICWA, Professional of Financial Institutions and Policy Makers.

Market-led Strategic Change

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1856175049
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (561 download)

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Book Synopsis Market-led Strategic Change by : Nigel Piercy

Download or read book Market-led Strategic Change written by Nigel Piercy and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the use of case studies this book will help the reader go back to basics by confronting critical questions in the organisation of marketing and how the critical processes of marketing, planning and budgeting are managed.

Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470405104
Total Pages : 735 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science by : Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Download or read book Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science written by Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-07-13 with total page 735 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inspired by the Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Second Edition, this volume presents the tools and techniques that are essential for carrying out best practices in the modern business world The collection and analysis of quantitative data drives some of the most important conclusions that are drawn in today's business world, such as the preferences of a customer base, the quality of manufactured products, the marketing of products, and the availability of financial resources. As a result, it is essential for individuals working in this environment to have the knowledge and skills to interpret and use statistical techniques in various scenarios. Addressing this need, Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science serves as a single, one-of-a-kind resource that guides readers through the use of common statistical practices by presenting real-world applications from the fields of business, economics, finance, operations research, and management science. Uniting established literature with the latest research, this volume features classic articles from the acclaimed Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Second Edition along with brand-new contributions written by today's leading academics and practitioners. The result is a compilation that explores classic methodology and new topics, including: Analytical methods for risk management Statistical modeling for online auctions Ranking and selection in mutual funds Uses of Black-Scholes formula in finance Data mining in prediction markets From auditing and marketing to stock market price indices and banking, the presented literature sheds light on the use of quantitative methods in research relating to common financial applications. In addition, the book supplies insight on common uses of statistical techniques such as Bayesian methods, optimization, simulation, forecasting, mathematical modeling, financial time series, and data mining in modern research. Providing a blend of traditional methodology and the latest research, Methods and Applications of Statistics in Business, Finance, and Management Science is an excellent reference for researchers, managers, consultants, and students in the fields of business, management science, operations research, supply chain management, mathematical finance, and economics who must understand statistical literature and carry out quantitative practices to make smart business decisions in their everyday work.

Musings on Markets: Articles from 2020-2024

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Author :
Publisher : Martin Kilarski
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1369 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Musings on Markets: Articles from 2020-2024 by : Martin Kilarski

Download or read book Musings on Markets: Articles from 2020-2024 written by Martin Kilarski and published by Martin Kilarski. This book was released on with total page 1369 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the ever-evolving world of finance, clarity and insight are precious commodities. Enter Professor Aswath Damodaran, the mind behind the influential blog "Musings on Markets." This unassuming corner of the internet, launched in 2008, serves as a platform for his insightful commentary on current financial events, valuation methodologies, and emerging trends. Damodaran's ability to break down complex financial concepts into digestible terms has made him a beloved figure among investors and students. Professor Damodaran, or "Aswath" as he's affectionately known to his readers, isn't your typical Wall Street guru. His writing is refreshingly devoid of jargon, laced with wit, and grounded in a passion for demystifying complex financial concepts. Think of "Musings on Markets" as your friendly neighborhood professor, patiently explaining the intricate workings of financial markets through clear explanations, insightful analyses, and a healthy dose of real-world examples. Aswath Damodaran is a distinguished professor of finance at the Stern School of Business, New York University. Renowned for his groundbreaking work in corporate finance and valuation, Damodaran has been instrumental in shaping the field's methodologies and applications. Born in India, Damodaran pursued his academic journey in the United States, earning his Ph.D. in finance from the University of Michigan. His early career was marked by a deep dive into the intricacies of capital markets and corporate valuation, a fascination that has remained a constant throughout his illustrious career. Damodaran's academic prowess is evident in his extensive publications. He is the author of several highly acclaimed textbooks, including "Investment Valuation," "Corporate Finance: Theory and Practice," and "Applied Corporate Finance: A User's Guide." These books are considered essential reading for students, practitioners, and academics alike, providing invaluable insights into the theory and practice of finance. His contributions to the field of finance have not gone unnoticed. Damodaran has been recognized with numerous awards and honors, including the Graham and Dodd Award from the Financial Analysts Journal and the Distinguished Scholar Award from the Academy of Financial Management. Aswath Damodaran's legacy extends far beyond his academic achievements. His dedication to teaching, research, and public outreach has inspired countless individuals to pursue careers in finance and has significantly advanced the field of corporate valuation.

Prediction Markets

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834970859
Total Pages : 152 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)

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Book Synopsis Prediction Markets by : Stefan Luckner

Download or read book Prediction Markets written by Stefan Luckner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-11-04 with total page 152 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accurate predictions are essential in many areas such as corporate decision making, weather forecasting and technology forecasting. Prediction markets help to aggregate information and gain a better understanding of the future by leveraging the wisdom of the crowds. Trading prices in prediction markets thus reflect the traders’ aggregated expectations on the outcome of uncertain future events and can be used to predict the likelihood of these events. This book demonstrates that markets are accurate predictors. Results from several empirical studies reported in this work show the importance of designing such markets properly in order to derive valuable predictions. Therefore, the findings are valuable for designing future prediction markets.

Theory of Incomplete Markets

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262632546
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (325 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory of Incomplete Markets by : Michael Magill

Download or read book Theory of Incomplete Markets written by Michael Magill and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Theory of incompl. markets/M. Magill, M. Quinzii. - V.1.