Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451959044
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account by : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1992-09-01 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in national cash flow, defined as output less investment less government expenditure, the greater is the precautionary demand for savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using quarterly data from four large industrial countries.

Dissecting Saving Dynamics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505698
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Dissecting Saving Dynamics by : Mr.Christopher Carroll

Download or read book Dissecting Saving Dynamics written by Mr.Christopher Carroll and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-09-01 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate’s long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious ‘buffer stock’ model of optimal consumption in the presence of labor income uncertainty and credit constraints. Saving in the model is affected by the gap between ‘target’ and actual wealth, with the target wealth determined by credit conditions and uncertainty. An estimated structural version of the model suggests that increased credit availability accounts for most of the saving rate’s long-term decline, while fluctuations in net wealth and uncertainty capture the bulk of the business-cycle variation.

Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings, and the Current Account

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings, and the Current Account by : Atish R. Ghosh

Download or read book Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings, and the Current Account written by Atish R. Ghosh and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of International Economics

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080933459
Total Pages : 896 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of International Economics by : G.M. Grossman

Download or read book Handbook of International Economics written by G.M. Grossman and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1997-10-24 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of International Economics

Handbook of International Economics

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444828648
Total Pages : 896 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (448 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of International Economics by : Ronald Winthrop Jones

Download or read book Handbook of International Economics written by Ronald Winthrop Jones and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 1984 with total page 896 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This Handbook adopts a traditional definition of the subject, and focuses primarily on the explanation of international transactions in goods, services, and assets, and on the main domestic effects of those transactions. The first volume deals with the "real side" of international economics. It is concerned with the explanation of trade and factor flows, with their main effects on goods and factor prices, on the allocation of resources and income distribution and on economic welfare, and also with the effects on national policies designed explicitly to influence trade and factor flows. In other words, it deals chiefly with microeconomic issues and methods. The second volume deals with the "monetary side" of the subject. It is concerned with the balance of payments adjustment process under fixed exchange rates, with exchange rate determination under flexible exchange rates, and with the domestic ramifications of these phenomena. Accordingly, it deals mainly with economic issues, although microeconomic methods are frequently utilized, especially in work on expectations, asset markets, and exchange rate behavior."--Publisher's information

Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling by : Charles F. Manski

Download or read book Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling written by Charles F. Manski and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econometric analyses of treatment response commonly use instrumental variable (IV) assumptions to identify treatment effects. Yet the credibility of IV assumptions is often a matter of considerable disagreement, with much debate about whether some covariate is or is not a "valid instrument" in an application of interest. There is therefore good reason to consider weaker but more credible assumptions. assumptions. To this end, we introduce monotone instrumental variable (MIV) A particularly interesting special case of an MIV assumption is monotone treatment selection (MTS). IV and MIV assumptions may be imposed alone or in combination with other assumptions. We study the identifying power of MIV assumptions in three informational settings: MIV alone; MIV combined with the classical linear response assumption; MIV combined with the monotone treatment response (MTR) assumption. We apply the results to the problem of inference on the returns to schooling. We analyze wage data reported by white male respondents to the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) and use the respondent's AFQT score as an MIV. We find that this MIV assumption has little identifying power when imposed alone. However combining the MIV assumption with the MTR and MTS assumptions yields fairly tight bounds on two distinct measures of the returns to schooling.

IMF Macroeconomic Research on Low-Income Countries

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589062733
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (627 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Macroeconomic Research on Low-Income Countries by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book IMF Macroeconomic Research on Low-Income Countries written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-01-30 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summarizes the for ward-looking analytical work program on macroeconomic issues related to the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper approach. The program is evolving through a process that began with a technical workshop; participants from low-income countries, donors, academia, and civil society drafted guidance on selected issues and identified priority research topics. Partners, policymakers, and economic scholars are encouraged to share their perspectives and findings through respective team leaders, whose e-mail addresses are provided. The publication also summarizes IMF analytical work, and contains a bibliography of nearly 1,000 papers.

International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319790757
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)

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Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis by : Laurent Ferrara

Download or read book International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis written by Laurent Ferrara and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.

Exercises in Intertemporal Open Economy Macroeconomics

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262611305
Total Pages : 186 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (113 download)

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Book Synopsis Exercises in Intertemporal Open Economy Macroeconomics by : Thomas H. Krueger

Download or read book Exercises in Intertemporal Open Economy Macroeconomics written by Thomas H. Krueger and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1997 with total page 186 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This exercise manual has been revised to be a companion volume to the third edition of "Fiscal Policies and the World Economy" by Jacob Frenkel and Assaf Razin. It includes new material on endogenous growth, convergence, and an extension of the Mundell-Flemming model.

Macroeconomics for Professionals

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108568467
Total Pages : 312 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroeconomics for Professionals by : Leslie Lipschitz

Download or read book Macroeconomics for Professionals written by Leslie Lipschitz and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-01-23 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding macroeconomic developments and policies in the twenty-first century is daunting: policy-makers face the combined challenges of supporting economic activity and employment, keeping inflation low and risks of financial crises at bay, and navigating the ever-tighter linkages of globalization. Many professionals face demands to evaluate the implications of developments and policies for their business, financial, or public policy decisions. Macroeconomics for Professionals provides a concise, rigorous, yet intuitive framework for assessing a country's macroeconomic outlook and policies. Drawing on years of experience at the International Monetary Fund, Leslie Lipschitz and Susan Schadler have created an operating manual for professional applied economists and all those required to evaluate economic analysis.

External Sector Report, July 2018

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484367367
Total Pages : 147 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis External Sector Report, July 2018 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book External Sector Report, July 2018 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-07-23 with total page 147 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The External Sector Report presents a methodologically consistent assessment of the exchange rates, current accounts, reserves, capital flows, and external balance sheets of the world’s largest economies. The 2018 edition includes an analytical assessment of how trade costs and related policy barriers drive excess global imbalances.

Methodology for CGER Exchange Rate Assessments

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332021
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Methodology for CGER Exchange Rate Assessments by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book Methodology for CGER Exchange Rate Assessments written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08-11 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate surveillance has always been at the core of the IMF’s responsibilities. Throughout its existence, the Fund has strived to strengthen its framework for assessing exchange rates, adapting it to underlying macroeconomic and financial developments in member countries. As part of this mandate, since the mid-1990s the Consultative Group on Exchange Rate Issues (CGER) has provided exchange rate assessments for a number of advanced economies from a multilateral perspective, with the aim of informing the country-specific analysis of Article IV Staff Reports and fostering multilateral consistency.

Inflation Expectations

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1135179778
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (351 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Expectations by : Peter J. N. Sinclair

Download or read book Inflation Expectations written by Peter J. N. Sinclair and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-12-16 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

Current Account and Precautionary Savings for Exporters of Exhaustible Resources

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Current Account and Precautionary Savings for Exporters of Exhaustible Resources by : Irineu E. Carvalho Filho

Download or read book Current Account and Precautionary Savings for Exporters of Exhaustible Resources written by Irineu E. Carvalho Filho and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-02 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economic slowdown in sub-Saharan Africa looks set to be mercifully brief. Recovery is now under way across the region. The region's relative resilience during this global recession, compared with previous global downturns, owes much to the health of its economies and the strengthening of policy frameworks in the run-up to the crisis. Countercyclical macroeconomic policies played an important role, with nearly two-thirds of sub-Saharan Africa countries experiencing a slowdown in 2009 increasing government spending to buttress economic activity. However, progress toward the Millennium Development Goals receded. Middle-income and oil-exporting countries were hit hardest by the collapse in world trade and commodity markets; the region's low-income countries escaped fairly lightly. Looking ahead, fiscal policies in sub-Saharan Africa generally need to be refocused toward medium-term objectives, macroeconomic policy buffers rebuilt, and financial systems strengthened. Published biannually in May and October.

Exchange Rate Assessments

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145187426X
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Assessments by : Mr.Irineu E. de Carvalho Filho

Download or read book Exchange Rate Assessments written by Mr.Irineu E. de Carvalho Filho and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are the current account fluctuations in oil-exporting countries "excessive"? How should their real exchange rate respond to the evolution of external (and domestic) fundamentals? This paper proposes methodologies tailored to the specific features of oil-exporting countries that help address these questions. Price-based methodologies (based on the time series of real effective exchange rates) identify a strong link between the real exchange rate and the terms of trade, but have relatively limited explanatory power. On the other hand, an empirical model of the current account, which fits oil exporting countries' data well, and an intertemporal model that takes into account the stock of oil reserves provide useful benchmarks for oil exporters' external balances.

Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484325443
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies by : Mr.Olivier Jeanne

Download or read book Optimal Reserves in Financially Closed Economies written by Mr.Olivier Jeanne and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financially closed economies insure themselves against current-account shocks using international reserves. We characterize the optimal management of reserves using an open-economy model of precautionary savings and emphasize several results. First, the welfare-based opportunity cost of reserves differs from the measures often used by practitioners. Second, under plausible calibrations the model is consistent with the rule of thumb that reserves should be close to three months of imports. Third, simple linear rules can capture most of the welfare gains from optimal reserve management. Fourth, policymakers should place more emphasis on how to use reserves in response to shocks than on the reserve target itself.

International Macroeconomics

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691189544
Total Pages : 483 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics by : Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé

Download or read book International Macroeconomics written by Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2022-09-06 with total page 483 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An essential introduction to one of the most timely and important subjects in economics International Macroeconomics presents a rigorous and theoretically elegant treatment of real-world international macroeconomic problems, incorporating the latest economic research while maintaining a microfounded, optimizing, and dynamic general equilibrium approach. This one-of-a-kind textbook introduces a basic model and applies it to fundamental questions in international economics, including the determinants of the current account in small and large economies, processes of adjustment to shocks, the determinants of the real exchange rate, the role of fixed and flexible exchange rates in models with nominal rigidities, and interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. The book confronts theoretical predictions using actual data, highlighting both the power and limits of given theories and encouraging critical thinking. Provides a rigorous and elegant treatment of fundamental questions in international macroeconomics Brings undergraduate and master’s instruction in line with modern economic research Follows a microfounded, optimizing, and dynamic general equilibrium approach Addresses fundamental questions in international economics, such as the role of capital controls in the presence of financial frictions and balance-of-payments crises Uses real-world data to test the predictions of theoretical models Features a wealth of exercises at the end of each chapter that challenge students to hone their theoretical skills and scrutinize the empirical relevance of models Accompanied by a website with lecture slides for every chapter