Lower for Longer – Macroprudential Policy Issues Arising from the Low Interest Rate Environment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (125 download)

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Book Synopsis Lower for Longer – Macroprudential Policy Issues Arising from the Low Interest Rate Environment by :

Download or read book Lower for Longer – Macroprudential Policy Issues Arising from the Low Interest Rate Environment written by and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Given the prolonged environment of low (and even negative) interest rates accompanied by ongoing structural changes in the EU financial system, at the end of 2019 the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) General Board mandated the joint ASC/ATC/FSC Task Force on Low Interest Rates to do as follows. This report therefore analyses the risks engendered by the low interest rate environment (LIRE) and related structural changes in the EU financial system and proposes macroprudential policy actions to mitigate them. While acknowledging country heterogeneity, the focus is mainly on the EU financial system as a whole and on interest rates in the EU. The time horizon for the analysis is medium term: five to ten years ahead. Although we discuss both real and nominal interest rates and the relationship between them, our focus when considering risk-taking is primarily on nominal rates. With stable, low inflation, nominal and real rates move in parallel."--Abstract.

Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP)

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475524471
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) by : Andreas Jobst

Download or read book Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) written by Andreas Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-10 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.

The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513546805
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap by : Mr.Jiaqian Chen

Download or read book The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap written by Mr.Jiaqian Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-12 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term costs, in terms of forgone consumption, of all the macroprudential tools we consider are moderate. Even so, the short-term costs differ dramatically between alternative tools. Specifically, a loan-to-value tightening is more than twice as contractionary compared to loan-to-income tightening when debt is high and monetary policy cannot accommodate.

Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513565818
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking by : Natalya Martynova

Download or read book Bank Profitability and Risk-Taking written by Natalya Martynova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-11-25 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditional theory suggests that more profitable banks should have lower risk-taking incentives. Then why did many profitable banks choose to invest in untested financial instruments before the crisis, realizing significant losses? We attempt to reconcile theory and evidence. In our setup, banks are endowed with a fixed core business. They take risk by levering up to engage in risky ‘side activities’(such as market-based investments) alongside the core business. A more profitable core business allows a bank to borrow more and take side risks on a larger scale, offsetting lower incentives to take risk of given size. Consequently, more profitable banks may have higher risk-taking incentives. The framework is consistent with cross-sectional patterns of bank risk-taking in the run up to the recent financial crisis.

Negative Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513570080
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rates by : Luís Brandão Marques

Download or read book Negative Interest Rates written by Luís Brandão Marques and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper focuses on negative interest rate policies and covers a broad range of its effects, with a detailed discussion of findings in the academic literature and of broader country experiences.

Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498342620
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-11 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides guidance to facilitate the staff’s advice on macroprudential policy in Fund surveillance. It elaborates on the principles set out in the “Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy,” taking into account the work of international standard setters as well as the evolving country experience with macroprudential policy. The main note is accompanied by supplements offering Detailed Guidance on Instruments and Considerations for Low Income Countries

Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy - Background Paper

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498341713
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy - Background Paper by : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.

Download or read book Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy - Background Paper written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-10-06 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The countercyclical capital buffer (CCB) was proposed by the Basel committee to increase the resilience of the banking sector to negative shocks. The interactions between banking sector losses and the real economy highlight the importance of building a capital buffer in periods when systemic risks are rising. Basel III introduces a framework for a time-varying capital buffer on top of the minimum capital requirement and another time-invariant buffer (the conservation buffer). The CCB aims to make banks more resilient against imbalances in credit markets and thereby enhance medium-term prospects of the economy—in good times when system-wide risks are growing, the regulators could impose the CCB which would help the banks to withstand losses in bad times.

Banking in a Steady State of Low Growth and Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484374746
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Banking in a Steady State of Low Growth and Interest Rates by : Qianying Chen

Download or read book Banking in a Steady State of Low Growth and Interest Rates written by Qianying Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-08-27 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A prolonged low-interest-rate environment presents a significant challenge to banks and is likely to entail major changes to their business models over the long-run. Lower returns to maturity transformation in the face of flatter yield curves and an inability to offer deposit rates significantly below zero combine to compress bank earnings in this environment. Smaller, deposit-funded, less diversified banks are hurt most, increasing consolidation pressures and reach-for-yield incentives, presenting new financial stability challenges.To the extent that such an economic environment reflects a new, steady-state with lower equilibrium growth driven by population aging and slower productivity growth, lower credit demand is likely to drive banking toward provision of fee-based, utility services.

Financial Stability Monitoring

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Stability Monitoring by : Tobias Adrian

Download or read book Financial Stability Monitoring written by Tobias Adrian and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a recently released New York Fed staff report, we present a forward-looking monitoring program to identify and track time-varying sources of systemic risk.

Macroprudential Policy - An Organizing Framework - Background Paper

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498339174
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Macroprudential Policy - An Organizing Framework - Background Paper by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Download or read book Macroprudential Policy - An Organizing Framework - Background Paper written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-03-14 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: MCM conducted a survey in December 2010 to take stock of international experiences with financial stability and the evolving macroprudential policy framework. The survey was designed to seek information in three broad areas: the institutional setup for macroprudential policy, the analytical approach to systemic risk monitoring, and the macroprudential policy toolkit. The survey was sent to 63 countries and the European Central Bank (ECB), including all countries in the G-20 and those subject to mandatory Financial Sector Assessment Programs (FSAPs). The target list is designed to cover a broad range of jurisdictions in all regions, but more weight is given to economies that are systemically important (see Annex for details). The response rate is 80 percent. This note provides a summary of the survey’s main findings.

Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484398777
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide by : Ruchir Agarwal

Download or read book Enabling Deep Negative Rates to Fight Recessions: A Guide written by Ruchir Agarwal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-29 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The experience of the Great Recession and its aftermath revealed that a lower bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions. However, the zero lower bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The central message of this paper is that with readily available tools a central bank can enable deep negative rates whenever needed—thus maintaining the power of monetary policy in the future to end recessions within a short time. This paper demonstrates that a subset of these tools can have a big effect in enabling deep negative rates with administratively small actions on the part of the central bank. To that end, we (i) survey approaches to enable deep negative rates discussed in the literature and present new approaches; (ii) establish how a subset of these approaches allows enabling negative rates while remaining at a minimum distance from the current paper currency policy and minimizing the political costs; (iii) discuss why standard transmission mechanisms from interest rates to aggregate demand are likely to remain unchanged in deep negative rate territory; and (iv) present communication tools that central banks can use both now and in the event to facilitate broader political acceptance of negative interest rate policy at the onset of the next serious recession.

Macro-Prudential Policies to Mitigate Financial System Vulnerabilities

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498357601
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Macro-Prudential Policies to Mitigate Financial System Vulnerabilities by : Mr.Stijn Claessens

Download or read book Macro-Prudential Policies to Mitigate Financial System Vulnerabilities written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-08-19 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macro-prudential policies aimed at mitigating systemic financial risks have become part of the policy toolkit in many emerging markets and some advanced countries. Their effectiveness and efficacy are not well-known, however. Using panel data regressions, we analyze how changes in balance sheets of some 2,800 banks in 48 countries over 2000–2010 respond to specific macro-prudential policies. Controlling for endogeneity, we find that measures aimed at borrowers––caps on debt-to-income and loan-to-value ratios––and at financial institutions––limits on credit growth and foreign currency lending––are effective in reducing asset growth. Countercyclical buffers are little effective through the cycle, and some measures are even counterproductive during downswings, serving to aggravate declines, consistent with the ex-ante nature of macro-prudential tools.

Benefits of Macro-prudential Policy in Low Interest Rate Environments

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789289944151
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (441 download)

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Book Synopsis Benefits of Macro-prudential Policy in Low Interest Rate Environments by :

Download or read book Benefits of Macro-prudential Policy in Low Interest Rate Environments written by and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I study macro-prudential policy intervention in economies with secularly low interest rates. Intervention boosts risk-free real interest rates unintentionally, simply as a by-product of containing systemic risk in financial markets. Thus, intervention also boosts the natural rate of return in particular (i.e., the equilibrium risk-free rate that is consistent with inflation on target and production at full capacity). These results point to a novel complementarity between financial stability and macroeconomic stabilization. Complementary is sufficiently strong to generate a divine coincidence if the natural rate is secularly low, but not too low.

Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464800030
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets by : Otaviano Canuto

Download or read book Dealing with the Challenges of Macro Financial Linkages in Emerging Markets written by Otaviano Canuto and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2013-10-29 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with the challenges of macro financial linkages in the emerging markets.

Pushed Past the Limit? How Japanese Banks Reacted to Negative Interest Rates

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148436161X
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Pushed Past the Limit? How Japanese Banks Reacted to Negative Interest Rates by : Mr.Gee Hee Hong

Download or read book Pushed Past the Limit? How Japanese Banks Reacted to Negative Interest Rates written by Mr.Gee Hee Hong and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-06-13 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we investigate how negative interest rate policy (NIRP) introduced in January 2016 by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) affected Japanese banks' lending and risk taking behavior. The BoJ's announcement was an unexpected surprise to the market and was followed by a sharp drop in equity prices of Japanese financial firms. We exploit the cross-sectional variation in the change of share prices on the day of the announcement to measure banks' differential exposure to NIRP. We show that more exposed banks increased their credit and took on more risk compared to banks that were less exposed to negative rates.

Global Waves of Debt

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464815453
Total Pages : 403 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Waves of Debt by : M. Ayhan Kose

Download or read book Global Waves of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-03-03 with total page 403 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.

Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484381130
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel by : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia

Download or read book Bank Leverage and Monetary Policy's Risk-Taking Channel written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-06-06 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present evidence of a risk-taking channel of monetary policy for the U.S. banking system. We use confidential data on the internal ratings of U.S. banks on loans to businesses over the period 1997 to 2011 from the Federal Reserve’s survey of terms of business lending. We find that ex-ante risk taking by banks (as measured by the risk rating of the bank’s loan portfolio) is negatively associated with increases in short-term policy interest rates. This relationship is less pronounced for banks with relatively low capital or during periods when banks’ capital erodes, such as episodes of financial and economic distress. These results contribute to the ongoing debate on the role of monetary policy in financial stability and suggest that monetary policy has a bearing on the riskiness of banks and financial stability more generally.