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Author : Zeyi Chen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Long-term Peak Electricity Load Forecasting in Taiwan written by Zeyi Chen and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Joe H. Chow
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387234713
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)
Download or read book Applied Mathematics for Restructured Electric Power Systems written by Joe H. Chow and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-06-03 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applied Mathematics for Restructured Electric Power Systems: Optimization, Control, and Computational Intelligence consists of chapters based on work presented at a National Science Foundation workshop organized in November 2003. The theme of the workshop was the use of applied mathematics to solve challenging power system problems. The areas included control, optimization, and computational intelligence. In addition to the introductory chapter, this book includes 12 chapters written by renowned experts in their respected fields. Each chapter follows a three-part format: (1) a description of an important power system problem or problems, (2) the current practice and/or particular research approaches, and (3) future research directions. Collectively, the technical areas discussed are voltage and oscillatory stability, power system security margins, hierarchical and decentralized control, stability monitoring, embedded optimization, neural network control with adaptive critic architecture, control tuning using genetic algorithms, and load forecasting and component prediction. This volume is intended for power systems researchers and professionals charged with solving electric and power system problems.
Author : Christian Behm
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Long-Term Electricity Demand Time Series Using Artificial Neural Networks written by Christian Behm and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accurate forecast of electricity load are increasingly important. We present a method to forecast long-term weather-dependent hourly electricity load using artificial neural networks. The fully connected dense artificial neural networks with 5 hidden layers and 1,024 hidden nodes per layer are trained using historic data from 2006 to 2015. Input parameters comprise calendrical information, annual peak loads and weather data. The results are benchmarked against the method to forecast electric loads used in the current mid-term adequacy forecasts published by the European Network of Transmission System Operators (entso-e). For validation year 2016, our approach shows a mean absolute percentage error of 2.8%, whereas the common approach as used by entso-e shows an average error of 4.8% using peak load scaling. Further, we conduct forecasts for Germany, Sweden, Spain, and France for scenario year 2025 and assess parameter variations. Our approach can serve to increase prediction accuracy of future electricity loads.
Author : Vojislav Kecman
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262112550
Total Pages : 556 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (125 download)
Download or read book Learning and Soft Computing written by Vojislav Kecman and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2001 with total page 556 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides a thorough introduction to the field of learning from experimental data and soft computing. Support vector machines (SVM) and neural networks (NN) are the mathematical structures, or models, that underlie learning, while fuzzy logic systems (FLS) enable us to embed structured human knowledge into workable algorithms. The book assumes that it is not only useful, but necessary, to treat SVM, NN, and FLS as parts of a connected whole. Throughout, the theory and algorithms are illustrated by practical examples, as well as by problem sets and simulated experiments. This approach enables the reader to develop SVM, NN, and FLS in addition to understanding them. The book also presents three case studies: on NN-based control, financial time series analysis, and computer graphics. A solutions manual and all of the MATLAB programs needed for the simulated experiments are available.
Author : A B M Shawkat Ali
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447152107
Total Pages : 233 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)
Download or read book Smart Grids written by A B M Shawkat Ali and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-07-16 with total page 233 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Smart Grid delivers renewable energy as a main source of electricity from producers to consumers using two-way monitoring through Smart Meter technology that can remotely control consumer electricity use. This can help to storage excess energy; reduce costs, increase reliability and transparency, and make processes more efficiently. Smart Grids: Opportunities, Developments, and Trends discusses advances in Smart Grid in today’s dynamic and rapid growing global economical and technological environments. Current development in the field are systematically explored with an introduction, detailed discussion and an experimental demonstration. Each chapter also includes the future scope and ongoing research for each topic. Smart Grids: Opportunities, Developments, and Trends provides up to date knowledge, research results, and innovations in Smart Grids spanning design, implementation, analysis and evaluation of Smart Grid solutions to the challenging problems in all areas of power industry. Providing a solid foundation for graduate and postgraduate students, this thorough approach also makes Smart Grids: Opportunities, Developments, and Trends a useful resource and hand book for researchers and practitioners in Smart Grid research. It can also act as a guide to Smart Grids for industry professionals and engineers from different fields working with Smart Grids.
Author : Wei-Chiang Hong
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3038972908
Total Pages : 251 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (389 download)
Download or read book Hybrid Advanced Techniques for Forecasting in Energy Sector written by Wei-Chiang Hong and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2018-10-19 with total page 251 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Hybrid Advanced Techniques for Forecasting in Energy Sector" that was published in Energies
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)
Download or read book Regional Medium-Term Hourly Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on LSTM: Preprint written by and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to forecast high-resolution (hourly) aggregated load for a certain region in the medium term (a few days to over a year). One region is defined as some places with similar climate characteristics because the climate influences people's daily lifestyles and hence the electric usage. We decompose the electric usage records into two parts: base load and seasonal load. Considering both temperature and time factors, different deep-learning methods are adopted to characterize them. The first goal of our approach is to predict the peak load which is critical for power system planning. Furthermore, our proposed forecast method can provide the depiction of the hourly load profile to provide customized load curves for high-level real-time applications. The proposed method is tested on real-world historical data collected by CAISO, BPA, and PACW. The experimental results show that trained by three years of data, our method could reduce the prediction error for a one-year lead hourly load below 5% MAPE, and predict the occurrence of the peak load for next year in CAISO with an error within three days. Furthermore, as a byproduct, an interesting observation on the impact of COVID-19 on human life was made and discussed based on these case studies.
Author : Rafal Weron
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470059990
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices written by Rafal Weron and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2007-01-30 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Author : John Allspaw
Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN 13 : 0596551835
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (965 download)
Download or read book The Art of Capacity Planning written by John Allspaw and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2008-09-23 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Success on the web is measured by usage and growth. Web-based companies live or die by the ability to scale their infrastructure to accommodate increasing demand. This book is a hands-on and practical guide to planning for such growth, with many techniques and considerations to help you plan, deploy, and manage web application infrastructure. The Art of Capacity Planning is written by the manager of data operations for the world-famous photo-sharing site Flickr.com, now owned by Yahoo! John Allspaw combines personal anecdotes from many phases of Flickr's growth with insights from his colleagues in many other industries to give you solid guidelines for measuring your growth, predicting trends, and making cost-effective preparations. Topics include: Evaluating tools for measurement and deployment Capacity analysis and prediction for storage, database, and application servers Designing architectures to easily add and measure capacity Handling sudden spikes Predicting exponential and explosive growth How cloud services such as EC2 can fit into a capacity strategy In this book, Allspaw draws on years of valuable experience, starting from the days when Flickr was relatively small and had to deal with the typical growth pains and cost/performance trade-offs of a typical company with a Web presence. The advice he offers in The Art of Capacity Planning will not only help you prepare for explosive growth, it will save you tons of grief.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (14 download)
Download or read book Regional Medium-Term Hourly Electricity Demand Forecasting Based on LSTM. written by and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to forecast high-resolution (hourly) aggregated load for a certain region in the medium term (a few days to over a year). One region is defined as some places with similar climate characteristics because the climate influences people's daily lifestyles and hence the electric usage. We decompose the electric usage records into two parts: base load and seasonal load. Considering both temperature and time factors, different deep-learning methods are adopted to characterize them. The first goal of our approach is to predict the peak load which is critical for power system planning. Furthermore, our proposed forecast method can provide the depiction of the hourly load profile to provide customized load curves for high-level real-time applications. The proposed method is tested on real-world historical data collected by CAISO, BPA, and PACW. The experimental results show that trained by three years of data, our method could reduce the prediction error for a one-year lead hourly load below $5\%$ MAPE, and predict the occurrence of the peak load for next year in CAISO with an error within three days. Furthermore, as a byproduct, an interesting observation on the impact of COVID-19 on human life was made and discussed based on these case studies.
Author : The Analytic Sciences Corporation
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262570480
Total Pages : 388 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (74 download)
Download or read book Applied Optimal Estimation written by The Analytic Sciences Corporation and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1974-05-15 with total page 388 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first book on the optimal estimation that places its major emphasis on practical applications, treating the subject more from an engineering than a mathematical orientation. Even so, theoretical and mathematical concepts are introduced and developed sufficiently to make the book a self-contained source of instruction for readers without prior knowledge of the basic principles of the field. The work is the product of the technical staff of The Analytic Sciences Corporation (TASC), an organization whose success has resulted largely from its applications of optimal estimation techniques to a wide variety of real situations involving large-scale systems. Arthur Gelb writes in the Foreword that "It is our intent throughout to provide a simple and interesting picture of the central issues underlying modern estimation theory and practice. Heuristic, rather than theoretically elegant, arguments are used extensively, with emphasis on physical insights and key questions of practical importance." Numerous illustrative examples, many based on actual applications, have been interspersed throughout the text to lead the student to a concrete understanding of the theoretical material. The inclusion of problems with "built-in" answers at the end of each of the nine chapters further enhances the self-study potential of the text. After a brief historical prelude, the book introduces the mathematics underlying random process theory and state-space characterization of linear dynamic systems. The theory and practice of optimal estimation is them presented, including filtering, smoothing, and prediction. Both linear and non-linear systems, and continuous- and discrete-time cases, are covered in considerable detail. New results are described concerning the application of covariance analysis to non-linear systems and the connection between observers and optimal estimators. The final chapters treat such practical and often pivotal issues as suboptimal structure, and computer loading considerations. This book is an outgrowth of a course given by TASC at a number of US Government facilities. Virtually all of the members of the TASC technical staff have, at one time and in one way or another, contributed to the material contained in the work.
Author : Aboul Ella Hassanien
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 303089701X
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)
Download or read book Proceedings of the International Conference on Advanced Intelligent Systems and Informatics 2021 written by Aboul Ella Hassanien and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-08 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceeding book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Advanced Intelligent Systems and Informatics (AISI 2021), which took place in Cairo, Egypt, during December 11-13, 2021, and is an international interdisciplinary conference that presents a spectrum of scientific research on all aspects of informatics and intelligent systems, technologies, and applications.
Author : Kuei-Tien Chou
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351659685
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (516 download)
Download or read book Energy Transition in East Asia written by Kuei-Tien Chou and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-12-01 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Fukushima disaster of 2011 shook the globe, arousing warm debate and new research within the academic fields of countries in both the West and the East on issues related to nuclear security, public trust, government governance, risk governance and risk perception along with technological and social aspects. The Fukushima incident not only revealed the importance of risk governance in the East Asian region, but also became an important turning point in the restructuring of energy in several East Asian nations. However, the regulatory culture in East Asian countries is by nature different to that of their western counterparts; the history and culture of East Asia has formed East Asian countries’ unique regulatory characteristics. This book aims to establish a risk governance structure for the East Asian region, providing a completely new perspective for both practical implementation and the academic field. It focusses on the problems of risk governance in East Asia. Through a discussion of the risk related issues raised by contemporary globalization, this book outlines the unique form of East Asia’s risk governance architecture. It brings together the work of top academics from Japan, South Korea and Taiwan to provide a common picture of how these three countries’ governments are dealing with the energy transition brought on by the climate change crisis. The various aspects of East Asia’s unique regulatory culture and governance models are placed into context, while East Asia’s risk governance theoretical framework is outlined.
Author : Wei-Chiang Hong
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447149688
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)
Download or read book Intelligent Energy Demand Forecasting written by Wei-Chiang Hong and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-12 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As industrial, commercial, and residential demands increase and with the rise of privatization and deregulation of the electric energy industry around the world, it is necessary to improve the performance of electric operational management. Intelligent Energy Demand Forecasting offers approaches and methods to calculate optimal electric energy allocation to reach equilibrium of the supply and demand. Evolutionary algorithms and intelligent analytical tools to improve energy demand forecasting accuracy are explored and explained in relation to existing methods. To provide clearer picture of how these hybridized evolutionary algorithms and intelligent analytical tools are processed, Intelligent Energy Demand Forecasting emphasizes on improving the drawbacks of existing algorithms. Written for researchers, postgraduates, and lecturers, Intelligent Energy Demand Forecasting helps to develop the skills and methods to provide more accurate energy demand forecasting by employing novel hybridized evolutionary algorithms and intelligent analytical tools.
Author : S.A. Soliman
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0123815444
Total Pages : 441 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)
Download or read book Electrical Load Forecasting written by S.A. Soliman and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2010-05-26 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Succinct and understandable, this book is a step-by-step guide to the mathematics and construction of electrical load forecasting models. Written by one of the world’s foremost experts on the subject, Electrical Load Forecasting provides a brief discussion of algorithms, their advantages and disadvantages and when they are best utilized. The book begins with a good description of the basic theory and models needed to truly understand how the models are prepared so that they are not just blindly plugging and chugging numbers. This is followed by a clear and rigorous exposition of the statistical techniques and algorithms such as regression, neural networks, fuzzy logic, and expert systems. The book is also supported by an online computer program that allows readers to construct, validate, and run short and long term models. Step-by-step guide to model construction Construct, verify, and run short and long term models Accurately evaluate load shape and pricing Creat regional specific electrical load models
Author : Yafei Zheng
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351215493
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (512 download)
Download or read book Forecasting Air Travel Demand written by Yafei Zheng and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-03 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an updated, concise summary of forecasting air travel demand methodology. It looks at air travel demand forecasting research and attempts to outline the whole intellectual landscape of demand forecasting. It helps readers to understand the basic idea of TEI@I methodology used in forecasting air travel demand and how it is used in developing air travel demand forecasting methods. The book also discusses what to do when facing different forecasting problems making it a useful reference for business practitioners in the industry.
Author : Ji Zhou
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)
Download or read book Taiwan's Economic Development in the Context of Greater China written by Ji Zhou and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
