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Author : Guillermo L. Ordoñez
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (435 download)
Download or read book Larger Crises, Slower Recoveries written by Guillermo L. Ordoñez and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Xuewen Liu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Delayed Crises and Slow Recoveries written by Xuewen Liu and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We present a rational expectations model of credit-driven crises, providing a new perspective to explain why credit booms can lead to severe financial crises and aftermath slow economic recoveries. In our model economy, banks can operate in two types of business à la Minsky's narratives. They are sequentially aware of the deterioration of fundamentals of the speculative business and decide whether to continue credit extension in that business or liquidate capital and move into the traditional business. However, because individual banks face uncertainty about how many of their peers have been aware, they rationally choose to extend credit in the speculative business for a longer time than is socially optimal, leading to an over-delayed crisis and consequently more banks being caught by the crisis. This in turn renders the financial crisis more severe and the subsequent economic recovery slower. Within a standard textbook macroeconomic growth setting, our model generates rich dynamics of economic booms, slowdowns, crashes, and recoveries.
Author : Ms. Valerie Cerra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484325273
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Financial Crises, Investment Slumps, and Slow Recoveries written by Ms. Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-06-25 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the most puzzling facts in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is that output across advanced and emerging economies recovered at a much slower rate than anticipated by most forecasting agencies. This paper delves into the mechanics behind the observed slow recovery and the associated permanent output losses in the aftermath of the crisis, with a particular focus on the role played by financial frictions and investment dynamics. The paper provides two main contributions. First, we empirically document that lower investment during financial crises is the key factor leading to permanent loss of output and total factor productivity (TFP) in the wake of a crisis. Second, we develop a DSGE model with financial frictions and capital-embodied technological change capable of reproducing the empirical facts. We also evaluate the role of financial policies in stabilizing output and TFP in response to disruptions in financial markets.
Author : Menzie D. Chinn
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393080501
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)
Download or read book Lost Decades: The Making of America's Debt Crisis and the Long Recovery written by Menzie D. Chinn and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A clear, authoritative guide to the crisis of 2008, its continuing repercussions, and the needed reforms ahead. The U.S. economy lost the first decade of the twenty-first century to an ill-conceived boom and subsequent bust. It is in danger of losing another decade to the stagnation of an incomplete recovery. How did this happen? Read this lucid explanation of the origins and long-term effects of the recent financial crisis, drawn in historical and comparative perspective by two leading political economists. By 2008 the United States had become the biggest international borrower in world history, with more than two-thirds of its $6 trillion federal debt in foreign hands. The proportion of foreign loans to the size of the economy put the United States in league with Mexico, Indonesia, and other third-world debtor nations. The massive inflow of foreign funds financed the booms in housing prices and consumer spending that fueled the economy until the collapse of late 2008. This was the most serious international economic crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Menzie Chinn and Jeffry Frieden explain the political and economic roots of this crisis as well as its long-term effects. They explore the political strategies behind the Bush administration’s policy of funding massive deficits with foreign borrowing. They show that the crisis was foreseen by many and was avoidable through appropriate policy measures. They examine the continuing impact of our huge debt on the continuing slow recovery from the recession. Lost Decades will long be regarded as the standard account of the crisis and its aftermath.
Author : Wyn Grant
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199641986
Total Pages : 287 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)
Download or read book The Consequences of the Global Financial Crisis written by Wyn Grant and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2012-05-24 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Systematically exploring the consequences of the global financial crisis, this text focuses primarily on the impact on policy and politics. It asks how governments responded to the challenges that the crisis has posed, and the policy and political impact of the combination of both the crisis itself and these responses.
Author : Douglas D Evanoff
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814480282
Total Pages : 474 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)
Download or read book Systemic Financial Crises: Resolving Large Bank Insolvencies written by Douglas D Evanoff and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2005-06-27 with total page 474 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bank failures, like illness and taxes, are almost a certainty at some time in the future. What is less certain is their cost to and adverse implications for macroeconomies. Past failures have frequently been resolved at very high cost to society. However, the cost could be reduced through having a well-developed, credible and widely publicized plan ready to put into action by policymakers. If no such plan is ready when a large bank approaches insolvency, political pressures are likely to influence the response of regulators.Minimizing immediate, short-run costs are likely to outweigh minimizing further out, longer-run and longer-lasting costs, even if these delayed costs promise to be substantially greater. Stated differently, today will win out over tomorrow and politics will trump economics. How best to prevent such unfavorable outcomes is the major theme of this volume. The articles presented review past insolvency resolutions, draw lessons from these resolutions, discuss impediments to efficient resolutions — including cross-country, cross-regulator, and institutional challenges — and recommend how to move forward.
Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484355261
Total Pages : 754 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-02-19 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.
Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475561008
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-30 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Author : Management Association, Information Resources
Publisher : IGI Global
ISBN 13 : 1466647086
Total Pages : 1792 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (666 download)
Download or read book Crisis Management: Concepts, Methodologies, Tools, and Applications written by Management Association, Information Resources and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2013-11-30 with total page 1792 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book explores the latest empirical research and best real-world practices for preventing, weathering, and recovering from disasters such as earthquakes or tsunamis to nuclear disasters and cyber terrorism"--Provided by publisher.
Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589068068
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)
Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2009 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-04-22 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of the World Economic Outlook explores how a dramatic escalation of the financial crisis in September 2008 provoked an unprecedented contraction of activity and trade, despite active policy responses. It presents economic projections for 2009 and 2010, and also looks beyond the current crisis, considering factors that will shape the landscape of the global economy over the medium term, as businesses and households seek to repair the damage. The analysis also outlines the difficult policy challenges presented by the overwhelming imperative to take all steps necessary to restore financial stability and revive the global economy, and the longer-run need for national actions to be mutually supporting. The first of two analytical chapters, "What Kind of Economic Recovery?" explores the shape of the eventual recovery. The second, "The Transmission of Financial Stress from Advanced to Emerging and Developing Economies," focuses on the role of external financial linkages and financial stress in transmitting economic shocks.
Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148437679X
Total Pages : 215 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 2018 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-09 with total page 215 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth have risen in the past six months and the potential for upside surprises has receded. Global growth is projected at 3.7 percent for 2018–19—0.2 percentage point lower for both years than forecast in April. The downward revision reflects surprises that suppressed activity in early 2018 in some major advanced economies, the negative effects of the trade measures implemented or approved between April and mid-September, as well as a weaker outlook for some key emerging market and developing economies arising from country-specific factors, tighter financial conditions, geopolitical tensions, and higher oil import bills. The balance of risks to the global growth forecast has shifted to the downside in a context of elevated policy uncertainty. Several of the downside risks highlighted in the April 2018 World Economic Outlook (WEO)—such as rising trade barriers and a reversal of capital flows to emerging market economies with weaker fundamentals and higher political risk—have become more pronounced or have partially materialized. Meanwhile, the potential for upside surprises has receded, given the tightening of financial conditions in some parts of the world, higher trade costs, slow implementation of reforms recommended in the past, and waning growth momentum.
Author : Guillermo A. Calvo
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262035413
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)
Download or read book Macroeconomics in Times of Liquidity Crises written by Guillermo A. Calvo and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2016-11-04 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An examination of Liquidity Crunch in triggering and characterizing financial crises. Since the subprime mortgage crisis that began in 2007, advanced economies have felt a nagging sense of insecurity. In parallel, the profession has witnessed phenomena that are alien to mainstream macroeconomic models. Financial crises are systemic, occurring simultaneously in different economies. In this book, Guillermo Calvo focuses on liquidity factors as a commonality in financial crises. Specifically, he examines the role of “liquidity crunch” in triggering crises. He also identifies a fundamental (but overlooked) idea in Keynes's General Theory, termed by Calvo the price theory of money, to rationalize the resiliency of the U.S. dollar when other dollar-backed assets suffered a devastating liquidity crunch. Calvo shows that a sharp focus on liquidity reveals some characteristics of liquid assets that are easy to miss otherwise. He argues for liquidity's centrality, presenting what he calls the Liquidity Approach. He shows that simple extensions of standard monetary models help rationalize the implications of the liquidity crunch, and then examines slightly more technical models that highlight liquidity issues. He explores the empirical effects of liquidity crunch by studying systemic sudden stops (of capital inflows), presuming that they are triggered by liquidity crunch-type phenomena.
Author : Hans Degryse
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195340477
Total Pages : 249 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)
Download or read book Microeconometrics of Banking written by Hans Degryse and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2009 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title provides a compendium to recent work in empirical banking. It follows the structure in 'The Microeconomics of Banking' by Xavier Freixas and Jean Charles Rochet in arranging the relevant methodologies, applications and results to achieve a coherent synthesis between available theory and supporting empirics.
Author : Ms.Wenjie Chen
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498305423
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)
Download or read book The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After the 2008 Financial Crisis written by Ms.Wenjie Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-04-26 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffered a banking crisis in 2007–08. Sluggish investment was a key channel through which these losses registered, accompanied by long-lasting capital and total factor productivity shortfalls relative to precrisis trends. Policy choices preceding the crisis and in its immediate aftermath influenced postcrisis variation in output. Underscoring the importance of macroprudential policies and effective supervision, countries with greater financial vulnerabilities in the precrisis years suffered larger output losses after the crisis. Countries with stronger precrisis fiscal positions and those with more flexible exchange rate regimes experienced smaller losses. Unprecedented and exceptional policy actions taken after the crisis helped mitigate countries’ postcrisis output losses.
Author : Mr.Prakash Kannan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451982658
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)
Download or read book Credit Conditions and Recoveries from Recessions Associated with Financial Crises written by Mr.Prakash Kannan and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-03-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoveries from recessions associated with a financial crisis tend to be sluggish. In this paper, we present evidence that stressed credit conditions are an important factor constraining the pace of recovery. In particular, using industry-level data, we find that industries relying more on external finance grow more slowly than other industries during recoveries from recessions associated with financial crises. Additional tests, based on establishment size, on alternative definitions of financial crises, and on corporate-government interest rate spreads, support the findings. Moreover, for subsets of industries where financial frictions are more severe, we find much stronger differential growth effects.
Author : Mr.Julien Allard
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1463902298
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (639 download)
Download or read book Market Phoenixes and Banking Ducks Are Recoveries Faster in Market-Based Financial Systems? written by Mr.Julien Allard and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-09-01 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recoveries vary considerably across countries: our paper compares recoveries in bank-based and market-based economies and finds that market-based economies experience significantly and durably stronger rebounds than the bank-based ones (in particular the more bank-based economies of continental Europe). Further, stronger recoveries also tend to be associated with broader economic flexibility. Our findings suggest that dealing with bank sector vulnerabilities is paramount to support the recovery. In the medium term, structural policies to deepen financial markets are useful, but need to be complemented with structural measures to address rigidities more broadly in the real economy.
Author : Ray Dalio
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1668009293
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (68 download)
Download or read book Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises written by Ray Dalio and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2022-12-06 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Ray Dalio, the legendary investor and #1 New York Times bestselling author of Principles—whose books have sold more than five million copies worldwide—shares his unique template for how debt crises work and principles for dealing with them well. This template allowed his firm, Bridgewater Associates, to anticipate 2008’s events and navigate them well while others struggled badly. As he explained in his #1 New York Times bestseller Principles, Ray Dalio believes that most everything happens over and over again through time so that by studying patterns one can understand the cause-effect relationships behind events and develop principles for dealing with them well. In this three-part research series, he does just that for big debt crises and shares his template in the hopes of reducing the chances of big debt crises happening and helping them be better managed in the future. The template comes in three parts: 1. The Archetypal Big Debt Cycle (which explains the template) 2. Three Detailed Cases (which examines in depth the 2008 financial crisis, the 1930s Great Depression, and the 1920s inflationary depression of Germany’s Weimar Republic) 3. Compendium of 48 Cases (which is a compendium of charts and brief descriptions of the worst debt crises of the last 100 years) Whether you’re an investor, a policy maker, or are simply interested in debt, this unconventional perspective from one of the few people who navigated the crisis successfully, Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises will help you understand the economy and markets in revealing new ways.
