Jumps, Martingales, and Foreign Exchange Futures Prices

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451921640
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Jumps, Martingales, and Foreign Exchange Futures Prices by : Zuliu Hu

Download or read book Jumps, Martingales, and Foreign Exchange Futures Prices written by Zuliu Hu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-02-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A common specification about the behavior of foreign exchange spot and futures prices is that they follow continuous diffusion processes. The empirical regularities uncovered from daily and weekly currency futures data, however, cast doubts on the validity of this model. First, contrary to the suggestions in the literature, changes in foreign currency futures prices are serially correlated; variance ratio tests and other related tests overwhelmingly reject Samuelson’s martingale hypothesis. Second, foreign exchange futures prices do not appear to have continuous sample path; the evidence suggests the presence of a jump component, which may lead to pricing bias when applying the standard Black-Scholes option pricing formula to foreign exchange markets.

Jumps, Martingales, and Foreign Exchange Futures Prices

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Jumps, Martingales, and Foreign Exchange Futures Prices by : Zu-Liu Hu

Download or read book Jumps, Martingales, and Foreign Exchange Futures Prices written by Zu-Liu Hu and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A common specification about the behavior of foreign exchange spot and futures prices is that they follow continuous diffusion processes. The empirical regularities uncovered from daily and weekly currency futures data, however, cast doubts on the validity of this model. First, contrary to the suggestions in the literature, changes in foreign currency futures prices are serially correlated; variance ratio tests and other related tests overwhelmingly reject Samuelson`s martingale hypothesis. Second, foreign exchange futures prices do not appear to have continuous sample path; the evidence suggests the presence of a jump component, which may lead to pricing bias when applying the standard Black-Scholes option pricing formula to foreign exchange markets.

Currency Derivatives

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9780471252672
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (526 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Derivatives by : David F. DeRosa

Download or read book Currency Derivatives written by David F. DeRosa and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1998-09-07 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mit über einer Billion US Dollar Umsatz stellt der Devisenhandel weltweit den größten Markt dar. In diesem Markt sind Währungsderivate zu einem bevorzugten Handelsinstrument geworden, das von Großbanken, Brokerhäusern, Hedge Funds (spekulativ ausgerichteter Fonds, der mit Hilfe von Derivaten seine Gewinne zu optimieren versucht) und Handelsberatern eingesetzt wird. Zwar sind diese Instrumente heute komplexer denn je, aber sie sind ein unverzichtbares Mittel des Risikomanagements im Devisenhandel. Herausgegeben von führenden Devisenhändlern und Analysten, ist dieses Buch Basislektüre für jeden, der sich in diesem Bereich bewegt. Eine Sammlung der 20 besten und meist zitierten Beiträge zu Währungsderivaten, Preistheorie und Anwendungen von Hedging-Methoden (10/98)

IMF Working Paper

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 700 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Working Paper by :

Download or read book IMF Working Paper written by and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 700 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

IMF Staff papers

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451947224
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on the flexibility of the labor market and the evidence regarding the wage and employment effects of trade reform are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation.

Publications of the International Monetary Fund

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Publications of the International Monetary Fund by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Publications of the International Monetary Fund written by International Monetary Fund and published by . This book was released on 1995-10 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3662221322
Total Pages : 521 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (622 download)

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Book Synopsis Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling by : Marek Musiela

Download or read book Martingale Methods in Financial Modelling written by Marek Musiela and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 521 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and self-contained treatment of the theory and practice of option pricing. The role of martingale methods in financial modeling is exposed. The emphasis is on using arbitrage-free models already accepted by the market as well as on building the new ones. Standard calls and puts together with numerous examples of exotic options such as barriers and quantos, for example on stocks, indices, currencies and interest rates are analysed. The importance of choosing a convenient numeraire in price calculations is explained. Mathematical and financial language is used so as to bring mathematicians closer to practical problems of finance and presenting to the industry useful maths tools.

Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1998

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557758606
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (586 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1998 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1998 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-09-24 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A selective index of major research papers prepared by IMF staff in 1991-98.

Jumps and Stochastic Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Jumps and Stochastic Volatility by : David S. Bates

Download or read book Jumps and Stochastic Volatility written by David S. Bates and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An efficient method is developed for pricing American options on combination stochastic volatility/jump-diffusion processes when jump risk and volatility risk are systematic and nondiversifiable, thereby nesting two major option pricing models. The parameters implicit in PHLX-traded Deutschemark options of the stochastic volatility/jump- diffusion model and various submodels are estimated over 1984-91, and are tested for consistency with the $/DM futures process and the implicit volatility sample path. The parameters implicit in options are found to be inconsistent with the time series properties of implicit volatilities, but qualitatively consistent with log- differenced futures prices. No economically significant implicit expectations of exchange rate jumps were found in full-sample estimation, which is consistent with the reduced leptokurtosis of $/DM weekly exchange rate changes over 1984-91 relative to earlier periods.

Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9783540427452
Total Pages : 232 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (274 download)

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Book Synopsis Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options by : Christian Pierdzioch

Download or read book Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options written by Christian Pierdzioch and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2001-12-06 with total page 232 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A flexible instrument to insure against adverse exchange rate movements are options on foreign currency. Often a relatively simple foreign currency option valuation model is used to address issues related to the pricing and hedging of such options. The results of many empirical studies document that real-world foreign currency option premia deviate from those predicted by the baseline model. In the first part of the book, it is shown that a noise trader model can help to explain the observed mispricing of the baseline foreign currency option pricing model. In the second part of the book, it is studied how policymakers can exploit the pricing errors of the baseline model. In particular, it is examined how option pricing theory can be applied to assess the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. To this end, a model is constructed to analyze the effectiveness of the interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period.

Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1999

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557759801
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (598 download)

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Book Synopsis Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1999 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Research Activities of the IMF, January 1991-December 1999 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2000-01-01 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research activity in the IMF emphasizes the links between the organization's policy and operational concerns. The main objectives of research is IMF staff understanding of policy and operational issues relevant to the institution, and to improve the analytical quality of the work prepared for management and the Executive Board and the advice provided to member countries. The scope of research in the IMF is defined by the purposes and functions of the institution. In order to foster innovation and ensure quality control, the IMF makes much of its research available outside the institution and encourages staff to interact with academia and other research organizations through conferences, seminars, and occasional joint research projects. The visiting scholar’s program has also enhanced the quality of research done in the IMF. This program brings in leading members of the economics profession from around the world to assist in the preparation of papers for the Executive Board and to conduct research on IMF-related issues.

IMF Survey

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145193744X
Total Pages : 458 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Survey by : International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Download or read book IMF Survey written by International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 458 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen to podcasts given by top IMF economists on important issues in the global economy. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx

Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000584275
Total Pages : 402 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives by : Yue Kuen Kwok

Download or read book Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives written by Yue Kuen Kwok and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-05-08 with total page 402 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Pricing Models of Volatility Products and Exotic Variance Derivatives summarizes most of the recent research results in pricing models of derivatives on discrete realized variance and VIX. The book begins with the presentation of volatility trading and uses of variance derivatives. It then moves on to discuss the robust replication strategy of variance swaps using portfolio of options, which is one of the major milestones in pricing theory of variance derivatives. The replication procedure provides the theoretical foundation of the construction of VIX. This book provides sound arguments for formulating the pricing models of variance derivatives and establishes formal proofs of various technical results. Illustrative numerical examples are included to show accuracy and effectiveness of analytic and approximation methods. Features Useful for practitioners and quants in the financial industry who need to make choices between various pricing models of variance derivatives Fabulous resource for researchers interested in pricing and hedging issues of variance derivatives and VIX products Can be used as a university textbook in a topic course on pricing variance derivatives

Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9789810226190
Total Pages : 224 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics by : Zhaohui Chen

Download or read book Currency Options and Exchange Rate Economics written by Zhaohui Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1998 with total page 224 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of classical and recent empirical studies of currency options and their implications for issues of exchange rate economics, such as exchange rate risk premium, volatility, market expectations, and credibility of exchange rate regimes. It contains applications on how to extract useful information from option market data for financial forecasting policy purposes. The subjects are discussed in a self-contained, user-friendly format, with introductory chapters on currency option theory and currency option markets. The book can be used as supplementary reading for graduate finance and international economics courses, as training material for central bank and regulatory authorities, or as a reference book for financial analysts.

Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets

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Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 981281230X
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (128 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein?Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.

Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets

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Author :
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814471313
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets by : Fred Espen Benth

Download or read book Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2008-04-14 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.

Point Processes and Jump Diffusions

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1009008447
Total Pages : 324 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Point Processes and Jump Diffusions by : Tomas Björk

Download or read book Point Processes and Jump Diffusions written by Tomas Björk and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-17 with total page 324 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theory of marked point processes on the real line is of great and increasing importance in areas such as insurance mathematics, queuing theory and financial economics. However, the theory is often viewed as technically and conceptually difficult and has proved to be a block for PhD students looking to enter the area. This book gives an intuitive picture of the central concepts as well as the deeper results, while presenting the mathematical theory in a rigorous fashion and discussing applications in filtering theory and financial economics. Consequently, readers will get a deep understanding of the theory and how to use it. A number of exercises of differing levels of difficulty are included, providing opportunities to put new ideas into practice. Graduate students in mathematics, finance and economics will gain a good working knowledge of point-process theory, allowing them to progress to independent research.