Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-inconsistent Preferences

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (255 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-inconsistent Preferences by : Steven R. Grenadier

Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-inconsistent Preferences written by Steven R. Grenadier and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The real options framework has been used extensively to analyze the timing of investment under uncertainty. While standard real options models assume that agents possess a constant rate of time preference, there is substantial evidence that agents are very impatient about choices in the short-term, but are quite patient when choosing between long-term alternatives. We extend the real options framework to model the investment timing decisions of entrepreneurs with such time-inconsistent preferences. Two opposing forces determine investment timing: while evolving uncertainty induces entrepreneurs to defer investment in order to take advantage of the option to wait, their time-inconsistent preferences motivate them to invest earlier in order to avoid the time-inconsistent behavior they will display in the future. We find that the precise trade-off between these two forces depends on such factors as whether entrepreneurs are sophisticated or naive in their expectations regarding their future time-inconsistent behavior, as well as whether the payoff from investment occurs all at once or over time. We extend the model to consider equilibrium investment behavior for an industry comprised of time-inconsistent entrepreneurs. Such an equilibrium involves the dual problem of entrepreneurs playing dynamic games against competitors as well as against their own future selves.

Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences by : Steven R. Grenadier

Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences written by Steven R. Grenadier and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The real options framework has been used extensively to analyze the timing of investment under uncertainty. While standard real options models assume that agents possess a constant rate of time preference, there is substantial evidence that agents are very impatient about choices in the short-term, but are quite patient when choosing between long-term alternatives. We extend the real options framework to model the investment timing decisions of entrepreneurs with such time-inconsistent preferences. Two opposing forces determine investment timing: while evolving uncertainty induces entrepreneurs to defer investment in order to take advantage of the option to wait, their time-inconsistent preferences motivate them to invest earlier in order to avoid the time-inconsistent behavior they will display in the future. We find that the precise trade-off between these two forces depends on such factors as whether entrepreneurs are sophisticated or naive in their expectations regarding their future time-inconsistent behavior, as well as whether the payoff from investment occurs all at once or over time. We extend the model to consider equilibrium investment behavior for an industry comprised of time-inconsistent entrepreneurs. Such an equilibrium involves the dual problem of entrepreneurs playing dynamic games against competitors as well as against their own future selves.

Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences by :

Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty and Time-Inconsistent Preferences written by and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Investment Decisions Under Uncertainty

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 12 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (249 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Decisions Under Uncertainty by : Michael J. Barron

Download or read book Investment Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Michael J. Barron and published by . This book was released on 1971 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Time-Inconsistent Control Theory with Finance Applications

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030818438
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Time-Inconsistent Control Theory with Finance Applications by : Tomas Björk

Download or read book Time-Inconsistent Control Theory with Finance Applications written by Tomas Björk and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-02 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is devoted to problems of stochastic control and stopping that are time inconsistent in the sense that they do not admit a Bellman optimality principle. These problems are cast in a game-theoretic framework, with the focus on subgame-perfect Nash equilibrium strategies. The general theory is illustrated with a number of finance applications. In dynamic choice problems, time inconsistency is the rule rather than the exception. Indeed, as Robert H. Strotz pointed out in his seminal 1955 paper, relaxing the widely used ad hoc assumption of exponential discounting gives rise to time inconsistency. Other famous examples of time inconsistency include mean-variance portfolio choice and prospect theory in a dynamic context. For such models, the very concept of optimality becomes problematic, as the decision maker’s preferences change over time in a temporally inconsistent way. In this book, a time-inconsistent problem is viewed as a non-cooperative game between the agent’s current and future selves, with the objective of finding intrapersonal equilibria in the game-theoretic sense. A range of finance applications are provided, including problems with non-exponential discounting, mean-variance objective, time-inconsistent linear quadratic regulator, probability distortion, and market equilibrium with time-inconsistent preferences. Time-Inconsistent Control Theory with Finance Applications offers the first comprehensive treatment of time-inconsistent control and stopping problems, in both continuous and discrete time, and in the context of finance applications. Intended for researchers and graduate students in the fields of finance and economics, it includes a review of the standard time-consistent results, bibliographical notes, as well as detailed examples showcasing time inconsistency problems. For the reader unacquainted with standard arbitrage theory, an appendix provides a toolbox of material needed for the book.

Consumption-investment Decisions Under Uncertainty and Variable Time Preference

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 254 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (83 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumption-investment Decisions Under Uncertainty and Variable Time Preference by : Alain Emile Nairay

Download or read book Consumption-investment Decisions Under Uncertainty and Variable Time Preference written by Alain Emile Nairay and published by . This book was released on 1981 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540737464
Total Pages : 292 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty by : Svetlana Boyarchenko

Download or read book Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty written by Svetlana Boyarchenko and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-08-26 with total page 292 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems. The monograph will teach the reader to apply the technique to many problems in economics and finance, including new ones. From the technical point of view, the method can be characterized as option pricing via the Wiener-Hopf factorization.

Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030254984
Total Pages : 599 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications by : George Yin

Download or read book Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Applications written by George Yin and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-16 with total page 599 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume collects papers, based on invited talks given at the IMA workshop in Modeling, Stochastic Control, Optimization, and Related Applications, held at the Institute for Mathematics and Its Applications, University of Minnesota, during May and June, 2018. There were four week-long workshops during the conference. They are (1) stochastic control, computation methods, and applications, (2) queueing theory and networked systems, (3) ecological and biological applications, and (4) finance and economics applications. For broader impacts, researchers from different fields covering both theoretically oriented and application intensive areas were invited to participate in the conference. It brought together researchers from multi-disciplinary communities in applied mathematics, applied probability, engineering, biology, ecology, and networked science, to review, and substantially update most recent progress. As an archive, this volume presents some of the highlights of the workshops, and collect papers covering a broad range of topics.

Stochastic Analysis, Filtering, and Stochastic Optimization

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030985199
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (39 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Analysis, Filtering, and Stochastic Optimization by : George Yin

Download or read book Stochastic Analysis, Filtering, and Stochastic Optimization written by George Yin and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-04-22 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume is a collection of research works to honor the late Professor Mark H.A. Davis, whose pioneering work in the areas of Stochastic Processes, Filtering, and Stochastic Optimization spans more than five decades. Invited authors include his dissertation advisor, past collaborators, colleagues, mentees, and graduate students of Professor Davis, as well as scholars who have worked in the above areas. Their contributions may expand upon topics in piecewise deterministic processes, pathwise stochastic calculus, martingale methods in stochastic optimization, filtering, mean-field games, time-inconsistency, as well as impulse, singular, risk-sensitive and robust stochastic control.

The Investment Decision Under Uncertainty

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 112 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (512 download)

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Book Synopsis The Investment Decision Under Uncertainty by : Donald Eugene Farrar

Download or read book The Investment Decision Under Uncertainty written by Donald Eugene Farrar and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444633898
Total Pages : 749 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1 by :

Download or read book Handbook of Behavioral Economics - Foundations and Applications 1 written by and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2018-09-27 with total page 749 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Behavioral Economics: Foundations and Applications presents the concepts and tools of behavioral economics. Its authors are all economists who share a belief that the objective of behavioral economics is to enrich, rather than to destroy or replace, standard economics. They provide authoritative perspectives on the value to economic inquiry of insights gained from psychology. Specific chapters in this first volume cover reference-dependent preferences, asset markets, household finance, corporate finance, public economics, industrial organization, and structural behavioural economics. This Handbook provides authoritative summaries by experts in respective subfields regarding where behavioral economics has been; what it has so far accomplished; and its promise for the future. This taking-stock is just what Behavioral Economics needs at this stage of its so-far successful career. Helps academic and non-academic economists understand recent, rapid changes in theoretical and empirical advances within behavioral economics Designed for economists already convinced of the benefits of behavioral economics and mainstream economists who feel threatened by new developments in behavioral economics Written for those who wish to become quickly acquainted with behavioral economics

Investment under Uncertainty

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400830176
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment under Uncertainty by : Robert K. Dixit

Download or read book Investment under Uncertainty written by Robert K. Dixit and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2012-07-14 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products? Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries? In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made. In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending. This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information. It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment. The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.

Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319535188
Total Pages : 281 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era by : Tsan-Ming Choi

Download or read book Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era written by Tsan-Ming Choi and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-05-04 with total page 281 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on optimal control and systems engineering in the big data era. It examines the scientific innovations in optimization, control and resilience management that can be applied to further success. In both business operations and engineering applications, there are huge amounts of data that can overwhelm computing resources of large-scale systems. This “big data” provides new opportunities to improve decision making and addresses risk for individuals as well in organizations. While utilizing data smartly can enhance decision making, how to use and incorporate data into the decision making framework remains a challenging topic. Ultimately the chapters in this book present new models and frameworks to help overcome this obstacle. Optimization and Control for Systems in the Big-Data Era: Theory and Applications is divided into five parts. Part I offers reviews on optimization and control theories, and Part II examines the optimization and control applications. Part III provides novel insights and new findings in the area of financial optimization analysis. The chapters in Part IV deal with operations analysis, covering flow-shop operations and quick response systems. The book concludes with final remarks and a look to the future of big data related optimization and control problems.

An Asian Direct and Indirect Real Estate Investment Analysis

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Publisher : Partridge Publishing Singapore
ISBN 13 : 1543764096
Total Pages : 858 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (437 download)

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Book Synopsis An Asian Direct and Indirect Real Estate Investment Analysis by : Kim Hin David HO

Download or read book An Asian Direct and Indirect Real Estate Investment Analysis written by Kim Hin David HO and published by Partridge Publishing Singapore. This book was released on 2021-05-04 with total page 858 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is dedicated to real estate scholastic work, in advancing the greater understanding of real estate investment analysis. This is because there has been limited research in bringing out clearly the uncertainty or risk, which is quantifiable uncertainty in real estate market analysis. Even real estate market research, which is carried out as an industry practice among private real estate researches, is no exception. Another reason is that it has been widely accepted that while the financial revolution has substantially changed many sectors of the financial industry, it has made little impact on real estate development and investment practice as Ill as scholastic work. Furthermore, while it is readily acknowledged that despite its huge share in the world Ialth, real estate investment discipline and research is on the whole still a poorly researched subject area. As a result, the industry tends to be dominated by traditional real estate analysts with little understanding of real estate market uncertainty and capital markets. These commentators are widely regarded to spend too much time worrying about local space supply and demand conditions, while totally losing sight of the everchanging real estate market and capital market conditions. The theme of this book is real estate investment analysis of direct and indirect real, which in turn can be appropriately managed under economic theory and the theoretical conceptions of real estate finance, provided the uncertainty is quantifiable. The book deploys case studies involving Singapore and Asia. This Black over White background viii framework enables real estate market analysis to attempt what defines the Asian direct and indirect real estate sectors; what is being measured; how it behaves (in terms of price and non-price factors); how it is structured and how it effectively achieves the objectives of sustainable total returns and manageable real estate market uncertainty. Managing real estate market uncertainty optimally is achieved at the portfolio level through real estate asset allocation. This is important because the real estate portfolio is able to virtually eliminate the unique (i.e. specific) uncertainties among the various Asian real estate sectors; thus retaining within the portfolio only the systemic (i.e. market-wide) uncertainty. Apart from real estate asset allocation, the alternative and modern approach to risk management at the portfolio level, is the value-at-risk (VaR) approach. Another modern and important alternative to coping with uncertainty is real option analysis and pricing that help to better define real estate market uncertainty in extent and time. Real option analysis and pricing also represent uncertainty via a decision tree and the risk-neutral probability conception, in order to comprehend how uncertainty impacts on the value of real estate investment decisions. The pricing of uncertainty is based on the risk-free hedge security conception. These are best examined at the micro level of the investment in a real estate development opportunity on vacant land. Nevertheless, the real estate sectors in Singapore and Asia offer promising prospects since the Asian currency crisis of 1997. It is now timely to take stock and make an assessment of how the sectors would pan out for the future, Ill into at least rest the next century. I are very pleased to present our thinking and research in international real estate with particular emphasis on Asia. The region’s vast potential for real estate is itself a large incentive for international real estate research and education that has inspired me to document the significant work I have done over the years. Black over White background ix I wish all readers a pleasurable reading of this book, and I thank you sincerely for your support without which the publication of this book would be made all the more difficult. Dr HO, Kim Hin / David Honorary Professor (University of Hertfordshire, UK) (International Real Estate & Public Policy) March 2021.

The Optimal Investment Timing with Time-inconsistent Preference Under Learning-curve Technology

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (141 download)

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Book Synopsis The Optimal Investment Timing with Time-inconsistent Preference Under Learning-curve Technology by :

Download or read book The Optimal Investment Timing with Time-inconsistent Preference Under Learning-curve Technology written by and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Oxford Handbook of Venture Capital

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019992094X
Total Pages : 1052 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Venture Capital by : Douglas Cumming

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Venture Capital written by Douglas Cumming and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2012-04-24 with total page 1052 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Venture capital (VC) refers to investments provided to early-stage, innovative, and high growth start-up companies. A common characteristic of all venture capital investments is that investee companies do not have cash flows to pay interest on debt or dividends on equity. Rather, investments are made with a view towards capital gain on exit. The most sought after exit routes are an initial public offering (IPO), where a company lists on a stock exchange for the first time, and an acquisition exit (trade sale), where the company is sold in entirety to another company. However, VCs often exit their investments by secondary sales, wherein the entrepreneur retains his or her share but the VC sells to another company or investor buybacks, where the entrepreneur repurchases the VC`s interest and write-offs (liquidations). The Oxford Handbook of Venture Capital provides a comprehensive picture of all the issues dealing with the structure, governance, and performance of venture capital from a global perspective. The handbook comprises contributions from 55 authors currently based in 12 different countries.

Investment Under Uncertainty and Irreversibility

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (753 download)

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Book Synopsis Investment Under Uncertainty and Irreversibility by : Fanny Saul Demers

Download or read book Investment Under Uncertainty and Irreversibility written by Fanny Saul Demers and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: