International Commodity Market Models

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International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis

Author : O. Güvenen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 940091167X
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis by : O. Güvenen

Download or read book International Commodity Market Models and Policy Analysis written by O. Güvenen and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: o. Guvenen, University of Paris IX-Dauphine The aim of this publication is to present recent developments in international com modity market model building and policy analysis. This book is based mainly on the research presented at the XlIth International Conference organised by the Applied Econometric Association (AEA) which was held at the University of Zaragoza in Spain. This conference would not have been possible with out the cooperation of the Department of Econometrics of the University of Zaragoza and its Chairman A.A. Grasa. I would like to express my thanks to all contributors. I am grateful to J.H.P. Paelinck, J.P. Ancot, A.J. Hughes Hallett and H. Serbat for their constructive contributions and comments concerning the structure of the book. vii INTRODUCTION o. Guvenen The challenge of increasing complexity and global interdependence at the world level necessitates new modelling approaches and policy analysis at the macroeconomic level, and for commodities. The evaluation of economic modelling.follows the evolution of international economic phenomena. In that interdependent context there is a growing need for forecasting and simulation tools in the analysis of international primary com modity markets.

International Commodity Market Models

Author : Orhan Güvenen
Publisher : Chapman & Hall
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 360 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis International Commodity Market Models by : Orhan Güvenen

Download or read book International Commodity Market Models written by Orhan Güvenen and published by Chapman & Hall. This book was released on 1991 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part of a series, this volume comprises a selection of methodology-oriented papers presented at the 25th International Conference of the Applied Econometrics Association on International Commodity Market Modelling which took place at the World Bank, Washington, 1988.

Commodity Prices and Markets

Author : Takatoshi Ito
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386899
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Prices and Markets by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Commodity Prices and Markets written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.

Recent Developments in Commodity Modeling

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Developments in Commodity Modeling by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Recent Developments in Commodity Modeling written by Walter C. Labys and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1988 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A review of the state of the art of Bank commodity modeling for forecasting and analysis of supplies, demand, and prices.

Commodity Modeling and Pricing

Author : Peter V. Schaeffer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 047031723X
Total Pages : 345 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (73 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Modeling and Pricing by : Peter V. Schaeffer

Download or read book Commodity Modeling and Pricing written by Peter V. Schaeffer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-10-06 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 9780709916161
Total Pages : 209 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (161 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 1984 with total page 209 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Primary Commodity Markets and Models

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Gower Publishing Company, Limited
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Primary Commodity Markets and Models by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Primary Commodity Markets and Models written by Walter C. Labys and published by Gower Publishing Company, Limited. This book was released on 1987 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1003846718
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Commodity Models for Forecasting and Policy Analysis written by Walter C. Labys and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2024-02-01 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Originally published in 1984 this book remains as relevant as when it was first published. At that time the oil crises of the 1970s and the growing international debt burden highlighted the extent to which events in primary commodity markets continue to influence the economies of developing and industrialized economies alike. Commodity modelling has become a valuable tool in efforts to predict and understand the behaviour of commodity markets and thereby reduce their fluctuations. This book provides an overview of the nature of the different types of commodity model as well as their diverse applications. In non-technical language the reader is introduced to the underlying modelling methodologies, including their advantages, limitations and commodity specific implications. The book will be of interest to commodity economists, traders and analysts, economic planners and those involved in agricultural, mineral and energy modelling.

Commodity Price Dynamics

Author : Craig Pirrong
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139501976
Total Pages : 238 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (395 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Price Dynamics by : Craig Pirrong

Download or read book Commodity Price Dynamics written by Craig Pirrong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 238 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.

Modeling Multi-commodity Trade: Information Exchange Methods

Author : Mariusz Kaleta
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 364225649X
Total Pages : 196 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Multi-commodity Trade: Information Exchange Methods by : Mariusz Kaleta

Download or read book Modeling Multi-commodity Trade: Information Exchange Methods written by Mariusz Kaleta and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-02-09 with total page 196 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book contains revised versions of papers presented on scientific workshop “Modeling Multi-commodity Trade: Information exchange methods”, which took place in November 2010 atWarsaw University of Technology. It summarizes results of the research work supported so far by scientific grant “Methods and architectures of information interchange for electronic trade on infrastructural markets” (see page xi), and some earlier research work on multi-commodity markets modeling. Though partial results of the research were published earlier, the book gives the most complete view on results of our research in the field of modeling the trade on complex multi-commodity infrastructural markets.

Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351917080
Total Pages : 247 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.

Econometric Modeling of World Commodity Policy

Author : Francis Gerard Adams
Publisher : Free Press
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Econometric Modeling of World Commodity Policy by : Francis Gerard Adams

Download or read book Econometric Modeling of World Commodity Policy written by Francis Gerard Adams and published by Free Press. This book was released on 1978 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Commodity Modeling and Pricing

Author : Peter V. Schaeffer
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470447435
Total Pages : 442 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Modeling and Pricing by : Peter V. Schaeffer

Download or read book Commodity Modeling and Pricing written by Peter V. Schaeffer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-12-03 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.

Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices

Author : B.R. Munier
Publisher : IOS Press
ISBN 13 : 1614990379
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (149 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices by : B.R. Munier

Download or read book Global Uncertainty and the Volatility of Agricultural Commodities Prices written by B.R. Munier and published by IOS Press. This book was released on 2012-04-24 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent global financial crisis exposed the serious limitations of existing economic and financial models. Not only did macro models fail to predict the crisis, they seemed incapable of explaining what was happening to the economy. Policymakers felt abandoned by the conventional tools of the now obsolete Washington consensus and the World Trade Organization’s oversimplified faith in free markets.The traditional models for agricultural commodities have so far failed to take into account the uncertain character of the global agricultural economy and its ferocious consequences in food price volatility, the worst in 300 years, yielding hunger riots throughout the world. This book explores the elements which could help to close this fundamental modeling gap. To what extent should traditional models be questioned regarding agricultural commodities? Are prices on these markets foreseeable? Can their evolution be either predicted or convincingly simulated, and if so, by which methods and models? Presenting contributions from acknowledged experts from several countries and backgrounds – professors at major international universities or researchers within specialized international organizations – the book concentrates on four issues: the role of expectations and capacity of prediction; policy issues related to development strategies and food security; the role of hoarding and speculation and finally, global modeling methods. The book offers a renewed wisdom on some of the core issues in the world economy today and puts forward important innovations in analyzing these core issues, among which the modular modeling design, the Momagri model being a seminal example of it. Reading this book should inspire fruitful revisions in policy-making to improve the welfare of populations worldwide.

Quantitative Models of Commodity Markets

Author : Walter C. Labys
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Quantitative Models of Commodity Markets by : Walter C. Labys

Download or read book Quantitative Models of Commodity Markets written by Walter C. Labys and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products

Author : Andrea Roncoroni
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470661836
Total Pages : 1076 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (76 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products by : Andrea Roncoroni

Download or read book Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products written by Andrea Roncoroni and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-02-19 with total page 1076 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and ProductsOver recent decades, the marketplace has seen an increasing integration, not only among different types of commodity markets such as energy, agricultural, and metals, but also with financial markets. This trend raises important questions about how to identify and analyse opportunities in and manage risks of commodity products. The Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products offers traders, commodity brokers, and other professionals a practical and comprehensive manual that covers market structure and functioning, as well as the practice of trading across a wide range of commodity markets and products. Written in non-technical language, this important resource includes the information needed to begin to master the complexities of and to operate successfully in today’s challenging and fluctuating commodity marketplace. Designed as a practical practitioner-orientated resource, the book includes a detailed overview of key markets – oil, coal, electricity, emissions, weather, industrial metals, freight, agricultural and foreign exchange – and contains a set of tools for analysing, pricing and managing risk for the individual markets. Market features and the main functioning rules of the markets in question are presented, along with the structure of basic financial products and standardised deals. A range of vital topics such as stochastic and econometric modelling, market structure analysis, contract engineering, as well as risk assessment and management are presented and discussed in detail with illustrative examples to commodity markets. The authors showcase how to structure and manage both simple and more complex multi-commodity deals. Addressing the issues of profit-making and risk management, the book reveals how to exploit pay-off profiles and trading strategies on a diversified set of commodity prices. In addition, the book explores how to price energy products and other commodities belonging to markets segmented across specific structural features. The Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products includes a wealth of proven methods and useful models that can be selected and developed in order to make appropriate estimations of the future evolution of prices and appropriate valuations of products. The authors additionally explore market risk issues and what measures of risk should be adopted for the purpose of accurately assessing exposure from multi-commodity portfolios. This vital resource offers the models, tools, strategies and general information commodity brokers and other professionals need to succeed in today’s highly competitive marketplace.

Primary Commodity Prices

Author : L. Alan Winters
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521385503
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (855 download)

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Book Synopsis Primary Commodity Prices by : L. Alan Winters

Download or read book Primary Commodity Prices written by L. Alan Winters and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-03-08 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity markets are of considerable interest and importance to economists, econometricians and dealers. This book reports the proceedings of a major international conference on Primary Commodity Prices: Economic Models and Policy, held in London under the auspices of the Centre for Economic Policy Research in March 1989. A range of papers by leading international authorities cover topics such as expectations formation in econometric commodity market models; price determination in the market for aluminium; the estimation of dynamic disequilibrium models with rational expectations; the prices of perennial crops; modeling the effects of foreign and domestic policies on agricultural prices; exchange rate volatility and commodity prices; long-run influences on petroleum prices; price stabilization versus financing in commodity policy; and a comparison of forward markets and buffer stocks as commodity earnings stabilizers. A key feature of this book is its development of the policy implications of recent theoretical and empirical work in the field of commodity economics. Most papers are accompanied by discussants' comments to draw out their technical and policy implications, and the editors also provide a detailed policy introduction.