Innumeracy In The Wild

Download Innumeracy In The Wild full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Innumeracy In The Wild ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Innumeracy in the Wild

Author : Ellen Peters
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0190861096
Total Pages : 315 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Innumeracy in the Wild by : Ellen Peters

Download or read book Innumeracy in the Wild written by Ellen Peters and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Innumeracy in the Wild explains how numeric ability supports the quality of the decisions we make and, ultimately, the life outcomes we experience. It dissects three ways that people can be good or bad with numbers and how each of these numeric competencies matter to decision making. Furthermore, it delves into how we can use this knowledge to improve decision making. Understanding the roles of numeric ability (often called numeracy) is particularly important today due to widespread innumeracy. In addition, policies in health and financial domains have shifted towards giving consumers and patients more information (which is often numeric). These changes are intended to empower individuals to take charge of their own welfare. The evidence is clear, however, that not everybody is prepared to use this information effectively and that those who are less numerate tend to make worse decisions unless provided adequate support. The book discusses four main points: the complex and systematic psychological mechanisms that underlie objective numeracy's effects in judgment and decision making; the importance of numeracy to experiencing positive life outcomes especially in health and finances; the decision-making support provided by two additional ways of knowing and using numbers; and the methods that exploit existing evidence and enable those who are less comfortable with numbers to use them more effectively and make better choices in our complex, often numeric world"--

Innumeracy in the Wild

Author : Ellen Peters
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190861118
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Innumeracy in the Wild by : Ellen Peters

Download or read book Innumeracy in the Wild written by Ellen Peters and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2020-04-29 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Our grasp of numbers and uncertainty is one of humankind's most distinctive and important traits. It is pivotal to our exceptional ability to control the world around us as we make short-term choices and forecast far into the future. But very smart people can struggle with numbers in ways that pose negative consequences for their decision making. Numeric ability equips individuals with vital tools that allow them to take charge of various aspects of their life. The more numerate enjoy superior health, wealth, and employment outcomes, while the innumerate remain more vulnerable. This book presents the logic, rules, and habits that highly numerate people use in decision making. Innumeracy in the Wild also introduces two additional ways of knowing numbers that complement and compensate for lower numeric ability and explores how numeric abilities develop and where mistakes are made. It offers a state-of-the-art review of the now sizeable body of psychological and applied findings that demonstrate the critical importance of numeracy in our world. With more than two decades of experience in the decision sciences, Ellen Peters demonstrates how intervention can foster adult numeric capacity, propel people to use numeric facts in decision making, and empower those with lower numeracy to reason better.

Innumeracy

Author : John Allen Paulos
Publisher : Hill and Wang
ISBN 13 : 1429934387
Total Pages : 156 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (299 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Innumeracy by : John Allen Paulos

Download or read book Innumeracy written by John Allen Paulos and published by Hill and Wang. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Readers of Innumeracy will be rewarded with scores of astonishing facts, a fistful of powerful ideas, and, most important, a clearer, more quantitative way of looking at their world. Why do even well-educated people understand so little about mathematics? And what are the costs of our innumeracy? John Allen Paulos, in his celebrated bestseller first published in 1988, argues that our inability to deal rationally with very large numbers and the probabilities associated with them results in misinformed governmental policies, confused personal decisions, and an increased susceptibility to pseudoscience of all kinds. Innumeracy lets us know what we're missing, and how we can do something about it. Sprinkling his discussion of numbers and probabilities with quirky stories and anecdotes, Paulos ranges freely over many aspects of modern life, from contested elections to sports stats, from stock scams and newspaper psychics to diet and medical claims, sex discrimination, insurance, lotteries, and drug testing.

More Damned Lies and Statistics

Author : Joel Best
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520930029
Total Pages : 222 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (29 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis More Damned Lies and Statistics by : Joel Best

Download or read book More Damned Lies and Statistics written by Joel Best and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2004-09-06 with total page 222 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this sequel to the acclaimed Damned Lies and Statistics, which the Boston Globe said "deserves a place next to the dictionary on every school, media, and home-office desk," Joel Best continues his straightforward, lively, and humorous account of how statistics are produced, used, and misused by everyone from researchers to journalists. Underlining the importance of critical thinking in all matters numerical, Best illustrates his points with examples of good and bad statistics about such contemporary concerns as school shootings, fatal hospital errors, bullying, teen suicides, deaths at the World Trade Center, college ratings, the risks of divorce, racial profiling, and fatalities caused by falling coconuts. More Damned Lies and Statistics encourages all of us to think in a more sophisticated and skeptical manner about how statistics are used to promote causes, create fear, and advance particular points of view. Best identifies different sorts of numbers that shape how we think about public issues: missing numbers are relevant but overlooked; confusing numbers bewilder when they should inform; scary numbers play to our fears about the present and the future; authoritative numbers demand respect they don’t deserve; magical numbers promise unrealistic, simple solutions to complex problems; and contentious numbers become the focus of data duels and stat wars. The author's use of pertinent, socially important examples documents the life-altering consequences of understanding or misunderstanding statistical information. He demystifies statistical measures by explaining in straightforward prose how decisions are made about what to count and what not to count, what assumptions get made, and which figures are brought to our attention. Best identifies different sorts of numbers that shape how we think about public issues. Entertaining, enlightening, and very timely, this book offers a basis for critical thinking about the numbers we encounter and a reminder that when it comes to the news, people count—in more ways than one.

Demographics Unravelled

Author : Amlan Roy
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119799139
Total Pages : 326 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (197 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Demographics Unravelled by : Amlan Roy

Download or read book Demographics Unravelled written by Amlan Roy and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-12-28 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover what demographics can tell us about the economy, markets, and the future In Demographics Unravelled, renowned Macro-Demographics expert Amlan Roy delivers an insightful and timely exploration of the impact that “people characteristics” have on national economies. Considering factors like gender, race, migrant status, family background, and education, the author delves deeply into a subject that drives market behavior and economic variables, including growth, debt, inflation, employment, and productivity. These have national and international policy implications. In this one-of-a-kind book, you’ll discover: Why the study of demographics is the hidden key to understanding economic growth, asset prices, and capital flows How to use detailed demographics to forecast future scenarios in economics, socioeconomics, geopolitics, and the environment The short-, medium-, and long-term effects of consumer and worker behavior How understanding demographics is key to understanding health, pensions, migration, sustainability and social policies. It is intimately linked to the Sustainable Development Goals of the UN—Gender, Climate, Poverty and Inequality Perfect for institutional investors, insurance professionals, economists, and business leaders, Demographics Unravelled will also earn a place in the libraries of academics and students studying a variety of economic disciplines and seeking a one-stop and in-depth discussion of demographics-driven macroeconomic effects.

The Math of Life and Death

Author : Kit Yates
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1982111887
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (821 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Math of Life and Death by : Kit Yates

Download or read book The Math of Life and Death written by Kit Yates and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2021-04-27 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Few of us really appreciate the full power of math--the extent to which its influence is not only in every office and every home, but also in every courtroom and hospital ward. In this ... book, Kit Yates explores the true stories of life-changing events in which the application--or misapplication--of mathematics has played a critical role: patients crippled by faulty genes and entrepreneurs bankrupted by faulty algorithms; innocent victims of miscarriages of justice; and the unwitting victims of software glitches"--Publisher marketing.

The Janus Point

Author : Julian Barbour
Publisher : Basic Books
ISBN 13 : 0465095496
Total Pages : 372 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (65 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Janus Point by : Julian Barbour

Download or read book The Janus Point written by Julian Barbour and published by Basic Books. This book was released on 2020-12-01 with total page 372 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a universe filled by chaos and disorder, one physicist makes the radical argument that the growth of order drives the passage of time -- and shapes the destiny of the universe. Time is among the universe's greatest mysteries. Why, when most laws of physics allow for it to flow forward and backward, does it only go forward? Physicists have long appealed to the second law of thermodynamics, held to predict the increase of disorder in the universe, to explain this. In The Janus Point, physicist Julian Barbour argues that the second law has been misapplied and that the growth of order determines how we experience time. In his view, the big bang becomes the "Janus point," a moment of minimal order from which time could flow, and order increase, in two directions. The Janus Point has remarkable implications: while most physicists predict that the universe will become mired in disorder, Barbour sees the possibility that order -- the stuff of life -- can grow without bound. A major new work of physics, The Janus Point will transform our understanding of the nature of existence.

Socio-informatics

Author : Volker Wulf
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198733240
Total Pages : 578 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Socio-informatics by : Volker Wulf

Download or read book Socio-informatics written by Volker Wulf and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018 with total page 578 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about how computer systems might be designed to serve their users rather better. It deals with how to study the natural behaviour of users to see how computer systems might best help them, and how one might also involve them in the design of computer systems that will assist them in their everyday practices.

Smart People Should Build Things

Author : Andrew Yang
Publisher : Harper Collins
ISBN 13 : 0062292056
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (622 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Smart People Should Build Things by : Andrew Yang

Download or read book Smart People Should Build Things written by Andrew Yang and published by Harper Collins. This book was released on 2014-02-04 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Andrew Yang, the founder of Venture for America, offers a unique solution to our country’s economic and social problems—our smart people should be building things. Smart People Should Build Things offers a stark picture of the current culture and a revolutionary model that will redirect a generation of ambitious young people to the critical job of innovating and building new businesses. As the Founder and CEO of Venture for America, Andrew Yang places top college graduates in start-ups for two years in emerging U.S. cities to generate job growth and train the next generation of entrepreneurs. He knows firsthand how our current view of education is broken. Many college graduates aspire to finance, consulting, law school, grad school, or medical school out of a vague desire for additional status and progress rather than from a genuine passion or fit. In Smart People Should Build Things, this self-described “recovering lawyer” and entrepreneur weaves together a compelling narrative of success stories (including his own), offering observations about the flow of talent in the United States and explanations of why current trends are leading to economic distress and cultural decline. He also presents recommendations for both policy makers and job seekers to make entrepreneurship more realistic and achievable.

The Volatility Machine

Author : Michael Pettis
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780195143300
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (433 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Volatility Machine by : Michael Pettis

Download or read book The Volatility Machine written by Michael Pettis and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a radically different argument for what has caused, and likely will continue to cause, the collapse of emerging market economies. Pettis combines the insights of economic history, economic theory, and finance theory into a comprehensive model for understanding sovereign liability management and the causes of financial crises. He examines recent financial crises in emerging market countries along with the history of international lending since the 1820s to argue that the process of international lending is driven primarily by external events and not by local politics and/or economic policies. He draws out the corporate finance implications of this approach to argue that most of the current analyses of the recent financial crises suffered by Latin America, Asia, and Russia have largely missed the point. He then develops a sovereign finance model, analogous to corporate finance, to understand the capital structure needs of emerging market countries. Using this model, he finally puts into perspective the recent crises, a new sovereign liability management theory, the implications of the model for sovereign debt restructurings, and the new financial architecture. Bridging the gap between finance specialists and traders, on the one hand, and economists and policy-makers on the other, The Volatility Machine is critical reading for anyone interested in where the international economy is going over the next several years.

Mindware

Author : Richard E. Nisbett
Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 0374112673
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (741 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Mindware by : Richard E. Nisbett

Download or read book Mindware written by Richard E. Nisbett and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2015-08-18 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Scientific and philosophical concepts can change the way we solve problems by helping us to think more effectively about our behavior and our world. Surprisingly, despite their utility, many of these tools remain unknown to most of us. In Mindware, psychologist Richart E. Nisbett presents these ideas in clear and accessible detail. Nisbett has made a career of studying and teaching such powerful problem-solving concepts as the law of large numbers, statistical regression, cost-benefit analysis, sunk costs and opportunity costs, and causation and correlation, probing the best methods for teaching others how to use them effectively in their daily lives. In this book, Nisbett shows how to frame common problems in such a way that these scientific and staitistical principles can be applied to them. The result is a practical guide to the most essential tools of reasoning ever developed--tools that can easily be used to make better professional, business, and personal decisions.--From publisher description.

Big Bang Disruption

Author : Larry Downes
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0698143388
Total Pages : 271 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (981 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Big Bang Disruption by : Larry Downes

Download or read book Big Bang Disruption written by Larry Downes and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2014-01-07 with total page 271 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It used to take years or even decades for disruptive innovations to dethrone dominant products and services. But now any business can be devastated virtually overnight by something better and cheaper. How can executives protect themselves and harness the power of Big Bang Disruption? Just a few years ago, drivers happily spent more than $200 for a GPS unit. But as smartphones exploded in popularity, free navigation apps exceeded the performance of stand-alone devices. Eighteen months after the debut of the navigation apps, leading GPS manufacturers had lost 85 percent of their market value. Consumer electronics and computer makers have long struggled in a world of exponential technology improvements and short product life spans. But until recently, hotels, taxi services, doctors, and energy companies had little to fear from the information revolution. Those days are gone forever. Software-based products are replacing physical goods. And every service provider must compete with cloud-based tools that offer customers a better way to interact. Today, start-ups with minimal experience and no capital can unravel your strategy before you even begin to grasp what’s happening. Never mind the “innovator’s dilemma”—this is the innovator’s disaster. And it’s happening in nearly every industry. Worse, Big Bang Disruptors may not even see you as competition. They don’t share your approach to customer service, and they’re not sizing up your product line to offer better prices. You may simply be collateral damage in their efforts to win completely different markets. The good news is that any business can master the strategy of the start-ups. Larry Downes and Paul Nunes analyze the origins, economics, and anatomy of Big Bang Disruption. They identify four key stages of the new innovation life cycle, helping you spot potential disruptors in time. And they offer twelve rules for defending your markets, launching disruptors of your own, and getting out while there’s still time. Based on extensive research by the Accenture Institute for High Performance and in-depth interviews with entrepreneurs, investors, and executives from more than thirty industries, Big Bang Disruption will arm you with strategies and insights to thrive in this brave new world.

The Survival Nexus

Author : Charles Weiss
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190946261
Total Pages : 385 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (99 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Survival Nexus by : Charles Weiss

Download or read book The Survival Nexus written by Charles Weiss and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2021-10-13 with total page 385 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The impact of science and technology on world affairs is shaped by politics, economics, business, ethics, law, psychology, and culture. This nexus is a neglected aspect of international affairs. It cuts across and unites diverse issues critical to human survival: climate change, global health, nuclear weapons, Internet governance, cybersecurity, jobs, competitiveness, poverty, hunger, and the management of new technologies like autonomous weapons, hypersonic missiles, geoengineering, and gene drivers. Advances in science and technology promise both great benefits and critical threats. Appropriate policies can stimulate and guide scientific and technological advance to create new ways to achieve a healthy environment, sustainable energy systems, equitable growth, full employment, and reduced poverty. But we are allowing technology to push ourselves into uncharted and dangerous territory. Long-standing modes of international cooperation are under increasing pressure, and we are making too little effort to strengthen and update them. Nor are we building the strong global norms that we need to manage new technologies. Underlying all of the global problems discussed in this book are considerations of basic ethics: our willingness to respect scientific facts, to act today to forestall long-run dangers, and to ensure equitable sharing of the benefits, costs, and risks from advances in science and technology"--

The Mismanagement of Talent

Author : Phillip Brown
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 019926953X
Total Pages : 289 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (992 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Mismanagement of Talent by : Phillip Brown

Download or read book The Mismanagement of Talent written by Phillip Brown and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2004 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors lift the veneer off 'employability' to expose serious problems in the way that future workers are trying to manage their employability, how companies understand their human resource strategies and government failure to come to terms with the realities of the knowledge-based economy

The Death of Expertise

Author : Tom Nichols
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190469439
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (94 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Death of Expertise by : Tom Nichols

Download or read book The Death of Expertise written by Tom Nichols and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2017-02-01 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Technology and increasing levels of education have exposed people to more information than ever before. These societal gains, however, have also helped fuel a surge in narcissistic and misguided intellectual egalitarianism that has crippled informed debates on any number of issues. Today, everyone knows everything: with only a quick trip through WebMD or Wikipedia, average citizens believe themselves to be on an equal intellectual footing with doctors and diplomats. All voices, even the most ridiculous, demand to be taken with equal seriousness, and any claim to the contrary is dismissed as undemocratic elitism. Tom Nichols' The Death of Expertise shows how this rejection of experts has occurred: the openness of the internet, the emergence of a customer satisfaction model in higher education, and the transformation of the news industry into a 24-hour entertainment machine, among other reasons. Paradoxically, the increasingly democratic dissemination of information, rather than producing an educated public, has instead created an army of ill-informed and angry citizens who denounce intellectual achievement. When ordinary citizens believe that no one knows more than anyone else, democratic institutions themselves are in danger of falling either to populism or to technocracy or, in the worst case, a combination of both. An update to the 2017breakout hit, the paperback edition of The Death of Expertise provides a new foreword to cover the alarming exacerbation of these trends in the aftermath of Donald Trump's election. Judging from events on the ground since it first published, The Death of Expertise issues a warning about the stability and survival of modern democracy in the Information Age that is even more important today.

The Psychology of Music Performance Anxiety

Author : Dianna Kenny
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199586144
Total Pages : 386 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (995 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis The Psychology of Music Performance Anxiety by : Dianna Kenny

Download or read book The Psychology of Music Performance Anxiety written by Dianna Kenny and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-06-16 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why are some performers exhilarated and energized about performing in public, while others feel a crushing sense of fear and dread, and experience public performance as an overwhelming challenge that must be endured? These are the questions addressed in this book, the first rigorous exposition of this complex phenomenon.

Creative Acts for Curious People

Author : Sarah Stein Greenberg
Publisher : Ten Speed Press
ISBN 13 : 1984858173
Total Pages : 305 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (848 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Creative Acts for Curious People by : Sarah Stein Greenberg

Download or read book Creative Acts for Curious People written by Sarah Stein Greenberg and published by Ten Speed Press. This book was released on 2021-09-21 with total page 305 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: WINNER OF THE PORCHLIGHT BUSINESS BOOK AWARD • “A delightful, compelling book that offers a dazzling array of practical, thoughtful exercises designed to spark creativity, help solve problems, foster connection, and make our lives better.”—Gretchen Rubin, New York Times bestselling author and host of the Happier podcast In an era of ambiguous, messy problems—as well as extraordinary opportunities for positive change—it’s vital to have both an inquisitive mind and the ability to act with intention. Creative Acts for Curious People is filled with ways to build those skills with resilience, care, and confidence. At Stanford University’s world-renowned Hasso Plattner Institute of Design, aka “the d.school,” students and faculty, experts and seekers bring together diverse perspectives to tackle ambitious projects; this book contains the experiences designed to help them do it. A provocative and highly visual companion, it’s a definitive resource for people who aim to draw on their curiosity and creativity in the face of uncertainty. Teeming with ideas about discovery, learning, and leading the way through unknown creative territory, Creative Acts for Curious People includes memorable stories and more than eighty innovative exercises. Curated by executive director Sarah Stein Greenberg, after being honed in the classrooms of the d.school, these exercises originated in some of the world’s most inventive and unconventional minds, including those of d.school and IDEO founder David M. Kelley, ReadyMade magazine founder Grace Hawthorne, innovative choreographer Aleta Hayes, Google chief innovation evangelist Frederik G. Pferdt, and many more. To bring fresh approaches to any challenge–world changing or close to home–you can draw on exercises such as Expert Eyes to hone observation skills, How to Talk to Strangers to foster understanding, and Designing Tools for Teams to build creative leadership. The activities are at once lighthearted, surprising, tough, and impactful–and reveal how the hidden dynamics of design can drive more vibrant ways of making, feeling, exploring, experimenting, and collaborating at work and in life. This book will help you develop the behaviors and deepen the mindsets that can turn your curiosity into ideas, and your ideas into action.