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Inflation Targeting And Exchange Rate Regimes In A Small Open Economy
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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr.Marco Airaudo
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr.Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr.Marco Airaudo
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr.Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in a Small Open Economy by : Hoda Essam Selim
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Regimes in a Small Open Economy written by Hoda Essam Selim and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inflation targeting (IT) was introduced in the early 1990s. IT theory, emerged years later, and allows a response to the exchange rate, only insofar as the latter affects the inflation forecast. However, this conclusion does not seem well-adapted to EMEs who departed from the conventional IT regime by giving a large place to the exchange rate.The objective of this thesis is to revisit the role of the exchange rate under IT in EMEs. In the case of Egypt, the aim is to study whether the exchange rate would constrain IT implementation and why. In particular, the thesis empirically explores nominal exchange misalignments and exchange rate pass-through to inflation as possible rationales for exchange rate management. Additional issues are explored like the scope of sterilized intervention under floating regimes, “fear of floating” and estimating de facto exchange rate regimes.The results show that the Central Bank of Egypt continues to limit exchange changes, despite abandoning the exchange rate target in 2003. This is because nominal exchange rate misalignments tend to be persistent and the exchange rate pass-through to CPI inflation is large and increasing. This should not be an obstacle to IT since exchange rate management would be the means to low inflation. In due time, reforms and credibility gains should lead to a low inflationary environment, improve the workings of the flexible exchange rate regime and be conducive to less erratic exchange rate fluctuations with adverse domestic repercussions.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy by : Mr.Eric Parrado
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy written by Mr.Eric Parrado and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2004-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a simple dynamic neo-Keynesian model that can be used to analyze the impact of monetary policy that considers inflation targeting in a small open economy. This economy is characterized by imperfect competition and short-run price rigidity. The main findings of the paper are that, depending on what shocks affect the economy, the effects of inflation targeting on output and inflation volatility depend crucially on the exchange rate regime and the inflation index being targeted. First, in the presence of real shocks, flexible exchange rates dominate managed exchange rates, while for nominal shocks the reverse is true. Second, domestically generated inflation targeting is preferable to CPI inflation targeting, because the former is more stabilizing not only in relation to both measures of inflation, but also to the output gap and the real exchange rate. Finally, flexible inflation targeting outperforms strict inflation targeting in terms of welfare.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy by : Jordi Galí
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy written by Jordi Galí and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We lay out a small open economy version of the Calvo sticky price model, and show how the equilibrium dynamics can be reduced to a tractable canonical system in domestic inflation and the output gap. We employ this framework to analyze the macroeconomic implications of three alternative monetary policy regimes for the small open economy: domestic inflation targeting, CPI targeting and an exchange rate peg. We show that a key difference among these regimes lies in the relative amount of exchange rate volatility that they entail. We also discuss a special case for which domestic inflation targeting constitutes the optimal policy, and where a simple second order approximation to the utility of the representative consumer can be derived and used to evaluate the welfare losses associated with suboptimal regimes.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy by : Jonas Böhmer
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy written by Jonas Böhmer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-10-02 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bonn (Wirtschaftspolitische Abteilung der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät), course: Geldtheorie- und politik, language: English, abstract: Does inflation reduce welfare? What is worse, a volatile exchange rate or a high inflation rate? And is the central bank able to drive these variables? These questions are the topic of a paper by Jordi Gali and Tommaso Monacelli, published in 2005 and titled “Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy”. As apparent by the title Gali and Monacelli (G+M) analyze the influence of monetary policy on the volatility of the exchange rate, more precisely the nominal exchange rate and the terms of trade. For this purpose they create a small open economy with sticky prices of Calvo-type. Due to its minor size this economy does not influence the world economy. However, depending on the degree of openness this economy is affected by the rest of the world. Having specified this framework, G+M introduce three different monetary regimes and evaluate the resulting exchange rate volatilities . Using a central bank loss function G+M rank these three rules according to the implied welfare which shows a positive correlation between welfare and exchange rate volatility. Thence G+M prefer Taylor rules over an exchange rate pegging. To get a general idea of Gali and Monacelli`s argumentation this expose will start in chapter 2 with an abbreviated overlook over G+M’s model of a small open economy. In the following chapter there will be the introduction of the three central bank rules, necessary to close the model, as well as an analysis of the underlying welfare levels. Since the welfare evaluation is based on some special assumptions, chapter 4 will give an overview of recent literature which discusses possible extensions as well as their implications for G+M’s ranking of implied welfare. Concluding chapter 5 will summarize G+M’s most important results as well as evaluate if the possible extensions render G+M’s analysis, respectively their results, worthless.
Book Synopsis Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes by : Jorge Restrepo
Download or read book Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes written by Jorge Restrepo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-09-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new macrofinance model for small open economies, allowing the investigation of Mauritius's experience with 'inflation targeting lite' as described in Stone (2003). It finds that this monetary policy regime has been associated with a general reduction in inflation, principally through a reduction in inflation expectations. The credibility the Bank of Mauritius has established with its 'inflation targeting lite' regime has allowed it to shift from an emphasis on exchange rate targeting towards inflation targeting. By estimating a model in which the yield curve is modeled explicitly we are able to obtain estimates of inflation expectations.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy by : Alan Sutherland
Download or read book Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy written by Alan Sutherland and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy by : Nicoletta Batini
Download or read book Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy written by Nicoletta Batini and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a optimal rules-based interpretation of the 'three pillars macroeconomic policy framework': a combination of a freely floating exchange rate, an explicit target for inflation, and a mechanism than ensures a stable government debt-GDP ratio around a specified long run. We show how such monetary-fiscal rules need to be adjusted to accommodate specific features of emerging market economies. The model takes the form of two-blocs, a DSGE emerging small open economy interacting with the rest of the world and features, in particular, financial frictions It is calibrated using Chile and US data. Alongside the optimal Ramsey policy benchmark, we model the three pillars as simple monetary and fiscal rules including and both domestic and CPI inflation targeting interest rate rules alongside a 'Structural Surplus Fiscal Rule' as followed recently in Chile. A comparison with a fixed exchange rate regime is made. We find that domestic inflation targeting is superior to partially or implicitly (through a CPI inflation target) or fully attempting to stabilizing the exchange rate. Financial frictions require fiscal policy to play a bigger role and lead to an increase in the costs associated with simple rules as opposed to the fully optimal policy.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies by : Mr.Eduardo Morón
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies written by Mr.Eduardo Morón and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One distinguishable characteristic of emerging market economies is that they are not financially robust. These economies are incapable of smoothing out large external shocks, as sudden capital outflows imply large and abrupt swings in the real exchange rate. Using a small open-economy model, this paper examines alternative monetary policy rules for economies with different degrees of liability dollarization. The paper answers the question of how efficient it is to use inflation targeting under high liability dollarization. Our findings suggest that it might be optimal to follow a nonlinear policy rule that defends the real exchange rate in a financially vulnerable economy.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy by : Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Download or read book Exchange Rate Effects and Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy written by Reserve Bank of New Zealand and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies by : Anna Nordstrom
Download or read book The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies written by Anna Nordstrom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-24 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.
Book Synopsis Balance of Payments Crises Under Inflation Targeting by : Michael Kumhof
Download or read book Balance of Payments Crises Under Inflation Targeting written by Michael Kumhof and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-04 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes a small open economy model under inflation targeting. It shows why such a monetary regime is vulnerable to speculative attacks that take place over a short period rather than instantaneously. The speed at which the regime collapses, and the extent of reserve losses, are increasing in the central bank's explicit or implicit commitment to intervene in the foreign exchange market. Attacks are therefore ranked, from most to least severe, as follows: Exchange rate targeting, CPI inflation targeting, domestic nontradables inflation targeting, and money targeting. Under inflation targeting the size of the attack is increasing in the tradables consumption share.
Book Synopsis Current Account and Exchange Rate Behaviour Under Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy by : Francisco Nadal-De Simone
Download or read book Current Account and Exchange Rate Behaviour Under Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy written by Francisco Nadal-De Simone and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Implications of the Transition to Inflation Targeting and Capital Account Liberalization in Romania by : Nikolay Gueorguiev
Download or read book Macroeconomic Implications of the Transition to Inflation Targeting and Capital Account Liberalization in Romania written by Nikolay Gueorguiev and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-12-01 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the near future, Romania will introduce inflation targeting and fully liberalize its capital account. This paper aims to analyze, in a dynamic general-equilibrium model with sticky prices and monopolistic competition, how these two profound changes will affect the ability of monetary policy to pursue its objective of price stability. In particular, the resilience of the current and future monetary policy regimes to shocks is evaluated against two welfare criteria: a standard central bank loss function containing the deviations of inflation, output, and the real exchange rate from their equilibrium values, and the compensating variation measure of Lucas (1987).
Book Synopsis Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes by : Carlos Garcia
Download or read book Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes written by Carlos Garcia and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank''s policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.
