Individual Differences And Analyst Forecast Accuracy

Download Individual Differences And Analyst Forecast Accuracy full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online Individual Differences And Analyst Forecast Accuracy ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Individual Differences and Analyst Forecast Accuracy

Author : Wenjuan Xie
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Individual Differences and Analyst Forecast Accuracy by : Wenjuan Xie

Download or read book Individual Differences and Analyst Forecast Accuracy written by Wenjuan Xie and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines the impact of unidentifiable individual differences among financial analysts on the cross section of their earnings forecast accuracy. Various psychological factors, such as decision style and personality traits, are documented to impact individuals' decision making. However, analysts' individual differences in such psychological factors are not captured by identifiable personal attributes employed in finance literature, such as years of experience. In this paper, we employ the concept of analyst fixed effects to control for unidentifiable individual differences. Examining the factors related to forecast accuracy, we document that controlling for these unidentifiable analyst-specific effects improves model fitting, and changes the explanatory power of some of the traditionally used independent variables in the literature. We confirm that the analyst's firm-specific experience, the intensity of following that a firm receives, and the forecast horizon are all significantly and consistently related to forecast accuracy. However, we find that analyst general experience and coverage complexity lose explanatory power when individual differences are controlled for. Furthermore, we document that analyst general experience is not monotonically associated with better accuracy, and that analysts only benefit from increased general experience during the early to middle stages of their career. Finally, we observe that when analysts' individual differences are controlled for, the boldness of a forecast revision is no longer a significant determinant of the improvement of accuracy. This is one of the first studies to highlight the necessity of recognizing individual differences among financial analysts. We argue that this treatment advances the literature of analyst forecast performance, and closely relates financial agents' decision making to psychology theories of decision style and personality.

Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts

Author : Patricia C O'Brien
Publisher : Legare Street Press
ISBN 13 : 9781020791277
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (912 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts by : Patricia C O'Brien

Download or read book Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts written by Patricia C O'Brien and published by Legare Street Press. This book was released on 2023-07-18 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a detailed analysis of the accuracy of forecasts made by individual analysts across nine different industries. It explores the factors that contribute to forecast accuracy and provides insights into how these factors can be used to improve forecasting performance. The author, Patricia C. O'Brien, is a well-respected economist and her research has significant implications for businesses and investors who rely on forecasts in their decision-making processes. This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the "public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

FORECAST ACCURACY OF INDIVIDUAL ANALYSTS IN NINE INDUSTRIES

Author : PATRICIA C. O'BRIEN
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.L/5 ( download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis FORECAST ACCURACY OF INDIVIDUAL ANALYSTS IN NINE INDUSTRIES by : PATRICIA C. O'BRIEN

Download or read book FORECAST ACCURACY OF INDIVIDUAL ANALYSTS IN NINE INDUSTRIES written by PATRICIA C. O'BRIEN and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts

Author : Patricia C. O'Brien
Publisher : Forgotten Books
ISBN 13 : 9780332528458
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (284 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts by : Patricia C. O'Brien

Download or read book Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts written by Patricia C. O'Brien and published by Forgotten Books. This book was released on 2017-12-07 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Excerpt from Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts: A Nine-Industry Study Current databases of analysts' forecasts of corporate earnings include predictions from thousands of individuals employed at hundreds of financial service institutions. The purpose of this paper is to analyze whether it is possible to distinguish forecasters with superior ability on the basis of ex Egg; forecast accuracy from panel data. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.

New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Author : Tanja Klettke
Publisher : Springer Science & Business
ISBN 13 : 3658056347
Total Pages : 120 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (58 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy by : Tanja Klettke

Download or read book New Determinants of Analysts’ Earnings Forecast Accuracy written by Tanja Klettke and published by Springer Science & Business. This book was released on 2014-04-28 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial analysts provide information in their research reports and thereby help forming expectations of a firm’s future business performance. Thus, it is essential to recognize analysts who provide the most precise forecasts and the accounting literature identifies characteristics that help finding the most accurate analysts. Tanja Klettke detects new relationships and identifies two new determinants of earnings forecast accuracy. These new determinants are an analyst’s “general forecast effort” and the “number of supplementary forecasts”. Within two comprehensive empirical investigations she proves these measures’ power to explain accuracy differences. Tanja Klettke’s research helps investors and researchers to identify more accurate earnings forecasts.

Individual Analyst Forecast Accuracy

Author : James Claus
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (521 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Individual Analyst Forecast Accuracy by : James Claus

Download or read book Individual Analyst Forecast Accuracy written by James Claus and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts

Author : Patricia C. O'Brien
Publisher : Nabu Press
ISBN 13 : 9781293452356
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (523 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts by : Patricia C. O'Brien

Download or read book Forecast Accuracy of Individual Analysts written by Patricia C. O'Brien and published by Nabu Press. This book was released on 2014-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is a reproduction of a book published before 1923. This book may have occasional imperfections such as missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. that were either part of the original artifact, or were introduced by the scanning process. We believe this work is culturally important, and despite the imperfections, have elected to bring it back into print as part of our continuing commitment to the preservation of printed works worldwide. We appreciate your understanding of the imperfections in the preservation process, and hope you enjoy this valuable book.

Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Author : Sebastian Gell
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3834939374
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (349 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy by : Sebastian Gell

Download or read book Determinants of Earnings Forecast Error, Earnings Forecast Revision and Earnings Forecast Accuracy written by Sebastian Gell and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-03-26 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Earnings forecasts are ubiquitous in today’s financial markets. They are essential indicators of future firm performance and a starting point for firm valuation. Extremely inaccurate and overoptimistic forecasts during the most recent financial crisis have raised serious doubts regarding the reliability of such forecasts. This thesis therefore investigates new determinants of forecast errors and accuracy. In addition, new determinants of forecast revisions are examined. More specifically, the thesis answers the following questions: 1) How do analyst incentives lead to forecast errors? 2) How do changes in analyst incentives lead to forecast revisions?, and 3) What factors drive differences in forecast accuracy?

Three Essays on Analyst Earnings Forecast

Author : Wenjuan Xie
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 138 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (891 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Three Essays on Analyst Earnings Forecast by : Wenjuan Xie

Download or read book Three Essays on Analyst Earnings Forecast written by Wenjuan Xie and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 138 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

A Re-Examination of Financial Analysts' Differential Earnings Forecast Accuracy

Author : Praveen Sinha
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis A Re-Examination of Financial Analysts' Differential Earnings Forecast Accuracy by : Praveen Sinha

Download or read book A Re-Examination of Financial Analysts' Differential Earnings Forecast Accuracy written by Praveen Sinha and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This research re-examines whether there are differences in the forecast accuracy of financial analysts by comparing their annual earnings per share forecasts. The comparison of analyst forecast accuracy is made on both an ex post (within sample) and an ex ante (out of sample) basis. Early examinations of this issue by O'Brien (1990), Richards (1976), Brown and Rozeff (1980), O'Brien (1987), Coggin and Hunter (1989), Butler and Lang (1991) were ex post and suggest the absence of analysts who can provide relatively more accurate forecasts over multiple years. Contrary to the results of prior research, and consistent with the belief in the popular press, we document that differences do exist in financial analysts' ex post forecast accuracy. We show that the previous studies failed to find differences in forecast accuracy due to inadequate (or no) control for differences in the recency of forecasts issued by the analysts. It has been well documented in the literature that forecast recency is positively related to forecast accuracy (Crichfield, et al, 1978; O'Brien, 1988; Brown, 1991). Thus, failure to control for forecast recency may reduce the power of tests, making it difficult to reject the null hypothesis of no differences in forecast accuracy even if they do exist.

Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Analysts' Forecasts

Author : Jahidur Md Rahman
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Analysts' Forecasts by : Jahidur Md Rahman

Download or read book Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Analysts' Forecasts written by Jahidur Md Rahman and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study conducts a comprehensive review of the literature published during 1996- 2017 to identify the factors that affect the accuracy of financial analysts' forecasts. We organize our review around three main groups, namely, (a) drivers of analyst forecast accuracy, (b) quality financial reporting, and (c) accounting standards. Among the several factors found, some factors (experience of the analyst, earnings quality, audit quality, IFRS adoption, and annual report readability) have a positive relationship with the accuracy of analysts' forecasts while others (politically connected firms, firms audited by Non-Big 4, and international GAAP differences) have a negative relationship. Our findings contribute to future research by examining the factors affecting analyst forecast accuracy from different perspectives, which will prove to be useful for academicians, regulators, investors, and financial analysts.

Do Analyst Teams Issue Higher Quality Forecasts?

Author : Kathryn Brightbill
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 73 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (113 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Do Analyst Teams Issue Higher Quality Forecasts? by : Kathryn Brightbill

Download or read book Do Analyst Teams Issue Higher Quality Forecasts? written by Kathryn Brightbill and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 73 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite significant regulatory and academic interest in sell-side analyst forecasts and an extensive literature demonstrating the impact of teamwork in general, we lack evidence of the effect of teamwork on analyst forecasts. In 2005 analyst teams issued nearly three-fourths of analyst reports for a sample of 89 large, heavily followed companies. Over a twelve-year period 86 of those companies had more reports issued by analyst teams than by individual analysts. Using a hand-collected sample of more than 17,000 analyst reports, I document that forecasts issued by analyst teams systematically differ from the forecasts of individual analysts in ways predicted by team literature. I find that prior to the year 2000 analyst teams issue forecasts that are less accurate and more biased than forecasts issued by individual analysts. Beginning in 2000, the relative benefit of analyst teamwork strengthens, consistent with changes due to Regulation Fair Disclosure, brokerage closures, and other regulatory interventions. In addition I find that, within company-year, team-issued forecasts are less pessimistically biased but not less optimistically biased than the forecasts issued by individual analysts. Lastly, the benefits of teamwork vary with the size of the team and over the life of the team, following an inverted u-shaped pattern. My results inform regulators as they consider factors that impact analyst forecast accuracy and bias.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Author : Rob J Hyndman
Publisher : OTexts
ISBN 13 : 0987507117
Total Pages : 380 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (875 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman

Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

How to Measure Analyst Forecast Effort

Author : Tanja Klettke
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis How to Measure Analyst Forecast Effort by : Tanja Klettke

Download or read book How to Measure Analyst Forecast Effort written by Tanja Klettke and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We introduce a new way to measure the forecast effort that analysts devote to their earnings forecasts by measuring the analyst's general effort for all covered firms. While the commonly applied effort measure is based on analyst behavior for one firm, our measure considers analyst behavior for all covered firms. Our general effort measure captures additional information about analyst effort and thus can identify accurate forecasts. We emphasize the importance of investigating analyst behavior in a larger context and argue that analysts who generally devote substantial forecast effort are also likely to devote substantial effort to a specific firm, even if this effort might not be captured by a firm-specific measure. Empirical results reveal that analysts who devote higher general forecast effort issue more accurate forecasts. Additional investigations show that analysts' career prospects improve with higher general forecast effort. Our measure improves on existing methods as it has higher explanatory power regarding differences in forecast accuracy than the commonly applied effort measure. Additionally, it can address research questions that cannot be examined with a firm-specific measure. It provides a simple but comprehensive way to identify accurate analysts.

Information Systems Architecture and Technology: Proceedings of 39th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology – ISAT 2018

Download Information Systems Architecture and Technology: Proceedings of 39th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology – ISAT 2018 PDF Online Free

Author : Zofia Wilimowska
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319999931
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (199 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Information Systems Architecture and Technology: Proceedings of 39th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology – ISAT 2018 by : Zofia Wilimowska

Download or read book Information Systems Architecture and Technology: Proceedings of 39th International Conference on Information Systems Architecture and Technology – ISAT 2018 written by Zofia Wilimowska and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-27 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This three-volume set of books highlights major advances in the development of concepts and techniques in the area of new technologies and architectures of contemporary information systems. Further, it helps readers solve specific research and analytical problems and glean useful knowledge and business value from the data. Each chapter provides an analysis of a specific technical problem, followed by a numerical analysis, simulation and implementation of the solution to the real-life problem. Managing an organisation, especially in today’s rapidly changing circumstances, is a very complex process. Increased competition in the marketplace, especially as a result of the massive and successful entry of foreign businesses into domestic markets, changes in consumer behaviour, and broader access to new technologies and information, calls for organisational restructuring and the introduction and modification of management methods using the latest advances in science. This situation has prompted many decision-making bodies to introduce computer modelling of organisation management systems. The three books present the peer-reviewed proceedings of the 39th International Conference “Information Systems Architecture and Technology” (ISAT), held on September 16–18, 2018 in Nysa, Poland. The conference was organised by the Computer Science and Management Systems Departments, Faculty of Computer Science and Management, Wroclaw University of Technology and Sciences and University of Applied Sciences in Nysa, Poland. The papers have been grouped into three major parts: Part I—discusses topics including but not limited to Artificial Intelligence Methods, Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, Big Data, Knowledge Based Management, Internet of Things, Cloud Computing and High Performance Computing, Distributed Computer Systems, Content Delivery Networks, and Service Oriented Computing. Part II—addresses topics including but not limited to System Modelling for Control, Recognition and Decision Support, Mathematical Modelling in Computer System Design, Service Oriented Systems and Cloud Computing, and Complex Process Modelling. Part III—focuses on topics including but not limited to Knowledge Based Management, Modelling of Financial and Investment Decisions, Modelling of Managerial Decisions, Production Systems Management and Maintenance, Risk Management, Small Business Management, and Theories and Models of Innovation.

Accounting for Income Taxes

Author : John R. Graham
Publisher : Now Pub
ISBN 13 : 9781601986122
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (861 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Accounting for Income Taxes by : John R. Graham

Download or read book Accounting for Income Taxes written by John R. Graham and published by Now Pub. This book was released on 2012-11-09 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accounting for Income Taxes is the most comprehensive review of AFIT research. It is designed both to introduce new scholars to this field and to encourage active researchers to expand frontiers related to accounting for income taxes. Accounting for Income Taxes includes both a primer about the rules governing AFIT (Sections 3-4) and a review of the scholarly studies in the field (Sections 5-8). The primer uses accessible examples and clear language to express essential AFIT rules and institutional features. Section 3 reviews the basic rules and institutional details governing AFIT. Section 4 discusses ways that researchers, policymakers, and other interested parties can use the tax information in financial statements to better approximate information in the tax return. The second half of the monograph reviews the extant scholarly studies by splitting the research literature into four topics: earnings management, the association between book-tax differences and earnings characteristics, the equity market pricing of information in the tax accounts, and book-tax conformity. Section 5 focuses on the use of the tax accounts to manage earnings through the valuation allowance, the income tax contingency, and permanently reinvested foreign earnings. Section 6 discusses the association between book-tax differences and earnings characteristics, namely earnings growth and earnings persistence. Section 7 explores how tax information is reflected in share prices. Section 8 reviews the increased alignment of accounting for book purposes and tax purposes. The remainder of the paper focuses on topics of general interest in the economics and econometric literatures. Section 9 highlights some issues of general importance including a theoretical framework to interpret and guide empirical AFIT studies, the disaggregated components of book-tax differences and research opportunities as the U.S. moves toward International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Section 10 discusses econometric weaknesses that are common in AFIT research and proposes ways to mitigate their deleterious effects.

Company Valuation and Information in Analyst Forecasts

Author : Daniel Kreutzmann
Publisher : Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
ISBN 13 : 3832525297
Total Pages : 141 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (325 download)

DOWNLOAD NOW!

Book Synopsis Company Valuation and Information in Analyst Forecasts by : Daniel Kreutzmann

Download or read book Company Valuation and Information in Analyst Forecasts written by Daniel Kreutzmann and published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH. This book was released on 2010 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis focuses on the three primitive value drivers of each company valuation model that is based on fundamental analysis: the discount rate, the expected future payoffs during the explicit forecasting period, and the terminal value at the end of the explicit forecasting period. While the first factor is analyzed theoretically by incorporating the government into the classical valuation framework, this thesis studies the other two factors by investigating forecasts made by professional investors, i.e. financial analysts. In the first part we show that the government's and the shareholders discount rate usually differ and analyze how the government's and shareholders different objectives lead to conflicts in the context of capital budgeting. The empirical part of this thesis shows that macroeconomic information is frequently used by financial analysts when updating their earnings expecations and that target price forecastsmade by financial analysts can be used to predict abnormal returns.