Group Assignment and Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation of Short-term Traffic Counts Using Gaussian Mixture Modeling and Neural Network Models

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 119 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (973 download)

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Book Synopsis Group Assignment and Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation of Short-term Traffic Counts Using Gaussian Mixture Modeling and Neural Network Models by : Sunil Kumar Madanu

Download or read book Group Assignment and Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation of Short-term Traffic Counts Using Gaussian Mixture Modeling and Neural Network Models written by Sunil Kumar Madanu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The grouping of similar traffic patterns and cluster assignment process represent the most critical steps in AADT estimation from short-term traffic counts. Incorrect grouping and assignment often become a significant source of AADT estimation errors. For instance, grouping a commuter traffic trend pattern into a recreational traffic trend may produce an erroneous AADT value. The traditional knowledge-based methods, often aided with visual interpretation, introduce subjective bias while grouping traffic patterns. In addition, the grouping requires personnel resources to process large amounts of data and remains inefficient with unapparent traffic patterns. The functional class grouping, a traditional method, also produces larger errors. Under limited resources and constraints, better methods and techniques may group sites with similar characteristics. The study uses Gaussian Mixture Modeling (GMM) for clustering and an enhanced neural network model (OWO-Newton or ONN) for classification of continuous count data. The researchers compare this modified approach with volume factor grouping and a traditional approach. The study uses Automatic Traffic Recorder (ATR) data from the Oregon Department of Transportation (ODOT) as a comparative case study. Overall, the proposed two-step approach, GMM-ONN, exhibits improved performance. The study observes an error difference of 6% to 27%, which is statistically significant at 5 percent level, between the GMM-ONN and other methods. The GMM-ONN method produces less than five percent error for urban interstates and less than ten percent for urban arterials and freeways. The study method meets the FHWA recommended AADT forecasting error of less than ten percent for commuter patterns. The GMM-ONN also produces less error when compared to studies based on the national average and Minnesota and Florida DOT count data. The lower AADT estimation errors and its distribution show an effective and reliable approach for AADT estimation using short-term traffic counts. Moreover, the lower standard deviation of errors shows the satisfactory accuracy of the AADT estimates. The study recommends the improved two-step process due to its accuracy, economical approach by using daily patterns, and ability to meet the agency's need for a low-cost traffic counting program. The GMM-ONN method not only minimizes judgment errors but also supplements the FHWA guidelines on recommending clustering techniques for grouping the traffic patterns.

Estimation Theory Approach to Monitoring and Updating Average Daily Traffic

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 104 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation Theory Approach to Monitoring and Updating Average Daily Traffic by : Gary A. Davis

Download or read book Estimation Theory Approach to Monitoring and Updating Average Daily Traffic written by Gary A. Davis and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 104 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report describes the application of Bayesian statistical methods to several related problems arising in the estimation of mean daily traffic for roadway locations lacking permanent automatic traffic recorders. A lognormal regression model is fit to daily count data obtained from automatic traffic recorders, and this model is then used to develop (1) a heuristic algorithm for developing traffic sampling plans which minimize the likelihood of assigning a site to an incorrect factor group, (2) an empirical Bayes method for assigning a short-count site to a factor group using the information in a sample of traffic counts, and (3) an empirical Bayes estimator of mean daily traffic which allows for uncertainty concerning the appropriate factors to be used in adjusting a sample count.

Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (127 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods by : Fei Xu

Download or read book Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods written by Fei Xu and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods [microform]

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Publisher : National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada
ISBN 13 : 9780612358607
Total Pages : 160 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (586 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods [microform] by : Fei Xu

Download or read book Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods [microform] written by Fei Xu and published by National Library of Canada = Bibliothèque nationale du Canada. This book was released on 1998 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Emission estimation based on traffic models and measurements

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Publisher : Linköping University Electronic Press
ISBN 13 : 9176850927
Total Pages : 131 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (768 download)

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Book Synopsis Emission estimation based on traffic models and measurements by : Nikolaos Tsanakas

Download or read book Emission estimation based on traffic models and measurements written by Nikolaos Tsanakas and published by Linköping University Electronic Press. This book was released on 2019-04-24 with total page 131 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traffic congestion increases travel times, but also results in higher energy usage and vehicular emissions. To evaluate the impact of traffic emissions on environment and human health, the accurate estimation of their rates and location is required. Traffic emission models can be used for estimating emissions, providing emission factors in grams per vehicle and kilometre. Emission factors are defined for specific traffic situations, and traffic data is necessary in order to determine these traffic situations along a traffic network. The required traffic data, which consists of average speed and flow, can be obtained either from traffic models or sensor measurements. In large urban areas, the collection of cross-sectional data from stationary sensors is a costefficient method of deriving traffic data for emission modelling. However, the traditional approaches of extrapolating this data in time and space may not accurately capture the variations of the traffic variables when congestion is high, affecting the emission estimation. Static transportation planning models, commonly used for the evaluation of infrastructure investments and policy changes, constitute an alternative efficient method of estimating the traffic data. Nevertheless, their static nature may result in an inaccurate estimation of dynamic traffic variables, such as the location of congestion, having a direct impact on emission estimation. Congestion is strongly correlated with increased emission rates, and since emissions have location specific effects, the location of congestion becomes a crucial aspect. Therefore, the derivation of traffic data for emission modelling usually relies on the simplified, traditional approaches. The aim of this thesis is to identify, quantify and finally reduce the potential errors that these traditional approaches introduce in an emission estimation analysis. According to our main findings, traditional approaches may be sufficient for analysing pollutants with global effects such as CO2, or for large-scale emission modelling applications such as emission inventories. However, for more temporally and spatially sensitive applications, such as dispersion and exposure modelling, a more detailed approach is needed. In case of cross-sectional measurements, we suggest and evaluate the use of a more detailed, but computationally more expensive, data extrapolation approach. Additionally, considering the inabilities of static models, we propose and evaluate the post-processing of their results, by applying quasi-dynamic network loading.

Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (654 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods by :

Download or read book Estimation of Annual Average Daily Traffic Using the Traditional and Neural Network Methods written by and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Revised Procedures for Factoring Short Traffic Counts to Average Annual Daily Traffic

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Revised Procedures for Factoring Short Traffic Counts to Average Annual Daily Traffic by : John H. Lemmerman

Download or read book Revised Procedures for Factoring Short Traffic Counts to Average Annual Daily Traffic written by John H. Lemmerman and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Assessing Roadway Traffic Count Duration and Frequency Impacts on Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Roadway Traffic Count Duration and Frequency Impacts on Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation by : Robert Krile

Download or read book Assessing Roadway Traffic Count Duration and Frequency Impacts on Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation written by Robert Krile and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The FHWA Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) volume data were utilized from 418 sites/years in the United States where data were available for all 24 hours of every day of the year. These sites collectively represented a wide range of AADT volumes, 9 functional classes, 35 states, and years 2000 through 2012. The TMAS hourly data were converted to daily ratios of volume to the overall AADT for the site. These daily volume ratios were fit to statistical analysis of variance models to estimate the mean changes in volume for national holidays and the days surrounding them. Further subsets of sites were utilized to model the traffic impacts of roadways near recreational areas and associated with special events. The report includes the analysis methodology and summary statistics findings.

Streamlining the Collection and Processing of Traffic Count Statistics

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (555 download)

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Book Synopsis Streamlining the Collection and Processing of Traffic Count Statistics by : David T. Hartgen

Download or read book Streamlining the Collection and Processing of Traffic Count Statistics written by David T. Hartgen and published by . This book was released on 1982 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Pattern Matching and Corresponding Bayesian Approaches for Improving Assignment and AADT Estimation Accuracy of Short-term Traffic Counts

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Pattern Matching and Corresponding Bayesian Approaches for Improving Assignment and AADT Estimation Accuracy of Short-term Traffic Counts by : Mohammad Ehsan Bagheri Garekani

Download or read book Pattern Matching and Corresponding Bayesian Approaches for Improving Assignment and AADT Estimation Accuracy of Short-term Traffic Counts written by Mohammad Ehsan Bagheri Garekani and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Estimating Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) from Short-duration Counts in Towns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Estimating Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) from Short-duration Counts in Towns by : Karalee Klassen-Townsend

Download or read book Estimating Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) from Short-duration Counts in Towns written by Karalee Klassen-Townsend and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traffic volume data, commonly summarized as annual average daily traffic (AADT), is a fundamental input for transportation engineering decisions. Current traffic monitoring guidance provides insufficient detail on the development of AADT estimates from short-duration counts conducted within towns. This is due to limited knowledge of the attributes that characterize a town count and uncertainty about the temporal factors required to estimate AADT from short-duration town count data. This research addressed these gaps by using a decision algorithm and GIS analysis to identify which short-duration counts should be considered town counts and by developing and validating a methodology to estimate AADT from short-duration town count data. The analysis demonstrated that temporal factors generated from continuous counts conducted near towns could be reliably applied to short-duration town count data. This finding enables traffic monitoring authorities to leverage existing data and methods to improve the representativeness of traffic volume estimates in towns.

Assessing Roadway Traffic Count Duration and Frequency Impacts on Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Roadway Traffic Count Duration and Frequency Impacts on Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation by : Robert Krile

Download or read book Assessing Roadway Traffic Count Duration and Frequency Impacts on Annual Average Daily Traffic Estimation written by Robert Krile and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Numerous factoring and baseline values are required to ensure annual average daily traffic (AADT) data are collected and reported correctly. The variability of numerous methods currently used are explored so that those in the traffic community will clearly know the limitations and the extent of each method used and how to properly utilize methods for their agency to obtain the necessary results. Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) data from 14 years consisting of 24 hours of the day and 7 days of the week volume data from over 6000 continuous permanent volume traffic data sites in the United States comprised the reference dataset for this research. Randomly selected (with some constraints) sites each include one year of 100% complete daily reporting and the set of sites represent 12 functional classes, years 2000 through 2013, 43 states and DC, and various volume ranges. Four AADT estimation methods were examined for accuracy when data from various time periods were removed. This report is a final task report that summarizes identified inaccuracies with current methods that are used for AADT estimation, and includes the analysis methodology and summary statistics findings.

Mathematical and Statistical Aspects of Traffic

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (359 download)

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Book Synopsis Mathematical and Statistical Aspects of Traffic by :

Download or read book Mathematical and Statistical Aspects of Traffic written by and published by . This book was released on 1967 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Vehicle Traffic Estimation Using Deep Learning

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (136 download)

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Book Synopsis Vehicle Traffic Estimation Using Deep Learning by : Meetkumar Patel

Download or read book Vehicle Traffic Estimation Using Deep Learning written by Meetkumar Patel and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For commuters, vehicular traffic is an important planning concern. People have access to the weather forecast and the current traffic situation, but there is no application available to estimate traffic congestion and flow in the near future. Similarly, traffic management authorities also seek information about future traffic for traffic management purposes. Thus, we design and develop a machine learning approach which can predict vehicular traffic density and flowrate up to two days in the future based on the weather, calendar and special events data. First, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks are utilized to predict the number of new vehicles and the total number of vehicles in images captured by a Nova Scotia Webcams (NS Webcams) video camera. The best models provide a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 20.38% for the number of new vehicles and 18.56% for the total number of vehicles. These values are used to estimate traffic flowrate and density for hourly records over a three-month period. The hourly traffic data is combined with observed and forecasted weather data, retrieved from the DarkSky.net website and special event data provided by the Port of Halifax to create a time series data. A Multiple Task Learning (MTL) - LSTM model is trained and tested using these data and a K-fold cross-validation approach. The Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and MAPE are used to evaluate the model performance. The MTL-LSTM model achieves a MAPE of 19.35% and 27.50% for flowrate and density using observed weather data, respectively. In the case of forecasted weather data, the MAPE for flowrate and density increases to 20.51% and 31.10%, respectively.

A Deep Learning Approach for Spatiotemporal-data-driven Traffic State Estimation

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)

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Book Synopsis A Deep Learning Approach for Spatiotemporal-data-driven Traffic State Estimation by : Amr Abdelraouf

Download or read book A Deep Learning Approach for Spatiotemporal-data-driven Traffic State Estimation written by Amr Abdelraouf and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade witnessed rapid developments in traffic data sensing technologies in the form of roadside detector hardware, vehicle on-board units, and pedestrian wearable devices. The growing magnitude and complexity of the available traffic data has fueled the demand for data-driven models that can handle large scale inputs. In the recent past, deep-learning-powered algorithms have become the state-of-the-art for various data-driven applications. In this research, three applications of deep learning algorithms for traffic state estimation were investigated. Firstly, network-wide traffic parameters estimation was explored. An attention-based multi-encoder-decoder (Att-MED) neural network architecture was proposed and trained to predict freeway traffic speed up to 60 minutes ahead. Att-MED was designed to encode multiple traffic input sequences: short-term, daily, and weekly cyclic behavior. The proposed network produced an average prediction accuracy of 97.5%, which was superior to the compared baseline models. In addition to improving the output performance, the model’s attention weights enhanced the model interpretability. This research additionally explored the utility of low-penetration connected probe-vehicle data for network-wide traffic parameters estimation and prediction on freeways. A novel sequence-to-sequence recurrent graph networks (Seq2Se2 GCN-LSTM) was designed. It was then trained to estimate and predict traffic volume and speed for a 60-minute future time horizon. The proposed methodology generated volume and speed predictions with an average accuracy of 90.5% and 96.6%, respectively, outperforming the investigated baseline models. The proposed method demonstrated robustness against perturbations caused by the probe vehicle fleet’s low penetration rate. Secondly, the application of deep learning for road weather detection using roadside CCTVs were investigated. A Vision Transformer (ViT) was trained for simultaneous rain and road surface condition classification. Next, a Spatial Self-Attention (SSA) network was designed to consume the individual detection results, interpret the spatial context, and modify the collective detection output accordingly. The sequential module improved the accuracy of the stand-alone Vision Transformer as measured by the F1-score, raising the total accuracy for both tasks to 96.71% and 98.07%, respectively. Thirdly, a real-time video-based traffic incident detection algorithm was developed to enhance the utilization of the existing roadside CCTV network. The methodology automatically identified the main road regions in video scenes and investigated static vehicles around those areas. The developed algorithm was evaluated using a dataset of roadside videos. The incidents were detected with 85.71% sensitivity and 11.10% false alarm rate with an average delay of 27.53 seconds. In general, the research proposed in this dissertation maximizes the utility of pre-existing traffic infrastructure and emerging probe traffic data. It additionally demonstrated deep learning algorithms’ capability of modeling complex spatiotemporal traffic data. This research illustrates that advances in the deep learning field continue to have a high applicability potential in the traffic state estimation domain.

Travel Time Estimation and Short-term Prediction in Urban Arterial Networks Using Conditional Independence Graphs and State-space Neural Networks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Travel Time Estimation and Short-term Prediction in Urban Arterial Networks Using Conditional Independence Graphs and State-space Neural Networks by : Ajay Kumar Singh (Graduate of Michigan State University)

Download or read book Travel Time Estimation and Short-term Prediction in Urban Arterial Networks Using Conditional Independence Graphs and State-space Neural Networks written by Ajay Kumar Singh (Graduate of Michigan State University) and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Evaluation of StreetLight Data's Traffic Count Estimates from Mobile Device Data

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Evaluation of StreetLight Data's Traffic Count Estimates from Mobile Device Data by : Shawn Turner

Download or read book Evaluation of StreetLight Data's Traffic Count Estimates from Mobile Device Data written by Shawn Turner and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, the Texas A&M Transportation Institute (TTI) conducted an independent, follow-up evaluation of StreetLight Data’s 2019 traffic count estimates using MnDOT sources of traffic count data. At 442 permanent benchmark locations, TTI found that average annual daily traffic ( AADT) estimation accuracy by StreetLight Data has improved significantly since the 2017 evaluation, especially in moderate- to high-volume categories (i.e., more than 10,000 AADT). The mean absolute error ranged from 8% to 10% for locations greater than 10,000 AADT and gradually increased to 42% for sites with less than 1,000 AADT. TTI also found significant overestimation bias for low-volume roadways (i.e., less than 2,500 to 5,000 AADT). This result was present in the permanent benchmark sites and more pronounced in the 265 short-duration count sites. Based on these findings, TTI recommends that MnDOT consider a phased approach to using probe-based traffic count estimates: 1) Continue to maintain MnDOT permanent counter sites; 2) start using probe-based counts for about 90% of the moderate- to high-volume roadways (20,000 or more AADT); 3) continue to use traditional short-duration counts at the remaining 10% of the moderate- to high-volume roadways as a spot check to ensure that probe-based AADT estimates remain within acceptable tolerances in the next five to ten years; 4) periodically monitor the error of AADT estimates on low- to moderate-volume roadways (less than 20,000 AADT); and 5) once acceptable error tolerances for these lower-volume categories are reached, repeat Step 2 for these lower-volume categories.