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Global Liquidity And Drivers Of Cross Border Bank Flows
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Book Synopsis Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
Download or read book Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-29 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a definition of global liquidity consistent with its meaning as the “ease of financing” in international financial markets. Using a longer time series and broader sample of countries than in previous studies, it identifies global factors driving cross-border bank flows, alongside country-specific factors. It confirms the explanatory power of US financial conditions, with flows decreasing in market volatility (VIX) and term premia, and increasing in bank leverage, growth in domestic credit and M2. A new finding is that similar variables for other systemic countries – the UK and the Euro Area – are also important, sometimes even more so, consistent with the dominant role of European banks in cross-border banking. Furthermore, recipient country characteristics are found to affect not only the level of country-specific flows, but also the cyclical impact of global liquidity, with sensitivities of flows to banks decreasing with stronger macroeconomic frameworks and better bank regulation, but less so for flows to non-financial firms.
Download or read book Capital Wars written by Michael J. Howell and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-03-24 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic cycles are driven by financial flows, namely quantities of savings and credits, and not by high street inflation or interest rates. Their sweeping destructive powers are expressed through Global Liquidity, a $130 trillion pool of footloose cash. Global Liquidity describes the gross flows of credit and international capital feeding through the world’s banking systems and wholesale money markets. The huge jump in the volume of international financial markets since the mid-1980s has been boosted by deregulation, innovation and easy money, with financial globalisation now surpassing the peaks of integration reached before the First World War. Global Liquidity drives these markets: it is often determinant, frequently disruptive and always fast-moving. Barely one fifth of Wall Street’s huge gains over recent decades have come from earnings: rising liquidity and investors’ appetite for riskier financial assets have propelled stock prices higher. Similar experiences are shared worldwide and even in emerging markets, such as India, flat earnings have not deterred waves of foreign money and domestic mutual funds from driving-up stock prices. Now with central banks actively pursuing quantitative easing policies, industrial corporations flush with cash and rising wealth levels among emerging market investors, the liquidity theory of investment has never been more important. International spill-overs of these rapacious cross-border flows sets off capital wars and exposes the unattractive face of liquidity called ‘risk.’ As the world grows bigger, it becomes ever more volatile. From the early 1960s onwards, the world economy and its financial markets have suffered from three broad types of shocks – labour costs, oil and commodities, and global liquidity. Financial markets spin on fragile axes and the absence of liquidity often provides a warning of upcoming troubles. Global Liquidity is a much-discussed, but narrowly-researched and vaguely-defined topic. This book deeply explores the subject by clearly defining and measuring liquidity worldwide and by showing its importance for investors. The roles of central banks, shadow banking, the rise of Repo and growth of wholesale money are discussed. Additionally, covering the latest developments in China’s increasingly dominant financial economy, this book will appeal to practitioners, policy-makers, economists and academics, as well as those with a general interest in how financial markets work.
Book Synopsis Cross-Border Bank Flows, Funding Liquidity and House Prices by : Kate Phylaktis
Download or read book Cross-Border Bank Flows, Funding Liquidity and House Prices written by Kate Phylaktis and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper investigates the impact of global liquidity, proxied by funding liquidity, on house prices around the world. Focusing on the repo markets in US, Europe, UK and Japan, we document that changes in liquidity are related to cross-border bank flows and affect house prices. Highlighting the importance of looking beyond the US, we find that the liquidity effect depends on where liquidity has originated. Moreover, there is evidence of important banking and financial channels for liquidity shocks to house prices, especially in emerging markets. The exposure of house prices to liquidity shocks may be contained by certain country characteristics and policies.
Book Synopsis Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
Download or read book Global Liquidity and Drivers of Cross-Border Bank Flows written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-29 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a definition of global liquidity consistent with its meaning as the “ease of financing” in international financial markets. Using a longer time series and broader sample of countries than in previous studies, it identifies global factors driving cross-border bank flows, alongside country-specific factors. It confirms the explanatory power of US financial conditions, with flows decreasing in market volatility (VIX) and term premia, and increasing in bank leverage, growth in domestic credit and M2. A new finding is that similar variables for other systemic countries – the UK and the Euro Area – are also important, sometimes even more so, consistent with the dominant role of European banks in cross-border banking. Furthermore, recipient country characteristics are found to affect not only the level of country-specific flows, but also the cyclical impact of global liquidity, with sensitivities of flows to banks decreasing with stronger macroeconomic frameworks and better bank regulation, but less so for flows to non-financial firms.
Book Synopsis Global Liquidity - Issues for Surveillance by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Global Liquidity - Issues for Surveillance written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-12-03 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper starts by presenting evidence of commonality in global financial conditions. This commonality is then related to specific drivers of global financial conditions through a range of transmission channels, including cross-border banking and portfolio flows. Empirical analysis shows a range of price and quantity factors, including measures of risk, bank leverage, and interest rates in financial centers, to drive in part these flows. Country specific policies, including exchange rate and prudential frameworks, are shown to affect the transmission of global conditions. Much remains unknown though, including how evolving structures of global funding, changing institutions, and ongoing financial innovations affect the mechanics of liquidity creation, the channels of liquidity transmission, and potential risks going forward.
Book Synopsis Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity by : Valentina Bruno
Download or read book Capital Flows, Cross-Border Banking and Global Liquidity written by Valentina Bruno and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate global factors associated with cross-border capital flows. We formulate a model of gross capital flows through the international banking system and derive a closed form solution that highlights the leverage cycle of global banks as being a prime determinant of the transmission of financial conditions across borders. We then test the predictions of our model in a panel study of 46 countries and find that global factors dominate local factors as determinants of banking sector capital flows.
Book Synopsis Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy by : Thorvardur T. Olafsson
Download or read book Cross-Border Credit Intermediation and Domestic Liquidity Provision in a Small Open Economy written by Thorvardur T. Olafsson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-11 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a small open economy model where global and domestic liquidity is intermediated to the corporate sector through two financial processes. Investment banks intermediate cross-border credit through interlinked debt contracts to entrepreneurs and commercial banks intermediate domestic savings to liquidity constrained final good producers. Both processes are needed to facilitate development of key production inputs. The model captures procyclical investment bank leverage dynamics, global liquidity spillovers, domestic money market pressures, and macrofinancial linkages through which shocks propagate across the two processes, affecting spreads and balance sheets, as well as the real economy through investment and working capital channels.
Book Synopsis Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows by : Sangyup Choi
Download or read book Uncertainty and Cross-Border Banking Flows written by Sangyup Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-01-05 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While global uncertainty—measured by the VIX—has proven to be a robust global “push” factor of international capital flows, there has been no systematic study assessing the role of country-specific uncertainty as a key (pull and push) factor of international capital flows. This paper tries to fill this gap in the literature by examining the effects of country-specific uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows using the confidential Bank for International Settlements Locational Banking Statistics data. The dyadic structure of this data allows to disentangle supply and demand factors and to better identify the effect of uncertainty shocks on cross-border banking flows. The results of this analysis suggest that: (i) uncertainty is both a push and pull factor that robustly predicts a decrease in both outflows (retrenchment) and inflows (stops); (ii) global banks rebalance their lending towards safer foreign borrowers from local borrowers when facing higher uncertainty; (iii) this rebalancing occurs only towards advanced economies (flight to quality), but not emerging market economies.
Book Synopsis Understanding Global Liquidity by : Sandra Eickmeier
Download or read book Understanding Global Liquidity written by Sandra Eickmeier and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Managing Elevated Risk by : Iwan J. Azis
Download or read book Managing Elevated Risk written by Iwan J. Azis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-12-11 with total page 129 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the risks and opportunities that arise in Emerging Asia given the context of a new environment in global liquidity and capital flows. It elaborates on the need to ensure financial and overall economic stability in the region through improved financial regulation and other policy measures to minimize the emergent risks. "Managing Elevated Risk: Global Liquidity, Capital Flows, and Macroprudential Policy—An Asian Perspective" also explores the range of policy options that may be deployed to address the impact of global liquidity on domestic financial and socio-economic conditions including income inequality. The book is primarily aimed at policy makers, financial market regulators and supervisory agencies to help them improve national regulatory systems and to promote harmonization of national regulations and practices in line with global standards. Scholars and researchers will also gain important information and knowledge about the overall impacts of changing global liquidity from the book.
Book Synopsis The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
Download or read book The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-25 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International banks greatly reduced their direct cross-border and local affiliates’ lending as the global financial crisis strained balance sheets, lowered borrower demand, and changed government policies. Using bilateral, lender-borrower countrydata and controlling for credit demand, we show that reductions largely varied in line with markets’ prior assessments of banks’ vulnerabilities, with banks’ financial statement variables and lender-borrower country characteristics playing minor roles. We find evidence that moving resources within banking groups became more restricted as drivers of reductions in direct cross-border loans differ from those for local affiliates’ lending, especially for impaired banking systems. Home bias induced by government interventions, however, affected both equally.
Book Synopsis Cross-Border Bank Credit and Global Financial Stability by : Bob Hills
Download or read book Cross-Border Bank Credit and Global Financial Stability written by Bob Hills and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article looks in detail at one aspect of global liquidity: cross-border credit provided by banks. Cross-border banking can potentially have considerable benefits, especially by diversifying the available sources of lending and borrowing, and by increasing banking competition. But such flows can also amplify risks in times of stress. As this article sets out, cross-border bank lending contributed to the build-up in vulnerabilities before the recent crisis, and exacerbated the bust once the crisis hit. The article then considers possible policy responses, arguing in particular that policymakers need to ensure that they can properly monitor these flows, from the point of view of recipient countries and the global system as a whole.
Book Synopsis Drivers of Structural Change in Cross-border Banking Since the Global Financial Crisis by : Franziska Bremus
Download or read book Drivers of Structural Change in Cross-border Banking Since the Global Financial Crisis written by Franziska Bremus and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper analyzes the effects of changes to regulatory policy and to monetary policy on cross-border bank lending since the global financial crisis. Cross-border bank lending has decreased, and the home bias in the credit portfolio of banks has risen sharply, especially among banks in the euro area. Our results suggest that expansionary monetary policy in the source countries -- as measured by the change in reserves held at central banks -- has encouraged cross-border lending, both in euro area and non-euro area countries. Regarding regulatory policy, increases in financial supervisory power or independence of the supervisory authorities have encouraged credit outflows from source countries. The findings thus underline the importance of regulatory arbitrage as a driver of cross-border bank flows since the global financial crisis. However, in the euro area, arbitrage in capital stringency was linked to lower cross-border lending since the crisis.
Book Synopsis Cross-border Banking by : Gerard Caprio
Download or read book Cross-border Banking written by Gerard Caprio and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2006 with total page 491 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cross-border banking, while having the potential for a more efficient financial sector, also creates potential challenges for bank supervisors and regulators. It requires cooperation by regulatory authorities across jurisdictions and a clear delineation of authority and responsibility. That delineation is typically not present and regulatory authorities often have significantly different incentives to respond when cross-border-active banks encounter difficulties. Most of these issues have only begun to be seriously evaluated. This volume, one of the first attempts to address these issues, brings together experts and regulators from different countries. The wide range of topics discussed include: the current landscape of cross-border bank activity, the resulting competitive implications, emerging challenges for prudential regulation, safety net concerns, failure resolution issues, and the potential future evolution of international banking. This book has been selected for coverage in: . OCo Index to Social Sciences & Humanities Proceedings- (ISSHP- / ISI Proceedings). OCo Index to Social Sciences & Humanities Proceedings (ISSHP CDROM version/ISI Proceedings). Sample Chapter(s). Chapter 1: Cross-Border Banking: Forces Driving Change and Resulting Regulatory Challenges (363 KB). Contents: Special Addresses: Cross-Border Banking: Forces Driving Change and Resulting Regulatory Challenges (M H Moskow); Cross-Border Banking and the Challenges Faced by Host Country Authorities (G Ortiz); Survey of the Current Landscape: Risks in US Bank International Exposures (N Cetorelli & L S Goldberg); Cross-Border Banking in Asia: Basel II and Other Prudential Issues (S Hohl et al.); Competitive Implications: Competitive Implications of Cross-Border Banking (S Claessens); Bank Concentration and Credit Volatility (A Micco & U Panizza); Prudential Regulation Issues: Home and Host Supervisors' Relations from a Host Supervisor's Perspective (P Bednarski & G Bielicki); Basel II Home Host Issues (P Jackson); Market Discipline Issues: Confronting Divergent Interests in Cross-Country Regulatory Arrangements (E J Kane); Market Discipline Issues Associated with Cross-Border Banking (D D Evanoff); Safety Net Issues: The Lender of Last Resort in the European Single Financial Market (G J Schinasi & P G Teixeira); Payment Systems and the Safety Net: The Role of Central Bank Money and Oversight (J Stehm); Insolvency Resolution Issues: Banking in a Changing World: Issues and Questions in the Resolution of Cross-Border Banks (M Krimminger); Bank Insolvency Procedures as Foundation for Market Discipline (A Angkinand & C Wihlborg); Policy Panel: Where to from Here?: Comments on Cross-Border Banking: Regulatory Challenges (C Calari); Designing the Home-Host Relationship to Support in Good Times and Bad: Trans-Tasman Developments (A Orr); and other papers. Readership: Professors teaching financial institutions, banking, financial regulation, or international financial markets; research economists interested in financial markets and institutions; financial regulators and policy-makers; financial consultants with internationally active customers."
Book Synopsis International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending by : Sangyup Choi
Download or read book International Fiscal-financial Spillovers: The Effect of Fiscal Shocks on Cross-border Bank Lending written by Sangyup Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-07-12 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper sheds new light on the degree of international fiscal-financial spillovers by investigating the effect of domestic fiscal policies on cross-border bank lending. By estimating the dynamic response of U.S. cross-border bank lending towards the 45 recipient countries to exogenous domestic fiscal shocks (both measured by spending and revenue) between 1990Q1 and 2012Q4, we find that expansionary domestic fiscal shocks lead to a statistically significant increase in cross-border bank lending. The magnitude of the effect is also economically significant: the effect of 1 percent of GDP increase (decrease) in spending (revenue) is comparable to an exogenous decline in the federal funds rate. We also find that fiscal shocks tend to have larger effects during periods of recessions than expansions in the source country, and that the adverse effect of a fiscal consolidation is larger than the positive effect of the same size of a fiscal expansion. In contrast, we do not find systematic and statistically significant differences in the spillover effects across recipient countries depending on their exchange rate regime, although capital controls seem to play some moderating role. The extension of the analysis to a panel of 16 small open economies confirms the finding from the U.S. economy.
Book Synopsis Financial Crises and the Composition of Cross-Border Lending by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
Download or read book Financial Crises and the Composition of Cross-Border Lending written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-16 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the composition and drivers of cross-border bank lending between 1995 and 2012, distinguishing between syndicated and non-syndicated loans. We show that on-balance sheet syndicated loan exposures account for almost one third of total cross-border loan exposures during this period. Furthermore, syndicated loan exposures increased during the global financial crisis due to large drawdowns on credit lines extended before the crisis. Our empirical analysis of the drivers of cross-border loan exposures in a large bilateral dataset shows three main results. First, banks with lower levels of capital favor syndicated over other kinds of cross-border loans. Second, borrower country characteristics such as level of development, economic size, and capital account openness, are less important in driving syndicated than non-syndicated loan activity, suggesting a diversification motive for syndication. Third, information asymmetries between lender and borrower countries, which are important both in normal and crisis times, became more binding for both types of cross-border lending activity during the recent crisis.
Book Synopsis Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses by : Woon Gyu Choi
Download or read book Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses written by Woon Gyu Choi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-10-30 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper distills and identifies global liquidity (GL) momenta from the macro-financial data of advanced economies through a factor model with sign restrictions as policy-driven, market-driven, and risk averseness factors. Using a panel factor-augmented VAR, we investigate responses of emerging market economies (EMEs) to GL shocks. A policy-driven liquidity increase boosts growth in EMEs, elevating stock prices and currency values, while a risk averseness rise has an opposite effect. A market-driven GL expansion boosts stock markets and lowers funding costs, promoting competitiveness and current account. Inflation targeting EMEs fare better than EMEs under alternative regimes with respect to macrofinancial volatility.
