Future Climate Change Impacts On The Boreal Forest In Northwestern Ontario Implications For The Forestry Sector And The Local Community Electronic Resource

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Future Climate Change Impacts on the Boreal Forest in Northwestern Ontario. Implications for the Forestry Sector and the Local Community [electronic Resource]

Author : Rafael Arturo Munoz-Marquez Trujillo
Publisher : Library and Archives Canada = Bibliothèque et Archives Canada
ISBN 13 : 9780494012604
Total Pages : 252 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (126 download)

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Book Synopsis Future Climate Change Impacts on the Boreal Forest in Northwestern Ontario. Implications for the Forestry Sector and the Local Community [electronic Resource] by : Rafael Arturo Munoz-Marquez Trujillo

Download or read book Future Climate Change Impacts on the Boreal Forest in Northwestern Ontario. Implications for the Forestry Sector and the Local Community [electronic Resource] written by Rafael Arturo Munoz-Marquez Trujillo and published by Library and Archives Canada = Bibliothèque et Archives Canada. This book was released on 2005 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A large body of research has documented evidence of climate change impact already occurring on different systems on earth, future impacts can be expected. Accordingly, research is urgently needed to analyze the potential impacts of climate change on forest ecosystems in order to contribute to better landscape planning and management. This thesis investigates how climate change affects landscape change, and how to use this understanding in the analysis of land-use and landscape planning and management to adapt to climate change impacts. In particular, this study examines how climate change may impact a managed forest in terms of timber availability, and the regional community that relies on it for its survival. I hypothesized that the Boreal forest in north western Ontario will change in the short term (i.e. 60 years) in species composition and will produce less available timber as a result of human-induced climate change as modeled by different General Circulation Models plus harvesting, compared to a baseline climate. The study objectives were (a) to evaluate the degree of change in land cover (species composition) under forest harvesting and various climate change scenarios; (b) to analyze timber availability under different climate change scenarios, and harvesting; (c) to describe possible scenarios of land cover change as a result of climate change impact and harvesting to assist in policy-making related to land-use and landscape planning; and (d) to identify possible sources of both land-use conflicts and synergies as a result of changes in landscape composition caused by climate change. The study area was the Dog-River Matawin forest in north western Ontario (̃8 x 104 ha). It is currently under harvesting. I used the Boreal Forest Landscape Dynamic Simulator (BFOLDS) fire model to simulate landscape change under different climate change scenarios (CCSRNIES A21, CGCM2 A22), which were then compared to simulations under a baseline climate scenario (1961-1990). I also developed an algorithm for the geographic information systems Arc View©, that selected useful stands, and simulated harvesting and regeneration rules after logging, processes not currently included in BFOLDS. The studied period covered 60 years to analyze impacts in the medium term in the landscape change. Results obtained were the following. (1) There will be a shortage in timber availability under all scenarios including the baseline. The impacts of climate change will cause a deficit in timber availability much earlier under a warmer scenario with respect to the baseline. The combined impact of climate change and harvesting could diminish timber availability up to 35% compared to the baseline by year 2040 under the CCSRNIES A21 scenario mainly due to an increase in fires. Deficits will occur 10 years before in the same scenario compared to the baseline (by year 2035). (2) In both scenarios and the baseline, there will be a younger forest. In 60 years, there will not be mature forest to support ecological, social and economic processes, as the forest will only have young stands. (3) Results obtained indicated that species composition will not change importantly among the scenarios of climate change and the baseline every decade, but there will be a change in dominance along the 60 years of the simulation under each scenario including the baseline. Softwood increased in dominance and hardwood decreased in all scenarios. The period length used in the simulation of 60 years appeared to be too short to reveal conspicuous changes in species composition. Increases observed in softwood over hardwood related to the increase in fires which promoted the establishment of species such as jack pine as well as the application of regeneration rules after logging. This finding did not agree with the hypothesis. Results of timber availability were consistent with what I expected. Warmest climate change scenarios (CCSRNIES A21) impacted both the amount of timber available (less availability every ten years) from the beginning of the simulation and the time when deficits occurred. There are important economic, social and environmental implications of the results of this study, namely a future forest that would be young and would supply much less timber. For the forestry industry, production goals would be hindered in the medium term, falling short of industry demands. For a society that depends heavily upon the forest to survive, declining production can imply unemployment, thus affecting the welfare of the community. For the environment, such a young, fragmented forest could be unable to sustain important key species and ecological processes, leading to a loss of biodiversity, Land-use and landscape planning should be used to regulate how the land is used to minimize climate change impact. They should be further used as adaptation tools, to help in ameliorate those climate change impacts that do occur.

The Importance of Forest Sector Adaptation to Climate Change

Author : T. C. Lemprière
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis The Importance of Forest Sector Adaptation to Climate Change by : T. C. Lemprière

Download or read book The Importance of Forest Sector Adaptation to Climate Change written by T. C. Lemprière and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report summarizes current knowledge about recent changes in the climate of Canadas forests and projects further changes over this century based on scenarios of future global greenhouse gas emissions developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Even with sustained reductions in global emissions the future climate is predicted to be quite different, meaning that adaptation will be essential. Impacts on the forest are already occurring and will be substantial in the future. The current upward trend in area burned annually is expected to continue. Forests will be prone to widespread stress induced by the changing climate, increasing the likelihood of pest outbreaks in the short to medium term. Recent outbreaks of several pests have exceeded in scope all previous known epidemics of these pests and are associated with the crossing of a climatic threshold. Invasion of the boreal forest by the mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae (Hopkins), appears likely, although the effect of this range expansion would likely be less severe than that observed recently in British Columbia, and outbreaks of the spruce budworm, Choristoneura fumiferana (Clemens), are predicted to be longer and more severe in the future. Future forest growth in response to climate change is expected to be variable, with growth reduction because of drought in parts of Canadas western forests perhaps the most dramatic short- to medium-term outcome, though modestly increased growth in the east is predicted. Such impacts have implications for the cost and characteristics of timber supply, and climate change will also affect forestry operations, recreation opportunities, biodiversity, and carbon storage. Planning based on past approaches will need to be reconsidered. Current objectives for sustainable forest management may not be attainable in the future, although there may be some new opportunities. Climate change may produce public safety risks, significant economic and social dislocation in forest-dependent communities including Aboriginal communities, and impacts on the competitiveness of companies as well as on the actions and policies of all levels of government. These effects can be reduced through early identification and implementation of actions to reduce vulnerabilities or take advantage of new opportunities. The key needs associated with adaptation in the forest sector include awareness building and debate, improved knowledge and information, vulnerability assessments, planning frameworks and tools, and enhanced coordination and cooperation among governments and other forest sector participants. Meeting the challenge of adaptation will require sustained effort for many years.

Ontario's Forests and Forestry in a Changing Climate

Author : Stephen John Colombo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Ontario's Forests and Forestry in a Changing Climate by : Stephen John Colombo

Download or read book Ontario's Forests and Forestry in a Changing Climate written by Stephen John Colombo and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report updates a review of literature about the effects of global climate change on forest plants and communities published in 1998. The focus is on changes in Ontario predicted for forest fires, insect outbreaks, disease, forest growth, species composition, harvest rates, wood supply, genetics and regeneration, and carbon-based forest management.--Includes text from document.

The Impacts of Climate Change on Ontario's Forests

Author : Stephen J. Colombo
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis The Impacts of Climate Change on Ontario's Forests by : Stephen J. Colombo

Download or read book The Impacts of Climate Change on Ontario's Forests written by Stephen J. Colombo and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reviews literature concerning the effects of global climate change on forest plants and communities, and provides opinions on the potential impacts that climate change may have on Ontario forests. Sections of the review discuss the following: the climate of Ontario in the 21st century as predicted by climate models; forest hydrology in relation to climate change; insects and climate change; impacts on fungi in the forest ecosystem; impacts on forest fires and their management; plant physiological responses; genetic implications of climate change; forest vegetation dynamics; the use of models in global climate change studies; and forest management responses to climate change.

Climate Change and Canada's Forests

Author : T. B. Williamson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 108 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change and Canada's Forests by : T. B. Williamson

Download or read book Climate Change and Canada's Forests written by T. B. Williamson and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forest managers can expect the unexpected and they can expect that change will be ongoing and unrelenting. Some general recommendations for beginning to address climate change in Canada's forest sector include enhancing the capacity to undertake integrated assessment of vulnerabilities to climate change at various scales; increasing resources to monitor the impacts of climate change; increasing resources for impacts and adaptation science; reviewing forest policies, forest planning, forest management approaches, and institutions to assess our ability to achieve social objectives under climate change; embedding principles of risk management and adaptive management into forest management; and maintaining or improving the capacity for communicating, networking, and information sharing with the Canadian public and within the forest sector."--Pub. website.

Dissertation Abstracts International

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 794 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Dissertation Abstracts International by :

Download or read book Dissertation Abstracts International written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 794 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Socioeconomic Impacts and Adaptive Responses to Climate Change

Author : Grant Hauer
Publisher : Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 72 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Socioeconomic Impacts and Adaptive Responses to Climate Change by : Grant Hauer

Download or read book Socioeconomic Impacts and Adaptive Responses to Climate Change written by Grant Hauer and published by Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre. This book was released on 2001 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of social science analysis of climate change is to assist policy makers in understanding the expected flows of benefits and costs of policy options over time and to improve our understanding of the human dimensions of the climate change issue. This report deals with socioeconomic criteria for assessment and with the development of methods and approaches for obtaining a better understanding of the socioeconomic impacts and adaptive responses to climate change in Canada's forest sector. Policy makers responding to the climate change issue must deal with many complex issues and unique circumstances. These issues and circumstances also have a bearing on methodologies for undertaking analysis of the future impacts of climate change. Climate change and the effects of climate change on human society spans multiple scales, which leads to the need to consider feedback's and interactions between environmental and human systems, between political systems and between different parts or segments of economies. The implications are that dynamic general or partial equilibrium models integrated with ecosystem response models will be required in order to understand the implications of climate change for land use change, future ecosystem distributions and the supply of timber from Canada's forests. In addition to affecting future timber supply and future commercial forest areas, climate change will influence the benefits Canadians receive from non-market benefits such as outdoor recreation. Currently there is limited analysis of the effects of climate change on non-market values and this area requires more work. Another factor influencing climate change analysis is that the issue spans unusually long time frames for policy analysis and economic analysis. This raises questions about suitable discount rates and accounting for social welfare of future generations. Finally, there is significant uncertainty in long term predictions of climate change and in how the integrated human/biological system will respond over time. Decision analysis, safe minimum standards, precautionary principles and maximin criterion provide some way to incorporate uncertainty into decision making. In terms of integrated assessment models, systematic consideration for the diversity of opinions and results from scientific studies regarding future climate and ecosystems shifts is required.

Exploring the Implications of Climatic Change for the Boreal Forest and Forestry Economics of Western Canada

Author : Elaine E. Wheaton
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Exploring the Implications of Climatic Change for the Boreal Forest and Forestry Economics of Western Canada by : Elaine E. Wheaton

Download or read book Exploring the Implications of Climatic Change for the Boreal Forest and Forestry Economics of Western Canada written by Elaine E. Wheaton and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Climate Change in the Western and Northern Forests of Canada

Author : G. A. McKinnon
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change in the Western and Northern Forests of Canada by : G. A. McKinnon

Download or read book Climate Change in the Western and Northern Forests of Canada written by G. A. McKinnon and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the report of a workshop held to provide a forum for the exchange of information on both the expected impacts of climate change on Canada's western & northern forests, and potential adaptive strategies. Topics covered in presentations & poster sessions included climate change science and the implications of climate change for environmental, social, & economic values of the forest. Facilitated interactive sessions focussed on knowledge gaps, policy, and institutional barriers to adaptation, followed by suggestions for moving the climate change impacts & adaptation agenda forward in the forest sector.

Sectoral Task Force Report

Author : Ontario Round Table on Environment and Economy. Forestry Sectoral Task Force
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Sectoral Task Force Report by : Ontario Round Table on Environment and Economy. Forestry Sectoral Task Force

Download or read book Sectoral Task Force Report written by Ontario Round Table on Environment and Economy. Forestry Sectoral Task Force and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report represents the views of the members of the task force on ways that government, non-government organizations, and private industry can best promote a healthy environment and economic development within the forestry sector. In addressing the issues, the Task Force met 18 times, reviewed relevant reference material, debated background papers prepared by members, heard presentations from invited speakers, and conducted four public meetings. This document discusses the changes in place and underway and the directions for change in aboriginal issues, biological diversity, decision-making and institutional change, global climate change, harvesting methods, pest management, private land forests, protected areas, pulp and paper industrial effluent, solid waste management, worker protection and involvement, and the economics of both timber for the industry and non-timber forest values.

Compendium II

Author : R. L. Macnaughton
Publisher : Sault Sainte Marie, Ont. : Canada Ontario Northern Ontario Development Agreement, Northern Forestry Program
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Compendium II by : R. L. Macnaughton

Download or read book Compendium II written by R. L. Macnaughton and published by Sault Sainte Marie, Ont. : Canada Ontario Northern Ontario Development Agreement, Northern Forestry Program. This book was released on 1994 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report contains descriptive summaries of 38 projects under the Applied Research, Technology Development and Transfer, and Decision Support sub-programs, and three Socio-Economic Analysis projects. The projects focus on the forestry/wildlife interface, smaller scale harvesting and silvicultural systems, and forest-based ecotourism opportunities. Each project summary describes the objectives, methodology, expected results, and implications of the research.

Assessing Potential Biophysical and Socioeconomic Impacts of Climate Change on Forest-based Communities

Author : T. B. Williamson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Assessing Potential Biophysical and Socioeconomic Impacts of Climate Change on Forest-based Communities by : T. B. Williamson

Download or read book Assessing Potential Biophysical and Socioeconomic Impacts of Climate Change on Forest-based Communities written by T. B. Williamson and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report presents methods for assessing the potential biophysical and socioeconomic impacts of climate change at scales relevant to forest-based communities. The methods are tested and demonstrated by estimating such impacts for the community of Vanderhoof, British Columbia. First, spatially referenced climate histories and climate scenarios are developed for a 200 km 200 km study area surrounding Vanderhoof. Second, these climate data are linked to new models and methods for projecting changes in productivity, species, and wildfire risk under conditions of climate change. Third, methods for linking changes in productivity to potential changes in harvest rate and then to potential changes in aggregate household income are developed and applied. Finally, an approach for linking, presenting, and comparing the results from the various methods is presented. This approach takes account of both climate change and parallel socioeconomic changes occurring in a communitys external environment and acknowledges the inherent uncertainty in climate and socioeconomic scenarios. The approach is based on the development of multitiered scenario radar maps, which are then compressed into a single radar map providing a concise summary of potential climate impacts on a particular community. The assessment of community vulnerability tends to be specific to a particular location. Nevertheless, the Vanderhoof case study highlights areas where forest-based communities may be uniquely exposed, sensitive, and therefore potentially vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Climate change may increase fire risk in forests surrounding communities. It is also likely to affect timber supplies (positively, negatively, or both), thereby causing changes in local economic activity and increasing instability and uncertainty. Moreover, these responses may be variable and nonlinear over time. The Vanderhoof experience with the mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopkins) shows that climate change has the potential to affect natural capital near other forestbased communities. Reduction of the natural capital asset base supporting any community will ultimately result in negative socioeconomic impacts. Governments (municipal, provincial, and federal) could use the approaches described here to identify locations where natural capital is at greatest risk. This information is needed to develop strategies for either protecting existing natural capital, replacing lost capital, or transforming exposed natural capital to alternative types of assets that are less sensitive to climate change.

Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America

Author : David Lawrence Peterson
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America by : David Lawrence Peterson

Download or read book Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America written by David Lawrence Peterson and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Interactions between forests, climatic change and the Earths carbon cycle are complex and represent a challenge for forest managers they are integral to the sustainable management of forests. In this volume, a number of papers are presented that describe some of the complex relationships between climate, the global carbon cycle and forests. Research has demonstrated that these are closely connected, such that changes in one have an influence not only on the other two, but also on their linkages. Climatic change represents a considerable threat to forest management in the current static paradigm. However, carbon sequestration issues offer opportunities for new techniques and strategies, and those able to adapt their management to this changing situation are likely to benefit. Such changes are already underway in countries such as Australia and Costa Rica, but it will probably take much longer for the forestry sector in the Pacific Northwest region of North America (encompassing Oregon, Washington, Montana, Idaho, British Columbia and Alaska) to change their current practices.

The Effects of Forest Management on Carbon Storage in Ontario's Forests

Author : Stephen John Colombo
Publisher : Sault Ste. Marie : Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Applied Research and Development
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 140 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis The Effects of Forest Management on Carbon Storage in Ontario's Forests by : Stephen John Colombo

Download or read book The Effects of Forest Management on Carbon Storage in Ontario's Forests written by Stephen John Colombo and published by Sault Ste. Marie : Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Applied Research and Development. This book was released on 2005 with total page 140 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This report examines how forest management can affect the carbon (C) balance of Ontario's forests. Ten forest management activities organized in four themes were examined: stand establishment (site preparation, planting, and vegetation management), growth enhancement (thinning, fertilization, and genetic improvement), forest protection (from forest fires, and insect and disease infestations), and harvesting (controlling the area occupied by roads, skid trails and landings, and reducing the area disturbed by harvesting)."--Document.

Forests, the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 8 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (319 download)

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Book Synopsis Forests, the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change by :

Download or read book Forests, the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change written by and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Adapting to Climate Variability and Change in Ontario

Author : Jamie Vernon Smith
Publisher : [Downsview, Ont.] : Environment Canada, Ontario Region
ISBN 13 : 9780662259220
Total Pages : 150 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (592 download)

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Book Synopsis Adapting to Climate Variability and Change in Ontario by : Jamie Vernon Smith

Download or read book Adapting to Climate Variability and Change in Ontario written by Jamie Vernon Smith and published by [Downsview, Ont.] : Environment Canada, Ontario Region. This book was released on 1998 with total page 150 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This report summarizes the most recent literature describing the impacts of current climate and the potential effects of anticipated climate change on the environment and on those social and economic sectors in Ontario most likely to undergo significant changes. After the introduction, chapter 2 describes the physical and socio-economic resources of Ontario. Chapter 3 details current climatic conditions in the province, including variability and recent trends. Chapter 4 reviews the impacts of the current climate on the following sectors: water resources, human and ecosystem health, the built environment, and industries such as energy, transportation, tourism and recreation, agriculture, forestry, construction, and finance. This chapter also examines the relationship between climate and regional air issues. Chapter 5 surveys future climate scenarios and assesses the impacts and opportunities arising from these scenarios for the same sectors addressed in chapter 4. Chapter 6 reviews the research and application of adaptive measures in five areas: water resources, human and ecosystem health, the built environment, industry, and regional air issues. The chapter also reviews Ontario's adaptation capacity with respect to these sectors. The final chapter summarizes knowledge gaps and research priorities for Ontario in the areas of climate variability and change, impacts and adaptation.

Climate Change and Indigenous Peoples in the United States

Author : Julie Koppel Maldonado
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319052667
Total Pages : 178 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate Change and Indigenous Peoples in the United States by : Julie Koppel Maldonado

Download or read book Climate Change and Indigenous Peoples in the United States written by Julie Koppel Maldonado and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-04-05 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With a long history and deep connection to the Earth’s resources, indigenous peoples have an intimate understanding and ability to observe the impacts linked to climate change. Traditional ecological knowledge and tribal experience play a key role in developing future scientific solutions for adaptation to the impacts. The book explores climate-related issues for indigenous communities in the United States, including loss of traditional knowledge, forests and ecosystems, food security and traditional foods, as well as water, Arctic sea ice loss, permafrost thaw and relocation. The book also highlights how tribal communities and programs are responding to the changing environments. Fifty authors from tribal communities, academia, government agencies and NGOs contributed to the book. Previously published in Climatic Change, Volume 120, Issue 3, 2013.