Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Haymarket Books
ISBN 13 : 1946511714
Total Pages : 128 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (465 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty by : Sheila Jasanoff, et al

Download or read book Uncertainty written by Sheila Jasanoff, et al and published by Haymarket Books. This book was released on 2023-10-03 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nearly two years into a global pandemic, uncertainty has profoundly unsettled both our personal and political lives. Some of its sources are epistemic: How long will vaccine immunity last? Do rising prices threaten economic recovery? Others are sharply existential: How will I pay rent next month? Will I see my loved one again? At no other moment in the twenty-first century has there been such widespread unease about what the future holds. Uncertainty is perhaps never more consequential than where it intersects with political power. Leading this issue’s forum, Sheila Jasanoff, pioneering scholar of science and technology studies, argues that public policy could benefit from a much more serious acknowledgment of uncertainty. In place of the hubris of technocratic expertise, Jasanoff calls for “technologies of humility”—institutional mechanisms, including greater citizen participation, for incorporating a wider range of experience and views in our schemes of democratic governance. Respondents to Jasanoff consider other causes of pandemic mismanagement and ask whether humility is the best response.

Acting in an Uncertain World

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Author :
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262515962
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (625 download)

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Book Synopsis Acting in an Uncertain World by : Michel Callon

Download or read book Acting in an Uncertain World written by Michel Callon and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2011-01-21 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A call for a new form of democracy in which “hybrid forums” composed of experts and laypeople address such sociotechnical controversies as hazardous waste, genetically modified organisms, and nanotechnology. Controversies over such issues as nuclear waste, genetically modified organisms, asbestos, tobacco, gene therapy, avian flu, and cell phone towers arise almost daily as rapid scientific and technological advances create uncertainty and bring about unforeseen concerns. The authors of Acting in an Uncertain World argue that political institutions must be expanded and improved to manage these controversies, to transform them into productive conversations, and to bring about “technical democracy.” They show how “hybrid forums”—in which experts, non-experts, ordinary citizens, and politicians come together—reveal the limits of traditional delegative democracies, in which decisions are made by quasi-professional politicians and techno-scientific information is the domain of specialists in laboratories. The division between professionals and laypeople, the authors claim, is simply outmoded. The authors argue that laboratory research should be complemented by everyday experimentation pursued in the real world, and they describe various modes of cooperation between the two. They explore a range of concrete examples of hybrid forums that have dealt with sociotechnical controversies including nuclear waste disposal in France, industrial waste and birth defects in Japan, a childhood leukemia cluster in Woburn, Massachusetts, and mad cow disease in the United Kingdom. The authors discuss the implications for political decision making in general and describe a “dialogic” democracy that enriches traditional representative democracy. To invent new procedures for consultation and representation, they suggest, is to contribute to an endless process that is necessary for the ongoing democratization of democracy.

Moral Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0198722273
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Moral Uncertainty by : William MacAskill

Download or read book Moral Uncertainty written by William MacAskill and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2020 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: About the bookToby Ord try to fill this gap. They argue that there are distinctive norms that govern how one ought to make decisions and defend an information-sensitive account of how to make such decisions. They do so by developing an analogy between moral uncertainty and social choice, noting that different moral views provide different amounts of information regarding our reasons for action, and arguing that the correct account of decision-making under moral uncertainty must be sensitive to that. Moral Uncertainty also tackles the problem of how to make intertheoretic comparisons, and addresses the implications of their view for metaethics and practical ethics. Very often we are uncertain about what we ought, morally, to do. We do not know how to weigh the interests of animals against humans, how strong our duties are to improve the lives of distant strangers, or how to think about the ethics of bringing new people into existence. But we still need to act. So how should we make decisions in the face of such uncertainty? Though economists and philosophers have extensively studied the issue of decision-making in the face of uncertainty about matters of fact, the question of decision-making given fundamental moral uncertainty has been neglected. In Moral Uncertainty, philosophers William MacAskill, Krister Bykvist, and Toby Ord try to fill this gap. They argue that there are distinctive norms that govern how one ought to make decisions and defend an information-sensitive account of how to make such decisions. They do so by developing an analogy between moral uncertainty and social choice, noting that different moral views provide different amounts of information regarding our reasons for action, and arguing that the correct account of decision-making under moral uncertainty must be sensitive to that. Moral Uncertainty also tackles the problem of how to make intertheoretic comparisons, and addresses the implications of their view for metaethics and practical ethics.

No Uncertain Sound

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780998748702
Total Pages : 116 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (487 download)

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Book Synopsis No Uncertain Sound by : Camden M Bucey

Download or read book No Uncertain Sound written by Camden M Bucey and published by . This book was released on 2017-03-20 with total page 116 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reformed Forum is a Christian non-profit organization that exists to assist the church in her call to discipleship. We serve the church by communicating the riches of our theological tradition and advancing it according to our confessional boundaries through in-depth research and scholarly discourse. With contributions covering redemptive-historical hermeneutics, theological method, soteriology, worship, ecclesiology, and apologetics, the authors set forth the salient features of their shared Reformed identity.

Uncertainty Advantage

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Author :
Publisher : Archway Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1480839388
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (88 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty Advantage by : Gary S. Lynch

Download or read book Uncertainty Advantage written by Gary S. Lynch and published by Archway Publishing. This book was released on 2017-01-12 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk and uncertainty may sound scary, but todays best business leaders are navigating both to gain strategic advantage over competitorsand you can, too. This guide for business leaders examines risk and opportunity through the lens of some of the worlds most respected visionaries, including Howard Schultz, Andy Grove, Peter Huntsman, John Krafcik, Peter Leibinger, Doug Hepper, and many more. These visionaries looked beyond financial performance to see opportunitiesand they did so by understanding uncertainty. Then, they decisively acted to create measurable results that coincided with the future they envisioned. Find out how they did it, and learn how to: identify, define, and convert uncertainty into value; become more opportunistic when facing uncertainty; develop the skill to spot where advantages are likely to emerge; and create an environment where managers and leaders complement each other. Filled with case studies on companies such as Hyundai, Starbucks, Roche, and Intel, this guide delivers proven ways to create value and leverage uncertainty. It is the culmination of a decade of research and interaction with dozens of companies and growth leaders who prove that pursuing a market driven strategy to navigating uncertainty will gain measurable market advantage.

Human Compatible

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Publisher : Penguin Books
ISBN 13 : 0525558616
Total Pages : 354 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (255 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Compatible by : Stuart Jonathan Russell

Download or read book Human Compatible written by Stuart Jonathan Russell and published by Penguin Books. This book was released on 2019 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A leading artificial intelligence researcher lays out a new approach to AI that will enable people to coexist successfully with increasingly intelligent machines.

Uncertainty in Post-Reformation Catholicism

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190694092
Total Pages : 585 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (96 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertainty in Post-Reformation Catholicism by : Stefania Tutino

Download or read book Uncertainty in Post-Reformation Catholicism written by Stefania Tutino and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a historical account of early modern probabilism and its theological, intellectual, and cultural implications. Tutino argues that probabilism played a central role in helping early modern theologians grapple with the uncertainties originated by a geographically and intellectually expanding world.

Forum

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Forum by :

Download or read book Forum written by and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Uncertain Justice

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Publisher : Macmillan
ISBN 13 : 0805099093
Total Pages : 416 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Justice by : Laurence Tribe

Download or read book Uncertain Justice written by Laurence Tribe and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2014-06-03 with total page 416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An assessment of how the Supreme Court under Chief Justice John Roberts is significantly influencing the nation's laws and reinterpreting the Constitution includes in-depth analysis of recent rulings and their implications.

FORUM OF UNCERTAINTY.

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis FORUM OF UNCERTAINTY. by : George H. Roeder

Download or read book FORUM OF UNCERTAINTY. written by George H. Roeder and published by . This book was released on 1980 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Surfing Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0190217014
Total Pages : 425 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Surfing Uncertainty by : Andy Clark

Download or read book Surfing Uncertainty written by Andy Clark and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2016 with total page 425 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exciting new theories in neuroscience, psychology, and artificial intelligence are revealing minds like ours as predictive minds, forever trying to guess the incoming streams of sensory stimulation before they arrive. In this up-to-the-minute treatment, philosopher and cognitive scientist Andy Clark explores new ways of thinking about perception, action, and the embodied mind.

Masters of Uncertainty

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 022629868X
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis Masters of Uncertainty by : Phaedra Daipha

Download or read book Masters of Uncertainty written by Phaedra Daipha and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2015-11-17 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "In Masters of Uncertainty, Phaedra Daipha offers a new framework for understanding decision-making practice after spending years immersed in a northeastern office of the National Weather Service. Arguing that forecasters have made a virtue of the unpredictability of the weather, Daipha shows how they enlist an onmivorous appetite for information and improvisational collage techniques to create a locally meaningful forecast on their computer screens. This richly detailed and lucidly written book advances a theory of decision making that foregrounds the pragmatic and situated nature of expert cognition and casts new light on how we make decisions in the digital age"--Page {4] of cover.

The Politics of Uncertainty

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1000163407
Total Pages : 288 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (1 download)

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Book Synopsis The Politics of Uncertainty by : Ian Scoones

Download or read book The Politics of Uncertainty written by Ian Scoones and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2020-07-14 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why is uncertainty so important to politics today? To explore the underlying reasons, issues and challenges, this book’s chapters address finance and banking, insurance, technology regulation and critical infrastructures, as well as climate change, infectious disease responses, natural disasters, migration, crime and security and spirituality and religion. The book argues that uncertainties must be understood as complex constructions of knowledge, materiality, experience, embodiment and practice. Examining in particular how uncertainties are experienced in contexts of marginalisation and precarity, this book shows how sustainability and development are not just technical issues, but depend deeply on political values and choices. What burgeoning uncertainties require lies less in escalating efforts at control, but more in a new – more collective, mutualistic and convivial – politics of responsibility and care. If hopes of much-needed progressive transformation are to be realised, then currently blinkered understandings of uncertainty need to be met with renewed democratic struggle. Written in an accessible style and illustrated by multiple case studies from across the world, this book will appeal to a wide cross-disciplinary audience in fields ranging from economics to law to science studies to sociology to anthropology and geography, as well as professionals working in risk management, disaster risk reduction, emergencies and wider public policy fields.

The Forum

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 712 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Forum by : Lorettus Sutton Metcalf

Download or read book The Forum written by Lorettus Sutton Metcalf and published by . This book was released on 1887 with total page 712 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Current political, social, scientific, education, and literary news written about by many famous authors and reform movements.

Proustian Uncertainties

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Publisher : Other Press, LLC
ISBN 13 : 1590519124
Total Pages : 177 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (95 download)

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Book Synopsis Proustian Uncertainties by : Saul Friedländer

Download or read book Proustian Uncertainties written by Saul Friedländer and published by Other Press, LLC. This book was released on 2020-12-01 with total page 177 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Named a Times Literary Supplement Best Book of the Year A Pulitzer Prize–winning historian revisits Marcel Proust’s masterpiece in this essay on literature and memory, exploring the question of identity—that of the novel’s narrator and Proust’s own. This engaging reexamination of In Search of Lost Time considers how the narrator defines himself, how this compares to what we know of Proust himself, and what the significance is of these various points of commonality and divergence. We know, for example, that the author did not hide his homosexuality, but the narrator did. Why the difference? We know that the narrator tried to marginalize his part-Jewish background. Does this reflect the author’s position, and how does the narrator handle what he tries, but does not manage, to dismiss? These are major questions raised by the text and reflected in the text, to which the author’s life doesn’t give obvious answers. The narrator’s reflections on time, on death, on memory, and on love are as many paths leading to the image of self that he projects. In Proustian Uncertainties, Saul Friedländer draws on his personal experience from a life spent investigating the ties between history and memory to offer a fresh perspective on the seminal work.

Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031470362
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (314 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling by : José Eduardo Souza De Cursi

Download or read book Proceedings of the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modelling written by José Eduardo Souza De Cursi and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-10-21 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This proceedings book covers a wide range of topics related to uncertainty analysis and its application in various fields of engineering and science. It explores uncertainties in numerical simulations for soil liquefaction potential, the toughness properties of construction materials, experimental tests on cyclic liquefaction potential, and the estimation of geotechnical engineering properties for aerogenerator foundation design. Additionally, the book delves into uncertainties in concrete compressive strength, bio-inspired shape optimization using isogeometric analysis, stochastic damping in rotordynamics, and the hygro-thermal properties of raw earth building materials. It also addresses dynamic analysis with uncertainties in structural parameters, reliability-based design optimization of steel frames, and calibration methods for models with dependent parameters. The book further explores mechanical property characterization in 3D printing, stochastic analysis in computational simulations, probability distribution in branching processes, data assimilation in ocean circulation modeling, uncertainty quantification in climate prediction, and applications of uncertainty quantification in decision problems and disaster management. This comprehensive collection provides insights into the challenges and solutions related to uncertainty in various scientific and engineering contexts.

The Scout Mindset

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Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0735217556
Total Pages : 290 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (352 download)

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Book Synopsis The Scout Mindset by : Julia Galef

Download or read book The Scout Mindset written by Julia Galef and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2021-04-13 with total page 290 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "...an engaging and enlightening account from which we all can benefit."—The Wall Street Journal A better way to combat knee-jerk biases and make smarter decisions, from Julia Galef, the acclaimed expert on rational decision-making. When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a "soldier" mindset. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalizing in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe—and shoot down those we don't. But if we want to get things right more often, argues Galef, we should train ourselves to have a "scout" mindset. Unlike the soldier, a scout's goal isn't to defend one side over the other. It's to go out, survey the territory, and come back with as accurate a map as possible. Regardless of what they hope to be the case, above all, the scout wants to know what's actually true. In The Scout Mindset, Galef shows that what makes scouts better at getting things right isn't that they're smarter or more knowledgeable than everyone else. It's a handful of emotional skills, habits, and ways of looking at the world—which anyone can learn. With fascinating examples ranging from how to survive being stranded in the middle of the ocean, to how Jeff Bezos avoids overconfidence, to how superforecasters outperform CIA operatives, to Reddit threads and modern partisan politics, Galef explores why our brains deceive us and what we can do to change the way we think.