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Forecasting Of Rubber In Futures Market
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Book Synopsis Forecasting of Rubber in Futures Market by : Suppanunta Romprasert
Download or read book Forecasting of Rubber in Futures Market written by Suppanunta Romprasert and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2012 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the recently decade, futures markets in Thailand have exploded in the broad sweep especially on those agricultural commodities such as the natural rubber ribbed smoked sheets No.3. Innovations in futures markets have had an influence on the entire market for financial claims. The book attempts to cover a way that will be accessible to a wide range of readers. Mathematical demands placed on the reader are included several mathematical approaches and numerous references to scholarly articles for those readers wishing more mathematical details and justification for the claims made in the book. Recognizing that no every reader will be interested in every aspect of the futures markets, the book has organized the chapters to facilitate access to a treatment of special empirical study. The first three chapters of the book are introduction but cover virtually every phase of forecast and futures thinking. After reading the first three chapters, the reader is prepared to go immediately to chapter 4 and 5 focused on specific case study of forecasting natural rubber in the feature of previous three chapters designed in clearest way. That means not treated in detail for all commodities.
Book Synopsis An Evaluation of Alternative Forecasting Models for Natural Rubber Prices by : Jit Yang Lim
Download or read book An Evaluation of Alternative Forecasting Models for Natural Rubber Prices written by Jit Yang Lim and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 706 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the prominent features of the Natural Rubber (NR) market is its price variability, and the aim of this study is to project accurate short-term NR prices. This is accomplished by exploiting the use of forecasting techniques and information sets to seek the combination with the best forecasts, and exploring best ways of combining forecasts. We evaluate the relative performance of 19 models based upon three different forecasting techniques, and four information sets. In addition, we compare their forecasts with 13 other forecasts combined in various different ways, and taking the Naive forecast as benchmark. The generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity regression (or ARCH-type) models, though more complex, are generally better than the simpler regression models. In general, the performance of the various techniques seems to perform consistently well (or poorly) over the forecasting horizons, with alternations in performance due mainly to the type of information set used. We also adopted a simple trading rule to find out the economic values of our forecasts, and the results are most promising. Importantly, the forecasts generated from the alternative models developed in this study can potentially be beneficial to participants in the NR futures market.
Book Synopsis The Future of natural rubber - a forecast by : B. C. Sekhar
Download or read book The Future of natural rubber - a forecast written by B. C. Sekhar and published by . This book was released on 1976 with total page 8 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Rubber Market Review written by and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 736 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Back to the Futures by : Bernardina Algieri
Download or read book Back to the Futures written by Bernardina Algieri and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of futures markets in stabilizing spot prices has been extensively discussed. Nevertheless, the ability of these markets to achieve the stabilizing function significantly depends on whether they are 'efficient' in the sense that futures prices 'fully reflect' the available information. The purpose of this study is first to gauge the extent to which futures markets for a set of traded commodities can be considered efficient in predicting spot prices. We then go beyond traditional analyses of efficiency and assess the relative forecasting performance of futures markets; i.e., the difference between the realization and prediction of future spot prices, and what factors affect these forecast errors. The results of the analysis show that maize, soybeans, and wheat markets are not informationally efficient, so that investors can make outsize profits. We find that short-term speculation, measured by the scalping index, increases the noises in the information formation process, thus increasing forecast errors. Conversely, long-term speculation, proxied by the Working-T index and the speculative pressure index, reduces forecast errors although their quantitative effect is negligible. Other relevant factors that drive forecast errors up are a high level of realized price volatility, the lack of liquidity in the market, and a longer contract maturity horizon.
Book Synopsis Is There a Need for a Futures Market for Natural Rubber by : A. P. Propper
Download or read book Is There a Need for a Futures Market for Natural Rubber written by A. P. Propper and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 333 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2006 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.
Book Synopsis The Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics by : Dr. Ghada Mohamed
Download or read book The Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics written by Dr. Ghada Mohamed and published by Dr. Ghada Mohamed. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 92 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Scientific Journal of Agricultural Economics Volume 1 - Issue 1 2012 Founder: Dr. Ghada Gomaa A. Mohamed Edited by: Daniel May & Ghada Mohamed ISSN 1923-6514 (Online): Library & Archives Canada Authors: Suppanunta Romprasert, Arif Nindito, and John Adams https://epe.lac-bac.gc.ca/100/201/300/scientific_jrn_agricultural_economics/2012/v01n01.pdf
Book Synopsis Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling by : Vladik Kreinovich
Download or read book Structural Changes and their Econometric Modeling written by Vladik Kreinovich and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-11-24 with total page 784 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book focuses on structural changes and economic modeling. It presents papers describing how to model structural changes, as well as those introducing improvements to the existing before-structural-changes models, making it easier to later on combine these models with techniques describing structural changes. The book also includes related theoretical developments and practical applications of the resulting techniques to economic problems. Most traditional mathematical models of economic processes describe how the corresponding quantities change with time. However, in addition to such relatively smooth numerical changes, economical phenomena often undergo more drastic structural change. Describing such structural changes is not easy, but it is vital if we want to have a more adequate description of economic phenomena – and thus, more accurate and more reliable predictions and a better understanding on how best to influence the economic situation.
Book Synopsis The Second Annual Conference of Economic Forum of Entrepreneurship & International Business by : Ghada Mohamed
Download or read book The Second Annual Conference of Economic Forum of Entrepreneurship & International Business written by Ghada Mohamed and published by Dr. Ghada Mohamed. This book was released on 2012-02-04 with total page 287 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Second Annual Conference of Economic Forum of Entrepreneurship & International Business Organized by Dr. Ghada Gomaa A. Mohamed Conference venue: University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada Conference proceeding: Library & Archive Canada Conference date: Feb. 2nd – Feb. 4th, 2012 Edited by: Dr. Ghada Mohamed Dr. Morrison Handley-Shachler Dr. Daniel May https://epe.lac-bac.gc.ca/100/201/300/annual_conference_economic/v02.pdf
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2006 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis.
Book Synopsis Forecasts for the World Rubber Economy to the Year 2000 by : Hidde P. Smit
Download or read book Forecasts for the World Rubber Economy to the Year 2000 written by Hidde P. Smit and published by Springer. This book was released on 1984-06-18 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The World Rubber Economy by : Enzo R. Grilli
Download or read book The World Rubber Economy written by Enzo R. Grilli and published by Johns Hopkins University Press. This book was released on 1980 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The World Rubber Industry by : Colin Barlow
Download or read book The World Rubber Industry written by Colin Barlow and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-02-04 with total page 383 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the fact that Rubber is one of the world's major commodities, surprispingly little has been written about hte the subject. First published in 1994, The World Rubber Industry seeks to redress this deficiency. It presents information in a clear and accessible manner, with numerous tables and illustrations, and an extensive glossary. This is a comprehensive and definitive analysis of one of the world's major and most essential commodities.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Commodity Markets by : Julian Roche
Download or read book Forecasting Commodity Markets written by Julian Roche and published by McGraw-Hill. This book was released on 1995 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Julian Roche explains every major method of forecasting markets; fundamental analysis, technical analysis, & econometric analysis. Roche discusses both the underlying theory & current application of each method, as well as pricing information on data sources & software. Moreover, the book evaluates the advantages & disadvantages of each approach & demonstrate how to combine approaches to produce an optimum forecasting method. Specific topics include: The history of fundamental, technical, & econometric analysis; Forecasting theories & applications; Accuracy of forecasting methods; The role of forecasting in trading decisions; The future of forecasting.
Book Synopsis Fortune Tellers by : Walter Friedman
Download or read book Fortune Tellers written by Walter Friedman and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2013-12-01 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A gripping history of the pioneers who sought to use science to predict financial markets The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic forecasters, pioneers who sought to use the tools of science to predict the future, with the aim of profiting from their forecasts. This book chronicles the lives and careers of the men who defined this first wave of economic fortune tellers, men such as Roger Babson, Irving Fisher, John Moody, C. J. Bullock, and Warren Persons. They competed to sell their distinctive methods of prediction to investors and businesses, and thrived in the boom years that followed World War I. Yet, almost to a man, they failed to predict the devastating crash of 1929. Walter Friedman paints vivid portraits of entrepreneurs who shared a belief that the rational world of numbers and reason could tame--or at least foresee--the irrational gyrations of the market. Despite their failures, this first generation of economic forecasters helped to make the prediction of economic trends a central economic activity, and shed light on the mechanics of financial markets by providing a range of statistics and information about individual firms. They also raised questions that are still relevant today. What is science and what is merely guesswork in forecasting? What motivates people to buy forecasts? Does the act of forecasting set in motion unforeseen events that can counteract the forecast made? Masterful and compelling, Fortune Tellers highlights the risk and uncertainty that are inherent to capitalism itself.
Book Synopsis Guide to Financial Markets by : Marc Levinson
Download or read book Guide to Financial Markets written by Marc Levinson and published by The Economist. This book was released on 2018-07-24 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The revised and updated 7th edition of this highly regarded book brings the reader right up to speed with the latest financial market developments, and provides a clear and incisive guide to a complex world that even those who work in it often find hard to understand. In chapters on the markets that deal with money, foreign exchange, equities, bonds, commodities, financial futures, options and other derivatives, the book examines why these markets exist, how they work, and who trades in them, and gives a run-down of the factors that affect prices and rates. Business history is littered with disasters that occurred because people involved their firms with financial instruments they didn't properly understand. If they had had this book they might have avoided their mistakes. For anyone wishing to understand financial markets, there is no better guide.
